What’s your big gamble? (Volume 4)

What’s your big gamble? (Volume 4)

Author
Discussion

Adam.

27,398 posts

256 months

Friday 3rd November 2023
quotequote all
Chris Type R said:
Thanks, not great but rather different from the hysteria

asfault

12,355 posts

181 months

Wednesday 8th November 2023
quotequote all
A question.

I have the wisdom tree nat gas etf,
currently closed at $0.0080 (spread is about 0.0002
It should track the nat gas price 1 for 1 as it is not leveraged.
However current gas price is 3.09

Back in May I bought alot of this at $0.0080 and the current gas price was 2.59.

So It has risen 20% but the etf has not.
Currency price is neglible it has barely changed.
Am I missing something?

NowWatchThisDrive

707 posts

106 months

Wednesday 8th November 2023
quotequote all
asfault said:
A question.

I have the wisdom tree nat gas etf,
currently closed at $0.0080 (spread is about 0.0002
It should track the nat gas price 1 for 1 as it is not leveraged.
However current gas price is 3.09

Back in May I bought alot of this at $0.0080 and the current gas price was 2.59.

So It has risen 20% but the etf has not.
Currency price is neglible it has barely changed.
Am I missing something?
Without looking at the specifics, I'm going to guess it's the classic "gotcha" of commodity ETFs: cost of rolling futures

WindyCommon

3,389 posts

241 months

Wednesday 8th November 2023
quotequote all
NowWatchThisDrive said:
asfault said:
A question.

I have the wisdom tree nat gas etf,
currently closed at $0.0080 (spread is about 0.0002
It should track the nat gas price 1 for 1 as it is not leveraged.
However current gas price is 3.09

Back in May I bought alot of this at $0.0080 and the current gas price was 2.59.

So It has risen 20% but the etf has not.
Currency price is neglible it has barely changed.
Am I missing something?
Without looking at the specifics, I'm going to guess it's the classic "gotcha" of commodity ETFs: cost of rolling futures
Yup. Good explanation here: https://macrohive.com/hive-explainers/commodity-oi...

asfault

12,355 posts

181 months

Wednesday 8th November 2023
quotequote all
WindyCommon said:
NowWatchThisDrive said:
asfault said:
A question.

I have the wisdom tree nat gas etf,
currently closed at $0.0080 (spread is about 0.0002
It should track the nat gas price 1 for 1 as it is not leveraged.
However current gas price is 3.09

Back in May I bought alot of this at $0.0080 and the current gas price was 2.59.

So It has risen 20% but the etf has not.
Currency price is neglible it has barely changed.
Am I missing something?
Without looking at the specifics, I'm going to guess it's the classic "gotcha" of commodity ETFs: cost of rolling futures
Yup. Good explanation here: https://macrohive.com/hive-explainers/commodity-oi...
Brilliant thank you. Luckly dont have too much in this but i couldnt find any info on it other than reading the document attached to it. Its not what I thought it was though so will have to have a think what i do with it now.
Ta

daos

38 posts

122 months

Wednesday 8th November 2023
quotequote all
Anyone lumbered with EVRAZ or polymetal shares? I’m trying to get a valuation for an estate. I feel they are essentially worthless but getting this in writing is proving difficult.

ujio

328 posts

172 months

Thursday 9th November 2023
quotequote all
daos said:
Anyone lumbered with EVRAZ or polymetal shares? I’m trying to get a valuation for an estate. I feel they are essentially worthless but getting this in writing is proving difficult.
EVRAZ is still showing in my portfolio but I've written them off as a tax loss. Don't think they will be coming back.

cadmunkey

478 posts

91 months

Thursday 9th November 2023
quotequote all
daos said:
Anyone lumbered with EVRAZ or polymetal shares? I’m trying to get a valuation for an estate. I feel they are essentially worthless but getting this in writing is proving difficult.
They are worthless without a share certificate. Some brokers issued them, others didnt unless you specifically requested them.

isleofthorns

480 posts

172 months

Friday 10th November 2023
quotequote all


Gone down the plug with Plug Power today!! Anyone else in the ride? Stick or twist?


Skyedriver

18,012 posts

284 months

Friday 10th November 2023
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I used to be a big fan of Sir Martin Sorrell.

Chris Type R

8,070 posts

251 months

Friday 10th November 2023
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BAB motoring along quite nicely - 415.8p compared to a couple of years ago.

petemurphy

10,140 posts

185 months

Friday 10th November 2023
quotequote all
Chris Type R said:
BAB motoring along quite nicely - 415.8p compared to a couple of years ago.
fk you bab!

i4got

5,665 posts

80 months

Friday 10th November 2023
quotequote all
petemurphy said:
fk you bab!
I feel all nostalgic now.

andyb

139 posts

286 months

Friday 10th November 2023
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Skyedriver said:
I used to be a big fan of Sir Martin Sorrell.
Certainly good at buying things (and allegedly finding novel uses for his expense account). But higher interest rates make the 'buy to grow' model more challenging. Probably not a great time for any ad agencies though right now - certainly my WPP shares are well under water.


Edited by andyb on Friday 10th November 19:07

Legend83

10,016 posts

224 months

Tuesday 14th November 2023
quotequote all
Still a long way to go before production but it's looking more and more likely I may make some decent money on KOD.

40% resource upgrade statement today, with completion of funds for DMS plant build from Chinese partner due by end of this week (fingers crossed)...

Adam.

27,398 posts

256 months

Tuesday 14th November 2023
quotequote all
Legend83 said:
Still a long way to go before production but it's looking more and more likely I may make some decent money on KOD.

40% resource upgrade statement today, with completion of funds for DMS plant build from Chinese partner due by end of this week (fingers crossed)...
well done, when did you buy in?

Legend83

10,016 posts

224 months

Tuesday 14th November 2023
quotequote all
Adam. said:
well done, when did you buy in?
Late 2020 was my first batch, been adding small amount since.

Average is 0.12p.

Adam.

27,398 posts

256 months

Tuesday 14th November 2023
quotequote all
crikey - very well done

All I have done is lost money on AIM miners

Legend83

10,016 posts

224 months

Tuesday 14th November 2023
quotequote all
Adam. said:
crikey - very well done

All I have done is lost money on AIM miners
Pure pot luck - I recall KOD at the time being described by someone on here as "one bloke and his metal detector" and I thought I'll have some of that laugh.

Although to my credit instead of taking my initial winnings I actually did some research and established it was about as low risk an AIM miner as you will find and stuck with it.

asfault

12,355 posts

181 months

Tuesday 14th November 2023
quotequote all
Legend83 said:
Adam. said:
crikey - very well done

All I have done is lost money on AIM miners
Pure pot luck - I recall KOD at the time being described by someone on here as "one bloke and his metal detector" and I thought I'll have some of that laugh.

Although to my credit instead of taking my initial winnings I actually did some research and established it was about as low risk an AIM miner as you will find and stuck with it.
Haha that pretty much sums up all the aim miners.
Was out of kod back in May. No intention of putting anything into aim again until there is another worldwide crisis and stock market crash printy printy situation