The Wasted Vote

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Discussion

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

246 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
eharding said:
Einion Yrth said:
wolves_wanderer said:
Mon Ami Mate said:
In the previous two elections the Conservative Party had focussed on core vote and heavily defeated..
and now they are taking their core vote for granted...
And will be very heavily defeated.
By Labour.

Well primarily by itself in the persons of Cameron and Osborne, but yes, unfortunately those who will gain are most likely to be the labour party. I'm none too happy about it but while Cameron is the leader of the Conservative party my vote lies elsewhere.

Countdown

40,285 posts

198 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Mon Ami Mate said:
Where do your political instincts lie? What are your dreams and aspirations? Do you favour big authoritarian Government, tax and spend, non stop nannying, pro EU, open borders, Human Rights Act, burgeoning welfare and state ownership or do you prefer small state libertarianism, pro capitalist, individual freedom, aspirational, free market rewarding those that have talent and take risks and responsibility?
.
Tricky one. Whilst I err towards the latter I do believe a certain amount of the former is required for there to be a fair society.

As I'm sure you're aware, there are plenty of purely capitalist societies in the world where there's no tax and little state interference. Most of them tend to be stholes. There needs to be a balance.

eharding

13,829 posts

286 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Pesty said:
Unless the core vote and the tactical voters all vote UKIP.

It seems its the Tory tactical voters that are keeping out UKIP not Ukip keeping out the conservatives out to me.
As per the other thread - and I'm still waiting for someone to suggest a different simulation - if we model the huge Eastleigh swing to UKIP at a General Election, the result is a Labour absolute majority.

How much of a swing would it take for a UKIP government? Seriously?





eharding

13,829 posts

286 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
Well primarily by itself in the persons of Cameron and Osborne, but yes, unfortunately those who will gain are most likely to be the labour party. I'm none too happy about it but while Cameron is the leader of the Conservative party my vote lies elsewhere.
So, who did you vote for in the 2005 Conservative leadership election?


Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

246 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
eharding said:
So, who did you vote for in the 2005 Conservative leadership election?
As I'm sure you know really, I'm just a voter - my opinion doesn't matter and I didn't get a vote. I still won't vote for a representative of a party that has those individuals in charge though. For the record though I would have voted for David Davis I suspect.

AJS-

Original Poster:

15,366 posts

238 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Countdown said:
Tricky one. Whilst I err towards the latter I do believe a certain amount of the former is required for there to be a fair society.

As I'm sure you're aware, there are plenty of purely capitalist societies in the world where there's no tax and little state interference. Most of them tend to be stholes. There needs to be a balance.
Any examples? I would tend to say the closer a country sticks to the model of small, limited government, protecting people's basic rights to liberty and property, the less of a st hole it is. I'm thinking Hong Kong, Switzerland type places.

Conversely as the government gets bigger and more involved in everything countries tend to become much more st hole like - North Korea at the extreme end.

It's not so much a balance between big government and no government, as having the right sort of government.

eharding

13,829 posts

286 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Einion Yrth said:
eharding said:
So, who did you vote for in the 2005 Conservative leadership election?
As I'm sure you know really, I'm just a voter - my opinion doesn't matter and I didn't get a vote. I still won't vote for a representative of a party that has those individuals in charge though. For the record though I would have voted for David Davis I suspect.
So, you care enough about the leadership of the Tory party to vote for a different party to express opposition to that leadership, rather than actually join the Conservative party and be entitled to vote on the leadership directly?




AJS-

Original Poster:

15,366 posts

238 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
eharding said:
As per the other thread - and I'm still waiting for someone to suggest a different simulation - if we model the huge Eastleigh swing to UKIP at a General Election, the result is a Labour absolute majority.

How much of a swing would it take for a UKIP government? Seriously?
Then a Conservative victory in 2020, with a right wing Tory party committed to EU withdrawal and serious tax and regulation cuts and free of global warming bks, unopposed by UKIP.

If 5 years of Labour is what it takes to get there so be it. I don't see any point in voting for a party who promise to be st and still disappoint, because the other party might just be even stter.

Countdown

40,285 posts

198 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
AJS- said:
Countdown said:
Tricky one. Whilst I err towards the latter I do believe a certain amount of the former is required for there to be a fair society.

As I'm sure you're aware, there are plenty of purely capitalist societies in the world where there's no tax and little state interference. Most of them tend to be stholes. There needs to be a balance.
Any examples? I would tend to say the closer a country sticks to the model of small, limited government, protecting people's basic rights to liberty and property, the less of a st hole it is. I'm thinking Hong Kong, Switzerland type places..
I'm thinking of most places in Africa (Nigeria, Uganda, Tanzania, Zimbabwe), and certain parts of Latin America and Asia. There's very little formal "tax and spend", most government is corrupt, and the wealth seems to be limited to a small e
Ite, usually through force of arms.

HK, Switzerland, Singapore, and Monaco are low direct tax but they have quite a lot of indirect taxes or the cost of living is quite high. Also AIUI their economies rely significantly on exports and a BoP surplus. Without this they would struggle to maintain their standards of living.

eharding

13,829 posts

286 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
AJS- said:
If 5 years of Labour is what it takes to get there so be it. I don't see any point in voting for a party who promise to be st and still disappoint, because the other party might just be even stter.
Given what happened between 1997 and 2010, there doesn't seem to be any question of might. If 13 years of Labour government didn't return a hard-right Conservative government, what makes you think another 5 years of Labour would?

Just 5 more years of damage, 5 more years of uncontrolled immigration, 5 more years of reckless spending, and frankly 5 more years to skew the electoral system in their favour.

But then, unless things have changed, you're not actually a UK resident, are you? So thanks for offering to let the rest of us endure another Labour government.

otolith

56,858 posts

206 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
I believe that the Labour party is going to win the next election, in which case the most important thing that voting UKIP or Conservative will determine is the future vector of Conservative policy - although a significant minority of parliamentary seats for UKIP would help legitimise their agenda as part of mainstream British politics, which could have interesting repercussions across the board.


vonuber

17,868 posts

167 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Won't happen with fpp. Ukip would have a chance with pr but that's what those furriners do and is unbritish.

otolith

56,858 posts

206 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
I'm not sure the FPP necessarily prevents minority parties having influence. Even before they got the chance to enter coalition the Liberal Democrats were succesfully influencing public policy. For instance, the current system of punitive VED based on CO2 emissions was originally mooted by them. The bds.

Crafty_

13,344 posts

202 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Pesty said:
Cameron just on the news saying he will not move to the right because they came 3rd. So they wont change, if any tory voters on here are expecting a move from the center you are going to be disappointed. if you want change voting UKIP seems the only way.

He looked rattled to me. What is this new angry politician we are seeing. like clegg getting all rambo saying he will not stand for his party being put down etc etc. i bet they have been coached to do it.
I find this bit really interesting..
I read a newspaper article on what Cameron said, below the article are lots of angry comments from the great unwashed - clearly they believe him.
If he'd come out and said "clearly what the public want is a more right wing government, so we'll go that way" The great unwashed wouldn't believe him and be just as angry.

Its not a unique situation either, we never believe them when they say they will do something, equally when they say they won't do something we pour scorn on them.

My guess is that they will look to go more right wing, but he can't come out and say that can he? you can just see the headline - "PM admits policies have failed". Better to do it by stealth in slow time.


Far as wasted votes go, the main problem is we don't trust any of them. Just a case of picking the best of a bad bunch.

McWigglebum4th

32,414 posts

206 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
Crafty_ said:
Far as wasted votes go, the main problem is we don't trust any of them. Just a case of picking the best of a bad bunch.
I trust the monster raving loony party

As lets face it

Tories, labour, lib dems etc = Insane people trying to convince you they are sane

Monster raving loony party = Sane people trying to convince you they are insane

Einion Yrth

19,575 posts

246 months

Sunday 3rd March 2013
quotequote all
eharding said:
So, you care enough about the leadership of the Tory party to vote for a different party to express opposition to that leadership, rather than actually join the Conservative party and be entitled to vote on the leadership directly?
What are you dribbling on about? This isn't just the leader of your party, it purports to be the Prime sodding Minister, I have every right to an opinion and to apply any and all pressure that I think I can to try and get it to get its head out of its harris. Voting for it certainly isn't on my agenda.

Wombat3

12,389 posts

208 months

Monday 4th March 2013
quotequote all
AJS- said:
eharding said:
As per the other thread - and I'm still waiting for someone to suggest a different simulation - if we model the huge Eastleigh swing to UKIP at a General Election, the result is a Labour absolute majority.

How much of a swing would it take for a UKIP government? Seriously?
Then a Conservative victory in 2020, with a right wing Tory party committed to EU withdrawal and serious tax and regulation cuts and free of global warming bks, unopposed by UKIP.

If 5 years of Labour is what it takes to get there so be it. I don't see any point in voting for a party who promise to be st and still disappoint, because the other party might just be even stter.
We won't make it to 2020 in one piece.

Last time we got a Labour Gov't we could afford it. Next time , we can not. The markest wil have zero confidence in Balls in respect of borrowing & deficits etc - he is a dyed-in-the-wool Keynsian when Keynsian economic theory has widely been debunked.

We will be at the IMF within 3 years

McWigglebum4th

32,414 posts

206 months

Monday 4th March 2013
quotequote all
I live in a safe lib dem seat

I can't think of one single reason to vote tory.

Can anyone give me one?

Mon Ami Mate

6,589 posts

270 months

Monday 4th March 2013
quotequote all
McWigglebum4th said:
I live in a safe lib dem seat

I can't think of one single reason to vote tory.

Can anyone give me one?
Because people thinking like you is what makes it a safe Lib Dem seat.

powerstroke

10,283 posts

162 months

Monday 4th March 2013
quotequote all
Wombat3 said:
AJS- said:
eharding said:
As per the other thread - and I'm still waiting for someone to suggest a different simulation - if we model the huge Eastleigh swing to UKIP at a General Election, the result is a Labour absolute majority.

How much of a swing would it take for a UKIP government? Seriously?
Then a Conservative victory in 2020, with a right wing Tory party committed to EU withdrawal and serious tax and regulation cuts and free of global warming bks, unopposed by UKIP.

If 5 years of Labour is what it takes to get there so be it. I don't see any point in voting for a party who promise to be st and still disappoint, because the other party might just be even stter.
We won't make it to 2020 in one piece.

Last time we got a Labour Gov't we could afford it. Next time , we can not. The markest wil have zero confidence in Balls in respect of borrowing & deficits etc - he is a dyed-in-the-wool Keynsian when Keynsian economic theory has widely been debunked.

We will be at the IMF within 3 years
Yes this looks like a re run of the 1970s!! with weak goverments tory then labour then a strong tory goverment comeing in 1979 and realy getting to grips with the economy and the then over powerful unions, maybe only a balls & edd goverment will wake a sleeping giant in the tory party who will slay cameron and the wets or maybe it will be the end for the them and we will have UKIP goverment they seem to have the policys and an increasing momentum to replace them ??