Will Coronavirus hit used car prices?

Will Coronavirus hit used car prices?

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Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 27th April 2020
quotequote all
Butter Face said:
I’m happy to value anyone’s car today and repost the value in September too if anyone wants to give me a reg number.
A generous offer but one that's impossible to fulfil – you can't accurately value a car when there's no market.

Presumably what you mean is what the car was worth last month.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 27th April 2020
quotequote all
Butter Face said:
Vroomer said:
Butter Face said:
I’m happy to value anyone’s car today and repost the value in September too if anyone wants to give me a reg number.
A generous offer but one that's impossible to fulfil – you can't accurately value a car when there's no market.

Presumably what you mean is what the car was worth last month.
It’s not impossible. CAP have updated their books for April, it’s the industry standard for valuations so no, I can value a car as to what it’s worth now.
It's totally notional – try actually selling a car for the CAP price.

There is virtually no market, almost nobody is going to buy today unless they are absolutely desperate and the price is a steal.

If there was a market, WBAC would not have gone into hibernation.

Edited by Vroomer on Monday 27th April 11:04


Edited by Vroomer on Monday 27th April 11:05

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 27th April 2020
quotequote all
Butter Face said:
Vroomer said:
Butter Face said:
Vroomer said:
Butter Face said:
I’m happy to value anyone’s car today and repost the value in September too if anyone wants to give me a reg number.
A generous offer but one that's impossible to fulfil – you can't accurately value a car when there's no market.

Presumably what you mean is what the car was worth last month.
It’s not impossible. CAP have updated their books for April, it’s the industry standard for valuations so no, I can value a car as to what it’s worth now.
It's totally notional – trying actually selling a car for the CAP price.

There is virtually no market, almost nobody is going to buy today unless they ae absolutely desperate and the price is a steal.

If there was a market, WBAC would not have gone into hibernation.
As I’ve already said, I have sold cars this week at CAP prices.

But that aside, if you can see the value now, you can then see what the prices drop, should they do so in the coming months.

That’s the only reason I’ve offered CAP values how.

You can’t possibly say a value has gone down by X% in a months time if you didn’t know what it was before!
The last time real values were known was March. CAP April values are a fantasy freeze.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 27th April 2020
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
Vroomer said:
The last time real values were known was March. CAP April values are a fantasy freeze.
April prices are based on March auction prices.
Which rather proves my point!

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 27th April 2020
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
Vroomer said:
Deep Thought said:
Vroomer said:
The last time real values were known was March. CAP April values are a fantasy freeze.
April prices are based on March auction prices.
Which rather proves my point!
It doesnt.

Lockdown didnt start until 23rd March. Plenty of auctions before then.
Not sure what the argument is as we're essentially saying the same thing.

April CAP prices are based on March auctions, so those are the prices in March.

Nobody knows what REAL April prices are because there is no market to speak of – and exactly the same applies to the housing market.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 27th April 2020
quotequote all
Green1man said:
We’ve been looking for a S/h car for the OH since the start of the year ( likely a year old Kia Sportage), so we have a good handle on what prices have been like, prices seem the same now as they were two months ago.
So have you actually tried to buy anything, rather than just looking?

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Tuesday 28th April 2020
quotequote all
There are press report that car showrooms are to be allowed to re-open shortly. If they are open, it will be OK to visit them.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Tuesday 28th April 2020
quotequote all
Tyre Smoke said:
You posted that 'we are not allowed to go and buy a car'.

That is wrong. There is nothing stopping anyone buying a car. There is nothing stopping me travelling to buy a car. There is no law that states you may not travel to buy a car.

I see tens of cars every day on the M5 on trade plates. I guess they haven't been bought at auction then?

The only dim one here would be you.
It is not a legitimate reason to leave home. It is not buying food or medicine, exercising, aiding someone vulnerable or going to work.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Tuesday 28th April 2020
quotequote all
From the Government website:

You should only leave the house for very limited purposes:

– shopping for basic necessities, for example food and medicine, which must be as infrequent as possible.
– one form of exercise a day, for example a run, walk, or cycle - alone or with members of your household.
– any medical need, including to donate blood, avoid or escape risk of injury or harm, or to provide care or to help a vulnerable person.
– travelling for work purposes, but only where you cannot work from home.

These reasons are exceptions - even when doing these activities, you should be minimising time spent outside of the home and ensuring you are 2 metres apart from anyone outside of your household.

These measures must be followed by everyone.

Absolutely no mention of being allowed to go and buy a car.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Tuesday 28th April 2020
quotequote all
Tyre Smoke said:
Are you trolling?

Say I'm a nurse. My car has broken down and it's beyond reasonable cost to repair. I need a new car so look on Autotrader. I find a Fiesta I like the look of 34 miles away. What law am I breaking or even bending by going to buy that car?
The number of people who legitimately need to buy a car because:

– their car has broken down
– their car is beyond reasonable repair costs and
– they have to drive to work

is tiny.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Wednesday 29th April 2020
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CRA1G said:
I think both could apply...hehe but yes the latter... but at the moment flaunting is unnecessary and makes it uncomfortable to see.... IMO...rolleyes
Flouting and flaunting simultaneously! rofl

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Thursday 30th April 2020
quotequote all
irish boy said:
Government confirms dealers can sell and deliver during lockdown.

https://cardealermagazine.co.uk/publish/official-g...
What they are actually saying is: ...a spokesman for the Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (BEIS) said: ‘We have asked non-essential shops like car dealerships and showrooms in England to close, unless they provide urgent car repairs and other necessary services. They are all able to continue to sell cars remotely and deliver cars, as long as they follow our clear guidance from Public Health England to protect both employees who cannot work from home and their customers.’

I don't think anyone has disputed that people are permitted buy without seeing the car, but the fact is virtually nobody is doing this...

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Thursday 30th April 2020
quotequote all
growlerowl said:
Don't think anyone's linked this yet:

https://www.am-online.com/opinion/2020/04/28/shapi...

'I propose that in this exceptional situation our industry forecasters set aside their competitive differences and work together to jointly develop and implement a plan to minimise the pain caused by both a general lowering of used vehicle prices and also by high levels of volatility in pricing and supply.'
This rather reads like illegal market manipulation/collusion.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Friday 1st May 2020
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Breakdown of cars for sale on Autotrader:


Bi Fuel (91)

Diesel (235,314)

Electric (2,793)

Hybrid – Diesel/Electric (318)

Hybrid – Diesel/Electric Plug-in (128)

Hybrid – Petrol/Electric (12,505)

Hybrid – Petrol/Electric Plug-in (5,500)

Petrol (286,842)

Petrol Ethanol (7)

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
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tinyboytim said:
Used car prices are stable with some even increasing in regions by James Bullsh!tt May 5, 2020

Car Dealer Magazine investigated the used car market this week and dealers said they thought the trade needed to ‘hold its nerve’ on prices :-)

Other dealers told us they believed used car prices will go up – as has been demonstrated in this research. Oh what's that? It is a flying pig going past my window.
Seriously who makes this stuff up?
Is any dealer going to say prices will collapse and they are goingt to jettison their stock now? Of course not. Why bother asking them?

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Tuesday 5th May 2020
quotequote all
Sim75 said:
I had a quote yesterday on a mini JCW. Dealer quoted a £4k discount only to retract it the following day.
So no sale. He can't do that too often.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Wednesday 6th May 2020
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Jasandjules said:
gizlaroc said:
Sky News about to get reaction from the motor industry.
I suspect this

Brilliant.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Wednesday 6th May 2020
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
So rather than "hold your nerve, dont drop prices yet as theres no customers anyway", what would your advice have been if writing an article to car dealers?
If writing for car dealers I would have said:

"hold your nerve, don't drop prices yet as there are no customers anyway"

If writing for car buyers I would have said:

"hold your nerve, don't buy yet as there's no real market anyway, prices will fall soon"

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Sunday 10th May 2020
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
For example, if Porsche said that due to production stopping it was going to take them a year to make some specific models, nearly new and / or year old examples might rise in price.
Possibly. But on the other hand people that had been considering a new Porsche might think it rather inappropriate if those around them are stuck in the teeth of a recession.

Vroomer

Original Poster:

1,866 posts

181 months

Monday 11th May 2020
quotequote all
BMW A6 said:
That bigmotoringworld place in Kent has an Aventador and Rolls Royce Coupe.

Pre COVID, the 2 cars gradually had 40-60k chopped off their asking prices.

This week, both cars are priced at the highest they have ever been.

The Rolls was 200k pre COVID. Yours now for 240k.
...so they can announce massive post-lockdown price cuts by going back to their original price

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