The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

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Discussion

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Sunday 14th January 2018
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Twelve gears of reverse, armoured by activists, weoponised by blame-gun.

Use - Nil.

V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

134 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
All this storm in a tea cup... just about 25% of the Grid is being fed from wind at the mo.
That's because it's a bit windy Paddy. What happens when there isn't much wind?

rolando

2,194 posts

157 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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V8 Fettler said:
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
All this storm in a tea cup... just about 25% of the Grid is being fed from wind at the mo.
That's because it's a bit windy Paddy. What happens when there isn't much wind?
Is that a hint that you're asking for the solution to intermittency, again. Sorry V8, you're wasting your time asking Paddy n-p. He hasn't a clue wink

PRTVR

7,148 posts

223 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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V8 Fettler said:
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
All this storm in a tea cup... just about 25% of the Grid is being fed from wind at the mo.
That's because it's a bit windy Paddy. What happens when there isn't much wind?
And who is paying for the real power stations that are sat waiting for the wind to drop ?

PRTVR

7,148 posts

223 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
We have talked about intermittency, about frequency balancing and battery storage lots here already.
'Insiders' say it is all manageable with the grid in place. Others say that as more wind is installed in further offshore locations the intermittency will become less of an issue. Others have shown reports of the Battery storage deployed and working (rather than depleting in 0.3 os a second).

In other words - its not as big an issue as you love to make out.


Wind only pushing 18% now
All the things you talk about cost money, also there in the future if they happen at all, all the costs along with backup need costing into wind generated electricity, to give a true cost of wind generated electricity.

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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rolando said:
Is that a hint that you're asking for the solution to intermittency, again. Sorry V8, you're wasting your time asking Paddy n-p. He hasn't a clue wink
Savvy enough to know the way to the trough though - deceitful enough to keep snout in swill.

PRTVR

7,148 posts

223 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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My point is not about the cost of wind turbine generated electricity, but the total cost to make it work, nobody is arguing that cost will come down but cost for backup will go up, the more turbines you have the more the need for backup, be it batteries or whatever.

Toltec

7,166 posts

225 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
You were saying about prices, storage and alike :

"In a new report from Xcel Energy, the company reported unprecedented low bids for wind and solar with storage. Last year, Xcel announced it would close 660 MW worth of coal-fired power capacity at Comanche Generating Station. Xcel subsidiary Public Service Company issue a request for proposals for wind, solar, natural gas, and storage.

Wind alone was bid at an astonishingly low median price of $18.10/MWh, smashing previous records. A total of 17,380 MW of wind capacity was bid with this as the median price.

The big surprise, however, was the very low bid for wind and solar plus storage. Wind and solar plus battery storage had seven bids for a total of 4,048 MWh at a median bid of $30.60. The energy storage projects ranged from 4 to 10 hours in duration."

https://cleantechnica.com/2018/01/11/wind-solar-st...
Presumably the 4 - 10 hours storage is so that it can supply the rated 4,048 MW (the 'h' is a typo?) output 24/7?

PRTVR

7,148 posts

223 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Why will the cost for backup go ‘up’ - see the post above

Why will more backup be required with more Turbines.

More Turbines in different locations prevents the scenarios currently where Turbines are clustered regionally (South East Coast)

How does you reasoning work?
So the north east has no turbines ? The problem could end up as overproduction and paying to not produce electricity, you only solve the problem if you have massive overcapacity, we presently have turbines from Scotland down to the south coast, yet when a high pressure sits over the UK I have seen wind generation down to 0.4 GW , will more turbines create more problems than they solve.

turbobloke

104,344 posts

262 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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PRTVR said:
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Why will the cost for backup go ‘up’ - see the post above

Why will more backup be required with more Turbines.

More Turbines in different locations prevents the scenarios currently where Turbines are clustered regionally (South East Coast)

How does you reasoning work?
So the north east has no turbines ? The problem could end up as overproduction and paying to not produce electricity, you only solve the problem if you have massive overcapacity, we presently have turbines from Scotland down to the south coast, yet when a high pressure sits over the UK I have seen wind generation down to 0.4 GW , will more turbines create more problems than they solve.
In the madness of a decarbonising/decarbonised context, oh yes.

Remember this? Top Greener than Green Google Engineers and Scientists say Renewable Energy ‘Simply Won’t Work’ ... and remember that these were committed believers deploying their faith as well as their academic credentials in order to solve the "problem" of non-existent manmadeup global warming via unreliables.

Commentary posted n times around the failure spelt out by Google RElessthanC said:
The energy cost of manufacturing the components of the renewable power facilities is far too close to the total recoverable energy – the facilities never, or just barely, produce enough energy to balance the budget of what was consumed in their construction. This leads to a runaway cycle of constructing more and more renewable plants simply to produce the energy required to manufacture and maintain renewable energy plants – an obvious practical absurdity.
An obvious energetic, financial and practical absurdity which has unreliables activists and faithful followers digging out the biggest cognitive blinkers they can find.

EROEI gets even worse with storage. Madness prevails but there's no end in sight.

(ETA: RE<C spelt out in the quote above as the 'less than' symbol screws up the quote)


Edited by turbobloke on Monday 15th January 11:35

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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It is very obvious that the only solution that building ever more turbines solves is bonus provision for renewables providers.

With ever more 'capacity - fabled' the differential between peak and trough (trough being always close to zilch regardless) will place even more stress on the ability of fossil- fuelled backup to ramp up on demand.

Solutions will have to consist of some form of long-term energy reservoir (weeks not days, days not hours) replenished by wind whilst wind is trying to generate demand.

So fanciful is this, that you may as well have a shed of diesel and label it fusion.

LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Over Supply means what?

You spend 6 times the plated capacity expectation to try to cover the low and and have, at peak output, far more generation than can be accommodated?

This, repeated worldwide where possible, is a good use of planetary resources?

Very low bids all round sounds like Carillion economics.

Pitch cheap, bid for services that cannot be abandoned and assume that someone, somewhere will pick up the bill as and when it all goes bad.

Can that be the way forward?

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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LongQ said:
Over Supply means what?

You spend 6 times the plated capacity expectation to try to cover the low and and have, at peak output, far more generation than can be accommodated?

This, repeated worldwide where possible, is a good use of planetary resources?

Very low bids all round sounds like Carillion economics.

Pitch cheap, bid for services that cannot be abandoned and assume that someone, somewhere will pick up the bill as and when it all goes bad.

Can that be the way forward?
Stop making sense - the assylum was hi-jacked a long time ago!

The rest are along for the ride and can only spectate in ever increasing incredulity.

What was that about Nero?

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Your car has an engine of 200hp ?

Do you drive around using 200hp all the time ?
It's when it is 0hp that is of greater concern - unexpected and in the outside lane of a motorway doing 70 with a nutter up the chuff.

Toltec

7,166 posts

225 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Your car has an engine of 200hp ?

Do you drive around using 200hp all the time ?
No, but it is available on demand and it cost a lot more than the 70hp which would be adequate to cruise at 70mph.

rolando

2,194 posts

157 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Toltec said:
No, but it is available on demand and it cost a lot more than the 70hp which would be adequate to cruise at 70mph.
Being "available on demand" is the whole point. With wind it isn't. As already said, when it drops to zero, when attempting to make progress, you're stuffed.

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Wind powered cars never really caught on did they?

Wind powered sailing is now strictly for giggles.

Wind powered electricity - for the grid?

yikes

How insane?

Toltec

7,166 posts

225 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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rolando said:
Toltec said:
No, but it is available on demand and it cost a lot more than the 70hp which would be adequate to cruise at 70mph.
Being "available on demand" is the whole point. With wind it isn't. As already said, when it drops to zero, when attempting to make progress, you're stuffed.
That is the point I was making, it is on demand, but having a large overcapacity that is not used most of the time is also expensive. To create a power system using wind as the energy input source that can supply a reliable minimum output as well as an on demand sort term output is going to be expensive. It would be like having a hybrid car that would always have a minimum 200 mile range at 70mph, was capable of at least 0-60 in 8 seconds and may or may not have any fuel for the ICE for a day.

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Actually, it is not feasible given current tech since there is no means of storing surplus energy (should there be surplus) sufficient to supply demand on full chat over a period of days.

An inconvenient truth which renewables inc are still in denial over.

Fusion may come sooner - and that is not a realistic proposition in the foreseeable.

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Monday 15th January 2018
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Are you referring to Musk's big battery?

Let us know if you consider this to be in any way a 'solution'.