Climate change - the POLITICAL debate. Vol 4

Climate change - the POLITICAL debate. Vol 4

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robinessex

11,080 posts

182 months

Wednesday 6th December 2017
quotequote all
Durbster had awoken, and again diligently ignored my previous 5 requests to read and comment on:-

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DpxP7R4aLw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHFfOOF-6Fs

wc98

10,450 posts

141 months

Wednesday 6th December 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
wc98 said:
and no response to the consensus on stomach ulcers being incorrect, or the resulting paradigm shift. all those highly qualified professionals that bought into the consensus,wrote papers on it and talked at length at seminars about stress related stomach ulcers were talking and writing complete and utter bks, but it was fine because consensus.
What's the relevance to this thread? How many people studied stomach ulcers? How much evidence was there? Was the science replicated?

You're really scraping the barrel; it's not comparable to climate science at all.

wc98 said:
no response to modeling issues in cfd, despite it being a more mature field than climate science modeling and far less complex than modeling the atmosphere . as said, all the winglets, blisters and various other modifications to aircraft wings post design and build are not added for sts and giggles, they are there purely down to the fact cfd modeling is far from an exact science and largely dependent upon the experience of the designer/modeler.
You seem to have invented your own argument here. Everyone knows all models are an educated guess. They're not psychic visions of the future.

And I'm sure robinessex will be along shortly to tell you CFD is a worthless tool because it's based on models. hehe
erm, ok .

durbster

10,297 posts

223 months

Wednesday 6th December 2017
quotequote all
XM5ER said:
Do you really think that hundreds of thousands of scientists are studying the science of AGW? Please answer honestly and not another swerve.
Studying today? No idea. Have contributed to further the understanding of our atmosphere in some way over the past 70 years? Quite possibly.

That odd diversion aside, I'm sure the number is rather larger than those that studied stress and stomach ulcers several decades ago. Would you agree?

Bacardi

2,235 posts

277 months

Wednesday 6th December 2017
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Even so it's good to see durbster's concern for Bacardi, who could be at-risk for consulting heretical authorities.
God forbid. hehe

turbobloke said:
After all, just think of the information pollution Bacardi could suffer if FakeClimate, UnskepticalAGW, SmoggyBlog, GristToTheTeam or any number of unaligned sources of unbiased info wobble were to be consulted.
I have developed pollution filters for this soap opera which I have been following intently for the last 23+ years. As for AGW theory, I find the Beano the most authoritative source. I wonder how old Durbs was 23 years ago?

durbster

10,297 posts

223 months

Wednesday 6th December 2017
quotequote all
Bacardi said:
I have developed pollution filters for this soap opera which I have been following intently for the last 23+ years. As for AGW theory, I find the Beano the most authoritative source. I wonder how old Durbs was 23 years ago?
Would you mind answering the question please: where do you get your information about climate change from?

dickymint

24,478 posts

259 months

Wednesday 6th December 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
Bacardi said:
I have developed pollution filters for this soap opera which I have been following intently for the last 23+ years. As for AGW theory, I find the Beano the most authoritative source. I wonder how old Durbs was 23 years ago?
Would you mind answering the question please: where do you get your information about climate change from?
“Would you mind answering the question please”

Try practicing what you’re preaching! Robinessex’s Would be a good start rofl

Edit: typical Durbitroll hypocrisy eh?


Edited by dickymint on Wednesday 6th December 21:57

wc98

10,450 posts

141 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
Would you mind answering the question please: where do you get your information about climate change from?
i think the beano was mentioned , as good a source as any .

durbster

10,297 posts

223 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
wc98 said:
durbster said:
Would you mind answering the question please: where do you get your information about climate change from?
i think the beano was mentioned , as good a source as any .
Yep, and the reluctance to answer completely invalidates the poster's condescension.

When you say something like this:
Bacardi said:
Of course he hasn't. Just comes across as someone who trusts authority without question... a sheep, incapable of thinking for himself....
It suggests Bacardi has been applying critical thinking to his research and has found a more trustworthy source of information about climate science than the people studying climate and, well, basically every single established science body on earth. I'd be interested to know what this ultimate source of truth is, but no answer just means we can assume it's just a blog like watts up with that.

It's very easy to dismiss a source of information for whatever reason suits you, but unless you can explain why your source is more valid it's a pretty shallow statement. And if you're not even brave enough to share your source, I think we can guess how confident you are in it.

turbobloke said:
After all, just think of the information pollution Bacardi could suffer if FakeClimate, UnskepticalAGW, SmoggyBlog, GristToTheTeam or any number of unaligned sources of unbiased info wobble were to be consulted.
I've been thinking about the pyschology of why you keep trying to deride others for doing what you do most. The person who posts far more links to advoacy blogs than anyone else persistently accuses others of relying on advocacy blogs.

I think it's because you simply need this to be true. If you can prove other people are as deeply reliant on advocacy blogs as you are, it allows you to justify your use of them. It's right out of the Trump school of talking bks.

It doesn't hold up at all of course. If you accept AGW you can go to Google scholar, or any science website or magazine to get your information; you don't need advocacy blogs.

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
I've been thinking about the pyschology of why you keep trying to deride others for doing what you do most. The person who posts far more links to advoacy blogs than anyone else persistently accuses others of relying on advocacy blogs.

I think it's because you simply need this to be true. If you can prove other people are as deeply reliant on advocacy blogs as you are, it allows you to justify your use of them. It's right out of the Trump school of talking bks.

It doesn't hold up at all of course. If you accept AGW you can go to Google scholar, or any science website or magazine to get your information; you don't need advocacy blogs.
It’s because it’s nothing to do with science, it’s simply part of a wider political world view. Right wing, small government, distrust the media, anti EU, pro trump etc. It about not being told what to do by the government or worse by organisations like the IPCC etc. and certainly not being part of treaties where those distrusted organisations might be influencing our government policy or our actions.

Many of the same posters on this thread are always posting about bbc bias and are pro Brexit and Trump and aparently identify with the positions above. It’s a political position not a scientific one. That’s why this thread is much more popular than the scientific debate thread.

Many posters here happily admit they don’t know why the climates is changing or if it even is, what they know though is that they don’t believe the IPCC or NASA or the bbc etc.


Edited by anonymous-user on Thursday 7th December 08:26

wc98

10,450 posts

141 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
I've been thinking about the pyschology of why you keep trying to deride others for doing what you do most. The person who posts far more links to advoacy blogs than anyone else persistently accuses others of relying on advocacy blogs.

I think it's because you simply need this to be true. If you can prove other people are as deeply reliant on advocacy blogs as you are, it allows you to justify your use of them. It's right out of the Trump school of talking bks.

It doesn't hold up at all of course. If you accept AGW you can go to Google scholar, or any science website or magazine to get your information; you don't need advocacy blogs.
talking about advocacy and climate scientists i wonder would you have an opinion on this sorry debacle ? https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/12/05/retraction-... note the authors ,one in particular i think you referred to as no longer relevant a while back . seems the unscrupulous little fat git just can't help himself. now regardless of the actual science involved (the only hard evidence is polar bears are indeed doing fine, numbers are up) i don't think many scientists of any discipline would support this sort of nonsense.


AreOut

3,658 posts

162 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
El stovey said:
It’s because it’s nothing to do with science, it’s simply part of a wider political world view. Right wing, small government, distrust the media, anti EU, pro trump etc. It about not being told what to do by the government or worse by organisations like the IPCC etc. and certainly not being part of treaties where those distrusted organisations might be influencing our government policy or our actions.

Many of the same posters on this thread are always posting about bbc bias and are pro Brexit and Trump and aparently identify with the positions above. It’s a political position not a scientific one. That’s why this thread is much more popular than the scientific debate thread.

Many posters here happily admit they don’t know why the climates is changing or if it even is, what they know though is that they don’t believe the IPCC or NASA or the bbc etc.


Edited by El stovey on Thursday 7th December 08:26
way to oversimplify, climate has always been changing and we don't have a slightest clue how much of an impact we have, it might be 1% or 10% or 50% of current warming but nobody knows, it's impossible to calculate in a chaotic system

Jinx

11,407 posts

261 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
El stovey said:
Many posters here happily admit they don’t know why the climates is changing or if it even is, what they know though is that they don’t believe the IPCC or NASA or the bbc etc.
And "many" people use the word "many" when describing a group of individuals they wish to denigrate, stereotype and not engage constructively with, because it is a lot easier to insult and belittle others than it is to actively listen to what they are actually saying. You asked some questions stovey, a few of us responded and yet you ignored the answers - what does that say about you?

turbobloke

104,173 posts

261 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
El stovey said:
Many posters here happily admit they don’t know why the climates is changing or if it even is, what they know though is that they don’t believe the IPCC or NASA or the bbc etc.
Believe.
That says it all, yet it won't be long before one of the usual suspects denounces the term True Believer as coined by an IPCC Lead Author climate scientist.

The IPCC was set up to provide advocacy to governments, not to review the literature and the science impartially. You appear to be unaware of that.

NASA isn't a person. Many NASA engineers and scientists, once retired and no longer holding a duty of loyalty to an employer, have denounced NASA's political belief-based approach to climate via an open letter which has been posted on here N times. Beyond that, James Hansen's boss Theon has told us all we need to know...assuming you know who Hansen and Theon are.

In any case what would possess any thinking individual to 'believe' anyone who claims to see invisible things? Who would dismiss empirical data because "the data don't matter" when that's total nonscience? You and a few other PHers apparently.

Your comment about people not knowing why the climate is changing merely projects your own lack of knowledge and understanding onto others as an attempted smear against them. I've posted the list (below) of natural climate forcings many times, your level of interest and/or memory appears to have left you unaware. No excuse now.

Meteorite and cometary impacts
Cosmic dust accretion (Sun) linked to Local Group motion
Changes in the Earth's orbit around the Sun i.e. elliptical eccentricity
Changes in the angle of tilt of the Earth upon its axis
Shorter duration 'wobbles' of the Earth upon its axis
The changing shape of the Earth [the Earth's mean dynamic oblateness parameter)
The changing rotational velocity of the Earth's core
Amplified total solar irradiance
Lunar tidal slowing of the Earth's rotation, previously >465d in 1 year
Changes in the Earth's magnetic field
Tectonic movements of the Earth's plates
Volcanic eruptions
Changes in the circulation patterns of the oceans
Changes in ocean salinity and chemistry as a coupled atmosphere system
Changes in ice-sheets
Changes in sea-ice thickness
Changes involving atmospheric water vapour including clouds
Cosmic ray flux and nucleation (Svensmark) as an aspect of solar eruptivity forcing
Solar storms and the auroral oval (Bucha) as an aspect of solar eruptivity forcing
Natural variations in atmospheric gases, including carbon dioxide and methane
Changing albedo (reflectivity of Earth) through natural landscape change
Surface radiative energy fluxes
Vegetative emission of volatile organic aerosols
Other biogeographical factors e.g. those affecting albedo
Couplings and feedbacks involving the above

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
Neither of us know what’s going’s on but I’m not pretending to, you’re the one rubbishing actual scientists and experts,

Your entrenched position is based on political dogma and rhetoric.

Jinx

11,407 posts

261 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
El stovey said:
Neither of us know what’s going’s on but I’m not pretending to, you’re the one rubbishing actual scientists and experts,

Your entrenched position is based on political dogma and rhetoric.
Disagreeing with conclusions and pointing out flaws in the data is not "rubbishing". You do know that Michael Mann's northern hemisphere temperature reconstruction has been shown to be seriously flawed in methodology ergo making his conclusions unsupportable? Is that "rubbishing" Michael Mann or pointing out flaws in his paper?

XM5ER

5,091 posts

249 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
Jinx said:
El stovey said:
Neither of us know what’s going’s on but I’m not pretending to, you’re the one rubbishing actual scientists and experts,

Your entrenched position is based on political dogma and rhetoric.
Disagreeing with conclusions and pointing out flaws in the data is not "rubbishing". You do know that Michael Mann's northern hemisphere temperature reconstruction has been shown to be seriously flawed in methodology ergo making his conclusions unsupportable? Is that "rubbishing" Michael Mann or pointing out flaws in his paper?
But he wont allow this data to be examined in court, leaving him in contempt. Sorry, have we pointed this out before Elstovey? You know, when you were going on and on about hypothetical court cases.

XM5ER

5,091 posts

249 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
durbster said:
XM5ER said:
Do you really think that hundreds of thousands of scientists are studying the science of AGW? Please answer honestly and not another swerve.
Studying today? No idea. Have contributed to further the understanding of our atmosphere in some way over the past 70 years? Quite possibly.

That odd diversion aside, I'm sure the number is rather larger than those that studied stress and stomach ulcers several decades ago. Would you agree?
[adrenaline]. Once again your assertions are untenable.[dopamine]
Would I agree, absolutely not, no.

turbobloke

104,173 posts

261 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
XM5ER said:
Jinx said:
El stovey said:
Neither of us know what’s going’s on but I’m not pretending to, you’re the one rubbishing actual scientists and experts,

Your entrenched position is based on political dogma and rhetoric.
Disagreeing with conclusions and pointing out flaws in the data is not "rubbishing". You do know that Michael Mann's northern hemisphere temperature reconstruction has been shown to be seriously flawed in methodology ergo making his conclusions unsupportable? Is that "rubbishing" Michael Mann or pointing out flaws in his paper?
But he wont allow this data to be examined in court, leaving him in contempt. Sorry, have we pointed this out before Elstovey? You know, when you were going on and on about hypothetical court cases.
Yes but! The faith is infallible, impervious to evidence. Just look at the language used...belief, rubbishing. This is about heresy against doctrine not falsifying testable science, as happens all the time given that's the way science operates (except with climate).

What word is appropriate for describing belief in invisible entities and the leap of faith involved in asserting that "the data don't matter"? Fantasy and junkscience respectively are spot on.


XM5ER

5,091 posts

249 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
Wow, climategate emails still being investigated.


turbobloke

104,173 posts

261 months

Thursday 7th December 2017
quotequote all
XM5ER said:
Wow, climategate emails still being investigated.

Mann won't release data and is apparently in contempt as a result, the same may well happen here with emails. They would appear to be juicy.

The faith can't be challenged - though a sight of punitive damages and stripy daylight could help open the sphincters.


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