Heating Oil Price Rocketing

Author
Discussion

cerb4.5lee

31,045 posts

182 months

Saturday 9th December 2023
quotequote all
swanny71 said:
The_Doc said:
Or dip with a pole
yes
Accurate and should be idiot proof, no need for gadgets.
I always keep a pole at the side of my tank as a back up too.

eltawater

3,123 posts

181 months

Monday 18th December 2023
quotequote all
Just seen a 15ppl spike from Your NRG to 82ppl for a January delivery, or 92.58ppl for this thursday delivery.

This is out of kilter with both the local fuel company and boiler juice who are still quoting 68ppl cheapest delivery and 76ppl quickest delivery.

BoostMonkey

574 posts

187 months

Monday 18th December 2023
quotequote all
eltawater said:
Just seen a 15ppl spike from Your NRG to 82ppl for a January delivery, or 92.58ppl for this thursday delivery.

This is out of kilter with both the local fuel company and boiler juice who are still quoting 68ppl cheapest delivery and 76ppl quickest delivery.
Could be a price spike to do with the large shipping firm's avoiding the red sea, due to Houthis attacks.

Murph7355

37,858 posts

258 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
eltawater said:
Just seen a 15ppl spike from Your NRG to 82ppl for a January delivery, or 92.58ppl for this thursday delivery.

This is out of kilter with both the local fuel company and boiler juice who are still quoting 68ppl cheapest delivery and 76ppl quickest delivery.
There is a simple answer to that smile

KTMsm

Original Poster:

26,973 posts

265 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
eltawater said:
Just seen a 15ppl spike from Your NRG to 82ppl for a January delivery, or 92.58ppl for this thursday delivery.

This is out of kilter with both the local fuel company and boiler juice who are still quoting 68ppl cheapest delivery and 76ppl quickest delivery.
It all depends who is quoting and how busy they are hence why the multiple sites exist

eltawater

3,123 posts

181 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
KTMsm said:
eltawater said:
Just seen a 15ppl spike from Your NRG to 82ppl for a January delivery, or 92.58ppl for this thursday delivery.

This is out of kilter with both the local fuel company and boiler juice who are still quoting 68ppl cheapest delivery and 76ppl quickest delivery.
It all depends who is quoting and how busy they are hence why the multiple sites exist
Our Your NRG branch used to be the "local fuel company" until they sold up to NRG and then went onto form the new "local fuel company". So it's a bit weird that one local company shot up so quickly whilst the other has held firm. Prices for your NRG have now dropped again but are still 5ppl higher than yesterday morning for a January delivery.

All this is a bit academic anyway as I ordered last week with Your NRG at 67ppl for a January delivery.

Ronstein

1,374 posts

39 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
Just placed a top-up order with Heating Oil Club at 71.79. 5p cheaper than direct and I suspect a lot cheaper than it will be in a day or so.

CloudStuff

3,717 posts

106 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
The_Doc said:
Or dip with a pole
It's the solution to a few 'keep her happy' conundrums.

Desiderata

2,431 posts

56 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
FunkyGibbon said:
juggsy said:
Has anyone ever suspected their delivery is less than claimed? Just had my oil delivered yesterday by yournrg, according to my meter (I have one of the digital, app-based ones) I had 430L in the tank prior to delivery, ordered 750L. I’ve checked the quantity after delivery and it’s showing as 1020L, when it should be around the 1180L mark.

I appreciate the oil sensors are not 100% accurate, but seems like a huge discrepancy. I suspect the company will say they deliver a calibrated amount, can’t be wrong etc etc, so not sure if I have a leg to stand on.
Did they leave a delivery note, that should show exactly what was put in your tank.
I don't know if it's still possible with current set up on the delivery tanker, but many years ago an acquaintance of mine drove a tanker and had a nice little sideline going nicking a "few" litres from every delivery.
There is/was a shut off valve at either end of the delivery hose. He'd start off his delivery by opening the valve at the lorry end, then stop the delivery by shutting off the valve at the customer end. That way he'd have a full hose that the customer had paid for (and had been recorded as delivered) which he could then dispose of as he saw fit before the next delivery...repeat all day if necessary. He emptied some of the hose into 5 gallon drums between deliveries. He was careful not to take too much at a time and chose which deliveries to nick from and the customers generally never noticed

alfabeat

1,137 posts

114 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
A couple of weeks ago, our metal 2,000 litre tank started leaking from a rusty hole in the base :-(

It has now just been replaced with a nice 1800l bunded plastic tank and they managed to save the majority of the oil (I had just recently filled it up of course).

The rest of the tank looked absolutely fine, it was just right underneath in the middle where it corroded. Very difficult to spot from a cursory examination.

Check your tanks before it becomes an emergency like mine!


Actual

785 posts

108 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
Desiderata said:
I don't know if it's still possible with current set up on the delivery tanker, but many years ago an acquaintance of mine drove a tanker and had a nice little sideline going nicking a "few" litres from every delivery.
There is/was a shut off valve at either end of the delivery hose. He'd start off his delivery by opening the valve at the lorry end, then stop the delivery by shutting off the valve at the customer end. That way he'd have a full hose that the customer had paid for (and had been recorded as delivered) which he could then dispose of as he saw fit before the next delivery...repeat all day if necessary. He emptied some of the hose into 5 gallon drums between deliveries. He was careful not to take too much at a time and chose which deliveries to nick from and the customers generally never noticed
I'm trying to work out how to empty the oil out of the hose without running more oil out of the tank?

Youforreal.

433 posts

6 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
alfabeat said:
A couple of weeks ago, our metal 2,000 litre tank started leaking from a rusty hole in the base :-(

It has now just been replaced with a nice 1800l bunded plastic tank and they managed to save the majority of the oil (I had just recently filled it up of course).

The rest of the tank looked absolutely fine, it was just right underneath in the middle where it corroded. Very difficult to spot from a cursory examination.

Check your tanks before it becomes an emergency like mine!
Lucky man!

alfabeat

1,137 posts

114 months

Tuesday 19th December 2023
quotequote all
I'm not sure having a £2.5k unexpected bill a couple of weeks before Christmas could be called lucky, but yes it could have been much worse....!

In addition the Discovery spun a crank bearing at about the same time. Can't wait for the third item of bad luck!!

KTMsm

Original Poster:

26,973 posts

265 months

Wednesday 20th December 2023
quotequote all
alfabeat said:
Check your tanks before it becomes an emergency like mine!
Generally they rot from the inside so it's a bit awkward to do

I suppose a cheap ebay endoscope might do it

I had a look in mine when I moved it - it had been there for at least 20 years, there was rust at the lower end so I just switched the outlet and raised the other end - that was 10 years ago




EddyP

847 posts

222 months

Saturday 30th December 2023
quotequote all
Best price it’s been for a while 63ppl around here. That conundrum or wether to fill up now or wait for what you hope to be a lower price but is then typically more….

Audis5b9

960 posts

74 months

Tuesday 16th January
quotequote all
What does the PH crystal ball predict the current chaos in the Red Sea will do to oil prices here in UK?

Is that a common route for our oil supplies, or is it only affecting cargo services.

Not sure where the oil we buy in the UK really comes from?

My tank is at approx 40% now so will need to purchase more in the next 4 weeks. Would prefer to pay as little as possible!

_Hoppers

1,245 posts

67 months

Tuesday 16th January
quotequote all
I saw in the news that oil prices rose last week due to the conflict https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-67947795 . Hence why I've just topped the tank up with 500l!

The_Doc

4,927 posts

222 months

Tuesday 16th January
quotequote all
Audis5b9 said:
What does the PH crystal ball predict the current chaos in the Red Sea will do to oil prices here in UK?

Is that a common route for our oil supplies, or is it only affecting cargo services.

Not sure where the oil we buy in the UK really comes from?

My tank is at approx 40% now so will need to purchase more in the next 4 weeks. Would prefer to pay as little as possible!


It will rise to 70+ppl before tax widespread pretty soon.

OPEC has voted to wind back production and the shipping problem only worsens it.
Buy 500 litres now if you need to guarantee getting through the winter.
Then spot the time in April to Nov when things might fall back for a 1500 litre fill up.

I don't think we'll see 50ppl again, and 60ppl is soon to go.

soupdragon1

4,133 posts

99 months

Tuesday 16th January
quotequote all
Audis5b9 said:
What does the PH crystal ball predict the current chaos in the Red Sea will do to oil prices here in UK?

Is that a common route for our oil supplies, or is it only affecting cargo services.

Not sure where the oil we buy in the UK really comes from?

My tank is at approx 40% now so will need to purchase more in the next 4 weeks. Would prefer to pay as little as possible!
Plenty of supply and half way through winter. Been fairly mild up until now hence plenty of supply and while macro impacts can influence, supply demand will drive the price.

Globally, heating oil prices have been all over the place



Shorter term chart



Big red candle, dropping $5 in the last couple of hours

It could go either way but don't get too caught up in headlines. Plenty of supply right now:



With good supply levels, not a huge deal if some supply takes the long way round, avoiding the hot spots.

I'll just buy as I need it. I don't see big drops or big increases at all this year, outside of a black swan event.

Audis5b9

960 posts

74 months

Tuesday 16th January
quotequote all
The_Doc said:


It will rise to 70+ppl before tax widespread pretty soon.

OPEC has voted to wind back production and the shipping problem only worsens it.
Buy 500 litres now if you need to guarantee getting through the winter.
Then spot the time in April to Nov when things might fall back for a 1500 litre fill up.

I don't think we'll see 50ppl again, and 60ppl is soon to go.
Should 500L see us through till the end of winter...? recently moved into this house and we've been through 600L in 50 days. (1900sqf 4 bed detached, 1980's).

We have two stupid conservatories sapping heat out of the house (One we can shut off, but the other we cannot). We keep the lounge around 18/19C all day and our bedroom similar when we are in there, other than that all the rooms are kept at 13-16C when not in use. (We have fitted a Drayton wiser system so have control of each room)

Seems like a lot.