Secondhand car price crash?

Secondhand car price crash?

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Fast Bug

11,787 posts

163 months

Saturday 11th March 2023
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There was a cracking deal on the Alfa 4C 5 or 6 years ago. I was so close to grabbing one, but needed the extra seating for the kids on a fun car so bought my 996 instead. I still get slightly miffed whenever I see one now!

ChrisH72

2,241 posts

54 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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From my own searches it's a bit of a mixed bag.

Mk8 FST3 seem to be up about £1k from last month. Same story with MX5RF 184. But face-lift Mini Cooper S sports are down slightly. Not much change on the i20N although I'm sensing a price increase on brand new coming shortly.

This is all based on AT asking prices.

nick1871

383 posts

114 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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911hope said:
You are correct. HP is much cheaper.
Interesting that so many choose PCP, as they believe the opposite.
I’m not sure they believe PCP is cheaper, I’d say so many choose PCP because it’s the deal that’s pushed by the dealer, it’s usually incentivised with a contribution and advertised with considerably lower monthly payments than HP. Chuck in a service plan, extra years warranty and you can see why people go down this route.

I’m on my second PCP now, both were 0% and have done very well out of both of them regarding retained values. Considering paying the balloon on the current one and keeping it.

liner33

10,705 posts

204 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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I think most people understand that with HP you pay less in total interest than PCP but for many its unaffordable

I was looking at the Synter website yesterday, they are offering 13.4% apr on used BMW's ! Thats £22.5k on interest over 4 years or £470pm month approx




Going to be good times for all the PH'ers sitting on large sums of cash as new luxury cars are going to be discounted heavily to sell

e-honda

9,015 posts

148 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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HP you don't necessarily pay less interest, you do if all things are equal including the term, but typically you'll take HP over a longer period. If you compared a 3 year PCP to a 6 year HP settled at 3 years chances are the HP will have paid more interest.
You also often get a worse rate on HP.

liner33

10,705 posts

204 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
quotequote all
e-honda said:
HP you don't necessarily pay less interest, you do if all things are equal including the term, but typically you'll take HP over a longer period. If you compared a 3 year PCP to a 6 year HP settled at 3 years chances are the HP will have paid more interest.
You also often get a worse rate on HP.
rolleyes

Apples - Apples you pay less, Apples - Oranges = Melon

ChrisH72

2,241 posts

54 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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liner33 said:
Going to be good times for all the PH'ers sitting on large sums of cash as new luxury cars are going to be discounted heavily to sell
I'm fortunate to be sitting on cash earmarked for a car. Thing is though, having spent time accumulating that cash it still feels like a really big decision to blow it on a car I probably don't really need. Doesn't feel much easier to me. And I'm not seeing the discounts either with cars I'm looking at.

I have also been looking at a current PCP deal on a brand new Fiesta ST being offered through most Ford dealers. It's about £5700 deposit then £200 a month over 26 months. So basically £11k to have a brand new car just over 2 years. The balloon is £15k so I'd imagine there would be some equity in it at the end. That's a 0% deal by the way. I can see why people would do it. Certainly feels better than walking in and handing over £26k in cash even if the outcome is the same.

e-honda

9,015 posts

148 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
quotequote all
liner33 said:
rolleyes

Apples - Apples you pay less, Apples - Oranges = Melon
What is an apple?
You can't call HP and PCP with similar terms but vastly different monthly payments both apples but insist HP with a similar monthly payment but longer term is an orange.

Deep Thought

35,946 posts

199 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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liner33 said:
Going to be good times for all the PH'ers sitting on large sums of cash as new luxury cars are going to be discounted heavily to sell
Manufacturers like BMW will do what they always do then - offer very low to 0% APR finance and give big discounts either directly and / or through finance incentives. OR push them through lease deals and make the monthlies compelling.

Cash buyers will be the last people they'll be aiming for.

Theoldguard

842 posts

60 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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A good strategy for me has been to lease for 18-24mths with zero upfront.
Then at the end of the lease offer to buy via BCA, that way paying with cash feels alot better in the knowledge that a £35k car you have driven from new for the past 24mths and paid £7.5k in leasing costs your now being offered for £20k, 20+7.5=£27.5k total cost, a 28% discount on buying new for cash, I have spread part of the cost over the first 2 years on a bit of a try before you buy, it does not even feel like I have paid any interest over those first 2 years and benefited from having RFL paid as well.

Not sure with current leasing costs its worth doing now, so for that reason I have taken time out from leasing, I normally dip in and out but this for me is an extended break.

Tomanybikes

987 posts

28 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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Deep Thought said:
liner33 said:
Going to be good times for all the PH'ers sitting on large sums of cash as new luxury cars are going to be discounted heavily to sell
Manufacturers like BMW will do what they always do then - offer very low to 0% APR finance and give big discounts either directly and / or through finance incentives. OR push them through lease deals and make the monthlies compelling.

Cash buyers will be the last people they'll be aiming for.
Big finance contributions is great news for people with cash.

Niponeoff

2,156 posts

29 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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Right, just sold one of my classics so I'll replace the school run stter my grandad left us. It's been a great car.

Thinking polo GTi should do it. When will they be crashing?

nickfrog

21,373 posts

219 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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Niponeoff said:
Thinking polo GTi should do it. When will they be crashing?
July 2020... apparently.

wink

lornemalvo

2,197 posts

70 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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ChrisH72 said:
liner33 said:
Going to be good times for all the PH'ers sitting on large sums of cash as new luxury cars are going to be discounted heavily to sell
I'm fortunate to be sitting on cash earmarked for a car. Thing is though, having spent time accumulating that cash it still feels like a really big decision to blow it on a car I probably don't really need. Doesn't feel much easier to me. And I'm not seeing the discounts either with cars I'm looking at.

I have also been looking at a current PCP deal on a brand new Fiesta ST being offered through most Ford dealers. It's about £5700 deposit then £200 a month over 26 months. So basically £11k to have a brand new car just over 2 years. The balloon is £15k so I'd imagine there would be some equity in it at the end. That's a 0% deal by the way. I can see why people would do it. Certainly feels better than walking in and handing over £26k in cash even if the outcome is the same.
I'm fortunate enough to be in the same position. I've been lurking for the past 18 months. My problems are 1. My 2017 2.0 tfsi a4 Avant has done only 17000 miles and is just such a damn good car (although I fancy a change), 2. I find it hard to justify paying current prices, I'm looking between 40k and 55k and I'm not seeing value for money, which is important to me and 3. I'm also a bit concerned about how desirable the car will be and how its value will go in a few years when we're hell bent on ramping up this electric car insanity. Finally, frustrating as I can afford to spend a fair bit, there doesn't seem to be a car out there that does everything I want, which is genuine ride comfort, proper reliability, decent handling, reasonable economy, very good boot space, a spare wheel and the absence of a hideous CVT gearbox. I wonder how far we've really come with cars over the years, as we seem to pursue style over substance.

ToastMan76

530 posts

75 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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ChrisH72 said:
I'm fortunate to be sitting on cash earmarked for a car. Thing is though, having spent time accumulating that cash it still feels like a really big decision to blow it on a car I probably don't really need. Doesn't feel much easier to me. And I'm not seeing the discounts either with cars I'm looking at.

I have also been looking at a current PCP deal on a brand new Fiesta ST being offered through most Ford dealers. It's about £5700 deposit then £200 a month over 26 months. So basically £11k to have a brand new car just over 2 years. The balloon is £15k so I'd imagine there would be some equity in it at the end. That's a 0% deal by the way. I can see why people would do it. Certainly feels better than walking in and handing over £26k in cash even if the outcome is the same.
Its prices like this that make me feel sick with the current car market. 2019 I was looking at a brand new Fiesta ST-3 for £19k on 0% finance, now the same car at £26k. 37% increase over 3.5 years!!

liner33

10,705 posts

204 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
quotequote all
Deep Thought said:
Manufacturers like BMW will do what they always do then - offer very low to 0% APR finance and give big discounts either directly and / or through finance incentives. OR push them through lease deals and make the monthlies compelling.

Cash buyers will be the last people they'll be aiming for.
Discounts isn’t something BMW have been doing for the last 18 months at least even with the apr hitting 4.9%

Theoldguard

842 posts

60 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
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ToastMan76 said:
Its prices like this that make me feel sick with the current car market. 2019 I was looking at a brand new Fiesta ST-3 for £19k on 0% finance, now the same car at £26k. 37% increase over 3.5 years!!
A combination of wages not increasing by the same rate and finance alot higher than what it was 3.5 years can only mean less demand, not too bad if you already have a car to offset some of the increases but coming from a company car, lease deal or a first car then the increases are massive in relation to salary increases.

And that is without adding in everything else that has also increased over that same period.

Edited by Theoldguard on Sunday 12th March 15:31

liner33

10,705 posts

204 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
quotequote all
ToastMan76 said:
Its prices like this that make me feel sick with the current car market. 2019 I was looking at a brand new Fiesta ST-3 for £19k on 0% finance, now the same car at £26k. 37% increase over 3.5 years!!
When I bought my fiesta st3 in 2019 it was more than £19k think it was £22k or £23k

RayDonovan

4,495 posts

217 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
quotequote all
Theoldguard said:
ToastMan76 said:
Its prices like this that make me feel sick with the current car market. 2019 I was looking at a brand new Fiesta ST-3 for £19k on 0% finance, now the same car at £26k. 37% increase over 3.5 years!!
A combination of wages not increasing by the same rate and finance alot higher than what it was 3.5 years can only mean less demand, not too bad if you already have a car to offset some of the increases but coming from a company car, lease deal or a first car then the increases are massive in relation to salary increases.

And that is without adding in everything else that has also increased over that same period.

Edited by Theoldguard on Sunday 12th March 15:31
The recent price rises mean staying in a company car for 20k PA is a no-brainer. My 2023 Tiguan is going to cost me around £440 in BIK, but that's fully maintained, taxed and insured. Wouldn't want to go into the market now..

Deep Thought

35,946 posts

199 months

Sunday 12th March 2023
quotequote all
liner33 said:
Deep Thought said:
Manufacturers like BMW will do what they always do then - offer very low to 0% APR finance and give big discounts either directly and / or through finance incentives. OR push them through lease deals and make the monthlies compelling.

Cash buyers will be the last people they'll be aiming for.
Discounts isn’t something BMW have been doing for the last 18 months at least even with the apr hitting 4.9%
Correct.

Hence why I said "will"

EDIT: Just did a check there and you can get £10K off a new 7 series and £20K off a new M5 Comp. The latter is available with 4.9% APR.

Looks like "will" is becoming "now"

Edited by Deep Thought on Sunday 12th March 16:28

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