What’s your big gamble?

[petemurphy]

MikeStroud said:

For those interested, the Telegraph fantasy share prize competition starts for real 8am Monday. In reality as the market is going down at present you're probably better off choosing NO SHARES until the market starts going up!

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/markets-hub/fantasy-fu...

we should perhaps have a sep thread? forgot about that today - put aml in yesterday so was well down today so hopefully they will rebound monday!

[rsbmw]

petemurphy said:

Adam B said:

jeez man, a space after a comma please

im sure tcx's tips are good but i cant understand a word!

£400 equating to 0.005% suggests he’s playing with £8M so can afford to do without grammar

[vulture1]

fizz47 said:

MikeStroud said:

Long ago someone gave me some good advice: Buy low, sell high. Easy isn't it?

Since then I have spent my entire gambling investing career buying high, then buying some more when they go low, then buying even more when they go even lower. I'm like a one man mission to force the fokker to go higher by buying 'em til there is none left to buy, but they confound me by going even lower.

Similar story here .... except it’s Shell instead of RR in my case... I keep thinking I purchased near the bottom only for it to keep dropping another few %. Shell is also my biggest holding.

I had plans to get shell for my forever fund and held off as I can only add £500 pcm to my account and wanted to get in on some crazy risers before the long term holds. Finally bit the bullet this week and have £500 of it which I will add another £500 next month. Oil will go up again I will bet my house on that and that will bring shell up. Then your 7% or so dividend on shares bought alot cheaper will be alot more and a nice yearly bonus. That is my view on it.

[Adam B]

vulture1 said:

I don't see the fascination with Babcock apart from a rise from july 2019 the max trend chart looks like a "has been" that could easy go much lower.

it's business is a lot of long term civil contracts so relatively CV19 proof, so it looks over-sold at 50% off Feb

[Timja]

It was an impulse buy really, thought maybe it was a temporary blip!

Could be some even lower points up ahead....

Next week will tell if this was a good or bad decision, was hoping to make 10%but if I end up holding Long term that’s also ok (probably having doubled down many times again!)

MikeStroud said:

Long ago someone gave me some good advice: Buy low, sell high. Easy isn't it?

Since then I have spent my entire gambling investing career buying high, then buying some more when they go low, then buying even more when they go even lower. I'm like a one man mission to force the fokker to go higher by buying 'em til there is none left to buy, but they confound me by going even lower.

[Luke.]

Chaps, evening, given all the travel news today, any idea why IAG is doing so badly?

[SimonTheSailor]

journeymanpro said:

SimonTheSailor said:

500 Miles said:

vulture1 said:

I read that as they are going to dilute the shares to raise capital? Anyone else?

That’s how I read it.

So we're going to get f*cked a bit more ?

Sold all my RR for a big loss in my terms. Can see it falling Monday morning aswell.

B*llocks. Threw 500 quid at it last minute in desperation .....

[rich12]

Has anyone else noticed any of the bits and bobs going on with DX?
Directors have been buying big chunks and it's pretty much gone up 10% everyday for the last 3 days.

I know nothing about them but have clocked them rising every day. Some news about to be released?

[fizz47]

Luke. said:

Chaps, evening, given all the travel news today, any idea why IAG is doing so badly?

My take on this is that IAG generate a good portion of their income from business related travel.

Even though borders are starting to open up... pretty much any international company I know still has travel bans in place.

Combine this with cost cutting measure the whole business related side of travel looks dire.

I normally travel about 40-50% myself internationally and have been told that I won’t be flying till Jan 2021 at the very earliest..

[Luke.]

fizz47 said:

My take on this is that IAG generate a good portion of their income from business related travel.

Even though borders are starting to open up... pretty much any international company I know still has travel bans in place.

Combine this with cost cutting measure the whole business related side of travel looks dire.

I normally travel about 40-50% myself internationally and have been told that I won’t be flying till Jan 2021 at the very earliest..

Thanks Fizz. Makes sense.

[Dave J]

rich12 said:

Has anyone else noticed any of the bits and bobs going on with DX?
Directors have been buying big chunks and it's pretty much gone up 10% everyday for the last 3 days.

I know nothing about them but have clocked them rising every day. Some news about to be released?

Who is DX ?
thanks

[rich12]

Dave J said:

Who is DX ?
thanks

https://www.dxdelivery.com/

[anonymous-user]

vulture1 said:

I don't see the fascination with Babcock apart from a rise from july 2019 the max trend chart looks like a "has been" that could easy go much lower.

Yes I get you, the trend for the last 5 years gives the impression of a company dieing but its Financials: Turnover / Profit / Dividend all pretty good. In fact far better than most companies I'd say. The issue I guess is that they made a loss (due to write downs) in the last FY, I am hoping the new CEO will sort that out as a one off (although if I remember correctly they have off-loaded the loss making part of the business). Beta is 1.28 so low risk too. They claim to have a full order book whatever that means. No mention of defence cuts (their core business). Someone on this thread previously said Citigroup BAB is a buy with expected sp of 630.

Can you see any reason for the ever falling sp?

I think I might buy more !

[Adam B]

rich12 said:

Has anyone else noticed any of the bits and bobs going on with DX?
Directors have been buying big chunks and it's pretty much gone up 10% everyday for the last 3 days.

I know nothing about them but have clocked them rising every day. Some news about to be released?

not made a profit but maybe:

DX is a trusted next-day courier of Category B specimens – transporting biological samples in compliance with the industry’s highest regulations.

[vulture1]

MikeStroud said:

vulture1 said:

I don't see the fascination with Babcock apart from a rise from july 2019 the max trend chart looks like a "has been" that could easy go much lower.

Yes I get you, the trend for the last 5 years gives the impression of a company dieing but its Financials: Turnover / Profit / Dividend all pretty good. In fact far better than most companies I'd say. The issue I guess is that they made a loss (due to write downs) in the last FY, I am hoping the new CEO will sort that out as a one off (although if I remember correctly they have off-loaded the loss making part of the business). Beta is 1.28 so low risk too. They claim to have a full order book whatever that means. No mention of defence cuts (their core business). Someone on this thread previously said Citigroup BAB is a buy with expected sp of 630.

Can you see any reason for the ever falling sp?

I think I might buy more !

Had a quick look at what they do on their website, big uk defence projects, servicing trident, British army support. So my own guess would be if the government we going to announce a fleet of new ships etc their shares would rise but for me it's not one i'm putting money into.
However you can prove 2 opposite outcomes with the same facts.

Appears they do alot of choper related work for the oil and gas sector so if that starts to take off again i assume their shares will as well. (pun intended)

I've back some howlers and lucked into some winners as well we are all just working off our own best judgement

[Adam B]

vulture1 said:

Appears they do alot of chopper related work for the oil and gas sector so if that starts to take off again i assume their shares will as well. (pun intended)

i think that was the loss making bit they sold off recently?

[TCX]

rsbmw said:

£400 equating to 0.005% suggests he’s playing with £8M so can afford to do without grammar

Capitalization and punctuation (and spelling, paragraphing, and indentation, among many other things), are not part of language at all. ... So I believe you're referring to punctuation,not grammar,though why there should be a space after a comma,or why the lack of one is worth mention is beyond my 'comprehension'?

[Adam B]

TCX said:

though why there should be a space after a comma,or why the lack of one is worth mention is beyond my 'comprehension'?

its painful to read that's all, and it was a polite request

[anonymous-user]

Adam B said:

vulture1 said:

Appears they do alot of chopper related work for the oil and gas sector so if that starts to take off again i assume their shares will as well. (pun intended)

i think that was the loss making bit they sold off recently?

It was.

[anonymous-user]

AML

As per someone above, my AML having doubled, is now back to where they started.

AML is at a turning point in so many different ways right now with so many changes just happened/about to happen it's a real gamble as per this thread. I was thinking of dumping but think I'll hold for the long term and enjoy* the ride. Anyone else got any thoughts either way?

"*" = "enjoy" as in: nail biting, bad temperedness, nervous tics, reduced life span, blood pressure tablets etc.