Current market

Author
Discussion

CK11

273 posts

186 months

Monday 20th November 2023
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Sukh13 said:
Agreed.

The first one has a grey interior but only 6k miles, so it will be interesting to see how much it goes for.

The second looks like a very nice example. I would guess 57k bid plus fees.
Last month i guessed on a 991.1 black edition and was about £8k under what it actually went for. I have a feeling the crayon coloured 2017 991.2 will be over £60k before fees.

Sukh13

771 posts

187 months

Monday 20th November 2023
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highway said:
The guy with the 6k mile C4S on CC would get the price that car is at currently, via an AT ad, in short order. Rare beast with those miles. Add on another £3k and it’s less compelling. The CC fee structure is very off putting.
But he has that price now and has upside from higher bids as the auction runs to the end?
I.e. of course he could achieve the current price on AT as it likely reflects below market value as the auction hasn't ended.

The buyer pays the fees...

GT4RS

4,468 posts

199 months

Monday 20th November 2023
quotequote all
CK11 said:
Sukh13 said:
Agreed.

The first one has a grey interior but only 6k miles, so it will be interesting to see how much it goes for.

The second looks like a very nice example. I would guess 57k bid plus fees.
Last month i guessed on a 991.1 black edition and was about £8k under what it actually went for. I have a feeling the crayon coloured 2017 991.2 will be over £60k before fees.
That crayon car has to be worth £60k. We sold our 991.2 4s for considerably more direct to the trade a year or two ago.

Jeremy-75qq8

1,046 posts

94 months

Monday 20th November 2023
quotequote all
highway said:
The guy with the 6k mile C4S on CC would get the price that car is at currently, via an AT ad, in short order. Rare beast with those miles. Add on another £3k and it’s less compelling. The CC fee structure is very off putting.
I said this the other day. I was told I was wrong.

I can't see why any buyer would by a premium of 7.5%.

stuckmojo

3,002 posts

190 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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GT4RS said:
That crayon car has to be worth £60k. We sold our 991.2 4s for considerably more direct to the trade a year or two ago.
but that is a long time ago. Different world entirely

Bailey.

193 posts

11 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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I asked a friend who goes through nice cars at a silly rate (4 a year) since 2015 what he would pay for a 992 advertised at £80k in December.

He said he wouldn’t even be looking. “Dropping like a stone with no end in sight”.

Really didn’t expect that response.

CK11

273 posts

186 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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I guess the crayon 991.2 coming up on CC will be well over £60k after fees, going by the black one that sold a couple of weeks back, closer to £70k all in.

https://collectingcars.com/for-sale/2016-porsche-9...

Not all buyers have their eye on whats happening i guess

Bailey.

193 posts

11 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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CK11 said:
I guess the crayon 991.2 coming up on CC will be well over £60k after fees, going by the black one that sold a couple of weeks back, closer to £70k all in.

https://collectingcars.com/for-sale/2016-porsche-9...

Not all buyers have their eye on whats happening i guess
Crazy low miles on that one that sold.

I don’t think the crayon car will do nearly as well.

Seen a few price reductions this week and will only get worse going into December.

I’m going to try my luck over the next few weeks. They can only say no.

CK11

273 posts

186 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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stuckmojo said:
CK11 said:
I see the same dealer , eden group, that i enquired about the silver one above has dropped the price of the white one they have in. Things starting to move i hope.
I be tempted on the white one at £55k
this one? that Autotrader tracker is a brilliant thing

I threw them out an offer late last night for this white one. Got an email this morning that it was still available. I rang a couple of hours ago to be told it was now sold. My offer probably wouldnt have been accepted anyway but its gone now.
The silver one that they also had i see if no longer advertised on their website so must be gone also.
They both didnt hang around long after their latest price drops.

Sukh13

771 posts

187 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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The silver one started at 67k in February and sold following an advertised price of 54.5k in November. I wonder how much money they made on that sale....

CK11

273 posts

186 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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A fortune i bet. Lol
I guess those 2 at least give a rough idea of where the market is at currently for those particular models. All others i have saved are still sitting and im 99% sure will continue to sit unless they drop the prices significantly.
On a side note, alot of private sellers must have their heads in the sand, in some cases asking similar than the equivalent OPC car.
It could take a while for this to all play out.

Edited by CK11 on Tuesday 21st November 16:48

b8575

83 posts

89 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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CK11 said:
On a side note, alot of private sellers must have their heads in the sand, in some cases asking similar than the equivalent OPC car.
It could take a while for this to all play out.
I think sellers are waiting to see what's going to happen and hoping for a bounce in the market come the new year - those that don't need to sell that is.

For example, if you want £60K for your car but you'll get £50K from now and over winter, you might want to wait until after Christmas to see if the market comes back. Maybe the thinking is that even if the market doesn't go back to what it was in Sept, you still might get £55K in the new year, which is £5K more than if you sold now. So leave the price as is, if you get a bite, great, if not, you've not lost out as much as selling at today's prices.

However, if that bounce doesn't materialse (which I'm not sure it will), those people who want to sell will have to be much more competitive with their prices.


Edited by b8575 on Tuesday 21st November 16:14


Edited by b8575 on Tuesday 21st November 16:15

Tagteam

294 posts

25 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
quotequote all
b8575 said:
CK11 said:
On a side note, alot of private sellers must have their heads in the sand, in some cases asking similar than the equivalent OPC car.
It could take a while for this to all play out.
I think sellers are waiting to see what's going to happen and hoping for a bounce in the market come the new year - those that don't need to sell that is.

For example, if you want £60K for your car but you'll get £50K from now and over winter, you might want to wait until after Christmas to see if the market comes back. Maybe the thinking is that even if the market doesn't go back to what it was in Sept, you still might get £55K in the new year, which is £5K more than if you sold now. So leave the price as is, if you get a bite, great, if not, you've not lost out as much as selling at today's prices.

However, if that bounce doesn't materialse (which I'm not sure it will), those people who want to sell will have to be much more competitive with their prices.


Edited by b8575 on Tuesday 21st November 16:14


Edited by b8575 on Tuesday 21st November 16:15
Bank of England warning inflation will not continue to fall quickly , so interest rates stay higher for longer. Maybe a car recovery in 2025 - when financing and price adjustment is back in line with historical levels ?

Pivo-T

1,088 posts

37 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
quotequote all
Tagteam said:
b8575 said:
CK11 said:
On a side note, alot of private sellers must have their heads in the sand, in some cases asking similar than the equivalent OPC car.
It could take a while for this to all play out.
I think sellers are waiting to see what's going to happen and hoping for a bounce in the market come the new year - those that don't need to sell that is.

For example, if you want £60K for your car but you'll get £50K from now and over winter, you might want to wait until after Christmas to see if the market comes back. Maybe the thinking is that even if the market doesn't go back to what it was in Sept, you still might get £55K in the new year, which is £5K more than if you sold now. So leave the price as is, if you get a bite, great, if not, you've not lost out as much as selling at today's prices.

However, if that bounce doesn't materialse (which I'm not sure it will), those people who want to sell will have to be much more competitive with their prices.
Bank of England warning inflation will not continue to fall quickly , so interest rates stay higher for longer. Maybe a car recovery in 2025 - when financing and price adjustment is back in line with historical levels ?
That is my view as well... I expect recovery in 2025

ChrisW.

6,375 posts

257 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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By which time cars for sale now will be around 18 months older ... so will values be higher, or lower ?

Tagteam

294 posts

25 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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ChrisW. said:
By which time cars for sale now will be around 18 months older ... so will values be higher, or lower ?
Still think there is a long way to fall. Market will only recover when monthlies hit a certain range . 1500 a month won’t shift enough 911 and taycan

ChrisW.

6,375 posts

257 months

Tuesday 21st November 2023
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I agree.

b8575

83 posts

89 months

Wednesday 22nd November 2023
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I think therein lies the problem. Markets are all about sentiment. If enough people think that prices are going to (or should) fall, they're not going to buy unless they have to, and most people don't have to buy a Porsche. Sellers don't have to sell either, but if you do want to sell, you're going to have to price the thing to sell in the current market. Either buyer sentiment/market conditions have to change or sellers have to adjust their prices.

ETA: it happened the other way round during the last few years, where sellers raised their prices in line with the market and buyer's sentiment, that being that the things they wanted to buy would become more scarce (and so more expensive).

Edited by b8575 on Wednesday 22 November 09:47

Bailey.

193 posts

11 months

Wednesday 22nd November 2023
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Any sellers thinking they will get £5k more in spring are delusional.

Porsches at the top end are dropping drastically. That will filter down.

A 8 year old carrera is not a £60k car. Mental anyone would pay that.

av185

18,650 posts

129 months

Wednesday 22nd November 2023
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2 x 991.2 GT3s at JZM just sold at strong money.....