New Tesla Pickup Truck

New Tesla Pickup Truck

Author
Discussion

Major T

1,046 posts

197 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
EddieSteadyGo said:
It won't be a cash cow. It won't be simple to manufacture. It won't be $40k. And it won't ever exist (at least in a form which looks anything like this).
That's disappointing. Looks like it would have been quite efficient, if made:

https://interestingengineering.com/teslas-cybertru...

Talksteer

4,975 posts

235 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Toaster said:
Gojira said:
ajprice said:
Lego are having a go at the design now hehe

bowbowbow
Careful Tesla will have you for infringing design copyrights wink
More free advertising for Tesla from the worlds biggest toy company, for a brand which has a disproportionate following from a younger demographic.

Plenty of people who have ordered apparently have done so with the support/pestering of their children...

Otispunkmeyer

12,686 posts

157 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Major T said:
EddieSteadyGo said:
It won't be a cash cow. It won't be simple to manufacture. It won't be $40k. And it won't ever exist (at least in a form which looks anything like this).
That's disappointing. Looks like it would have been quite efficient, if made:

https://interestingengineering.com/teslas-cybertru...
Yes, saw this this morning.

I have to say, I was pleasantly surprised on the roof section because I wasn't sure if the angle was shallow enough to stop the flow separating once over the bed. But looks like it probably will be fine.

There is also this one on Reddit, which I can't really tell if its the same... I don't think it is because they've gone all out and posted estimated Cd numbers.
heres the thread:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Infographics/comments/e20...

and the graphic:

https://external-preview.redd.it/VG5OBiuv8Jh7JFYBw...

He has put the Cd as 0.47, which is higher than some other trucks, but I suspect the CdA might be better because the front profile isn't so bluff??

The trouble spots are the wheels/wheel wells and the sharp transition over the "bonnet", also in the other guys CFD he shows what might be vortex flows from the front A pillars that look to wash over the bed cover. This might actually be a positive though.

But, likely the model isn't quite right, certainly no one knows the real details on the under-side. I noticed as well, when I was trying to sketch design changes over the photo of it on stage, that a lot of the lines are actually not straight, but ever so slightly curved.But it may well have been distortion induced by the camera.

So pinch of salt needed, but I can't think these are a million miles away.... its more aerodynamic than layman's intuition would suggest!

Talksteer

4,975 posts

235 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Major T said:
EddieSteadyGo said:
It won't be a cash cow. It won't be simple to manufacture. It won't be $40k. And it won't ever exist (at least in a form which looks anything like this).
That's disappointing. Looks like it would have been quite efficient, if made:

https://interestingengineering.com/teslas-cybertru...
I'd tend to go with the pronunciations of the people who design Teslas for a living than people who have seen the presentation even if they know about regular car construction techniques.

Tesla don't do concept cars and all of their previous cars looked pretty much the same when they were announced compared to when they were delivered. They have built a running prototype so they will have some idea of how difficult the vehicle is to manufacture.

It says a lot about Tesla's process that even if such a design concept was developed at another company they would be unlikely to get the money to actually go ahead and build a prototype to actually prove out a completely new manufacturing process to support a completely new radical styling led design.

At an automaker of comparable size long term planning of BIW would be part of a completely separate department who would have to get the technology up to a certain Technology Readiness Level/Manufacturing Capability Readiness Level before a car project would be allowed to use it.

As regards the cost of manufacture we really can't make any strong judgements other than to estimate that there is a around about $2000 dollars of stainless steel in the body. Laser cutting, scoring and bending the sheets is a pretty simple process and easy to automate. Adding stiffness ribs is pretty simple and you could easily design the process to use relatively few different gauges of steel.

One key advantage is that there is no paint line at all, they were talking about adding colour options but given that one was matt black I suspect that they will be achieved by anodising rather than painting.

As for the price I'd expect that it will be broadly in line (e.g. within 10%) of the prices quoted.


jamoor

14,506 posts

217 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Talksteer said:
Major T said:
EddieSteadyGo said:
It won't be a cash cow. It won't be simple to manufacture. It won't be $40k. And it won't ever exist (at least in a form which looks anything like this).
That's disappointing. Looks like it would have been quite efficient, if made:

https://interestingengineering.com/teslas-cybertru...
I'd tend to go with the pronunciations of the people who design Teslas for a living than people who have seen the presentation even if they know about regular car construction techniques.

Tesla don't do concept cars and all of their previous cars looked pretty much the same when they were announced compared to when they were delivered. They have built a running prototype so they will have some idea of how difficult the vehicle is to manufacture.

It says a lot about Tesla's process that even if such a design concept was developed at another company they would be unlikely to get the money to actually go ahead and build a prototype to actually prove out a completely new manufacturing process to support a completely new radical styling led design.

At an automaker of comparable size long term planning of BIW would be part of a completely separate department who would have to get the technology up to a certain Technology Readiness Level/Manufacturing Capability Readiness Level before a car project would be allowed to use it.

As regards the cost of manufacture we really can't make any strong judgements other than to estimate that there is a around about $2000 dollars of stainless steel in the body. Laser cutting, scoring and bending the sheets is a pretty simple process and easy to automate. Adding stiffness ribs is pretty simple and you could easily design the process to use relatively few different gauges of steel.

One key advantage is that there is no paint line at all, they were talking about adding colour options but given that one was matt black I suspect that they will be achieved by anodising rather than painting.

As for the price I'd expect that it will be broadly in line (e.g. within 10%) of the prices quoted.
So essentially its a bit of sheet metal, battery and motors.

anonymous-user

56 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
It is pratical though? the pickup should have sides so you can pick up stuff from it. No side mirrors, it will need proper lights back and forth as well along with other stuff.

It seems designed for people who don't buy pickup already which is pretty dangerous. as would alienate the core pickup buyers.
It is interesting to push the envelope, but with advanced composite materals, using something that isn't really advanced seems a cop out.

jamoor

14,506 posts

217 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Thesprucegoose said:
It is pratical though? the pickup should have sides so you can pick up stuff from it. No side mirrors, it will need proper lights back and forth as well along with other stuff.

It seems designed for people who don't buy pickup already which is pretty dangerous. as would alienate the core pickup buyers.
It is interesting to push the envelope, but with advanced composite materals, using something that isn't really advanced seems a cop out.
Maybe core pickup buyers wouldn't buy it anyway so they sell it to people who would buy them.

Greg_D

6,542 posts

248 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Thesprucegoose said:
It is pratical though? the pickup should have sides so you can pick up stuff from it. No side mirrors, it will need proper lights back and forth as well along with other stuff.
the bed sides are that high on full size pickups that you're not removing anything from the bed over the sides...

Lt. Coulomb

202 posts

56 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Greg_D said:
the bed sides are that high on full size pickups that you're not removing anything from the bed over the sides...
Unless you have a bloody side step!


anonymous-user

56 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
The shape is obviously to improve efficiency over what most trucks look like. Tesla obviously realized that they won't be able to hit 250 miles range on the base version unless they make it that shape.

Greg_D

6,542 posts

248 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Lt. Coulomb said:
Greg_D said:
the bed sides are that high on full size pickups that you're not removing anything from the bed over the sides...
Unless you have a bloody side step!

alright, calm down...
i can't say that i've ever seen a little optional side step like that before.
point being that they are blooming massive and generally you can only access stuff from the back

Mikehig

760 posts

63 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
<< One key advantage is that there is no paint line at all, >>

That could be interesting....remember the fun DeLorean had with plain stainless?
That said, this is a pick-up - cutting, grinding or welding of normal carbon steel nearby could be a problem.

hyphen

26,262 posts

92 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Talksteer said:
Major T said:
EddieSteadyGo said:
It won't be a cash cow. It won't be simple to manufacture. It won't be $40k. And it won't ever exist (at least in a form which looks anything like this).
That's disappointing. Looks like it would have been quite efficient, if made:

https://interestingengineering.com/teslas-cybertru...
I'd tend to go with the pronunciations of the people who design Teslas for a living than people who have seen the presentation even if they know about regular car construction techniques.

Tesla don't do concept cars and all of their previous cars looked pretty much the same when they were announced compared to when they were delivered. They have built a running prototype so they will have some idea of how difficult the vehicle is to manufacture.
...
Roadster and the Lorry are yet to arrive at production maturity and they accepted deposits for them too didn't they?

Y is based on 3 and that has taken them a couple of years, so do you think they are doing to be able to launch thsi version of the Cybertruck?

jjwilde

1,904 posts

98 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
hyphen said:
Roadster and the Lorry are yet to arrive at production maturity and they accepted deposits for them too didn't they?

Y is based on 3 and that has taken them a couple of years, so do you think they are doing to be able to launch thsi version of the Cybertruck?
What product have Tesla ever abandoned never to launch? Why on earth would they abandon this after the crazy love for it AND it being so cheap to manufacture?

hyphen

26,262 posts

92 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
jjwilde said:
What product have Tesla ever abandoned never to launch? Why on earth would they abandon this after the crazy love for it AND it being so cheap to manufacture?
Crazy love?

200k pre-orders isn't it? You know they sell 20 million vehicles each year in the US alone, and only 200k people worldwide have put a impulsive tiny $100 refundable deposit down??

Heres Johnny

7,271 posts

126 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
jjwilde said:
hyphen said:
Roadster and the Lorry are yet to arrive at production maturity and they accepted deposits for them too didn't they?

Y is based on 3 and that has taken them a couple of years, so do you think they are doing to be able to launch thsi version of the Cybertruck?
What product have Tesla ever abandoned never to launch? Why on earth would they abandon this after the crazy love for it AND it being so cheap to manufacture?
How long do you wait?

Tesla haven't abandoned level 5 self driving where the car will cross the country to pick you up - all using the current hardware - but few people think that will really happen (key being current installed hardware in the car, especially sensor array)

Tesla haven't abandoned their solar tile roof business

Tesla just kind of park things until tech catches up however long that takes.

Its also a sign of strength to be prepared to can a project rather than keepp flogging it to try and save face,.

Dave Hedgehog

14,646 posts

206 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
hyphen said:
jjwilde said:
What product have Tesla ever abandoned never to launch? Why on earth would they abandon this after the crazy love for it AND it being so cheap to manufacture?
Crazy love?

200k pre-orders isn't it? You know they sell 20 million vehicles each year in the US alone, and 200k people worldwide have put a impulsive tiny $100 refundable deposit down??
its a big number for a tiny company like Tesla

they would have been royally fked if they had spent a fortune developing the truck and only got 14 orders, i doubt they have the money for a model to fail

hyphen

26,262 posts

92 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
Dave Hedgehog said:
hyphen said:
jjwilde said:
What product have Tesla ever abandoned never to launch? Why on earth would they abandon this after the crazy love for it AND it being so cheap to manufacture?
Crazy love?

200k pre-orders isn't it? You know they sell 20 million vehicles each year in the US alone, and 200k people worldwide have put a impulsive tiny $100 refundable deposit down??
its a big number for a tiny company like Tesla
Tiny? Tesla is worth as much as Ford or GM!! And been around for 17 years.

They have $5bn in cash lying around.

jamoor

14,506 posts

217 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
hyphen said:
Dave Hedgehog said:
hyphen said:
jjwilde said:
What product have Tesla ever abandoned never to launch? Why on earth would they abandon this after the crazy love for it AND it being so cheap to manufacture?
Crazy love?

200k pre-orders isn't it? You know they sell 20 million vehicles each year in the US alone, and 200k people worldwide have put a impulsive tiny $100 refundable deposit down??
its a big number for a tiny company like Tesla
Tiny? Tesla is worth as much as Ford or GM!! And been around for 17 years.

They have $5bn in cash lying around.
Sales volume is small thoguh.

anonymous-user

56 months

Friday 29th November 2019
quotequote all
hyphen said:


They have $5bn in cash lying around.
lol, it was short term wizardry to inflate the cash figures, producing the illusion of operating cash flows despite the company’s lack of real cash flows.

They have serverly limited capex as well. it is all very short sighted, only real benefit is the share price.

There car margins are decreasing and they need a volume vehicle with high margins, that can sell in volume to stop the company burning up all its reserves.