Climate change - the POLITICAL debate (Vol 7)

Climate change - the POLITICAL debate (Vol 7)

Author
Discussion

turbobloke

104,657 posts

262 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:


Did they just hold out for a day that looked a bit less bad to publish that article? Better than last year but not exactly a rosy picture is it?
Watch out, you'll have people pursuing you for an actual breach of copyright with that image. See PH Rule 16. I won't be reporting you, others might.

As to the juvenile argumentative post content involving a leading question expecting something to be said on behalf of a third party (ask the secondary source) where is established causality to humans established objectively, beyond the mere opinion of political appointees?

Nowhere at the present but do tell when you have found it.

hairykrishna

13,234 posts

205 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Report away anyone who feels the need. I believe it's an open access image.

I don't think I'll bother contacting your secondary source. They already know it's carefully curated propaganda without me telling them.

Causality is fairly straightforward. The observed increase in the earths temperature, in line with theoretical predictions, due to the large scale release of greenhouse gases by humans. I thought you would have heard about this by now.

turbobloke

104,657 posts

262 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
You haven't read my post, nor have you any clue as to where to find objectively and unambiguously established causality to humans beyond the mere opinion of political appointees - not surprising, it doesn't exist. You have nothing and it shows.

Diderot

7,500 posts

194 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
Report away anyone who feels the need. I believe it's an open access image.

I don't think I'll bother contacting your secondary source. They already know it's carefully curated propaganda without me telling them.

Causality is fairly straightforward. The observed increase in the earths temperature, in line with theoretical predictions, due to the large scale release of greenhouse gases by humans. I thought you would have heard about this by now.
Sounds like you’re suggesting there’s no natural variation involved in changes of climate.

mike9009

7,104 posts

245 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
mike9009 said:
turbobloke said:
mike9009 said:
turbobloke said:
Against alarmist agw predictions, Antarctic sea ice extent is now higher (3,165,625 km²) than it was 27 years ago (3,075,000 km²) and is also higher than it was in 2023 / 2022 / 2019 / 2018 / 2017 / 2011 / 2006 / 1993 / 1992 / 1991 / 1981 (source NSIDC, no images or graphics in view of Rule 16).

Good job UK doesn't use models for policymaking nuts
https://notrickszone.com/2024/03/19/though-europe-was-mild-winters-been-a-beast-over-much-of-northern-hemisphere/

I think your quote is from this link and not NSIDC.

Here is what NSIDC state

https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2024/02/

I would check your information sources. They seem a little unreliable unless you can provide the links to your dataset....
You need to post a link to NSIDC data for 10 or 09 March as - by your own post - your earlier link is out of date. My post wasn't referring to Feb data. NSIDC is the primary source, you'll be aware of the difference between primary and secondaey sources? Possibly not.

You chose Feb to align with your preferred information. Since then significant changes have occurred in temperature and ice extent.
Càre to post a link to NSIDC which is the claimed source of your statement.
NSIDC is the primary source of data and as you're keen to link to their site, over to you. Demonstrate that the current position is <not> as per my post.

Your wish to shoot the messenger(s) as unreliable in yet another ad hom fallacy isn't getting any help from me. Try learning the difference between primary and seondary sources, and the current status of copyright law, and you might be more reliable yourself.

Show that the data for March contradict what was posted if you think it's wrong. Otherwise you're adding nothing but yada which is just another nothingburger.
Thank you for at last revealing the true source.

Your post (and 'research' from Eike) is either extremely naive or downright misleading. I don't think Donald Trump would defend that analysis.

If you cannot see that, you need to have a play with the raw data.

https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-intera...



turbobloke

104,657 posts

262 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Diderot said:
hairykrishna said:
Report away anyone who feels the need. I believe it's an open access image.

I don't think I'll bother contacting your secondary source. They already know it's carefully curated propaganda without me telling them.

Causality is fairly straightforward. The observed increase in the earths temperature, in line with theoretical predictions, due to the large scale release of greenhouse gases by humans. I thought you would have heard about this by now.
Sounds like you’re suggesting there’s no natural variation involved in changes of climate.
HK hasn't been keeping up at the back...two papers using data, one 2023 one 2024, show that TOA radiative imbalance in recent decades involves SW radiation (solar) not the basis used in climate models, the other uses LW radiative data over the past 100 years and shows that the significant increase in CO2 over that time interval has had no discernible effect on the so-called greenhouse effect.

There's no objective basis for humans to be held as causal in climate change, it's merely subjective opinion on the part of political appointees contrary to data - simply not credible. Both papers are / were in this thread recently.

hairykrishna

13,234 posts

205 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Diderot said:
Sounds like you’re suggesting there’s no natural variation involved in changes of climate.
What are the drivers for natural variation? Can you think of any of them we might be affecting?

hairykrishna

13,234 posts

205 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Diderot said:
The discussion is around Antarctic sea ice extent. Have you been on the vino?
There's a button on that page to switch between the two.

turbobloke

104,657 posts

262 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
Diderot said:
The discussion is around Antarctic sea ice extent. Have you been on the vino?
There's a button on that page to switch between the two.
Feeble, no change there.

hairykrishna

13,234 posts

205 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Feeble, no change there.
That's a bit rude about Diderot.

The linked page has both data sets.

mike9009

7,104 posts

245 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
turbobloke said:
Feeble, no change there.
That's a bit rude about Diderot.

The linked page has both data sets.
They haven't looked at the data for themselves yet. Prefer to be led by an agenda....

turbobloke

104,657 posts

262 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Where's the objectively established causality to humans in any ice data? Nothing beyond subjective mere opinion form political appointees is available.
SW and LW data show no human effect (emissions) is discernible on the so-called greenhouse effect from CO2 over many decades /TOA data is accounted for without belief systems. You still have nothing and it still shows.

Diderot

7,500 posts

194 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
hairykrishna said:
Diderot said:
Sounds like you’re suggesting there’s no natural variation involved in changes of climate.
What are the drivers for natural variation? Can you think of any of them we might be affecting?
Well, we are not affecting the sun, or geothermal activity, or ENSO, or AMO, PDO, Milankovich cycles, other potential. gravitational influences on orbit are we? Do you think fossil fuel use caused the recent Tonga eruption?


turbobloke

104,657 posts

262 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
LULC/UHIE within the Adjustocene. Also substitution of airport and other non-tax-gas-related temps for remote rural/altitude temps, plus in policy terms false assumptions and tuned paramaterisations in inadequate models. That's it.

As Christy and Curry and Hulme, and others using data not dogma have indicated, there is no climate crisis (see e.g. 'noble lie').

Political policy is nonsensical and unaffordable based on available data as opposed to the opinion of politicians and political appointees / extremist activists seeking societal change using a convenient false alarm.

Edited by turbobloke on Wednesday 20th March 22:30


Edited by turbobloke on Wednesday 20th March 22:31

mike9009

7,104 posts

245 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Where's the objectively established causality to humans in any ice data? Nothing beyond subjective mere opinion form political appointees is available.
SW and LW data show no human effect (emissions) is discernible on the so-called greenhouse effect from CO2 over many decades /TOA data is accounted for without belief systems. You still have nothing and it still shows.
Stop moving goalposts. We can save that for another day when we discuss the current climatic cooling predicted.

The Eike 'research' is naive and completely misleading in its political ambitions about the weather. It has absolutely nothing to do with climate. Do you agree or disagree?

mike9009

7,104 posts

245 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
LULC/UHIE within the Adjustocene. Also substitution of airport and other non-tax-gas-related temps for remote rural/altitude temps, plus in policy terms false assumptions and tuned paramaterisations in inadequate models. That's it.

As Christy and Curry and Hulme, and others using data not dogma have indicated, there is no climate crisis (see e.g. 'noble lie').

Political policy is nonsensical and unaffordable based on available data as opposed to the opinion of politicians and political appointees / extremist activists seeking societal change using a convenient false alarm.

Edited by turbobloke on Wednesday 20th March 22:30


Edited by turbobloke on Wednesday 20th March 22:31
I would hope their (Curry, Hulme et Al) research stands up to better scrutiny than Eike. However, recent posts about the Antarctic sea ice completely undermine the political agenda being spouted. It is not convincing by its misleading interpretation.

I will not stop until the previous subject is closed despite the continual attempts to change the subject. Great decoy tactics.

It been a bit wet recently though hasn't it......

I will make a prediction tomorrow.....

mike9009

7,104 posts

245 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Squirrel.

Diderot

7,500 posts

194 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
mike9009 said:
turbobloke said:
LULC/UHIE within the Adjustocene. Also substitution of airport and other non-tax-gas-related temps for remote rural/altitude temps, plus in policy terms false assumptions and tuned paramaterisations in inadequate models. That's it.

As Christy and Curry and Hulme, and others using data not dogma have indicated, there is no climate crisis (see e.g. 'noble lie').

Political policy is nonsensical and unaffordable based on available data as opposed to the opinion of politicians and political appointees / extremist activists seeking societal change using a convenient false alarm.

Edited by turbobloke on Wednesday 20th March 22:30


Edited by turbobloke on Wednesday 20th March 22:31
I would hope their (Curry, Hulme et Al) research stands up to better scrutiny than Eike. However, recent posts about the Antarctic sea ice completely undermine the political agenda being spouted. It is not convincing by its misleading interpretation.

I will not stop until the previous subject is closed despite the continual attempts to change the subject. Great decoy tactics.

It been a bit wet recently though hasn't it......

I will make a prediction tomorrow.....
It was nice out today Mike. 16 degrees here according to my weather station on the South Coast and sunny. I was sitting on the beach a few mins walk from the house in a shirt enjoying the warmth from the Sun eating a cheese sandwich and simultaneously bemoaning that it looks like we’re in for a potential frost and cool temps on Saturday.



mike9009

7,104 posts

245 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
Squirrel.

Diderot

7,500 posts

194 months

Wednesday 20th March
quotequote all
mike9009 said:
Squirrel.
You feeling ok Mike?