SpaceX (Vol. 2)

Author
Discussion

Beati Dogu

8,935 posts

141 months

Monday 20th November 2023
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They're on 87 launches of all types for the year.

They did one this morning - a F9 Starlink mission from Vandenberg. Up and down ok for its 15th flight. So routine now it goes completely unnoticed. Which perhaps is how it should be.

I wonder if Starship will ever be like that - if and when they get it together. I expect it will; people were not paying much attention by the later Apollo flights.

G111MDS

323 posts

93 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Hill92 said:
That is a great summary. The rate of progress has been phenomenal. I’m sure that they’ll progress quickly with Starship too. It’s really not that long ago that it had its first flight.

fiatpower

3,067 posts

173 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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louiechevy said:
Elon has said three to four weeks and they would be ready for test three! I'm guessing that's dependent on approval. It would be astonishing if they could though
I guess it also depends on what changes they make to the starship and booster following Saturday's test whether it can be turned around that quick. If there are just minor tweaks and approval is quicker (should be as there was a vast improvement on this test compared to the last one) then I can't see why they can't turn it around in that time.

However there is definitely an element of Elon time in there! Personally I see a test in Jan/Feb time due to the Christmas holidays.

MartG

20,737 posts

206 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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fiatpower said:
However there is definitely an element of Elon time in there! Personally I see a test in Jan/Feb time due to the Christmas holidays.
I have a feeling that Elon would really like to get a Starship into orbit before Boeing finally manage to fly a crew on Starliner

Dog Star

16,177 posts

170 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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MartG said:
I have a feeling that Elon would really like to get a Starship into orbit before Boeing finally manage to fly a crew on Starliner
I think that’s not exactly a hard target.

MartG

20,737 posts

206 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Dog Star said:
MartG said:
I have a feeling that Elon would really like to get a Starship into orbit before Boeing finally manage to fly a crew on Starliner
I think that’s not exactly a hard target.
rofl

Beati Dogu

8,935 posts

141 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Starliner won’t be able to launch to the ISS until mid-April, even if it is ready before that. That’s the earliest NASA can fit them in

Incidentally, the first module of the ISS is now 25 years old, as of yesterday I believe.

jingars

1,098 posts

242 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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The ongoing conjecture as to the number of tanker missions required to support the Spaceship-derived lander for the Artemis HLS continues:

SpaceNews: Starship lunar lander missions to require nearly 20 launches, NASA says.

Musk's emphasis on the rapid reusability - of the launch platform as much as the booster and second stage - will be tested early by Artemis. Additional launch capacity at KSC will need to be commissioned as a priority.

After all the SLS and Orion shenanigans, it is bizarre that SpaceX deliverables could become the limiting elements to the Artemis 3 mission.

CraigyMc

16,504 posts

238 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Beati Dogu said:
Starliner won’t be able to launch to the ISS until mid-April, even if it is ready before that. That’s the earliest NASA can fit them in

Incidentally, the first module of the ISS is now 25 years old, as of yesterday I believe.
The ISS weighs 420 tons, that's about 3 starship payloads reusable @150t (or two, expendable, @250t).

Given the price delta and costs, starship could result in much larger/heavier/cheaper built space stations. You'd not necessarily need to build things using the most expensive, lightest materials available since starship would change the economics of weight to orbit.

This all assumes SpaceX will get it working as they want, of course. They look on track for it.

GTO-3R

7,538 posts

215 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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I think in the next few years we're going to see an explosion in space exploration for commercial projects like what Axiom are proposing and also space "hotels" for residents (with plenty of cash) due to Starship.

Exiting time for space travel smile

annodomini2

6,877 posts

253 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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CraigyMc said:
The ISS weighs 420 tons, that's about 3 starship payloads reusable @150t (or two, expendable, @250t).

Given the price delta and costs, starship could result in much larger/heavier/cheaper built space stations. You'd not necessarily need to build things using the most expensive, lightest materials available since starship would change the economics of weight to orbit.

This all assumes SpaceX will get it working as they want, of course. They look on track for it.
The empty volume of starship is slightly less than the internal volume of ISS

Eric Mc

122,235 posts

267 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Looking at the launch from the various multi-camera angles, you can see that Starship was shedding heat protection tiles like nobody's business. I have a feeling that if it had made it to orbital velocity it would not have survived re-entry.

CraigyMc

16,504 posts

238 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Eric Mc said:
Looking at the launch from the various multi-camera angles, you can see that Starship was shedding heat protection tiles like nobody's business. I have a feeling that if it had made it to orbital velocity it would not have survived re-entry.
Agreed, though tempering that with "shuttles often came in with bits of the heat shield missing".

It'd be interesting to know how starship's stainless skin would fare, as compared with the shuttle's bare structure, given that the shuttle re-entered with bits missing more often than not.

I recall one of the shuttle tile-loss problems happened exactly where a structural spar was and that's the only reason it made it to Earth in one piece; this was on STS 27.

Eric Mc

122,235 posts

267 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Although Shuttle did lose tiles from time to time it was actually raining tiles off Starship. You could see the gaps left as each batch separated and fell away.

I think the flex, vibration and shock wave environment experienced by the Starship stack must be the most violent ever experienced by a booster.

Beati Dogu

8,935 posts

141 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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New 360 degree camera view of the launch from SpaceX:



You can look up, down and left and right as you want.

If you look down you can see the launch ring getting pasted.

louiechevy

646 posts

195 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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That's awesome

CraigyMc

16,504 posts

238 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Everyday Astronaut put together a supercut of some of their contributors footage.

Some of this is better than what I'd consider amateur photography -- genuinely, you can see detail that is relevant in an engineering sense.
For example, Ryan's tracker:
|https://thumbsnap.com/J73UUb9s[/url]

Full vid is about 25 mins.
[url]

CraigyMc

16,504 posts

238 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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On the "nick tracker" section of that video, you can see the shockwaves as starship goes transonic. It's about 10 mins in.

CraigyMc

16,504 posts

238 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Flooble said:
louiechevy said:
Elon has said three to four weeks and they would be ready for test three! I'm guessing that's dependent on approval. It would be astonishing if they could though
He said the vehicle would be ready - which is an unusually careful choice of words! Mind, he said the same about this test flight. So February/March it is then!
I think people aren't clear on how many of these things they've been constructing.
Here's the ship and booster build pipeline as of 48 hours ago:





(Click for bigger)

Flooble

5,565 posts

102 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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Eric Mc said:
Although Shuttle did lose tiles from time to time it was actually raining tiles off Starship. You could see the gaps left as each batch separated and fell away.

I think the flex, vibration and shock wave environment experienced by the Starship stack must be the most violent ever experienced by a booster.
I'm not convinced - Solids are always more violent than liquid boosters (look at the Ares 1 launch and the lengths they were going to to try and prevent later launches from popping the astronaut's eyes out their heads). And the shuttle was side mounted so sat right in the shockwave with the engines part of the structure, instead of being on top of and away from the main source of vibration.