What’s your big gamble? (Volume 2)

What’s your big gamble? (Volume 2)

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petemurphy

10,144 posts

185 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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500 Miles said:
smile

I’m edging towards putting my AA proceeds into RBG... will need to review their accounts and ar before that I think.. was looking at RBG again last night and the leadership have previously bought in at higher levels, as well as investing during the rights issue - not huge levels but decent amounts.
aa will prob plummet now wink

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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petemurphy said:
aa will prob plummet now wink
Probably smile

TCX

1,976 posts

57 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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500 Miles said:
petemurphy said:
This may have been covered before but re SKIN i am loving the bullish tweets at the mo and have upped my stake but still dont know if I should get into MWG?

what are peoples thoughts? might as well stick it all in skin or is there a reason to have both etc?

Thanks
I’ve got both - although have 4.5 times as much (by value) SKIN than MWG. I bought them roughly at the same time and SKIN has increased by 29% whilst MWG has increased by 5.7%.

Also have AVACTA (half of my MWG holding) and it’s up by 7% - AVACTA have an agreement with SKIN and MWG.

No idea what the right answer is - SKIN seems to be the one that has the most potential, although it’s not 100% obvious..
Feels to me that me avct has turned the corner,news starting to flow,just need the test accepted rns n be well above previous 210p high ?

JustinF

6,795 posts

205 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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ANy thoughts on TATE, was announced that there'll be no tarrifs on imporrted sugar cane, TATE are the only importer of note as the competition use UK sourced beet. It's effectively handing them £76m in saved tarrifs this year.

Luke.

11,049 posts

252 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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JustinF said:
ANy thoughts on TATE, was announced that there'll be no tarrifs on imporrted sugar cane, TATE are the only importer of note as the competition use UK sourced beet. It's effectively handing them £76m in saved tarrifs this year.
Sweet deal.

JustinF

6,795 posts

205 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Luke. said:
JustinF said:
ANy thoughts on TATE, was announced that there'll be no tarrifs on imporrted sugar cane, TATE are the only importer of note as the competition use UK sourced beet. It's effectively handing them £76m in saved tarrifs this year.
Sweet deal.
You need the cane.

Benbay001

5,802 posts

159 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Volume 2? Where did the time go?

Did i miss anything interesting recently?

911pleb

378 posts

63 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Though not invested, I expect AML to have a good week. New boss starts and DBX reveiws come out. Good luck to all of you still in.

GGP should do something Friday morning at open following the results from partner company Newcrest on Thursday night. Fingers crossed its up and a lot! (It may just be a tickle until the proper GGP estimate is released later in the year though.)

Aa can fk right off.I sold at 23p ages ago having got bored... Im terrible at this game.


anonymous-user

56 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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911pleb said:
Aa can fk right off.I sold at 23p ages ago having got bored... Im terrible at this game.
AA

Same here, I bought in early May, sold in June for a small profit. I was never happy owning a company with so much debt when I cannot see how they can accumulate so much debt doing what they do. Surely all vans, offices etc are pay as you go not up front capital?

I have no idea why there looks to be a looming bidding war for AA, how are they going to grow it post acquisition? Whatever the debt is now that will grow by the purchase price (private equity companies ime just borrow to buy businesses then load that business with the debt making it even more indebted and thence even more untenable).

If you can make money by selling in the run up to the sale then good for you but I'd not hold post sale if I was you.

(That said what do I know with my inverse midas touch!)

dingg

4,032 posts

221 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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MikeStroud said:
AA

Same here, I bought in early May, sold in June for a small profit. I was never happy owning a company with so much debt when I cannot see how they can accumulate so much debt doing what they do. Surely all vans, offices etc are pay as you go not up front capital?

I have no idea why there looks to be a looming bidding war for AA, how are they going to grow it post acquisition? Whatever the debt is now that will grow by the purchase price (private equity companies ime just borrow to buy businesses then load that business with the debt making it even more indebted and thence even more untenable).

If you can make money by selling in the run up to the sale then good for you but I'd not hold post sale if I was you.

(That said what do I know with my inverse midas touch!)
Got to remember it was floated at 250p iirc and has reduced the amount of debt since then. Debt is now much cheaper to refinance...

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Benbay001 said:
Volume 2? Where did the time go?

Did i miss anything interesting recently?
We all became billionaires on the back of AA... Adam’s wheelbarrow is now so big it’s one of the only things you can see from outerspace.... Babcock didn’t go down one day.... we ‘lost’ our ceo at idp

Apart from that, it’s been quiet.

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
quotequote all
911pleb said:
Though not invested, I expect AML to have a good week. New boss starts and DBX reveiws come out. Good luck to all of you still in.

GGP should do something Friday morning at open following the results from partner company Newcrest on Thursday night. Fingers crossed its up and a lot! (It may just be a tickle until the proper GGP estimate is released later in the year though.)

Aa can fk right off.I sold at 23p ages ago having got bored... Im terrible at this game.
I think you’re right on AML - Will be interesting to hear how healthy the orders are for the DBX, a 12 month waiting list for a £200k 4x4 must have a positive impact on the shareprice.

I don’t expect the reviews to be anything else but positive. At that price point it’s up against the Urus (drives great but looks too much like an Audi for £200k), a Bentaga (mmm,.. a bit plain), a Cullinan (too much like a London taxi), or a Range Rover (too ubiquitous).. the DBX is expensive but like many of Astons cars they fit a niche of being high end, sporty but not overly flashy - I.e. you could turn up to a client in them without the client hating you immediately.. apologies to anyone whose car I may have insulted smile

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Did anyone happen to visit any Revolution Bars, or Cinemas this weekend?

A few pubs have said they’ve been v busy with “eat out to help” early in the week.

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Q&A with Cineworld CEO - https://uk.news.yahoo.com/q-cineworld-ceo-opening-...

Released after markets closed - not a hard hitting business interview but relatively optimistic.

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Sunday 9th August 2020
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Apologies for spamming!

https://finanz.dk/amc-entertainment-holdings-amc-c...

Q2 AMC (Cineworld competitor) results and investor call transcript above.

Summary -

- They have enough liquidity to last them through to beginning of 2021 with all cinemas shut.
- A third of their cinemas are open in Europe already, they believe all their cinemas will be open by 26th August (Tenets release date)
- They have made good progress reducing costs - rent, interest and staffing costs.
- They see the Universal deal as positive - although couldn’t really say much else - interestingly Universal are not able to tell audiences that a film will be released on Premium Video on Demand until it’s been shown for at least 2 weekends - they also said that 80% of revenue from a film is achieved in that two weeks.
- Premium Video on Demand means that people have to pay for the film, it’s not included in a bundle - Mulan is 30usd and the contract states it must be for a minimum of 20 usd.
- They have achieved decent revenue from cinemas that have opened and also strong food and beverage sales.

Obviously Cine is a different company but I was surprised at how upbeat AMC were - Cine also has the challenge of the upcoming legal battle which will weight on the sp.

Could be an interesting open tomorrow for AA and Cine.. Babcock will probably drop.


NMNeil

5,860 posts

52 months

Monday 10th August 2020
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May look at a short call spread in Tesla tomorrow.

ALawson

7,821 posts

253 months

Monday 10th August 2020
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Well the EUA news is official now via RNS, hopefully Fridays late gains continue!

TILs RNS won't keep the LSE lot happy.

TCX

1,976 posts

57 months

Monday 10th August 2020
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ALawson said:
Well the EUA news is official now via RNS, hopefully Fridays late gains continue!

TILs RNS won't keep the LSE lot happy.
Lol hope not....want to buy more eua...but reckon today n more news will send it higher

500 Miles

Original Poster:

1,798 posts

228 months

Monday 10th August 2020
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Good news on Capita for £355m extension to running the congestion charge..

Superdry has sorted out new financing, not sure how the market will respond to their trading update - says better than expected but we’ll see.

rsbmw

3,464 posts

107 months

Monday 10th August 2020
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CINE seems happier this morn after AMC news
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