Spread betting as a full time occupation...

Spread betting as a full time occupation...

Author
Discussion

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Thursday 28th October 2010
quotequote all
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
See my reply?
Shadow

I accept there are people trading in the other direction to me all the time. Some will lose and some will win. I dont win all the time. But surely if GBP goes up 2% during a day then there must be more buyers than sellers. Therefore if there are more buyers than sellers then you could argue that there are more winners, because it went up and they won. However all too often I hear / read that for every trade there is someone on the loosing end of that trade. But as I have just explained more traders were winners. So maybe the people losing are those who are not trading. They are just holding the asset.
That wouldn't move the price as it has to be matched on a ladder, surely?

As I say (and understand it), stop loss orders and people exiting their shorts prior to the data release as it shoots up plus people picking tops, then getting their stop loss orders hit later on, too, as people take profit. Or something similar. wobble

Edited by ShadownINja on Thursday 28th October 23:21

DonkeyApple

56,295 posts

171 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
Here it is. OP you might find some useful info on here if you are still interested:

http://www.pistonheads.com/gassing/topic.asp?h=0&a...
Don't go there. hehe

(If only because binaries have wider spreads than before AFAIK.)
Indeed. That episode was one big clustrefk from start to finish. biggrin

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
Here it is. OP you might find some useful info on here if you are still interested:

http://www.pistonheads.com/gassing/topic.asp?h=0&a...
Don't go there. hehe

(If only because binaries have wider spreads than before AFAIK.)
Indeed. That episode was one big clustrefk from start to finish. biggrin
Steady. It wasn't that bad if you bailed before expiry.

R11ysf

1,940 posts

184 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
ATM said:
I accept there are people trading in the other direction to me all the time. Some will lose and some will win. I dont win all the time. But surely if GBP goes up 2% during a day then there must be more buyers than sellers. Therefore if there are more buyers than sellers then you could argue that there are more winners, because it went up and they won. However all too often I hear / read that for every trade there is someone on the loosing end of that trade. But as I have just explained more traders were winners. So maybe the people losing are those who are not trading. They are just holding the asset.
There are so many different types of people that make up the market, so when you nick 20 ticks out of EURGBP or whatever there are loads of pension funds, insurance funds, other traders, full time asset holders etc etc etc who don't care about the tick and just take the position on to their books. They therefore don't see it as a "loss" they just take it as a position. Also you don't know what they've hedged against.

The "zero sum game" is true of futures, but in some circumstances it is possible for everyone to win. Take a share launched at 10p at IPO, then the company does well. Some people sell out at 20p and take a profit, and the shares continue to rise. As long as no-one naked shorts it and it continues to go up then every person who buys and passes on wins. It only creates losers if the share falls - i.e a ponzi scheme.

marky1

1,047 posts

198 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
See my reply?
Shadow

I accept there are people trading in the other direction to me all the time. Some will lose and some will win. I dont win all the time. But surely if GBP goes up 2% during a day then there must be more buyers than sellers. Therefore if there are more buyers than sellers then you could argue that there are more winners, because it went up and they won. However all too often I hear / read that for every trade there is someone on the loosing end of that trade. But as I have just explained more traders were winners. So maybe the people losing are those who are not trading. They are just holding the asset.
That wouldn't move the price as it has to be matched on a ladder, surely?

As I say (and understand it), stop loss orders and people exiting their shorts prior to the data release as it shoots up plus people picking tops, then getting their stop loss orders hit later on, too, as people take profit. Or something similar. wobble

Edited by ShadownINja on Thursday 28th October 23:21
The price is rising because the seller knows he can get a higher price for what he has, and the buyer is willing to pay more than he previously was for something. For every buyer there is a seller.

ATM

18,463 posts

221 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
Yes I only trade EUR / GBP / CHF

I never trade anything else

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
marky1 said:
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
See my reply?
Shadow

I accept there are people trading in the other direction to me all the time. Some will lose and some will win. I dont win all the time. But surely if GBP goes up 2% during a day then there must be more buyers than sellers. Therefore if there are more buyers than sellers then you could argue that there are more winners, because it went up and they won. However all too often I hear / read that for every trade there is someone on the loosing end of that trade. But as I have just explained more traders were winners. So maybe the people losing are those who are not trading. They are just holding the asset.
That wouldn't move the price as it has to be matched on a ladder, surely?

As I say (and understand it), stop loss orders and people exiting their shorts prior to the data release as it shoots up plus people picking tops, then getting their stop loss orders hit later on, too, as people take profit. Or something similar. wobble

Edited by ShadownINja on Thursday 28th October 23:21
The price is rising because the seller knows he can get a higher price for what he has, and the buyer is willing to pay more than he previously was for something. For every buyer there is a seller.
Ta. The point being that in order for the price to rise, the prices have to be matched. It doesn't move if everyone holds their positions.

DonkeyApple

56,295 posts

171 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
marky1 said:
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
See my reply?
Shadow

I accept there are people trading in the other direction to me all the time. Some will lose and some will win. I dont win all the time. But surely if GBP goes up 2% during a day then there must be more buyers than sellers. Therefore if there are more buyers than sellers then you could argue that there are more winners, because it went up and they won. However all too often I hear / read that for every trade there is someone on the loosing end of that trade. But as I have just explained more traders were winners. So maybe the people losing are those who are not trading. They are just holding the asset.
That wouldn't move the price as it has to be matched on a ladder, surely?

As I say (and understand it), stop loss orders and people exiting their shorts prior to the data release as it shoots up plus people picking tops, then getting their stop loss orders hit later on, too, as people take profit. Or something similar. wobble

Edited by ShadownINja on Thursday 28th October 23:21
The price is rising because the seller knows he can get a higher price for what he has, and the buyer is willing to pay more than he previously was for something. For every buyer there is a seller.
Ta. The point being that in order for the price to rise, the prices have to be matched. It doesn't move if everyone holds their positions.
Market gapping and market makers? wink

wolves_wanderer

12,422 posts

239 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
EUR/USD GBP/USD and looking at but not currently trading AUD/USD

limpsfield

5,896 posts

255 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
Steady. It wasn't that bad if you bailed before expiry.
!!!!

Facepalm as the geeks say I think

I am just waiting for someone to kick that whole thread off again. It was fascinating.

ATM

18,463 posts

221 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
limpsfield said:
ShadownINja said:
Steady. It wasn't that bad if you bailed before expiry.
!!!!

Facepalm as the geeks say I think

I am just waiting for someone to kick that whole thread off again. It was fascinating.
I was tempted but I just posted the link.....

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
ShadownINja said:
marky1 said:
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
See my reply?
Shadow

I accept there are people trading in the other direction to me all the time. Some will lose and some will win. I dont win all the time. But surely if GBP goes up 2% during a day then there must be more buyers than sellers. Therefore if there are more buyers than sellers then you could argue that there are more winners, because it went up and they won. However all too often I hear / read that for every trade there is someone on the loosing end of that trade. But as I have just explained more traders were winners. So maybe the people losing are those who are not trading. They are just holding the asset.
That wouldn't move the price as it has to be matched on a ladder, surely?

As I say (and understand it), stop loss orders and people exiting their shorts prior to the data release as it shoots up plus people picking tops, then getting their stop loss orders hit later on, too, as people take profit. Or something similar. wobble

Edited by ShadownINja on Thursday 28th October 23:21
The price is rising because the seller knows he can get a higher price for what he has, and the buyer is willing to pay more than he previously was for something. For every buyer there is a seller.
Ta. The point being that in order for the price to rise, the prices have to be matched. It doesn't move if everyone holds their positions.
Market gapping and market makers? wink
True. Forgot them.

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Friday 29th October 2010
quotequote all
limpsfield said:
ShadownINja said:
Steady. It wasn't that bad if you bailed before expiry.
!!!!

Facepalm as the geeks say I think
Hardly.

ATM

18,463 posts

221 months

Tuesday 2nd November 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
EURUSD, mainly, and sometimes, AUDUSD. Have flirted with EURGBP but still learning its "characteristics".
How did you get on today shadow?

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Tuesday 2nd November 2010
quotequote all
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
EURUSD, mainly, and sometimes, AUDUSD. Have flirted with EURGBP but still learning its "characteristics".
How did you get on today shadow?
Well, had I been awake at 1am (well, I was but I was far too tired thanks to playing Battlefield 2 non-stop for 3 hours and I don't like taking night-time trades), I'd have raped the market as I have been bullish all along.

I was also out yesterday evening so missed the Aussie trade that was a beauty, too. EURGBP is making me nervous, though, so I wouldn't have been in that trade.

This is the annoying thing about trading currencies. The moves can happen at any time of the day. Sure, you can say I'll trade from 8am to 6pm, then the set up occurs at 1am. Or 7am. So you wake up at 7am. The beaut kicks in at 6.30am. So you wake up 6am. The big move hits at 5am... The only solution is to never sleep and never leave your desk.

Edited by ShadownINja on Tuesday 2nd November 18:25

NoelWatson

11,710 posts

244 months

Tuesday 2nd November 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
EURUSD, mainly, and sometimes, AUDUSD. Have flirted with EURGBP but still learning its "characteristics".
How did you get on today shadow?
Well, had I been awake at 1am (well, I was but I was far too tired thanks to playing Battlefield 2 non-stop for 3 hours and I don't like taking night-time trades), I'd have raped the market as I have been bullish all along.

I was also out yesterday evening so missed the Aussie trade that was a beauty, too. EURGBP is making me nervous, though, so I wouldn't have been in that trade.

This is the annoying thing about trading currencies. The moves can happen at any time of the day. Sure, you can say I'll trade from 8am to 6pm, then the set up occurs at 1am. Or 7am. So you wake up at 7am. The beaut kicks in at 6.30am. So you wake up 6am. The big move hits at 5am... The only solution is to never sleep and never leave your desk.

Edited by ShadownINja on Tuesday 2nd November 18:25
Shirely you could write something to trade on your behalf?

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Tuesday 2nd November 2010
quotequote all
NoelWatson said:
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
EURUSD, mainly, and sometimes, AUDUSD. Have flirted with EURGBP but still learning its "characteristics".
How did you get on today shadow?
Well, had I been awake at 1am (well, I was but I was far too tired thanks to playing Battlefield 2 non-stop for 3 hours and I don't like taking night-time trades), I'd have raped the market as I have been bullish all along.

I was also out yesterday evening so missed the Aussie trade that was a beauty, too. EURGBP is making me nervous, though, so I wouldn't have been in that trade.

This is the annoying thing about trading currencies. The moves can happen at any time of the day. Sure, you can say I'll trade from 8am to 6pm, then the set up occurs at 1am. Or 7am. So you wake up at 7am. The beaut kicks in at 6.30am. So you wake up 6am. The big move hits at 5am... The only solution is to never sleep and never leave your desk.

Edited by ShadownINja on Tuesday 2nd November 18:25
Shirely you could write something to trade on your behalf?
I'm not clever enough. Besides, I like to watch the price before going in.

ATM

18,463 posts

221 months

Tuesday 2nd November 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
ShadownINja said:
redstu said:
Does anyone here just trade solely in currencies or even just a single rate such as sterling/euro?
EURUSD, mainly, and sometimes, AUDUSD. Have flirted with EURGBP but still learning its "characteristics".
How did you get on today shadow?
Well, had I been awake at 1am (well, I was but I was far too tired thanks to playing Battlefield 2 non-stop for 3 hours and I don't like taking night-time trades), I'd have raped the market as I have been bullish all along.

I was also out yesterday evening so missed the Aussie trade that was a beauty, too. EURGBP is making me nervous, though, so I wouldn't have been in that trade.

This is the annoying thing about trading currencies. The moves can happen at any time of the day. Sure, you can say I'll trade from 8am to 6pm, then the set up occurs at 1am. Or 7am. So you wake up at 7am. The beaut kicks in at 6.30am. So you wake up 6am. The big move hits at 5am... The only solution is to never sleep and never leave your desk.
What time zone are you in?

ShadownINja

76,680 posts

284 months

Tuesday 2nd November 2010
quotequote all
ATM said:
What time zone are you in?
People's Republic of Greater London.

ATM

18,463 posts

221 months

Wednesday 3rd November 2010
quotequote all
ShadownINja said:
ATM said:
What time zone are you in?
People's Republic of Greater London.
OK not sure why you would need to be up at 1am. There were plenty of opportunities yesterday at around 10-11am and again at 2-3pm.