Grassing up a Covid **** taker.

Grassing up a Covid **** taker.

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Discussion

Phil.

4,879 posts

252 months

Sunday 25th October 2020
quotequote all
Sept 2020 has been the least deadly month for Sweden ever!

No lockdowns, no school closures, no business closures, no masks!

https://sebastianrushworth.com/2020/10/24/how-dead...

Phil.

4,879 posts

252 months

Sunday 25th October 2020
quotequote all
grudas said:
Interesting how hospitalisations have been increasing at crazy rate.. and ventilator bed usage is going crazy too.

Guess it's a bad flu year wink
What does a ‘crazy rate’ mean and which hospitals are referring to?

Lots of crazy there, a bit like your posting on here laugh


Edited by Phil. on Sunday 25th October 22:57

Jasandjules

70,016 posts

231 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
grudas said:
Interesting how hospitalisations have been increasing at crazy rate.. and ventilator bed usage is going crazy too.

Guess it's a bad flu year wink
Well, it is winter. Are you saying the rates exceed normal winter ICU capacity?

otolith

56,743 posts

206 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
NGee said:
otolith said:
The lie that lockdown caused GPs to go to remote consultations, when in fact lockdown was an irresponsible reaction to the problem which then made remote consultations necessary.
FTFY
You may well feel that. Doesn't justify confounding cause and effect and blaming lockdown for the things it was intended to stop.

grudas

1,318 posts

170 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Jasandjules said:
Well, it is winter. Are you saying the rates exceed normal winter ICU capacity?
this is the first winter with COVID in full swing.

so we'll see! I do hope flu bros are right and we get away it and goverment relaxes everything and we can go back to normal pub drinking hours.

but for now all I can track is this:

https://coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk/details/he...

and looking at numbers it is not going great.. would be interesting to see combined flu and covid wink


Killboy

7,614 posts

204 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Phil. said:
Fixed that for you. Doing waaaaaaaaaaay better than Sweden. Let me know if you disagree.

grudas

1,318 posts

170 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Phil. said:
Lots of crazy there, a bit like your posting on here laugh


Edited by Phil. on Sunday 25th October 22:57
ironic Philip!

Killboy

7,614 posts

204 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Phil. said:
Fill your boots but remember to wait until Xmas eve before gloating smile

I think that the average 7 day death figure has risen this week from around 100 to 160 ish. Still relatively low and not increasing at the pandemic rate in March. Looking good for a downturn by the end of the year smile
178 actually.

So, here the numbers, again. As agreed, using https://www.worldometers.info/

From your "prediction" dates to yesterday's data (including the last check-in's data)
New Cases: (7 day moving average)
23 Sept: 4686
15 October: 15973 (240.866% increase)
25 October: 21627 (361.524% increase)

Deaths: (7 day moving average)
23 Sept: 25
15 October: 101 (304% increase)
25 October: 178 (612% increase)

Yikes, nearly doubled in 10 days!

As you seen to like to include graphs trying to hide the corona numbers, here are some graphs that show them.





Sticks.

8,858 posts

253 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Thanks for that.

How does the total and rate of increase of deaths compare to the normal rate of seasonal deaths at this date?



Edited by Sticks. on Monday 26th October 10:22

anonymous-user

56 months

Monday 26th October 2020
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How does the number of cases detected tally with the amount of tests going on? If you're testing more people you'll find more cases, it doesn't necessarily mean things are getting worse but just that you are finding more. Infections could be going down even, but if you're testing vastly more people then the number detected will just keep going up.

Is there any info on how those 2 things correspond?

Phil.

4,879 posts

252 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Here’s an alternative view of the current situation..... Be careful it’s really scary out their at the moment (not)!



https://twitter.com/alistairhaimes/status/13203136...

NGee

2,418 posts

166 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
otolith said:
You may well feel that. Doesn't justify confounding cause and effect and blaming lockdown for the things it was intended to stop.
The lockdown is the cause of the situation we are now in. The effect of this is that millions of people have suffered mental, financial or medical disaster.

grudas

1,318 posts

170 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Phil. said:
Here’s an alternative view of the current situation..... Be careful it’s really scary out their at the moment (not)!



https://twitter.com/alistairhaimes/status/13203136...
it would be nice if it was as simple as dying or not.

the organ damage, the "long covid" that they're learning about etc are all very scary/life changing parts of covid.

sadly I think deaths will soon catch up but I don't know what you'll say then? compare numbers to spanish flu and say "it not as bad as that was so.."

Phil.

4,879 posts

252 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Thank you Killboy you've just proved my point that we are not in a pandemic anymore and what we are seeing now is the much lower and expected seasonal affect of a flu virus. Certainly nothing worthy of lockdowns and other restrictions.

I've added a couple of lines to your graph to highlight what a pandemic looks like in terms of rate of increasing deaths, and to show when its not a pandemic because the increase in deaths is much lower, seasonal in fact. The pandemic has gone, we're in a political casedemic now.


otolith

56,743 posts

206 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
NGee said:
The lockdown is the cause of the situation we are now in. The effect of this is that millions of people have suffered mental, financial or medical disaster.
The lockdown was certainly a significant cause of economic damage, as were the milder social distancing measures that followed, and both directly and indirectly through economic damage there have been impacts on health. Whether they have been worse than the direct and indirect impacts of unmitigated Covid transmission on physical and mental health is the nub of disagreement, as is to what extent the consequences of Covid should have been shared by the community or restricted to individuals.

I do get the impression that people who believe that lockdown has made matters worse also tend to believe that it is an individual rather than a community problem and vice versa, so I think people are letting their politics colour their facts.

Phil.

4,879 posts

252 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
grudas said:
it would be nice if it was as simple as dying or not.

the organ damage, the "long covid" that they're learning about etc are all very scary/life changing parts of covid.

sadly I think deaths will soon catch up but I don't know what you'll say then? compare numbers to spanish flu and say "it not as bad as that was so.."
I'm afraid you are so full of self limiting beliefs about COVID and refusing to open your eyes and ears to the reality that we really aren't ever going to be able to have in informed debate. But I'll set you a challenge, listen to the following podcast over the next few days and then tell me you haven't changed your views in some way. Happy to debate whatever you think of it.

https://delingpole.podbean.com/e/dr-mike-yeadon/


grudas

1,318 posts

170 months

Monday 26th October 2020
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you are literally delusional

Killboy

7,614 posts

204 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Phil. said:
Thank you Killboy you've just proved my point that we are not in a pandemic anymore and what we are seeing now is the much lower and expected seasonal affect of a flu virus. Certainly nothing worthy of lockdowns and other restrictions.

I've added a couple of lines to your graph to highlight what a pandemic looks like in terms of rate of increasing deaths, and to show when its not a pandemic because the increase in deaths is much lower, seasonal in fact. The pandemic has gone, we're in a political casedemic now.

We have another 60 days to go. If the rates continue to climb, we can throw out all the BS you've spouted. wink

Killboy

7,614 posts

204 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Ooooooof. Which country is doing better?

A


or B


Edited by Killboy on Monday 26th October 17:21

Phil.

4,879 posts

252 months

Monday 26th October 2020
quotequote all
Killboy said:
Ooooooof. Which country is doing better?

A


or B
They're on different x-axis scales, A is around half that of B. Therefore if you're asking about total deaths then A is probably lower overall but its difficult to tell.


Edited by Phil. on Monday 26th October 13:02