The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

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Discussion

Knock_knock

577 posts

178 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
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rolando said:
Interesting article, if one allows for the general bias.

Fascinating to me that this was the first off-shore wind project - I hadn't realised they had been operating for so long.

I was trying to put this into context for that time... Ford were replacing the Sierra with the first generation Modeo while this was being built. Given how far the current Mondeo has come when compared with the last of the Sierra's gives me some inkling how far the engineering for wind turbines has probably progressed too.

V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

134 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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rolando said:
The worlds first wind farm pensioned off: a post-mortem
Capacity factor of 22% and only generated 55% of the anticipated output.
No doubt there will be some who think this performance good. They are entitled to that view but this just goes to show that the wind industy's predictions should be taken with a huge pinch of salt.
No mention of the minimum capacity factor i.e. how much back-up was required.

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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V8 Fettler said:
No mention of the minimum capacity factor i.e. how much back-up was required.
I would suggest either 0% or pretty damned close to that when no wind. i.e. 100% back-up.

Also, don't forget down time when there's no need for wind and constraint payments made for the white elephants to stand idle.

Edited by rolando on Thursday 19th October 08:39

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
rolando said:
Proven reliability?
Other than being the SWT 6.0-154 supplied by the biggest manufacturer of Offshore wind turbines and their current model, most widely deployed last year and producing on multiple sites currently.......
Germany : Anzetel
Germany : Arkonabecken Südost
Germany : Gode Wind I
Germany : Gode Wind II
Germany : Veja Mate
United-Kingdom : Dudgeon
United-Kingdom : Galloper
United-Kingdom : Hunterston Test Site
United-Kingdom : Race Bank
United-Kingdom : Westermost Rough


I'd say the odds on it being a better more reliable turbine is high
I thought that yesterday Sturgeon was flying around the first ever floating wind farm.

LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
quotequote all
rolando said:
V8 Fettler said:
No mention of the minimum capacity factor i.e. how much back-up was required.
I would suggest either 0% or pretty damned close to that when no wind. i.e. 100% back-up.

Also, don't forget down time when there's no need for wind and constraint payments made for the white elephants to stand idle.

Edited by rolando on Thursday 19th October 08:39
At that scale at that time as a test bed I doubt anyone needed to think about backup capacity.

LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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rolando said:
I thought that yesterday Sturgeon was flying around the first ever floating wind farm.
Surely she should have been swimming round it?

She seems to be a graduate of the Richard Branson school of self promotion.

Presumably the device in which she was flying produces zero carbon during its lifetime?

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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Broomstick?

scratchchin

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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Ali G said:
Broomstick?

scratchchin
Absolutely. Wind powered.

turbobloke

104,407 posts

262 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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rolando said:
Ali G said:
Broomstick?

scratchchin
Absolutely. Wind powered.
Made with timber from a sustainable forest, so not one of those relic forests found buried under ice in the arctic circle from a significantly warmer era before windymills saved us from today's naturally cooler climate.

silly

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
rolando said:
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
rolando said:
Proven reliability?
Other than being the SWT 6.0-154 supplied by the biggest manufacturer of Offshore wind turbines and their current model, most widely deployed last year and producing on multiple sites currently…
Germany : Anzetel
Germany : Arkonabecken Südost
Germany : Gode Wind I
Germany : Gode Wind II
Germany : Veja Mate
United-Kingdom : Dudgeon
United-Kingdom : Galloper
United-Kingdom : Hunterston Test Site
United-Kingdom : Race Bank
United-Kingdom : Westermost Rough


I'd say the odds on it being a better more reliable turbine is high
I thought that yesterday Sturgeon was flying around the first ever floating wind farm.
She was. That was my point you missed entirely.


Which turbine does it use ?
My question as to reliability was aimed at the technology used in keeping the things afloat.

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
The Technology of buoyancy?
In a hostile environment.

Glade

4,273 posts

225 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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The Bottom Line - Batteries - @bbcradio4 http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b096jb29

This episode has centrica peak supply division (currently gas but looking at battery), a next-gen battery manufacturer and a company who make battery farms talking about advances in storage that will enable local generation to take off.

They think there will be a tipping point where local storage can resolve the variability of renewables.

I hadn't even heard of lithium-sulphur batteries... But right now they have prototypes with 3x energy density of lithium-ion. Apparently it's only the start if the technology.

A company using recycled leaf batteries to set up battery farms.

A good listen.

Edited by Glade on Thursday 19th October 20:52

Ali G

3,526 posts

284 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
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There is an old proverb, perhaps based in ancient knowledge, which is similar too:

"Look before you leap"

Shockingly outdated in modern day "Will Do or be Damned" society, but still worth a mention.

LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
quotequote all
Glade said:
The Bottom Line - Batteries - @bbcradio4 http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b096jb29

This episode has centrica peak supply division (currently gas but looking at battery), a next-gen battery manufacturer and a company who make battery farms talking about advances in storage that will enable local generation to take off.

They think there will be a tipping point where local storage can resolve the variability of renewables.

I hadn't even heard of lithium-sulphur batteries... But right now they have prototypes with 3x energy density of lithium-ion. Apparently it's only the start if the technology.

A company using recycled leaf batteries to set up battery farms.

A good listen.

Edited by Glade on Thursday 19th October 20:52
Has the Leaf really been around so long that a substantial number of batteries are available to be repurposed?



V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

134 months

Thursday 19th October 2017
quotequote all
LongQ said:
rolando said:
V8 Fettler said:
No mention of the minimum capacity factor i.e. how much back-up was required.
I would suggest either 0% or pretty damned close to that when no wind. i.e. 100% back-up.

Also, don't forget down time when there's no need for wind and constraint payments made for the white elephants to stand idle.

Edited by rolando on Thursday 19th October 08:39
At that scale at that time as a test bed I doubt anyone needed to think about backup capacity.
Unfortunately, few appear to consider minimum capacity factor irrespective of scale.

Gary C

12,623 posts

181 months

Friday 20th October 2017
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Hostile ?

Define Hostile pls - like guns and that, or clueless idiots


Are you suggesting it’s better or worse than FPSO’s ?


Does bouyancy change in ‘hostile’ environment?
It does if you get a leak !

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Friday 20th October 2017
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Gary C said:
It does if you get a leak !
Precisely.

Glug!

LongQ

13,864 posts

235 months

Saturday 21st October 2017
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Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Rolando,

Don't be so stupid. You look an idiot.

Grow up and join the conversation - rather actually questioning whether things 'float'.
I would imagine that a lot of effort will have been put into the tethering technology for both location (based on oil and gas rig work?) and electrical connections.

Presumably also it will have been a requirement to consider the marine environment and maybe even the movement of submarines.

What sort of new and previously untested technology (untested in the sense of deployment long term for real production use 24/7) might there be that could add risk to the project success?

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

rolando

2,199 posts

157 months

Saturday 21st October 2017
quotequote all

A small scale scheme that'll work using 100 year old kit

Shame we don't all have a fast flowing stream at the bottom of the garden.