will oil run out when I Am alive?

will oil run out when I Am alive?

Author
Discussion

thinfourth2

32,414 posts

205 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
GTIR said:
thinfourth2 said:
Big boats otherwise known as ships are actually hugely economical so they will carry on using oil for a very long time
I was under the impression that all engined sea going vessels are extremely un-economical with regards to MPG when compared to road going vehicles?

Anyone?
yes and no

Emma mearsk caries 14,000 TEUs and uses about 300 tons per day of fuel (as a guess) does 25knots

300 tons at 0.95 dentsity is 315,000 litres = 69,300 gallons

25 knots = 28mph x 24 hours = 672 miles

which gives 0.0097 mpg which is really really bad


A lorry carries 2 TEUS and does 5 mpg

so to carry 14,000 TEU you would need 7000 lorries which gives 0.0007 mpg

So a ship is about 14 times better then a lorry

When you look at supertankers which are 300,000 tons and use a mere 50tons a day are very impressive per ton moved


Condi

17,321 posts

172 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
GTIR said:
I was under the impression that all engined sea going vessels are extremely un-economical with regards to MPG when compared to road going vehicles?

Anyone?
Well, yeah, but a lorry carries 22 tonne. A very small ship carries 2000 tonne. The fuel used per tonne of load carries goes down with size. Hence why 100,000+hp engines are fairly common. They also use a cheap fuel, dirtier and heavier than diesel.

Gazzas86

1,711 posts

172 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
thinfourth2 said:
GTIR said:
thinfourth2 said:
Big boats otherwise known as ships are actually hugely economical so they will carry on using oil for a very long time
I was under the impression that all engined sea going vessels are extremely un-economical with regards to MPG when compared to road going vehicles?

Anyone?
So a ship is about 14 times better then a lorry
I'll work out the figures on what a T42 Destroyer consumes on normal cruising / max chat speeds, it is shocking,



andy_s

19,421 posts

260 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Wiki: Cunard states that their liner, the RMS Queen Elizabeth 2, travels 49.5 feet per imperial gallon of diesel oil (3.32 m/L or 41.2 ft/US gal), and that it has a passenger capacity of 1777.[25] Thus carrying 1777 passengers we can calculate an efficiency of 16.7 passenger-miles per imperial gallon (16.9 L/100 p·km or 13.9 p·mpg–US).

hollydog

1,108 posts

193 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Running out of fuel is going to effect life massively if they have nothing to replace it with. Be saying this for years the human race would have to take a step back. Travel commuting and just basic logistics would have to be reduced or stopped. Fingers crossed for Hydrogen. I don't think we could grow enough crops for fuel at the moment. We can't grow enough to feed the world.Fringers crossed for a fuel replacement.

Parsnip

3,122 posts

189 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Gazzas86 said:
thinfourth2 said:
GTIR said:
thinfourth2 said:
Big boats otherwise known as ships are actually hugely economical so they will carry on using oil for a very long time
I was under the impression that all engined sea going vessels are extremely un-economical with regards to MPG when compared to road going vehicles?

Anyone?
So a ship is about 14 times better then a lorry
I'll work out the figures on what a T42 Destroyer consumes on normal cruising / max chat speeds, it is shocking,
The West Navigator drillship burns through 80-100 tons of fuel in a day in bad weather - while stationary...

Suppose it gets away with it by virtue of helping get more O&G to the surface smile

Famous Graham

26,553 posts

226 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
zcacogp said:
Eric Mc said:
Only four nuclear powered commercial cargo ships was ever built. The most famous was the SS Savannah.

Crumbs, Eric has made a (very minor) mistake!

It's the N.S. Savannah. The S.S. Savannah looks like this:



And it was powered by (not surprisingly, given the appearance and the name) sail!


Oli.
Steam Ship, not Sail Ship.

andy_s

19,421 posts

260 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
hollydog said:
Running out of fuel is going to effect life massively if they have nothing to replace it with. Be saying this for years the human race would have to take a step back. Travel commuting and just basic logistics would have to be reduced or stopped. Fingers crossed for Hydrogen. I don't think we could grow enough crops for fuel at the moment. We can't grow enough to feed the world.Fringers crossed for a fuel replacement.
If we want to replace fossil fuel with other energy sources and we give ourselves 25 years to do it we need to build:

2 1/2 conventional nuclear reactors every week.
1 3gw wind turbine every 3 minutes.
250m2 of solar panelling every second.
4 olympic pools of bacteria for biofuel every second.

All this for the next 25 years, and not allowing for population growth.

Hooli

32,278 posts

201 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Famous Graham said:
zcacogp said:
Eric Mc said:
Only four nuclear powered commercial cargo ships was ever built. The most famous was the SS Savannah.

Crumbs, Eric has made a (very minor) mistake!

It's the N.S. Savannah. The S.S. Savannah looks like this:



And it was powered by (not surprisingly, given the appearance and the name) sail!


Oli.
Steam Ship, not Sail Ship.
Never knew about an commerical nukes, might have to google that later.

Jinx

11,407 posts

261 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all

Famous Graham

26,553 posts

226 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
There was a nuclear powered bus as well.


In some hilariously bad 80s disaster movie

Happy82

15,077 posts

170 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Puggit said:
According to the green brigade when I was a child, we've already run out...
When I was studying GCSE Geography in 1994 they were telling us that oil would run out by 2005, that the South of England would be underwater due to rising sea levels resulting in Birmingham-on-sea, and that we'd have a Mediterranean climate in the UK with tropical diseases causing widespread death laugh It's a pity that religous and political nonsense makes its way into the classroom frown

OP, you'll find that in 60 years your children and their children will be asking you the same question and you'll be telling them there's more than enough and that you had the same doom mongering stories when you were younger.

Otispunkmeyer

12,633 posts

156 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
If its any help, diesel IC engines are expected to continue to be the worlds prime movers right up to the next century. Nothing currently has the energy density, power or flexibility of a big diesel and ease of fuel storage (diesel is relatively inert, wont really ignite with a naked flame, isnt pressurised etc) is another bonus. The off highway lot are fully expecting to continue using diesel for up to 2070 and beyond.

I'm guessing they expect it still to be commericially viable over alternate tech like hydrogen, battery power or some kind of nuclear power.

Hooli

32,278 posts

201 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Famous Graham said:
There was a nuclear powered bus as well.


In some hilariously bad 80s disaster movie
The BIG Bus! IIRC, always good for a laugh that one.

dvs_dave

8,707 posts

226 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
Electric ships would be easy enough. Most modern ships these days are diesel-electric, so just replace the diesel bit with fuel cells or even batteries and away you go.

Also an electric airliner is entirely possible once the battery energy storage density nut is cracked, however we may see fuel cell planes in the the interim.

Where is all the power going to come from for the hydrogen or to charge the batteries? Nuclear power built in non earthquake zones.

Oakey

27,610 posts

217 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
We could burn the poor?

Simpo Two

85,760 posts

266 months

Monday 5th March 2012
quotequote all
dvs_dave said:
Electric ships would be easy enough. Most modern ships these days are diesel-electric, so just replace the diesel bit with fuel cells or even batteries and away you go.
Or sails of course.

It's interesting to ponder how civilisation/society would have eveolved if there were no vast deposits of old trees. Would we have developed other sources sooner, or still be on horseback?

Famous Graham

26,553 posts

226 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Bedazzled said:
dvs_dave said:
Also an electric airliner is entirely possible once the battery energy storage density nut is cracked, however we may see fuel cell planes in the the interim.
I reckon airships might be making a comeback, there are some pretty cool designs for hybrid airships being tested at the moment. In the longer term, how about wireless electric for cars and aircraft? That would save them lugging all those heavy batteries about.
I believe that airships have been recently mooted for non- time critical freight. I say " believe" only because I just remember it vaguely rather than having a definitive source.

davepoth

29,395 posts

200 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Simpo Two said:
Or sails of course.

It's interesting to ponder how civilisation/society would have eveolved if there were no vast deposits of old trees. Would we have developed other sources sooner, or still be on horseback?
Wood gas would be a potential solution. The practicalities of it would be a bit mad though.

Chances are we have reached peak oil, but not Peak Oil, in a manner of speaking. We know there is more oil to be pumped, but it's in difficult places and more expensive to get to. For example, the oil shales in America weren't financially viable until the oil price got above a certain level. As the price of crude goes up, more and more difficult reserves become viable. It's just that at those higher prices it's better economically to burn the poor. wink

Edited by davepoth on Tuesday 6th March 01:25

dvs_dave

8,707 posts

226 months

Tuesday 6th March 2012
quotequote all
Bedazzled said:
dvs_dave said:
Also an electric airliner is entirely possible once the battery energy storage density nut is cracked, however we may see fuel cell planes in the the interim.
I reckon airships might be making a comeback, there are some pretty cool designs for hybrid airships being tested at the moment. In the longer term, how about wireless electric for cars and aircraft? That would save them lugging all those heavy batteries about.
Not so sure I'd fancy getting in the way of the energy beam powering a wireless car or plane. Kerzappp!