Brexit - was it worth it? (Vol. 4)

Brexit - was it worth it? (Vol. 4)

Author
Discussion

Blue62

9,026 posts

154 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Mortarboard said:
Citation needed

Doubly so, as part of the brexit deal had to be amended to allow NI to source meds from ROI, due to the difficulties obtaining them in GB....

M.
Seems strange, but bear in mind that poor old VS likes to cite Guido so presumably gets a deal of his objective data from the lovable Mr Staines. Just like the complete lie he posted about Rayner, lifted straight from Guido, pity he didn’t pop back once the error of his ways was pointed out to him, so don't hold your breath.

blueg33

36,513 posts

226 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Vanden Saab said:
Ah ha.
Likely is doing a lot of heavy lifting
Smoother product flow, you know the EU has had to take steps to prevent EU countries stockpiling?
Removing the UK from supply chains bearing in mind the supply problems it has hit Ireland harder and they are in the EU.
It does not say how much later but as it was only for 2023 probably days or weeks and no comment on medicines approved in the UK but not in the EU. Which is strange don't you think.
Not sure what social care workers have to do with medicines but may be you do
Lagging behind but no figures as to how much. A few days would be irrelevant.
All in all I guess Nuffields 'brexit lead' has to stay relevant somehow.
Likely is not a get out of jail free card for Brexit

732NM

5,098 posts

17 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
I live jn Cambridgeshire, Cambridge and the surrounding area is booming with life sciences investment.

Vanden Saab

14,293 posts

76 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Mortarboard said:
Vanden Saab said:
Removing the UK from supply chains bearing in mind the supply problems it has hit Ireland harder and they are in the EU.
Citation needed

Doubly so, as part of the brexit deal had to be amended to allow NI to source meds from ROI, due to the difficulties obtaining them in GB....

M.
The figures are out there just Google medicine shortages uk then replace uk with Ireland.
Over 300 in Ireland compared to 111 at its highest in the uk.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2024/0427/1446045-medicine...
The main problem in the UK seems to be that prices are generally lower here which means companies will favour places where they can get more money if they are short.
This is clearly see by the number of times the agency has to ok an emergency increase in pricing

Mortarboard

6,055 posts

57 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Vanden Saab said:
The figures are out there just Google medicine shortages uk then replace uk with Ireland.
Over 300 in Ireland compared to 111 at its highest in the uk.
So, "I googled something that may or may not be relevant to my claim" then.

Rightio

M.

blueg33

36,513 posts

226 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
732NM said:
I live jn Cambridgeshire, Cambridge and the surrounding area is booming with life sciences investment.
Great. I live in a house in the Cotswolds therefore everyone else does.

You are not making a relevant point. It’s about comparative of investment and production and supply chains.

Deesee

8,500 posts

85 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
732NM said:
I live jn Cambridgeshire, Cambridge and the surrounding area is booming with life sciences investment.
Billions and Billions...per annum, more than the UK's former annual GNI EU bill... was per annum.. UK attracting and retaining investment, shudder..

Mortarboard

6,055 posts

57 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Deesee said:
Billions and Billions...per annum, more than the UK's former annual GNI EU bill... was per annum.. UK attracting and retaining investment, shudder..
Every year has been lower than 2016, and was even negative in 2018.

https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countri...

M.

Deesee

8,500 posts

85 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Mortarboard said:
Deesee said:
Billions and Billions...per annum, more than the UK's former annual GNI EU bill... was per annum.. UK attracting and retaining investment, shudder..
Every year has been lower than 2016, and was even negative in 2018.

https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countri...

M.
In "Cambridge" as per my reply...

Mortarboard

6,055 posts

57 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Your reply didn't specify.

Good to know Cambridge is a net brexit winner then!
thumbup

Is the investment due to the large numbers of smart immigrants there? Enquiring minds need to know...

M.

Deesee

8,500 posts

85 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
Deesee said:
Mrr T said:
Deesee said:
Largest trading partner is the United States at 310b Germany is the next at 160b, there’s no ‘new’ friction there for the USA, goods of European Origin/UK Origin are tariff free between UK and EU.

We also maintain a large trading surplus with our largest trading partner (& are also are largest investor & for Us the country where we send the most investment) and have entered into talks with the individual states to promote free trade with individual states ie Texas, the Texan economy is around the size of Italys so would stand as a top 10 GNI ranked ‘economy’ by its self, it’s quite the win especially with our expertise in O&G, wind and space technology.
I used the word partner not country because in trade terms the EU is a single market. Obviously there is no new friction on trade with the US but there is with the EU.

As for the partner agreements with individual states other than a trip for the TS they have no value.
I used partner too, largest aggregated over import/export is USA, not EU factor in investment UK to USA and USA to UK and this is substantially higher. This is on WTO terms.

Anyway, I believe it’s 5 more states then it goes to congress..

& we don’t deal with the EU anymore, we deal with individual countries that may be have EC oversight and are bound by their regulations within the EU-UK trade agreement.

& remember UK exports have grown well to the EU and faster to the rest of the world since the Brexit vote.
You seem to be struggling with some numbers.

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uk-trade-...

UK exports
US 21.9%
EU/EEA 38.7%

UK imports
US 13.5%
EU/EEA 48.9%

All trade is on WTO terms. In addition, while there is no FTA with the US there are other treaty covering trade including a mutual recognition in some products.

It does not matter if the state agreements to Congress. Trade agreements are a federal matter.

What do we deal with individual sT countries on? Trade matters? Absolutely rubbish. Trade agreements are a EU competency.
Not quite, we don't deal with the single market, we deal with companies and countries within it, but not the EU. The vast majority of UK/EU trade is UK>GER UK > NETH and reversed. The company based in the 'EU' has to deal with the diktat from the EC.

All 'trade' is certainly not dealt with WTO terms, the UK has various fledgling trade agreements following withdrawal from the single market. Very early doors following the 'frankly' elongated and for both sides non commercial brexit 'deal'.

Im not of the opinion that the UK needs a FTA with the USA, enhanced trade yes/adjusted tariffs almost certainly, also id be happy if the EC gave the EU the ability to trade with the UK and return to previous terms enjoyed pre Maastricht (even if we moved to freedom of movement to the EEC 12 ..at a push..).. even if we paid a few quid, but, lol, that not going to happen.






Mr Dendrite

2,328 posts

212 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
732NM said:
I live jn Cambridgeshire, Cambridge and the surrounding area is booming with life sciences investment.
And every life science company is struggling with the same issues. Employing highly qualified people they need from Europe, exporting goods to Europe with the increased bureaucracy, and working with their European partners because their UK employees are restricted to the number days they can now work in Europe.
Guess where I live and what industry I’m in wink

Deesee

8,500 posts

85 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Mortarboard said:
Your reply didn't specify.

Good to know Cambridge is a net brexit winner then!
thumbup

Is the investment due to the large numbers of smart immigrants there? Enquiring minds need to know...

M.
It was a quoted reply..

South East is always a winner Brexit/no Brexit, easy reply to be honest, however IMO, levelling up needs to actually happen in the NE/NW/NI/Wales (SW too), there are some major projects going forwards but not enough, will be a very easy win for the next government for the populous in these regions to direct investment and jobs (as well as infrastructure), business and supply chains.

The UK does somethings very well, others not so much, in this case we are world leaders by attracting the highest investments, and the best talent... hope that helps..

Mortarboard

6,055 posts

57 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
Not sure net outflow is "world leading", but hey ho...

M.

272BHP

5,247 posts

238 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
To all the remainers on here, are you sure you want to rejoin?

https://unherd.com/2024/05/the-eu-is-turning-into-...

Mortarboard

6,055 posts

57 months

Thursday 9th May
quotequote all
272BHP said:
To all the remainers on here, are you sure you want to rejoin?

https://unherd.com/2024/05/the-eu-is-turning-into-...
Why do you think remainers want to rejoin?

Serious question.

M.

732NM

5,098 posts

17 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
blueg33 said:
Great. I live in a house in the Cotswolds therefore everyone else does.

You are not making a relevant point. It’s about comparative of investment and production and supply chains.
It's completely relevant. UK and my area in particular is attracting massive investment and creating a world beating science hub.

272BHP

5,247 posts

238 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
Mortarboard said:
Why do you think remainers want to rejoin?

Serious question.

M.
Do the majority of the pro EU group not want to rejoin?

That is not the impression I get reading this thread.

Mrr T

12,423 posts

267 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
Deesee said:
Mrr T said:
Deesee said:
Mrr T said:
Deesee said:
Largest trading partner is the United States at 310b Germany is the next at 160b, there’s no ‘new’ friction there for the USA, goods of European Origin/UK Origin are tariff free between UK and EU.

We also maintain a large trading surplus with our largest trading partner (& are also are largest investor & for Us the country where we send the most investment) and have entered into talks with the individual states to promote free trade with individual states ie Texas, the Texan economy is around the size of Italys so would stand as a top 10 GNI ranked ‘economy’ by its self, it’s quite the win especially with our expertise in O&G, wind and space technology.
I used the word partner not country because in trade terms the EU is a single market. Obviously there is no new friction on trade with the US but there is with the EU.

As for the partner agreements with individual states other than a trip for the TS they have no value.
I used partner too, largest aggregated over import/export is USA, not EU factor in investment UK to USA and USA to UK and this is substantially higher. This is on WTO terms.

Anyway, I believe it’s 5 more states then it goes to congress..

& we don’t deal with the EU anymore, we deal with individual countries that may be have EC oversight and are bound by their regulations within the EU-UK trade agreement.

& remember UK exports have grown well to the EU and faster to the rest of the world since the Brexit vote.
You seem to be struggling with some numbers.

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/uk-trade-...

UK exports
US 21.9%
EU/EEA 38.7%

UK imports
US 13.5%
EU/EEA 48.9%

All trade is on WTO terms. In addition, while there is no FTA with the US there are other treaty covering trade including a mutual recognition in some products.

It does not matter if the state agreements to Congress. Trade agreements are a federal matter.

What do we deal with individual sT countries on? Trade matters? Absolutely rubbish. Trade agreements are a EU competency.
Not quite, we don't deal with the single market, we deal with companies and countries within it, but not the EU. The vast majority of UK/EU trade is UK>GER UK > NETH and reversed. The company based in the 'EU' has to deal with the diktat from the EC.

All 'trade' is certainly not dealt with WTO terms, the UK has various fledgling trade agreements following withdrawal from the single market. Very early doors following the 'frankly' elongated and for both sides non commercial brexit 'deal'.

Im not of the opinion that the UK needs a FTA with the USA, enhanced trade yes/adjusted tariffs almost certainly, also id be happy if the EC gave the EU the ability to trade with the UK and return to previous terms enjoyed pre Maastricht (even if we moved to freedom of movement to the EEC 12 ..at a push..).. even if we paid a few quid, but, lol, that not going to happen.
You do make pointless statements. Of cause a company deals with the others in member states. However, in the SM all states have the same rules and checks/paperwork are made at point of entry which may or may not be the destination. So exporting to the EU/EEA is the same no matter the destination country. Before brexit no checks/paperwork now checks/paperwork were costs and time.

All trade is on WTO terms because the WTO specifically allows for agreements to alter its base terms.

No agreement which limited FOML is certain countries would ever be agreed with the EU because it would never be ratified by all member states.

blueg33

36,513 posts

226 months

Friday 10th May
quotequote all
732NM said:
blueg33 said:
Great. I live in a house in the Cotswolds therefore everyone else does.

You are not making a relevant point. It’s about comparative of investment and production and supply chains.
It's completely relevant. UK and my area in particular is attracting massive investment and creating a world beating science hub.
No because you ignore the issue raised. The problem is supply chains, they cross borders regardless of where the HQ and innovation centres are. The report is about drug shortages caused by supply chain failures exacerbated and made harder to fix by Brexit.

If your argument held any water, then Nuffield wouldn't be reporting the problems, they would be saying "woohoo, no drug shortages, we produce all we need in the UK using UK sourced raw materials"