Woodford anyone?

Author
Discussion

CaptainSensib1e

1,435 posts

222 months

Saturday 5th December 2020
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was8v said:
CaptainSensib1e said:
Far more culpable in my view are the FCA and Link. The FCA should have held him to account for breaching his limits on holding unquoted stocks, and Link should have provided far better governance, and had clearly made a lot of questionable decisions since the fund suspended which has resulted in a significant reduction in value returned to unit holders.
I'd written it off as a bad investment until I read things like this and looked into it.

Its surely verging on fraud to breach limits on unquoted stocks and have HL recommended the fund when they knew it was going south. Link governance had a big role! Or lack of. And the fees for selling the fund off - obscene and unreasonable.

Theres three lawsuits gunning for them, no win no fee so they must have something to get their teeth into.

Probably can only expect some tiny compo from the unfair selling off fees or something. But better than nowt.
The reason he breached the limits unquoted stocks is because the fund was experiencing large withdrawals and he was selling the more liquid stuff to meet redemptions. His small stocks were too illiquid to sell easily, so while he wasn't buying more of them the shrinking size of the fund meant they increased as a proportion of the fund, if that makes sense.

At a guess Link, the FCA and HL probably thought it was a short term situation and would be remedied by Woodford selling off those illiquid assets over time, but they were clearly wrong.

In the end the problem was essentially the fund management equivalent of a bank run, assets being pulled out faster than redemptions could be met, which was why trading in the fund was ultimately suspended.

CaptainSensib1e

1,435 posts

222 months

Saturday 5th December 2020
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Simpo Two said:
Phooey said:
CaptainSensib1e said:
This whole saga also demonstrates the challenges of letting investors make their own decisions without any advice. Few really understand how to create a balanced portfolio and end up taking far more risk then they realise by not diversifying sufficiently. But that's a discussion for another day.
I see your point but it also proves that taking advice (like I did) doesn't offer any guarantee of avoiding these types of funds. The only saving grace for me was it was just 5-6% of my pot invested in WF - diversification?. But it was still 5% too much. And shameful if you were charging your clients a commission for investing and managing in these types of 'risky' investments.
Bingo.

The first disconnect for me was the tech crash of 2000. I had an IFA. I thought 'But you're supposed to be looking after my money...' I know now that he was only looking after his percentage and only interested in getting to get more business on his books to get more percentages. If you're selling toothpaste in MLM, fine, but you're not...
There are some very good IFAs, and there are some terrible ones. A good IFA won't stop you from ever losing money, but they will have governance/processes in place to manage risks.

chip*

1,031 posts

229 months

Saturday 5th December 2020
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I will pay handsomely if anyone would kindly pm me the mobile number of their advisor who can correctly predict the next market crash?

No? All advisors must be st...

Simpo Two

85,782 posts

266 months

Saturday 5th December 2020
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anonymous said:
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lol I used to believe that too. They do better to get more portfolios.

MikeKite

111 posts

55 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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anonymous said:
[redacted]

bitchstewie

51,885 posts

211 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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anonymous said:
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Is it about seeing a bubble coming or is it about thinking "hold on a moment he's spent 20 years buying companies like Lloyds and now he's buying cold fusion startups " in an equity income fund?

If people woke up tomorrow and saw Taylor Wimpey and easyJet were in the top 10 of Fundsmith I think you'd hear about it is probably the simplest parallel I can think of.

CaptainSensib1e

1,435 posts

222 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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MikeKite said:
Out of the 1000s of funds out there, why was Woodford so popular? Get to the bottom of that and you can may answer a lot of questions.

Edited by MikeKite on Sunday 6th December 08:08
Quite simply because between 1988 and 2017 he was one of the best performing managers investing in the UK, and he made a lot of people a lot of money over this period. People started to believe he was infallible, which he clearly wasn't.

trickywoo

11,926 posts

231 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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CaptainSensib1e said:
He started to believe he was infallible, which he clearly wasn't.
Corrected that for you.

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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IFAs arent really there to pick individual funds. If they're trying to do a fund manager's job they're likely setting themselves up for a fall.

bitchstewie

51,885 posts

211 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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anonymous said:
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Ugh too early. That'll teach me to read smile

MikeKite

111 posts

55 months

Sunday 6th December 2020
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CaptainSensib1e said:
MikeKite said:
Out of the 1000s of funds out there, why was Woodford so popular? Get to the bottom of that and you can may answer a lot of questions.

Edited by MikeKite on Sunday 6th December 08:08
Quite simply because between 1988 and 2017 he was one of the best performing managers investing in the UK, and he made a lot of people a lot of money over this period. People started to believe he was infallible, which he clearly wasn't.
He may have made a lot of people money but I'm not sure how the average investor would've fared given that they tend to buy high and sell low.

Maybe better education would stop people trying to pick winners and give better overall outcomes......

Stedman

7,229 posts

193 months

Monday 7th December 2020
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bhstewie said:
Is it about seeing a bubble coming or is it about thinking "hold on a moment he's spent 20 years buying companies like Lloyds and now he's buying cold fusion startups " in an equity income fund?

If people woke up tomorrow and saw Taylor Wimpey and easyJet were in the top 10 of Fundsmith I think you'd hear about it is probably the simplest parallel I can think of.
clap

CrgT16

1,988 posts

109 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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I am just a simpleton but stock trading does need to be complicated.

If you research a company well and think it will succeed in their business but it. If you don’t research it well you are leaving a lot to chance, effectively uneducated guess. Even with research there is a chance you get it wrong so diversify a little.

If you don’t want to research buy an global index fund and sit on it, regular payments will see you weather the dips in the market and some percentage of government bonds will be like the keel of a boat...

As for the dot.com bubble that was obvious.... how can a stock in a company raise multiple times the actual profits of the business without rebalancing itself? Seems logical to me. Let’s not forget that shares are like owing part of businesses so ultimately will be tied to how that business performs in real life. The problem is that the adjustment forge share price vs business profit is not real time.

I personally am happy with a lower but overall steady return than trying to beat the market and overall ending loosing or wasting too much money on fees. Like I said... simpleton.

CrgT16

1,988 posts

109 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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I am being naive but have returned between 7-10% overall over the last 6 years. Not amazing but good enough for me.

You are the one that’s naive. You think these people earn their money because they are worth it? Some (few) are, most put your money were they get better commission/management fees. Why did Woodford fail? Many reasons but if he was that good we wouldn’t have. Why many hedge fund managers fall into obscurity after a few golden years? Because it’s not about the pure skill it’s about how educated the guesswork is there is and there will always be a factor of uncertainty.

For my level the index linked funds work very well. I am not interested in beating the marked by taking risky chances, if you are or are wealthy and can afford to loose 5-6 figure sums that’s cool.

Perhaps if you are regularly investing 5-6 figures than one of those managers may offer you a little more but for most people there is no benefit. If your IFA makes you feel better and keeps changing funds or pushing in managed funds that have higher costs but don’t necessarily perform better than that’s fine too. Also when I say perform better I mean it in a stock market time frame which is the long term. I am not talking short term trading here.

Anyway, my small investments are working for me. I do have a job.

ferrisbueller

29,378 posts

228 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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Back on topic.

Can anyone explain in a nutshell the difference between the different parties looking to lead the legal action. There appear to be three?

CrgT16

1,988 posts

109 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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anonymous said:
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I never said I didn’t!!! You assumed that...

I have it invested in Vanguard Global, S&P500 and a few others.

Is that ok?

Zoon

6,725 posts

122 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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anonymous said:
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As an amateur I've managed over 15.5% for the last 2.5 years since I ditched my IFA who was managing 5%
It can be done.

CrgT16

1,988 posts

109 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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It certainly is... index funds will not beat the market but most likely will beat a managed fund in the long run.

Warren Buffett has said this himself and has instructions for his funds to be applied in this manner once he goes. He knows that no manager (including himself) can be consistent in the long term and for the majority indexed funds are good enough.

I expect to get a return in line with the global stock market gains. This should (not guaranteed) average around 10% a year. I’m in it for the long term 20 plus years. I am good with it.

It would be interesting to see what Chicken Dinner gets on his investments over the same period. Managed funds, etc only line the advisors pockets, the end result (in the long term) is probably worse than an indexed fund.

I am only interested in long term investing not short term so for short term other concepts will apply for sure and maybe a managed approach is better for those.

bitchstewie

51,885 posts

211 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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Zoon said:
As an amateur I've managed over 15.5% for the last 2.5 years since I ditched my IFA who was managing 5%
It can be done.
Genuine question are you getting that with the same attitude to risk/volatility that your IFA was using?

Zoon

6,725 posts

122 months

Tuesday 8th December 2020
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bhstewie said:
Genuine question are you getting that with the same attitude to risk/volatility that your IFA was using?
Yes, and much lower ongoing fees.
Some of the "independent" funds he picked all seemed to revolve around Quilter/Old Mutual and had pretty hefty fees.