How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 10)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 10)

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carinatauk

1,415 posts

254 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
Sway said:
ES reporting May has pulled back from tabling the "revised" WB - and seemingly is preparing to duck out tomorrow, as she'll be pushed by Brady otherwise.

Times, they are a'changing.
More can kicking

egor110

16,973 posts

205 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
carinatauk said:
Sway said:
ES reporting May has pulled back from tabling the "revised" WB - and seemingly is preparing to duck out tomorrow, as she'll be pushed by Brady otherwise.

Times, they are a'changing.
More can kicking
Parliament break up soon for summer recess then return September?

There’s not much road left to kick the can !

JNW1

7,872 posts

196 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
egor110 said:
carinatauk said:
Sway said:
ES reporting May has pulled back from tabling the "revised" WB - and seemingly is preparing to duck out tomorrow, as she'll be pushed by Brady otherwise.

Times, they are a'changing.
More can kicking
Parliament break up soon for summer recess then return September?

There’s not much road left to kick the can !
I know they don't exactly strain themselves but surely Parliament still has the best part of two months yet before their summer recess?!!

richie99

1,116 posts

188 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
JNW1 said:
egor110 said:
carinatauk said:
Sway said:
ES reporting May has pulled back from tabling the "revised" WB - and seemingly is preparing to duck out tomorrow, as she'll be pushed by Brady otherwise.

Times, they are a'changing.
More can kicking
Parliament break up soon for summer recess then return September?

There’s not much road left to kick the can !
I know they don't exactly strain themselves but surely Parliament still has the best part of two months yet before their summer recess?!!
Sure but there is Whitsun to contend with too. I tried asking for Whitsun off but my boss told me to get on with my work.

don'tbesilly

13,992 posts

165 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
Sway said:
ES reporting May has pulled back from tabling the "revised" WB - and seemingly is preparing to duck out tomorrow, as she'll be pushed by Brady otherwise.

Times, they are a'changing.
It was described as dead on the lunchtime news, and Pickfords have apparently cancelled all forthcoming leave for their employees.

Red Devil

13,101 posts

210 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
The last time there was such a divided government was in the 3 years prior to the outbreak of WW1.
The Conservatives risk suffering the same fate as the Liberal party which has never been in power since.

There is interesting parallel with those times. The Liberals were in coalition with the IPP which demanded Home Rule.
The Conservatives have had to get into bed with the DUP since the 2017 GE.

Yet again Ireland is the elephant in the room of UK politics.

oyster

12,688 posts

250 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
digimeistter said:
I have yet to hear any positives FOR staying in the EU?

The whole change from within is never going to happen, so come on Remainers, convince us?
1. The single market. The concept of it is brilliant. The elimination (broadly) of restrictions on flow of people, goods, cash and services. It's pure capitalism.

2. Restrictions on state aid. Brilliant - keeps the socialists and communists at bay. It's why Corbyn wants out.


Not much else I'm afraid. Which is why I couldn't bring myself to vote either way in 2016. Hate the EU but love the 4 freedoms.




Sway

26,512 posts

196 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
oyster said:
digimeistter said:
I have yet to hear any positives FOR staying in the EU?

The whole change from within is never going to happen, so come on Remainers, convince us?
1. The single market. The concept of it is brilliant. The elimination (broadly) of restrictions on flow of people, goods, cash and services. It's pure capitalism.

Shame the application is anything but, with uncompetitive industries protected by import tariffs, and even "maximum product standards"!

2. Restrictions on state aid. Brilliant - keeps the socialists and communists at bay. It's why Corbyn wants out.

Again, in principle superb. In practice it's yet another rule that's broadly ignored. That's excluding the "state aid" of protectionist tariffs and non tariff barriers.

Not much else I'm afraid. Which is why I couldn't bring myself to vote either way in 2016. Hate the EU but love the 4 freedoms.

oyster

12,688 posts

250 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
Sway said:
oyster said:
digimeistter said:
I have yet to hear any positives FOR staying in the EU?

The whole change from within is never going to happen, so come on Remainers, convince us?
1. The single market. The concept of it is brilliant. The elimination (broadly) of restrictions on flow of people, goods, cash and services. It's pure capitalism.

Shame the application is anything but, with uncompetitive industries protected by import tariffs, and even "maximum product standards"!

2. Restrictions on state aid. Brilliant - keeps the socialists and communists at bay. It's why Corbyn wants out.

Again, in principle superb. In practice it's yet another rule that's broadly ignored. That's excluding the "state aid" of protectionist tariffs and non tariff barriers.

Not much else I'm afraid. Which is why I couldn't bring myself to vote either way in 2016. Hate the EU but love the 4 freedoms.
Your comment on the single market is quite valid. Although Brexit will exacerbate this, not improve it.

Your comment on state aid is irrelevant. And again, Brexit won't solve it.

christian-ohtc3

175 posts

62 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...

andymadmak

14,694 posts

272 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
I heard that rumour last year directly from a Government Minister - and not just any Minister, but one that should know...

Still might be bks, but it has a whiff of credibility about it.

Vanden Saab

14,309 posts

76 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
andymadmak said:
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
I heard that rumour last year directly from a Government Minister - and not just any Minister, but one that should know...

Still might be bks, but it has a whiff of credibility about it.
Reported in September. Brexit central were begging May to accept it... https://brexitcentral.com/eu-offered-us-free-trade...

Alastair MacMillan said:
“I propose that we aim for a trade agreement covering all sectors and with zero tariffs on goods” – Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, 16th March 2018 The above sentiments have in the last week been echoed by the EU’s Chief Negotiator, Michel Barnier. Yet the UK Government continues to cling to its complex and flawed Chequers plan. Instead they should be grabbing the golden key being offered by the EU.

anonymous-user

56 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
Vanden Saab said:
andymadmak said:
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
I heard that rumour last year directly from a Government Minister - and not just any Minister, but one that should know...

Still might be bks, but it has a whiff of credibility about it.
Reported in September. Brexit central were begging May to accept it... https://brexitcentral.com/eu-offered-us-free-trade...

Alastair MacMillan said:
“I propose that we aim for a trade agreement covering all sectors and with zero tariffs on goods” – Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, 16th March 2018 The above sentiments have in the last week been echoed by the EU’s Chief Negotiator, Michel Barnier. Yet the UK Government continues to cling to its complex and flawed Chequers plan. Instead they should be grabbing the golden key being offered by the EU.
Was a conditional offer with NI remaing in CU. I.e. a breakup of the UK.

christian-ohtc3

175 posts

62 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
jsf said:
Was a conditional offer with NI remaing in CU. I.e. a breakup of the UK.
Do you have an official link to that condition, all I can find is media hype.

Vanden Saab

14,309 posts

76 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
jsf said:
Vanden Saab said:
andymadmak said:
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
I heard that rumour last year directly from a Government Minister - and not just any Minister, but one that should know...

Still might be bks, but it has a whiff of credibility about it.
Reported in September. Brexit central were begging May to accept it... https://brexitcentral.com/eu-offered-us-free-trade...

Alastair MacMillan said:
“I propose that we aim for a trade agreement covering all sectors and with zero tariffs on goods” – Donald Tusk, President of the European Council, 16th March 2018 The above sentiments have in the last week been echoed by the EU’s Chief Negotiator, Michel Barnier. Yet the UK Government continues to cling to its complex and flawed Chequers plan. Instead they should be grabbing the golden key being offered by the EU.
Was a conditional offer with NI remaing in CU. I.e. a breakup of the UK.

Not according to the article I linked...

DeepEnd

4,240 posts

68 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
It’s true that Steve Baker is saying it.

It’s not true that it was deliverable, as it did not fix the NI issue, and was around the time Davis was making his unrealistic mutual recognition of standards offer which was obviously never going to be acceptable to the EU.

Steve Baker is just trying to write history as if he has done nothing wrong and has not been proven to have misjudged the whole EU negotiation with all his promises exposed as completely flawed and erroneous.

It’s pretty obvious he will never bring himself to admit that so it’s also fairly easy to see why he is peddling this particular fantasy. He knows that many want to hear what he is saying. The express know that is what their readers want to read, it brings comfort that “it could have been so good if it was not for that remainer May”.

If it was that good and that easy with the EU, why would May not have done it? Simple - it was a unicorn.

Vanden Saab

14,309 posts

76 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
DeepEnd said:
It’s true that Steve Baker is saying it.

It’s not true that it was deliverable, as it did not fix the NI issue, and was around the time Davis was making his unrealistic mutual recognition of standards offer which was obviously never going to be acceptable to the EU.

Steve Baker is just trying to write history as if he has done nothing wrong and has not been proven to have misjudged the whole EU negotiation with all his promises exposed as completely flawed and erroneous.

It’s pretty obvious he will never bring himself to admit that so it’s also fairly easy to see why he is peddling this particular fantasy. He knows that many want to hear what he is saying. The express know that is what their readers want to read, it brings comfort that “it could have been so good if it was not for that remainer May”.

If it was that good and that easy with the EU, why would May not have done it? Simple - it was a unicorn.
You realise you are confirming that the Backstop will be in place for ever don't you? Rather than being temporary until a FTA is agreed...

christian-ohtc3

175 posts

62 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
DeepEnd said:
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
It’s true that Steve Baker is saying it.

It’s not true that it was deliverable, as it did not fix the NI issue, and was around the time Davis was making his unrealistic mutual recognition of standards offer which was obviously never going to be acceptable to the EU.

Steve Baker is just trying to write history as if he has done nothing wrong and has not been proven to have misjudged the whole EU negotiation with all his promises exposed as completely flawed and erroneous.

It’s pretty obvious he will never bring himself to admit that so it’s also fairly easy to see why he is peddling this particular fantasy. He knows that many want to hear what he is saying. The express know that is what their readers want to read, it brings comfort that “it could have been so good if it was not for that remainer May”.

If it was that good and that easy with the EU, why would May not have done it? Simple - it was a unicorn.
Do you have a link about the border issue I cant find any official release (below) just some remain sources quoting there is a problem but nothing official.

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-rel...



Sway

26,512 posts

196 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
DeepEnd said:
christian-ohtc3 said:
I wonder if there is any truth in this story

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1130947/Brexit-n...
It’s true that Steve Baker is saying it.

It’s not true that it was deliverable, as it did not fix the NI issue, and was around the time Davis was making his unrealistic mutual recognition of standards offer which was obviously never going to be acceptable to the EU.

Steve Baker is just trying to write history as if he has done nothing wrong and has not been proven to have misjudged the whole EU negotiation with all his promises exposed as completely flawed and erroneous.

It’s pretty obvious he will never bring himself to admit that so it’s also fairly easy to see why he is peddling this particular fantasy. He knows that many want to hear what he is saying. The express know that is what their readers want to read, it brings comfort that “it could have been so good if it was not for that remainer May”.

If it was that good and that easy with the EU, why would May not have done it? Simple - it was a unicorn.
Mutual recognition of standards is an easy one to negotiate to mutual recognition of testing of standards.

The Norway/Sweden customs processing approach was "impossible" prior - no one else had done anything like it at the time. Difference being, it was something both sides wanted to sort, and they put their best efforts in creating as frictionless as possible a customs process based on the technology available at the time.

Time, and technology, have moved on. The EU and RoI have never once accepted that any solution to the Irish border requires two solutions - one on the UK border, one on the RoI border.

They've acknowledged they weaponised the border. From the documentary, I have my suspicions that Verhofstadt's visit was orchestrated by his two Irish aides - as some of the things shown and discussed are patently untrue.

All this despite the BA not having a single reference to goods controls at the border. They did for human controls, despite a then 70 year old Treaty being in force with no sign of it being rescinded.

youngsyr

14,742 posts

194 months

Thursday 23rd May 2019
quotequote all
Red Devil said:
The last time there was such a divided government was in the 3 years prior to the outbreak of WW1.
The Conservatives risk suffering the same fate as the Liberal party which has never been in power since.

There is interesting parallel with those times. The Liberals were in coalition with the IPP which demanded Home Rule.
The Conservatives have had to get into bed with the DUP since the 2017 GE.

Yet again Ireland is the elephant in the room of UK politics.
I wouldn't call the end of the Tories so soon - look at the state Labour were in the last time they left power and just before the last election.

They left a crippled economy and had a hugely unpopular and illegal war hanging around their neck. More recently they were rock bottom in the opinion polls, yet here they are again, seemingly with rising popularity.
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