Risk free matched betting using bookie offers

Risk free matched betting using bookie offers

Author
Discussion

TomE

1,252 posts

192 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
I've been watching this thread for a little while (and read through the MSE thread a few times) and I've finally decided to dip my toe in the water. I won't have chance to sit down for an hour this evening but will do in the morning, will the good footy bets still be available then do you think?

Also, prepare for lots of inane questions as I fumble my way through!


richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
Welcome on board Tom thumbup

Plenty of opportunities tomorrow morning. The optimum time for us newbs seems to be 3-4 hours before KO. Email me if you'd like my intro sheet.

TomE

1,252 posts

192 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
richardxjr said:
Email me if you'd like my intro sheet.
Done, Cheers!


beer

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
I'm also sending across my slightly amended version of the matcher spreadsheet smile

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
Presently I am working my way through P&ddyp*wer's £200. (half way through it). They've just emailed me another free bet £20, even though I'm £600 up with them and have already withdrawn over £400!

eztiger

836 posts

182 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
richardxjr said:
I'm also sending across my slightly amended version of the matcher spreadsheet smile
Received here too - thanks very much smile

beer

Now I just need some time to sit down and absorb it. coffee

Dan_1981

17,430 posts

201 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
What sort of "float" do you need to start with this - i'm seeing large numbers being touted around with regards to liquidity etc?

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
I started with £180. £200 in BF and £100 for bet stakes would be better.

Only now have I hit a slight liquidity issue. I am on a big offer (PP £200) with lots of qualis after the first free £50, and they keep winning bookie side.

I've enough in BF to keep doing these qualis (low odds = low lay risk) and building up the free bets to use once money has moved from PP-Bank-BF.


shakotan

10,739 posts

198 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
So I have my SkyBet £10 SNR in the Wigan v Blackburn game tomorrow.
Stake 2.4 - Lay 2.6
I know it'll only net me 52% profit, but I don't have the funds in my BetFair account yet to cover any higher odds.

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
Furry muff. Need ideally to start with more though to maximise the profit. But at least you've got the numbers correct smile


Everton 2-1 Wolves, correct score (full time)
Back skybet your free £10 @ 8.5
Lay BF £8.02 stake @ 9.4
(you need £67.37 @ BF to cover the liability)
Return £7.62

That's the best I can find for sky at the mo. It's better than I got with my first bet.

Don't forget as soon as your stakes placed = £25 (not liability) you get your £25 bonus @ BF (And your share of a decent referrer's bonus too wink). Well, within 48hrs of hitting it anyway. That helps a lot in the first week.





Edited by richardxjr on Friday 18th November 15:55

shakotan

10,739 posts

198 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
richardxjr said:
Furry muff. Need ideally to start with more though to maximise the profit. But at least you've got the numbers correct smile


Everton 2-1 Wolves, correct score (full time)
Back skybet @ 8.5
Lay BF £8.02 stake @ 9.4
(you need £67.37 @ BF to cover the liability)
Return £7.62

That's the best I can find for sky at the mo. It's better than I got with my first bet.

Don't forget as soon as your stakes placed = £25 (not liability) you get your £25 bonus @ BF. Well within 48hrs of hitting it anyway. That helps a lot in the first week.
I guess there's no way of safeguarding the stakes placed on BF, just picking low odds to minimise risk?

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
What do you mean shakotan?

If you are backing and laying the same event correctly there is no risk smile

shakotan

10,739 posts

198 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
richardxjr said:
What do you mean shakotan?

If you are backing and laying the same event correctly there is no risk smile
Of course, I back and lay the same result on BF, what a goon!

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
beer

It does take a bit of time to get your head round it hehe. Understand the arithmetic behind matcher.xls so you know exactly what's happening.

I wrote out my first few matches by hand, that helps.

shakotan

10,739 posts

198 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
richardxjr said:
beer

It does take a bit of time to get your head round it hehe. Understand the arithmetic behind matcher.xls so you know exactly what's happening.

I wrote out my first few matches by hand, that helps.
OK, so if I try to back and lay the same event on BF, it tells me the Lay Odds cannot be lower than the Back Odds, but if I try to change it, it doesn't get matched?

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
You don't want to back and lay at BF. They'd just cancel each other out.

You back at the bookie & lay the correct amount at BF to give you a net profit out of the bookie's free bet


richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
shakotan, you deleted your post. But I'm going to answer anyway just so everybody understands smile

For what we are doing you only use the exchange, BF, to LAY your bets.

Your bonus eligibility is based on your LAY stake (not liability)



These bonuses don't affect how you matched bet using bookie offers. They are extra cash for placing your (LAY) business with BF.


ETA! This only applies if you've joined BF with a referrer code. If you just sign up from their homepage the standard offer is a free bet. It's nowhere near as profitable, and in this situation you back @ BF (as they are the bookie with the offer in this situation) and you lay at another exchange, eg Betdaq.



Edited by richardxjr on Friday 18th November 16:14

shakotan

10,739 posts

198 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
richardxjr said:
shakotan, you deleted your post. But I'm going to answer anyway just so everybody understands smile

For what we are doing you only use the exchange, BF, to LAY your bets.

Your bonus eligibility is based on your LAY stake (not liability)



These bonuses don't affect how you matched bet using bookie offers. They are extra cash for placing your (LAY) business with BF.
Yes, I mis-interpreted the rules for the bonus, and thought LAY bets didn't count. I'm a 'tard...

richardxjr

Original Poster:

7,561 posts

212 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
Lay bets are the reason for exchanges' existence smile They don't care whether you win or lose (at this level) as they earn commission (starting at 5%) on whoever's side wins each bet at the exchange.

Matcherxls calculates your lay stakes for a matched bet, taking this commission into account.

When you see on a single footy match, matched stakes of £5m, work out their percentage they make, and you can see how they can afford to throw £100's attracting new business smile

philv

4,005 posts

216 months

Friday 18th November 2011
quotequote all
Hi.... This seems very interesting.

Is it possible to be sent the dat sheet and spreadsheet please?

Christmas is coming. Cash needed!

Thanks
Phil