How do we think EU negotiations will go?

How do we think EU negotiations will go?

TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED
Author
Discussion

curlie467

7,650 posts

202 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
He may be spending time on the Irish border because it matters to Eire. It also matters for N Ireland but he is not there to represent the UK.

The EU has offered a solution, that NI remains in the SM and CU and the hard border is at the sea. This is not acceptable to the UK.

If the UK will not accept that solution there is no acceptable solutions.

The UK wants to leave the EU and the SM and CU, but not have a hard border for goods in Ireland. This is not possible. So Barnier has suggested the UK should solve the problem since we are creating it.
Barnier just talks a lot, he's part of the negotiation problem, not solutions.
Negotiations are negotiations, it's all very childish and getting no one nowhere.
Surely it's in everyone's best interests to put this to bed (if it truly ever will be)

hyphen

26,262 posts

91 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
To change the subject from boring practicalities such as the NI Border, a question.

In the event of a hard Brexit, do you think the UK could setup its own EU-lite? Steal some members from the EU.

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
hyphen said:
To change the subject from boring practicalities such as the NI Border, a question.

In the event of a hard Brexit, do you think the UK could setup its own EU-lite? Steal some members from the EU.
It would need countries to leave the EU first for us to be able to do anything outside any EU FTA we negotiate. We cant steal anyone, they have to chose to leave. That looks unlikely.

If the EU implodes then there would be an opportunity to set up a trading body, but after the experience of the EU it would have to be very limited on what it did and had no political union ambition.

Mrr T

12,350 posts

266 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
digimeistter said:
Mrr T said:
He may be spending time on the Irish border because it matters to Eire. It also matters for N Ireland but he is not there to represent the UK.

The EU has offered a solution, that NI remains in the SM and CU and the hard border is at the sea. This is not acceptable to the UK.

If the UK will not accept that solution there is no acceptable solutions.

The UK wants to leave the EU and the SM and CU, but not have a hard border for goods in Ireland. This is not possible. So Barnier has suggested the UK should solve the problem since we are creating it.
He represents an EU member state who has to abide by their regulations, ergo they should advise.

How can anyone resolve it when they flatly refuse to talk about trade until we pay a ransom? Until we get down to the nitty gritty, we can't resolve the Irish issue.




Edited by digimeistter on Monday 20th November 15:58
So are you suggesting after 40 years on membership the UK government does not understand EU rules. Actually your right the UK government has no idea of EU rules.

A FTA would still require a border so there are no solutions.

Perhaps a better comprise would be for the UK to learn the rules then offer an acceptable solution.

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
digimeistter said:
Mrr T said:
He may be spending time on the Irish border because it matters to Eire. It also matters for N Ireland but he is not there to represent the UK.

The EU has offered a solution, that NI remains in the SM and CU and the hard border is at the sea. This is not acceptable to the UK.

If the UK will not accept that solution there is no acceptable solutions.

The UK wants to leave the EU and the SM and CU, but not have a hard border for goods in Ireland. This is not possible. So Barnier has suggested the UK should solve the problem since we are creating it.
He represents an EU member state who has to abide by their regulations, ergo they should advise.

How can anyone resolve it when they flatly refuse to talk about trade until we pay a ransom? Until we get down to the nitty gritty, we can't resolve the Irish issue.




Edited by digimeistter on Monday 20th November 15:58
So are you suggesting after 40 years on membership the UK government does not understand EU rules. Actually your right the UK government has no idea of EU rules.

A FTA would still require a border so there are no solutions.

Perhaps a better comprise would be for the UK to learn the rules then offer an acceptable solution.
What does the EU mean by its statement that it will need flexible and imaginative solutions. If you think its only the UK side that needs to match that criteria then this is going nowhere.

Mrr T

12,350 posts

266 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
jsf said:
Mrr T said:
digimeistter said:
Mrr T said:
He may be spending time on the Irish border because it matters to Eire. It also matters for N Ireland but he is not there to represent the UK.

The EU has offered a solution, that NI remains in the SM and CU and the hard border is at the sea. This is not acceptable to the UK.

If the UK will not accept that solution there is no acceptable solutions.

The UK wants to leave the EU and the SM and CU, but not have a hard border for goods in Ireland. This is not possible. So Barnier has suggested the UK should solve the problem since we are creating it.
He represents an EU member state who has to abide by their regulations, ergo they should advise.

How can anyone resolve it when they flatly refuse to talk about trade until we pay a ransom? Until we get down to the nitty gritty, we can't resolve the Irish issue.




Edited by digimeistter on Monday 20th November 15:58
So are you suggesting after 40 years on membership the UK government does not understand EU rules. Actually your right the UK government has no idea of EU rules.

A FTA would still require a border so there are no solutions.

Perhaps a better comprise would be for the UK to learn the rules then offer an acceptable solution.
What does the EU mean by its statement that it will need flexible and imaginative solutions. If you think its only the UK side that needs to match that criteria then this is going nowhere.
I suspect it means we have no idea how to make it work you caused the problem you (UK) think of something.

mx5nut

5,404 posts

83 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
digimeistter said:
On Barnier, I love the way he spent more time on the Irish issue than anything else
...
You can bet your bottom dollar if it was any other Country with a direct European land border wanting to leave, The EU would be dictating a hard border on their terms.
It doesn't quite fit the Brexit narrative that the EU are not demanding the sovereign nation of Ireland to act in a certain way, and are putting the ongoing interests of a member state as a higher priority in negotiations than signing a trade deal with a soon to be ex-member.

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
jsf said:
Mrr T said:
digimeistter said:
Mrr T said:
He may be spending time on the Irish border because it matters to Eire. It also matters for N Ireland but he is not there to represent the UK.

The EU has offered a solution, that NI remains in the SM and CU and the hard border is at the sea. This is not acceptable to the UK.

If the UK will not accept that solution there is no acceptable solutions.

The UK wants to leave the EU and the SM and CU, but not have a hard border for goods in Ireland. This is not possible. So Barnier has suggested the UK should solve the problem since we are creating it.
He represents an EU member state who has to abide by their regulations, ergo they should advise.

How can anyone resolve it when they flatly refuse to talk about trade until we pay a ransom? Until we get down to the nitty gritty, we can't resolve the Irish issue.




Edited by digimeistter on Monday 20th November 15:58
So are you suggesting after 40 years on membership the UK government does not understand EU rules. Actually your right the UK government has no idea of EU rules.

A FTA would still require a border so there are no solutions.

Perhaps a better comprise would be for the UK to learn the rules then offer an acceptable solution.
What does the EU mean by its statement that it will need flexible and imaginative solutions. If you think its only the UK side that needs to match that criteria then this is going nowhere.
I suspect it means we have no idea how to make it work you caused the problem you (UK) think of something.
If the UK "thinks of something" do you expect the EU will be flexible and imaginative and agree to that "something"?

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
mx5nut said:
It doesn't quite fit the Brexit narrative that the EU are not demanding the sovereign nation of Ireland to act in a certain way, and are putting the ongoing interests of a member state as a higher priority in negotiations than signing a trade deal with a soon to be ex-member.
Well that makes no sense at all, talk trade, then and only then will we be able to ascertain border implications, so the EU need to tell us, forget the Sovereign state crap, no Country in the EU is a sovereign nation anymore - do you have trouble reading?

Eddie Strohacker

3,879 posts

87 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
digimeistter said:
mx5nut said:
It doesn't quite fit the Brexit narrative that the EU are not demanding the sovereign nation of Ireland to act in a certain way, and are putting the ongoing interests of a member state as a higher priority in negotiations than signing a trade deal with a soon to be ex-member.
Well that makes no sense at all, talk trade, then and only then will we be able to ascertain border implications, so the EU need to tell us, forget the Sovereign state crap, no Country in the EU is a sovereign nation anymore - do you have trouble reading?
I wonder how cross you'll be when the penny finally drops on exactly where the power & control dynamic lies in all this.

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:
I wonder how cross you'll be when the penny finally drops on exactly where the power & control dynamic lies in all this.
With the money, where else? oh wise one wink

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
After the financial crisis, we printed 300 billion plus to bail out the banking system didn’t we?
If this is correct, why not print off say 100 billion to grease the EU deal?
Surely Brexit is a far bigger ‘problem’ than faced before, so small change !

paul789

3,713 posts

105 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Jimboka said:
After the financial crisis, we printed 300 billion plus to bail out the banking system didn’t we?
If this is correct, why not print off say 100 billion to grease the EU deal?
Surely Brexit is a far bigger ‘problem’ than faced before, so small change !
Simple. End of.

Tuna

19,930 posts

285 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Interesting piece on Order-Order with regards to passporting, essentially saying it's not seen as a priority outside of Remain reporters like the Independent and Standard:

https://order-order.com/2017/11/20/city-moved-on-p...

Guido said:
the International Regulatory Strategy Group, which is co-sponsored by TheCityUK and The City of London Corporation, published a report on “Alternatives to Passporting” and concluded “the focus of the Brexit negotiations should be on designing and delivering a bespoke UK-EU deal rather than reforming or adapting existing frameworks“

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
paul789 said:
Jimboka said:
After the financial crisis, we printed 300 billion plus to bail out the banking system didn’t we?
If this is correct, why not print off say 100 billion to grease the EU deal?
Surely Brexit is a far bigger ‘problem’ than faced before, so small change !
Simple. End of.
hehe

maffski

1,868 posts

160 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
He may be spending time on the Irish border because it matters to Eire. It also matters for N Ireland but he is not there to represent the UK.

The EU has offered a solution, that NI remains in the SM and CU and the hard border is at the sea. This is not acceptable to the UK.

If the UK will not accept that solution there is no acceptable solutions.

The UK wants to leave the EU and the SM and CU, but not have a hard border for goods in Ireland. This is not possible. So Barnier has suggested the UK should solve the problem since we are creating it.
Except it was never a real offer - if the border was placed at the NI ports both sides would be under UK control and could be as porous as we desired. We could have turned NI into a free trade zone bridging the EU and UK, which would have been rather good for NI and the Republic but probably not the EU intention.


anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
digimeistter said:
paul789 said:
Jimboka said:
After the financial crisis, we printed 300 billion plus to bail out the banking system didn’t we?
If this is correct, why not print off say 100 billion to grease the EU deal?
Surely Brexit is a far bigger ‘problem’ than faced before, so small change !
Simple. End of.
hehe
That was easy - fire up the presses smile

Sway

26,443 posts

195 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
Tuna said:
Interesting piece on Order-Order with regards to passporting, essentially saying it's not seen as a priority outside of Remain reporters like the Independent and Standard:

https://order-order.com/2017/11/20/city-moved-on-p...

Guido said:
the International Regulatory Strategy Group, which is co-sponsored by TheCityUK and The City of London Corporation, published a report on “Alternatives to Passporting” and concluded “the focus of the Brexit negotiations should be on designing and delivering a bespoke UK-EU deal rather than reforming or adapting existing frameworks“
Indeed. Hence my mention earlier of 'enhanced equivalence' as an option.

For all of MrrrT's assertions that everyone will have their euro subsidiaries setup and ready to go in a year's time (or even three years), it's just not feasible.

Ignoring the challenges of capitalising those new organisations to meet the regs without impacting the barely held capital requirements we put in place post 08 (and opened the printing presses for) - just look at RBS. Required to divest it's English business neatly a decade ago, and still nowhere near actually achieving it...

Ridgemont

6,621 posts

132 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
jsf said:
hyphen said:
To change the subject from boring practicalities such as the NI Border, a question.

In the event of a hard Brexit, do you think the UK could setup its own EU-lite? Steal some members from the EU.
It would need countries to leave the EU first for us to be able to do anything outside any EU FTA we negotiate. We cant steal anyone, they have to chose to leave. That looks unlikely.

If the EU implodes then there would be an opportunity to set up a trading body, but after the experience of the EU it would have to be very limited on what it did and had no political union ambition.
An interesting long term objective of Flexit was for Britain essentially to hijack EFTA to provide a trade focussed alternative centre of gravity for the EEA.

mx5nut

5,404 posts

83 months

Monday 20th November 2017
quotequote all
digimeistter said:
mx5nut said:
It doesn't quite fit the Brexit narrative that the EU are not demanding the sovereign nation of Ireland to act in a certain way, and are putting the ongoing interests of a member state as a higher priority in negotiations than signing a trade deal with a soon to be ex-member.
Well that makes no sense at all, talk trade, then and only then will we be able to ascertain border implications, so the EU need to tell us, forget the Sovereign state crap, no Country in the EU is a sovereign nation anymore - do you have trouble reading?
I can read the British government's whitepaper on Brexit which states very clearly that parliament remained sovereign throughout our membership of the EU. Can you read beyond Daily Mail headlines?
TOPIC CLOSED
TOPIC CLOSED