Bitcoin et al

Author
Discussion

ATV

556 posts

197 months

Sunday 29th October 2017
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Behemoth said:
I don't know. But if you prove it's trading then iirc you're up for income tax. I think you may also have to show it's a real "occupation", involving part of your time and not some bot driven thing that took 5 mins to set up. There are more knowledgeable ppl here that may clarify this.
Understood. I'll have to proceed carefully and get more advice before I do anything. I might put a separate post in the Finance section rather than hijacking this thread. Thanks for the info.

x5x3 said:
have you already used your CGT allowance?
The 2017/8 CGT allowance is £11,300 this year which would put me over for the amount of BTC I want to swap into ETH scratchchin

I personally think swtiching to ETH will get me a better return ($300 now and I think in 2 years it can hit $3,000. For BTC to hit a 1,000% increase in 2 years it would have to go from $6,000 to $60,000 which is unlikely IMHO)

x5x3

2,424 posts

255 months

Sunday 29th October 2017
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ATV said:
The 2017/8 CGT allowance is £11,300 this year which would put me over for the amount of BTC I want to swap into ETH scratchchin

I personally think swtiching to ETH will get me a better return ($300 now and I think in 2 years it can hit $3,000. For BTC to hit a 1,000% increase in 2 years it would have to go from $6,000 to $60,000 which is unlikely IMHO)
I think CGT only applies to the profit you made not the total amount, e.g. if you bought 1 BTC at £2000 and sold/exchanged it at £4500 then your gain is £2500.

And I believe if you are married/civil partner then you can also use their allowance so that would be £22.6K per year of profit before tax.

I do like ETH myself but I don't see it out-performing BTC.

Behemoth

2,105 posts

133 months

Sunday 29th October 2017
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Yes, it's gain not absolute cost/value

WindyCommon

3,402 posts

241 months

Sunday 29th October 2017
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ATV said:
I personally think swtiching to ETH will get me a better return ($300 now and I think in 2 years it can hit $3,000. For BTC to hit a 1,000% increase in 2 years it would have to go from $6,000 to $60,000 which is unlikely IMHO)
Interesting. Could you explain why you think ETH may be a ten-bagger over a 2 year period, but not BTC?

What would you see as the probability of either of them going to 1/10th (or less) of their current value over the same 2 year period?

Croutons

10,026 posts

168 months

Sunday 29th October 2017
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BCH was up nearly 30% for a while today.

Dropped back now and still way off all time (lol, such as "all time" is) highs, but jeez this game messes with your head!

ATV

556 posts

197 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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WindyCommon said:
ATV said:
I personally think swtiching to ETH will get me a better return ($300 now and I think in 2 years it can hit $3,000. For BTC to hit a 1,000% increase in 2 years it would have to go from $6,000 to $60,000 which is unlikely IMHO)
Interesting. Could you explain why you think ETH may be a ten-bagger over a 2 year period, but not BTC?

What would you see as the probability of either of them going to 1/10th (or less) of their current value over the same 2 year period?
Honestly I couldn't tell you why I don't think BTC can go up $54,000 in 104 weeks, it's just a gut feeling. ETH came out only 2 years ago but I think it's got a lot of potential and could credibly overtake BTC. I don't think a $2,700 increase in 24 months is beyond the realms of possibility for ether but I'm just another forum member giving his views.

Both coins could go absolutely massive in the next decade (and I personally think they will) but then again, first-mover advantage never helped Netscape Navigator or Myspace. Chrome & Facebook rule the roost now.

The underlying technology (blockchains, smart contracts etc) might take us places we cannot even conceive of yet

Henrico

254 posts

185 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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I'd say Bitcoin was the blockchain's main use case and we'll see 6 figures BTC by 2020...

Behemoth

2,105 posts

133 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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ATV said:
first-mover advantage never helped Netscape Navigator or Myspace. Chrome & Facebook rule the roost now.
Bitcoin is better viewed as a protocol, not client software or a website. TCP/IP is a protocol. First tested in '75. We're still using it..

XMT

3,826 posts

149 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Henrico said:
I'd say Bitcoin was the blockchain's main use case and we'll see 6 figures BTC by 2020...
Do you honestly think it would reach 6 figures? Seems quite a stretch, what is your thinking behind it?

WindyCommon

3,402 posts

241 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Henrico said:
I'd say Bitcoin was the blockchain's main use case and we'll see 6 figures BTC by 2020...
Why though?

BTC will be no rarer than it is today; in fact there will be more of them in existence. If more people will want them, what will they want them for and why will they be prepared to pay substantially more (in fiat terms) than they have to today? Even if blockchain technology becomes widely used for payments (and other cases of record-keeping) how does that affect the value of a BTC?

Unlike a share, there is no possibility that BTC will have earnings as such. Unlike a bond it won’t be paying a coupon. Unlike a property it won’t be generating rental income. Unlike a commodity it doesn’t (yet) have underlying commercial demand.

The question of why a BTC has any intrinsic value remains unanswered. I am asking here a slightly easier question: why should any value that it may have increase?

Bobajobbob

1,446 posts

98 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Is it because there are potentially 7 billion users of bitcoin and ultimately there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin in existence?

WindyCommon

3,402 posts

241 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Bobajobbob said:
Is it because there are potentially 7 billion users of bitcoin and ultimately there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin in existence?
What - that can’t be achieved through other means - will they be using it for?

Behemoth

2,105 posts

133 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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WindyCommon said:
why should any value that it may have increase?
Supply is limited and demand will increase because BTC will be used for basic, simple and widespread use cases such as remittances. Whether that happens by 2020 I don't know. Maybe just the clear promise of it happening is enough.

WindyCommon

3,402 posts

241 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Behemoth said:
WindyCommon said:
why should any value that it may have increase?
Supply is limited and demand will increase because BTC will be used for basic, simple and widespread use cases such as remittances. Whether that happens by 2020 I don't know. Maybe just the clear promise of it happening is enough.
Are you saying that I’ll need to have access to BTC in order to settle (basic, simple and widespread) transactions? Why won’t I be able to use GBP?

Behemoth

2,105 posts

133 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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WindyCommon said:
Are you saying that I’ll need to have access to BTC in order to settle (basic, simple and widespread) transactions? Why won’t I be able to use GBP?
Of course not. Remittances are a worldwide and currently expensive and time consuming process. Bitcoin will make them easy, cheap, immediate and permissionless.

Yipper

5,964 posts

92 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Bitcoin has gone beyond "bubble" and is now into "mania" territory.

The mania is more intense than tulips, tech stocks, and all other major bubbles of the past ~500 years.

History shows 100% of manias collapse.

Behemoth

2,105 posts

133 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Yipper said:
Bitcoin has gone beyond "bubble" and is now into "mania" territory.

The mania is more intense than tulips, tech stocks, and all other major bubbles of the past ~500 years.

History shows 100% of manias collapse.
History shows that 100% of your posts on this forum are tripe wink

MiggyA

193 posts

102 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Yipper said:
Bitcoin has gone beyond "bubble" and is now into "mania" territory.

The mania is more intense than tulips, tech stocks, and all other major bubbles of the past ~500 years.

History shows 100% of manias collapse.
So open yourself a nice juicy short position then...

bloomen

7,037 posts

161 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Yipper said:
Bitcoin has gone beyond "bubble" and is now into "mania" territory.
Have a browse on the Bitcointalk forums in late 2013. That was mania. Talk of bank loans, new paradigms, this time it's different.

Outside of certain alt forums that have already had their arses handed to them, there is no sign of that anywhere.

NickCQ

5,392 posts

98 months

Monday 30th October 2017
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Behemoth said:
Of course not. Remittances are a worldwide and currently expensive and time consuming process. Bitcoin will make them easy, cheap, immediate and permissionless.
You can do all of that with 7 transactions per second? Visa does 24,000.