War with Russia

Author
Discussion

Uncle John

4,320 posts

192 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
Threats of full scale war & Russia deploying more advanced SAM batteries.

Things are getting uncomfortable yet it’s not really being reported on because of the B word...

Edited by Uncle John on Wednesday 28th November 15:20

TheJimi

25,056 posts

244 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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johnxjsc1985 said:
hidetheelephants said:
Piracy and obstructing freedom of navigation; this is why Russia should not be allowed nice things.
How many more times is the world going to turn a blind eye to Russia's constant bullying.
What, realistically, can the rest of the world actually do in the face of a belligerent with a significant nuclear arsenal?

The answer is, imo, not very much at all.

hidetheelephants

24,963 posts

194 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
TheJimi said:
johnxjsc1985 said:
hidetheelephants said:
Piracy and obstructing freedom of navigation; this is why Russia should not be allowed nice things.
How many more times is the world going to turn a blind eye to Russia's constant bullying.
What, realistically, can the rest of the world actually do in the face of a belligerent with a significant nuclear arsenal?

The answer is, imo, not very much at all.
1. maintain the existing sanctions which are fking the russian economy, not that it was not already a basketcase.
2. actually start dealing with the dirty money washing through London etc; that would get Putin's attention pretty quick.

Liokault

2,837 posts

215 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
hidetheelephants said:
TheJimi said:
johnxjsc1985 said:
hidetheelephants said:
Piracy and obstructing freedom of navigation; this is why Russia should not be allowed nice things.
How many more times is the world going to turn a blind eye to Russia's constant bullying.
What, realistically, can the rest of the world actually do in the face of a belligerent with a significant nuclear arsenal?

The answer is, imo, not very much at all.
1. maintain the existing sanctions which are fking the russian economy, not that it was not already a basketcase.
2. actually start dealing with the dirty money washing through London etc; that would get Putin's attention pretty quick.
Isn’t that counter productive? Shouldn’t we be looking for as much money to come out of Russia as possible? If I were Putin (I’m not, promis) I would be looking to get as much of that hidden billions back under my control as possible.

Halb

53,012 posts

184 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
TheJimi said:
What, realistically, can the rest of the world actually do in the face of a belligerent with a significant nuclear arsenal?

The answer is, imo, not very much at all.
well pretty much. USA/Russia/China can do as they iwhs in their back yard.

Russia is currently under sanctions?

glazbagun

14,299 posts

198 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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I've wanted to visit Ukraine since the 90's but never have. Maybe I should do it now before the curtain goes up again. frown


amgmcqueen

3,361 posts

151 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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The EU army will save us....!

Liokault

2,837 posts

215 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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glazbagun said:
I've wanted to visit Ukraine since the 90's but never have. Maybe I should do it now before the curtain goes up again. frown
I went once about 7 years ago...my over whelming memory was how dark it was, literally no lights anywhere in town. Also the poverty...there were people making a living carrying two bottles of beer over the border into Hungary on foot and selling them on for a few cents profit per bottle and repeat. Took about 15 mins to get ove the border each way...a very marginal living.

Halb

53,012 posts

184 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
glazbagun said:
I've wanted to visit Ukraine since the 90's but never have. Maybe I should do it now before the curtain goes up again. frown
It's possible I may be working there in the new year...fare thee well PH massive

Wacky Racer

38,257 posts

248 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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amgmcqueen said:
The EU army will save us....!
laugh

Earthdweller

13,653 posts

127 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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amgmcqueen said:
The EU army will save us....!
I’m not too sure

Italian tanks only go backwards, both the Belgians tanks are broke and well ... the Germans and French don’t have a great record when it comes to fighting the Russians !

johnxjsc1985

15,948 posts

165 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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Liokault said:
I went once about 7 years ago...my over whelming memory was how dark it was, literally no lights anywhere in town. Also the poverty...there were people making a living carrying two bottles of beer over the border into Hungary on foot and selling them on for a few cents profit per bottle and repeat. Took about 15 mins to get ove the border each way...a very marginal living.
Sounds like a future UK under a Corbyn Governments

E24man

6,756 posts

180 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
quotequote all
Liokault said:
glazbagun said:
I've wanted to visit Ukraine since the 90's but never have. Maybe I should do it now before the curtain goes up again. frown
I went once about 7 years ago...my over whelming memory was how dark it was, literally no lights anywhere in town. Also the poverty...there were people making a living carrying two bottles of beer over the border into Hungary on foot and selling them on for a few cents profit per bottle and repeat. Took about 15 mins to get ove the border each way...a very marginal living.
My wife and I lived in Kiev for nearly 18 months through 1998 and 1999 - interesting then and more dangerous now.

cardigankid

8,849 posts

213 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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DMN said:
Russia has been taking control of more and more of Georgia. Seems they are trying to invade as much as possible before they join NATO:

http://uk.businessinsider.com/russia-quietly-seizi...
I would ask WTF is NATO thinking about having Georgia join. It’s like the Isle of Man joining the Warsaw Pact. People criticise Russia for taking control of Crimea, where most of the population is Of Russian origin and Russia has its biggest naval base, after, it has to be said a Western-sponsored fascist government comes to power, and we think that THEY are threatening US? Give over.

Octoposse

2,165 posts

186 months

Wednesday 28th November 2018
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cardigankid said:
I would ask WTF is NATO thinking about having Georgia join. It’s like the Isle of Man joining the Warsaw Pact. People criticise Russia for taking control of Crimea, where most of the population is Of Russian origin and Russia has its biggest naval base, after, it has to be said a Western-sponsored fascist government comes to power, and we think that THEY are threatening US? Give over.
Quite so.

Thinking outside the box, how about a really radical resolution - a negotiated settlement?

Unfortunately, we appear to prefer fighting to the last Ukrainian as an alternative to recognising that Crimea is now, again, part of Russia, as it was since about the time of the founding of the United States of America. Irreversibly so this time, as any facing of facts would recognise. And it takes a pretty skewed application of principle to argue - as 'we' apparently do - that Crimea can never be Russian absolutely irrespective of the wishes of the people who live there.

In addition, some of the NATO expansion is even catastrophic to the credibility of the organisation. Back in the day when I carried a rifle made two years before I was born there was absolutely no doubt that we would go to war and risk nuclear annihilation for the West German border, for Denmark's territorial integrity, or for the mutual defence of Norway.

Pick a town in one of the new or would-be new members and put your hand on heart and say, yes, we are willing to kill hundreds of millions of people over its status. It waters down the credibility of the whole promise of mutual defence.
(And it's a cruel deceit of these prospective members as to which policy decisions actually offer the best chances of prosperity and peaceful co-existence).

glazbagun

14,299 posts

198 months

Thursday 29th November 2018
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Octoposse said:
Pick a town in one of the new or would-be new members and put your hand on heart and say, yes, we are willing to kill hundreds of millions of people over its status. It waters down the credibility of the whole promise of mutual defence.
(And it's a cruel deceit of these prospective members as to which policy decisions actually offer the best chances of prosperity and peaceful co-existence).
Incidentally, this was a big reason why many Finns don't want to join NATO. They'd ps off Russia, but also don't believe that US troops are going to die for their country.

stevesingo

4,861 posts

223 months

Thursday 29th November 2018
quotequote all
Octoposse said:
Quite so.

Thinking outside the box, how about a really radical resolution - a negotiated settlement?

Unfortunately, we appear to prefer fighting to the last Ukrainian as an alternative to recognising that Crimea is now, again, part of Russia, as it was since about the time of the founding of the United States of America. Irreversibly so this time, as any facing of facts would recognise. And it takes a pretty skewed application of principle to argue - as 'we' apparently do - that Crimea can never be Russian absolutely irrespective of the wishes of the people who live there.
You seem to continue hanging on to the falsehood that the Russian annexation of Crimea was legal and that the subsequent referendum was wholly free and fair vote.

If there was to be a free and fair vote on the determination as to what nation of people living in a region were to be part of, only a fool would suggest that vote should happen after occupation. That would be akin to the Poles voting in 1939.

Octoposse said:
In addition, some of the NATO expansion is even catastrophic to the credibility of the organisation. Back in the day when I carried a rifle made two years before I was born there was absolutely no doubt that we would go to war and risk nuclear annihilation for the West German border, for Denmark's territorial integrity, or for the mutual defence of Norway.

Pick a town in one of the new or would-be new members and put your hand on heart and say, yes, we are willing to kill hundreds of millions of people over its status. It waters down the credibility of the whole promise of mutual defence.
(And it's a cruel deceit of these prospective members as to which policy decisions actually offer the best chances of prosperity and peaceful co-existence).
There is some truth in that and that is/was a concern of the Baltic States and Poland, hence the Warsaw Summit and the deployment of eFP to those states as a deterrent.

The West sees Russia as a geopolitical rival and Russia sees the west the same. The West wants to keep Russia hemmed in to prevent global economic competition from a nation which is essentially a mafia state and as such would be difficult to compete against in a rule based economic environment where your competitor doesn't comply with the rules. The former Soviet States have independence and quite like it on the whole. The synergy is obvious.

There is a school of thought as to why Russia got involved in Syria, and that is not because of Islamist terrorism or having continued access to the Med. Leverage. Syria was a mess that the western democracies could not afford to get heavily involved with due to the poor public opinion of intervention in Iraq and Libya. Russia wades in and decisively changes the situation. Now they can say, "we will pull out of Syria if you accept Crimea as a Russian territory".

Cobnapint

8,643 posts

152 months

Thursday 29th November 2018
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Looks like Putin might be about to have another 'exercise' just over the border.

http://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-accuses-russia-o...

johnxjsc1985

15,948 posts

165 months

Thursday 29th November 2018
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We will soon see how useless the UN is and how NATO will not lift a finger to help Ukraine.
Putin is definitely on a mission to restore the Soviet Union .

abzmike

8,541 posts

107 months

Thursday 29th November 2018
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I was in Ukraine last week for work. Very civilised in an Eastern European way. Lots of grand buildings and monuments in Kiev. Took a train 3 hours east to Poltava, second class on the way there, first class back, which was very nice, for the grand total of £20 return. Hotel in Poltava was fine and £25 for the night. Blooming cold mind you, -7C on a windy dark latform is chilly. Definitely worth a visit.