ULEZ charge in 2021

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braddo

10,630 posts

190 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
Graveworm said:
Still nothing from the mayor as to how many fewer people will die or not get ill so we can compare it to other heath interventions on a cost benefit basis.
'Other health interventions' - like what? The ship has sailed. Too late. ULEZ isn't going anywhere and you (and many others) are ignoring the future use of the infrastructure.



kiethton

13,945 posts

182 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
Graveworm said:
Still nothing from the mayor as to how many fewer people will die or not get ill so we can compare it to other heath interventions on a cost benefit basis.
'Other health interventions' - like what? The ship has sailed. Too late. ULEZ isn't going anywhere and you (and many others) are ignoring the future use of the infrastructure.
Again, that "future use of infrastructure" is the biggest issue with the clusterfk.

Graveworm

8,521 posts

73 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
'Other health interventions' - like what? The ship has sailed. Too late. ULEZ isn't going anywhere and you (and many others) are ignoring the future use of the infrastructure.
More healthcare staff, social care, school sports, dietary support, etc.

Edited by Graveworm on Wednesday 5th April 16:36

DodgyGeezer

40,718 posts

192 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
Graveworm said:
More healthcare staff, social care, school sports, dietary support, etc.

Edited by Graveworm on Wednesday 5th April 16:36
nope that actually requires effort and joined up thinking - something that politicians (of all stripes!) seem incapable of doing

NomduJour

19,176 posts

261 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
Fastdruid said:
You seem to be in the mindset of "any method must reduce all NOx massively if not to zero immediately otherwise it's pointless". ULEZ is a method of influencing long term decisions while also nicely paying its way.
ULEZ is a way for Khan to milk cash from people whilst introducing road charging infrastructure by the back door - absolutely nothing more.

NOx from vehicle traffic will continue to decrease whatever stupid scheme is implemented.




Fastdruid

8,685 posts

154 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
NomduJour said:
Fastdruid said:
You seem to be in the mindset of "any method must reduce all NOx massively if not to zero immediately otherwise it's pointless". ULEZ is a method of influencing long term decisions while also nicely paying its way.
ULEZ is a way for Khan to milk cash from people whilst introducing road charging infrastructure by the back door - absolutely nothing more.

NOx from vehicle traffic will continue to decrease whatever stupid scheme is implemented.
But faster with it (even if marginally) than without it.

youngsyr

14,742 posts

194 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
NomduJour said:
Fastdruid said:
You seem to be in the mindset of "any method must reduce all NOx massively if not to zero immediately otherwise it's pointless". ULEZ is a method of influencing long term decisions while also nicely paying its way.
ULEZ is a way for Khan to milk cash from people whilst introducing road charging infrastructure by the back door - absolutely nothing more.

NOx from vehicle traffic will continue to decrease whatever stupid scheme is implemented.
Indeed. Can anyone source NOx historic data from a comparable city that hasn't implemented any Edinburgh or Liverpool maybe?

I suspect that may put the nail in the coffin of the argument that the ULEZ zones have any noticeable impact on air quality.

s1962a

5,427 posts

164 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
NomduJour said:
ULEZ is a way for Khan to milk cash from people whilst introducing road charging infrastructure by the back door - absolutely nothing more.

NOx from vehicle traffic will continue to decrease whatever stupid scheme is implemented.
Hopefully the next mayor rights this wrong and backtracks from ULEZ and road charging. When are the next mayoral elections ?

braddo

10,630 posts

190 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
Graveworm said:
braddo said:
'Other health interventions' - like what? The ship has sailed. Too late. ULEZ isn't going anywhere and you (and many others) are ignoring the future use of the infrastructure.
More healthcare staff, social care, school sports, dietary support, etc.

Edited by Graveworm on Wednesday 5th April 16:36
That does nothing to address NOx by road transport so is completely irrelevant.

Remember, the UK's cities are mandated by the UK Government to take measures to improve air quality, under threat of large fines. Ultimately the ULEZ et al (and future road charging) are being driven by the national government.

Road charging is not a mayoral initiative or a Labour one.

Tory ministers calling for road charging to fill the fiscal hole from fuel duty:
https://www.suttoninsight.com/all-articles/conserv...




Graveworm

8,521 posts

73 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
Graveworm said:
braddo said:
'Other health interventions' - like what? The ship has sailed. Too late. ULEZ isn't going anywhere and you (and many others) are ignoring the future use of the infrastructure.
More healthcare staff, social care, school sports, dietary support, etc.

Edited by Graveworm on Wednesday 5th April 16:36
That does nothing to address NOx by road transport so is completely irrelevant.

Remember, the UK's cities are mandated by the UK Government to take measures to improve air quality, under threat of large fines. Ultimately the ULEZ et al (and future road charging) are being driven by the national government.

Road charging is not a mayoral initiative or a Labour one.

Tory ministers calling for road charging to fill the fiscal hole from fuel duty:
https://www.suttoninsight.com/all-articles/conserv...
They are not mandated to do anything about NOx, let alone by road transport - just PM 2.5. which has little to do with exhaust emissions from cars. That - they have to cut by 35% by 2040. If you take a look at the below graph the tiny dark blue line is from all transport exhaust and that has been reducing pretty well - cars are a fraction of that and the impact of ULEZ an infinitely smaller fraction of them. Off road transport contributes more. It isn't going to make much of dent in that 35% target. If the projections are correct it will make that blue line 2.0% smaller, in London.


If you have 250 million of other peoples money, to spend, you have a choice to spend it on addressing Nox from road transport - or you could spend it on health interventions or just not take it in the first place. It's only irrelevant, if you ignore that there could be better things to do with other peoples money.


Edited by Graveworm on Wednesday 5th April 21:23

braddo

10,630 posts

190 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
Nox is a local air quality issue. Hence it being targeted in clean air zones in cities. A national chart is irrelevant.

And ulez infrastructure is also for road pricing in the future. It will pay for itself.

The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?

youngsyr

14,742 posts

194 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
Nox is a local air quality issue. Hence it being targeted in clean air zones in cities. A national chart is irrelevant.

And ulez infrastructure is also for road pricing in the future. It will pay for itself.

The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?
Those dirty diesels would have vanished from the roads in any case. I believe the average car lasts 10 years in the UK?

The youngest "dirty diesel" is now 7 years old.

NomduJour

19,176 posts

261 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?
The difference will be tiny, if it’s even quantifiable and actually able be attributed to ULEZ. For over two hundred million quid.


Edited by NomduJour on Wednesday 5th April 22:16

Fastdruid

8,685 posts

154 months

Wednesday 5th April 2023
quotequote all
youngsyr said:
braddo said:
Nox is a local air quality issue. Hence it being targeted in clean air zones in cities. A national chart is irrelevant.

And ulez infrastructure is also for road pricing in the future. It will pay for itself.

The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?
Those dirty diesels would have vanished from the roads in any case. I believe the average car lasts 10 years in the UK?

The youngest "dirty diesel" is now 7 years old.
Nope. The average car is about 10 years old, that's a very different figure and has actually gone up quite a bit over the last couple of years (it was 8.6 in 2020), unsure on the scrappage age now but in 2020 it was averaged at 14 years old. If we assume the last two years has been as bad on scrapage as it has on average age then that will also have risen.

Graveworm

8,521 posts

73 months

Thursday 6th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
Nox is a local air quality issue. Hence it being targeted in clean air zones in cities. A national chart is irrelevant.

And ulez infrastructure is also for road pricing in the future. It will pay for itself.

The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?
That's PM 2.5 not Nox you brought up mandated targets from govt. PM 2.5 is the mandated target and that target is 35% not locally but nationally. Wherever you are less than half of PM 2.5 vehicle emissions comes from the engine.
Again you can't have it both ways if more PM2.5 in London comes from car exhausts then, given that the exhaust element from cars has fallen at a much faster rate, than other sources, then, in London, air quality will have already improved compared to the rest of the UK.

IF it's only a local issue then outer London is already much closer to meeting targets than central London so why the expansion?

In 2017 the contribution, in London, from exhausts to PM 2.5 was estimated by the GLA to be 13% their predictions were that it would fall to 2% by 2030 without extending ULEZ to outer London. From GLA figures we know they will decrease this by 2% so - without ULEZ expansion 2% with ULEZ expansion 1.96% .....
https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/pm2....


Edited by Graveworm on Thursday 6th April 00:14

bad company

18,746 posts

268 months

Thursday 6th April 2023
quotequote all
C70R said:
bad company said:
He sounds sensible and balanced.
“I live yards from the zone so will be done daily. Can't wait to see if I get a ticket lol.”

I'd love to hear his views on 5G.
You make the most absurd assumptions about people. Bet you’re great fun at parties.

Graveworm

8,521 posts

73 months

Thursday 6th April 2023
quotequote all
braddo said:
Nox is a local air quality issue. Hence it being targeted in clean air zones in cities. A national chart is irrelevant.

And ulez infrastructure is also for road pricing in the future. It will pay for itself.

The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?
It doesn't "Pay for itself" it is funded by people paying - either through additional charges or direct taxes.
If they are going to take money off people, to spend on something, then it matters that it is spent where it will do the most good. If it's best spent on the gains from ULEZ, then great,; but I haven't seen any evidence that it is the best use of that kind of money, If they want to spend another 250 million a year on top of the 227 million they are already taking under ULEZ then, shouldn't they be able to show that?

Fastdruid

8,685 posts

154 months

Thursday 6th April 2023
quotequote all
Graveworm said:
braddo said:
Nox is a local air quality issue. Hence it being targeted in clean air zones in cities. A national chart is irrelevant.

And ulez infrastructure is also for road pricing in the future. It will pay for itself.

The people who live on busy roads in outer london are going to benefit from dirty diesels being priced off the road. Do you think that is a waste of money?
That's PM 2.5 not Nox you brought up mandated targets from govt. PM 2.5 is the mandated target and that target is 35% not locally but nationally. Wherever you are less than half of PM 2.5 vehicle emissions comes from the engine.
Again you can't have it both ways if more PM2.5 in London comes from car exhausts then, given that the exhaust element from cars has fallen at a much faster rate, than other sources, then, in London, air quality will have already improved compared to the rest of the UK.

IF it's only a local issue then outer London is already much closer to meeting targets than central London so why the expansion?

In 2017 the contribution, in London, from exhausts to PM 2.5 was estimated by the GLA to be 13% their predictions were that it would fall to 2% by 2030 without extending ULEZ to outer London. From GLA figures we know they will decrease this by 2% so - without ULEZ expansion 2% with ULEZ expansion 1.96% .....
https://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/pm2....
It's not just PMx

https://uk-air.defra.gov.uk/library/annualreport/v...

DEFRA said:
The UK’s National Emission Ceilings Regulations (NECR) 2018 (UK Government, 2018) sets emission reduction commitments (ERCs) for the total emissions of oxides of nitrogen (NOX), oxides of sulphur (SOX), non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC), ammonia (NH3) and particulate matter as PM2.5 in 2020 and 2030
DEFRA said:
The revised Convention on Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution (CLRTAP) and National Emission Ceilings Regulations (NECR) requires the UK to reduce emissions of nitrogen oxides by 55 per cent compared to emissions in 2005 by 2020 and in each subsequent year, up to and including 2029 (and by 73 per cent compared to emissions in 2005 by 2030).
DEFRA said:
The most immediate air quality challenge is tackling nitrogen dioxide concentrations. NO2 is associated with adverse effects on human health (COMEAP, 2015), (COMEAP, 2018). Estimating the long-term impacts of NO2 pollution is difficult, because of the challenge of separating its effects from those of other trafficrelated pollutants. Although it has been more difficult to estimate the level of impact, there is enough evidence of such health effects to support the need to take action now.
Now unless I've got my sums wrong, legally the UK has to reduce NOx down to <0.47 (million tons) from the current 0.67 Million tons by 2030. A reduction of roughly 1/3rd of the current amount.


CoolHands

18,817 posts

197 months

Thursday 6th April 2023
quotequote all
Amazing how a complete thread can be rendered unreadable by just a couple of posters. I suppose that’s their aim.

Graveworm

8,521 posts

73 months

Thursday 6th April 2023
quotequote all
Fastdruid said:
Now unless I've got my sums wrong, legally the UK has to reduce NOx down to <0.47 (million tons) from the current 0.67 Million tons by 2030. A reduction of roughly 1/3rd of the current amount.
The comment was in relation to legally binding targets that central government were forcing on London. There are several but the only air quality one is PM 2.5.
They have committed to reduce NOx nationally, but it's not a legally binding target and none have been mandated on London by them. despite the fact they have beat ERC targets. I don't know about your maths but they claim they don't have to cut any further to meet the 2029 NECR or CLRTap commitments.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/governmen...

Edited by Graveworm on Thursday 6th April 01:19

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