Who will be the new Labour leader?

Who will be the new Labour leader?

Poll: Who will be the new Labour leader?

Total Members Polled: 378

David Miliband: 7%
Dan Jarvis: 8%
Chuka Umunna: 22%
Andy Burnham: 21%
Harriet Harman: 7%
Jim Murphy: 2%
An other: 33%
Author
Discussion

Derek Smith

45,878 posts

250 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
What has surprised me is that amount of air time and column inches the chap is getting.

There is no bad advertising.

I've got a lad in his 20s and he reckons that he's a bit of fresh air after the staid Cameron and Milliband.

He says that many people see no hope of getting a house, they are messed around by landlords, are paying a fortune for rail fares as there's little hope of living near where they work, and all of a sudden there's someone who provides an answer.

All the talk about 'old labour' is a nonsense as people his age have no concept of what the phrase means. They've seen Blair and Cameron.

Farage was popular as he said stuff that was different. The fact that his promises were unsustainable, that he would have bankrupted the country in a fortnight had he really meant what he said, did not stop him getting quite a bit of support. Suddenly we have someone from the left being something of a Farage.

The odd thing is that the right wing media are giving him lots of coverage.

Everyone raising their eyes at the promise of renationalising the railways is rather odd as many conservatives were against its sell off.

We've seen the failure of some privatised industries and many youngsters are concerned about the power of G4. As are some old blokes as well.

The populace will vote for a stable economy, that's the norm in the main. If, as some old blokes fear, the economy is heading for some difficulties in the near future, and if this happens nearer the GE then there might well be problems. Don't forget that the tories are going to go through their own leadership election before the next GE and given their past, this could well be divisive.

What is unsaid is that Corbyn is old. He will no longer be leader in 10 years. His replacement is going to be 'interesting'.

End of labour and such is a trifle premature. It has the infrastructure.


Vaud

50,846 posts

157 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Derek Smith said:
What is unsaid is that Corbyn is old. He will no longer be leader in 10 years. His replacement is going to be 'interesting'.

End of labour and such is a trifle premature. It has the infrastructure.
Or will core Blairites split and do an SDP with the Lib Dems?

hornetrider

63,161 posts

207 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Derek Smith said:
He says that many people see no hope of getting a house, they are messed around by landlords, are paying a fortune for rail fares as there's little hope of living near where they work, and all of a sudden there's someone who provides an answer.
What's the answer he's given?

turbobloke

104,416 posts

262 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Dave_lotus said:
Einion Yrth said:
turbobloke said:
With luck, CMD's lot will evolve into a Conservative Party.
I'll not be holding my breath in anticipation.
Yeah, a party not only espousing but enacting lower taxes, reduced benefits, restrictions on trade unions, effective economic management that has increased growth and employment but controlled inflation. How dare they call themselves conservative.
Greater economic competence hasn't been disputed. Not a good choice.

A one-nation Conservative government wouldn't be willing to continue enriching wealthy landowners by killing pensioners and forcing households into choices between heating and eating in the most ridiculous and competely baseless distortion of the energy market in living memory and possibly beyond.

Some taxes are falling, slowly, and that's fine but non-Conservative interference is about to raise £100m for shopkeepers (£20m in VAT for the government) as Nanny Conservative State tells us what we can and cannot carry our shopping in or line our kitchen bins with, in a pointless act of tokenism which is not so much about the sums of money involved but the principle. Placating the hysterically uninformed isn't Conservatism, traditionally it's the job of hysterically uninformed Labour maladministrations.

Then there's "we have a plan for every stage of your life" which isn't vintage Neil Kinnock but CMD in the 2015 manifesto, what happened to small government and a hands-off lack of lifestyle micromanagement typical of Conservatism? It's been Labour's costly cruel and unkind habit to superglue as many people as possible to Nanny State's nipples. Fewer MPs eventually but however many bigger state initiatives we'll end up with it's more than I'd like

Dave_lotus said:
They shouldn't adapt other polices to meet a changing world, they should stick to the exact policies of all past Tories...
By no means. Those are your words.

I voted Conservative in May but not because CMD is a Conservative in anything but name. They're the best of a bad lot mainly because of greater competence in managing the economy, which is undisputed and a key issue.

Mark Benson

7,555 posts

271 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
hornetrider said:
Derek Smith said:
He says that many people see no hope of getting a house, they are messed around by landlords, are paying a fortune for rail fares as there's little hope of living near where they work, and all of a sudden there's someone who provides an answer.
What's the answer he's given?
His first job as PM will be to re-nationalise the magic money tree planting industry - this will bring prosperity to all.

And free turnips.

Derek Smith

45,878 posts

250 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Vaud said:
Derek Smith said:
What is unsaid is that Corbyn is old. He will no longer be leader in 10 years. His replacement is going to be 'interesting'.

End of labour and such is a trifle premature. It has the infrastructure.
Or will core Blairites split and do an SDP with the Lib Dems?
I has happened before of course. The SDP had a support rating of 40% at one time. Mind you, the gang of three plus Owen had some quality leaders. It has failed before as well of course.

Whilst much is similar to those times with a resurgent left, much is different. The LibDems failed spectacularly, but have done so many times int he past.

The rise of the UKIP was quite remarkable. The party promised much, again promising a money tree to fund more soldiers, more police, more prisons, more this, that and the other. I doubt if anyone believed them - hope not - but there was still a substantial vote for him.

If labour fall from grace then there will be a gap in the market. In that case, the question is what will replace it.

The ukip is an example of what can happen if the populace feel a need.


motco

16,012 posts

248 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Derek Smith said:
The ukip is an example of what can happen if the populace feel a need.

...and quite a lot of said populace are convinced by J Corbyn Esq. that there is a need for his form of messianic evangelism. I am steadily getting a bad feeling about this.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

200 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
motco said:
Derek Smith said:
The ukip is an example of what can happen if the populace feel a need.

...and quite a lot of said populace are convinced by J Corbyn Esq. that there is a need for his form of messianic evangelism. I am steadily getting a bad feeling about this.
I wouldn't worry his appeal is largely restricted to Labour heartlands and students. It positions Labour as a pressure group not a potential Government. They are a threat to the wealth of too large a section of the voting public to be electable with Corbyn as leader.

NoNeed

15,137 posts

202 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
motco said:
Derek Smith said:
The ukip is an example of what can happen if the populace feel a need.

...and quite a lot of said populace are convinced by J Corbyn Esq. that there is a need for his form of messianic evangelism. I am steadily getting a bad feeling about this.
I had a bad feeling at the start, but the people here are convinced I was wrong.

anonymous-user

56 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
motco said:
Derek Smith said:
The ukip is an example of what can happen if the populace feel a need.

...and quite a lot of said populace are convinced by J Corbyn Esq. that there is a need for his form of messianic evangelism. I am steadily getting a bad feeling about this.
I wouldn't worry his appeal is largely restricted to Labour heartlands and students. It positions Labour as a pressure group not a potential Government. They are a threat to the wealth of too large a section of the voting public to be electable with Corbyn as leader.
I'm also surprised people think they are hijacking the Labour Party by supporting Corbyn. I think he's more electable than any of the other candidates. Much better for people to vote for one of the failures from the election and keep blaming them for the economy. There are plenty of people (that voted for all parties) that desperately want a new kind of politician and politics and Corbyn is the only one that represents any kind of change.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

200 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
el stovey said:
Timmy40 said:
motco said:
Derek Smith said:
The ukip is an example of what can happen if the populace feel a need.

...and quite a lot of said populace are convinced by J Corbyn Esq. that there is a need for his form of messianic evangelism. I am steadily getting a bad feeling about this.
I wouldn't worry his appeal is largely restricted to Labour heartlands and students. It positions Labour as a pressure group not a potential Government. They are a threat to the wealth of too large a section of the voting public to be electable with Corbyn as leader.
I'm also surprised people think they are hijacking the Labour Party by supporting Corbyn. I think he's more electable than any of the other candidates. Much better for people to vote for one of the failures from the election and keep blaming them for the economy. There are plenty of people (that voted for all parties) that desperately want a new kind of politician and politics and Corbyn is the only one that represents any kind of change.
I suspect a lot of Labour MPs in marginal seats are rather concerned about there career prospects! However I bet Corbyn will go down well in the Peoples Shining Republic of Scotland, so may well be a winner there.

Cobnapint

8,647 posts

153 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
hornetrider said:
Derek Smith said:
He says that many people see no hope of getting a house, they are messed around by landlords, are paying a fortune for rail fares as there's little hope of living near where they work, and all of a sudden there's someone who provides an answer.
What's the answer he's given?
I was going to say - he's providing what many mouth breathers 'think' is the answer.

anonymous-user

56 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
I suspect a lot of Labour MPs in marginal seats are rather concerned about there career prospects! However I bet Corbyn will go down well in the Peoples Shining Republic of Scotland, so may well be a winner there.
. . . and the rest of the UK. Plenty of people will agree with his anti austerity and nationalisation of services stance, for much the same reasons the SNP has become more popular in Scotland.

At the moment the choice for labour is more Identikit career politicians or Corbyn. I think he'll be a lot more popular than people imagine. The other contenders are all the same, utterly dull and entirely lacking in charisma. They're just the tarnished smouldering remains of Ed's disastrous era.

In the end though, I doubt he can really occupy the middle (new labour) ground that kept Tony Blair in Number 10 for so long. Perhaps if labour can get the voting age reduced they'd have a better chance.

deadslow

8,061 posts

225 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
I suspect a lot of Labour MPs in marginal seats are rather concerned about there career prospects! However I bet Corbyn will go down well in the Peoples Shining Republic of Scotland, so may well be a winner there.
Comrade, its the moronic English who support Labour. They have no presence in Scotland.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

200 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
el stovey said:
Perhaps if labour can get the voting age reduced they'd have a better chance.
Agreed, the young like the idea of redistribution of wealth and high income taxes because they have little in the way of assets and low incomes, unfortunately for Labour they tend to grow up, buy a house, earn a reasonable wage and all of a sudden decide giving it away isn't such a good idea. That's labours structural problem, they struggle in a population that's demographically mature.

anonymous-user

56 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
Agreed, the young like the idea of redistribution of wealth and high income taxes because they have little in the way of assets and low incomes, unfortunately for Labour they tend to grow up, buy a house, earn a reasonable wage and all of a sudden decide giving it away isn't such a good idea. That's labours structural problem, they struggle in a population that's demographically mature.
And many more old people vote than young people. People with pensions depending on the stock market and homes they want to reduce inheritance tax on and not really wanting change etc etc

daytona365

1,773 posts

166 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Labour. The no hopers deadbeats party, with the way the country's descending they stand a better and better chance. All they need are a few million more third world freeloaders for their dreams to come to fruition.

motco

16,012 posts

248 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
A serious weakness is his quick temper.

Timmy40

12,915 posts

200 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
motco said:
A serious weakness is his quick temper.
Never stopped Gordon Brown though did it. Is there some reason why the media always seem to present a left winger who has a terrible temper as warm and lovely.

crankedup

25,764 posts

245 months

Monday 10th August 2015
quotequote all
Timmy40 said:
motco said:
A serious weakness is his quick temper.
Never stopped Gordon Brown though did it. Is there some reason why the media always seem to present a left winger who has a terrible temper as warm and lovely.
All politicians can come across as warm and lovely, for example that chap who thought he was a cat. biggrin