RWC 2019

Author
Discussion

schmalex

13,616 posts

207 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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Could Japan go on to win it?

The way they play is difficult for anyone to defend against. Their error count is so low that they don’t offer easy ball anywhere on the field. They are hard to scrum against. Other than getting turned in the rucks a little too frequently, they are an extremely rounded side.

I can see them giving SA a real shock next weekend

warch

2,941 posts

155 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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schmalex said:
Could Japan go on to win it?

The way they play is difficult for anyone to defend against. Their error count is so low that they don’t offer easy ball anywhere on the field. They are hard to scrum against. Other than getting turned in the rucks a little too frequently, they are an extremely rounded side.

I can see them giving SA a real shock next weekend
I can really see that. Once you adjust to the idea that a previously unfancied Tier 2 side is actually rather good and indeed better than several Tier 1 teams then its hard to see who they couldn't beat. I've said it before but they are very good at the basics, maintaining a good defensive line, not overcommitting, winning penalties within range of the posts and biding their time until a try scoring opportunity presents itself.

They made Ireland and Scotland look pretty ill disciplined and disorganised tbh, be interesting to see them play England, Wales, New Zealand or Safrica.

DocJock

8,363 posts

241 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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Much as I love watching Japan play, I'm afraid I can see SA playing the power game and beating Japan down.

irocfan

Original Poster:

40,636 posts

191 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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DocJock said:
Much as I love watching Japan play, I'm afraid I can see SA playing the power game and beating Japan down.
this - that being said I would love to see more nations playing the same way: crisp, accurate passing, good defense, making space.

s2kjock

1,693 posts

148 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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DocJock said:
Totally agree. In reality he should be 4th choice behind (in no particular order) Horne, Price and Pyrgos.
I actually thought Laidlaw was passing better than normal in the game, but yes, I usually groan when I see him come on to replace one of the others - very frustrating to watch in attack.

For the game overall, on the one hand we were only a converted try behind, but the scoreline flatters us to a degree as we looked totally outlclassed for large periods of the game. It didn't look like we had really done much preparation for how to go about things if it got tough very quickly (which should not have been a surprise if Japan's recent games had been anything to go by). Japan looked so capable and determined in possession, yet we frequently kicked it away. Our ball retention and passing isn't too bad, but there seemed to be a reluctance to trust in this and work our way up the pitch to find openings (which there clearly there as we found a couple late on). Makes you wonder about key decision makers in the team and some of our supposed "world class" players.

Japan were utterly brillant and terrific to watch though - excellent chance of causing an upset in the next round.

Smollet

10,665 posts

191 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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Bundee Aki given 3 match ban for red card against Samoa

irocfan

Original Poster:

40,636 posts

191 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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Jasey_ said:
Smollet said:
Bundee Aki given 3 match ban for red card against Samoa
Seems harsh.

He'll probably miss the opening 2 games of the 6 Nations biggrin
does BA's ban relate purely to internationals or will club/region matches count towards it?

CardinalBlue

840 posts

78 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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I've seen a few people (not just on here) clamouring for Japan to be included in the Six Nations. For me, the logistics mean that isn't possible.

What I think would make more sense is adding them to the Rugby Championship - and look at adding Fiji to that competition as well. Same number of fixtures, playing each team once rather than twice (like they do in non-World Cup years), alternating between home and away like the Six Nations.

I also think the nations involved in these competitions should be obliged to play a set number of tests against those nations not in the competition in non-World Cup years.

abzmike

8,483 posts

107 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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CardinalBlue said:
I've seen a few people (not just on here) clamouring for Japan to be included in the Six Nations. For me, the logistics mean that isn't possible.

What I think would make more sense is adding them to the Rugby Championship - and look at adding Fiji to that competition as well. Same number of fixtures, playing each team once rather than twice (like they do in non-World Cup years), alternating between home and away like the Six Nations.

I also think the nations involved in these competitions should be obliged to play a set number of tests against those nations not in the competition in non-World Cup years.
Good ideas. I think for your second one though, if it means additional tests the French and English clubs in particular won't have it, and if no extra matches the unions won't be so keen because games against the aussies/kiwis/boks are going to be much more commercially attractive.

CardinalBlue

840 posts

78 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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abzmike said:
Good ideas. I think for your second one though, if it means additional tests the French and English clubs in particular won't have it, and if no extra matches the unions won't be so keen because games against the aussies/kiwis/boks are going to be much more commercially attractive.
You're probably right regarding the extra match. Although I think it would do wonders if say England stopped for a 'warm-up' fixture at the Pacific Island on their way to New Zealand or Namibia on their way to South Africa for the tours there.

No idea on the logistics of that btw, just thinking out loud.

Sn1ckers

582 posts

59 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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Eggchasers had what I thought was a good idea; include Fiji in the 6 Nations and base them in Europe (Spain?). Maybe at the expense of Italy?

Fiji do not have the infrastructure / money to host a tournament in Fiji itself and many of their players play in Europe so it may work.

Also, while we’re at it with left field ideas, what about SA joining the 6N (same time zone) and letting Japan take their place?

Whichever way it goes something needs to be done to pull one or more of the 2 tier nations into the top tier.

Gameface

16,565 posts

78 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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I'm not a rugby expert so I don't know you'd go about integrating Japan into competitions but I do know they are box office and probably everyone's second team now, so it should be seriously looked at for the good of the game.

ninja-lewis

4,258 posts

191 months

Monday 14th October 2019
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The danger with that approach is what happens to the other sides left behind? The sport needs a rising tide that lifts all boats; not cherry picking for the benefit of an elite few.

ukbabz

1,556 posts

127 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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Referee's
Jerome Garces
Romain Poite
Mathieu Raynal

TMO
Ben Skeen


Not looking forward to the referring for the England v Australia match

Kermit power

28,721 posts

214 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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ninja-lewis said:
Gargamel said:
Like a number if the so called Tier Two sides, what they need is inclusion in things like the Autumn internationals and tours where they can play three four tests in six weeks.

Need to open up the fixtures, even if it means the T1 sides play second string squads
Agreed. For all the talk of Georgia joining the Six Nation, their warm up against Scotland in Tbilisi was the first time ever that they've had a home game against a T1 side.

T1 sides hosting T2 sides in autumn internationals isn't enough - it just highlights the inequality and greed in the current system. Ignore world cups and world cup qualifiers and look at just tour matches/warm ups where sides can choose their opportunities and the opportunities over the past 30 years for other T2 nations to host home games haven't been much better.

Take Japan, although they've had visits by all the T1 sides except England and France, only Argentina, Ireland, Italy and Wales toured Japan before they were award this year's RWC in 2009.

USA (and Canada by association) have hosted numerous tours over the years but there's no doubt that commercial side drives the attraction for T1 sides.

The Pacific Islanders are much worse off. Fiji have only hosted 2 visits each by Italy and Scotland since 2010, and just 6 other games since 1990.

Five matches against the Celtic nations and Italy for Tonga while only Samoa can count a visit from New Zealand.

Portugal and Russia have never hosted a T1 side. Spain just twice. Uruguay have only had Argentina three times in the '90s and Italy twice. Namibia a tour each from Ireland and Wales almost 30 years ago. Romania have struggled since 2000.

The contrast with pre-6 Nations Italy is stark - they had home games against all T1 sides except England and France between 1995-1999.

amongst the T1 sides, the only sides making a half-effort since 1990 are: Wales (20), Italy (18), Ireland (17), Scotland (15), France (14) and Argentina (10).

The records of the others are just disgraceful: New Zealand, Australia, England (all 4) and South Africa (2). It looks even worse when we consider that 3 of these 14 matches were v Japan in last 3 years (i.e. RWC familiarization visits), that New Zealand's 4 are all since 2013 and that England's last T2 tour was Canada/USA in 2001 with a just solitary game against Fiji in 1991 before that.

Time to insist that T2 countries are fully included in hosting autumn internationals and summer tours against T1 sides - even if that means no more 3 match tours between T1 nations.
Whilst I agree with your sentiment to an extent, not many of the Tier 1 unions are particularly awash with cash, and the vast majority of their cash comes from the big clashes with other tier 1 nations. Whenever England play a tier 2 nation, they invariably have to sell the tickets at a heavily discounted rate to even come close to filling Twickenham, for example, and if we're talking about away fixtures in the Pacific Islands, what sort of crowds will those games be able to pull in?

We get to sit here and pontificate about what should happen because we're all engaged in rugby just for fun. If my coaching & reffing kids started to impact on my ability to do my day job, then I'd have to seriously reconsider it, as paying the mortgage and food bills have to come first. For the Tier 1 unions, the matches against their peers are what pay the mortgage.

I think the only way to get more exposure for Tier 2 nations is for World Rugby to come up with a model they can impose without bankrupting the Tier 1 nations in the process. Maybe something along the lines of a levy on all Tier 1 vs Tier 1 matches which is then used to fund Tier 1 nations taking it in turn to do annual Pacific Islands & Japan and Emerging Europe tours? Get a couple of teams from those regions up to speed then with the expanded number of Tier 1 nations, you can add in Emerging Americas & Africa tours.

yellowjack

17,082 posts

167 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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JulianPH said:
Stella Tortoise said:
irocfan said:
full time professionals vs semi-pro would have a fair bit to do with it....
bks, you people keep blurting about how lucky the Welsh team have been yet they keep winning.

You are full of st.
Wales played a second team today (with a couple of exceptions) and yet still managed a bonus point win against a first choice team that beat Fiji.

Not a bad result.

Wales is certainly lucky, but only in the sense they have some incredible talent and are very good at rugby, currently second only to the All Blacks and (albeit briefly) recently ranked above them.

Australia can beat any team on their day, but couldn't beat Wales a couple of weeks ago.

It has nothing to do with luck, it is all about who is the better team on the day. If France turn up next weekend they may be the better team, but if Wales win it is not luck, it is them being the better team.

Anyway, well done (again) to Japan! smile
For all the suggestion that Wales were "lucky", that misses the point that, had qualification been in doubt, team selection and game plans would have been hugely different going in to the Uruguay match. It's not "lucky" to manage your side into having their "bad day at the office" against a side which you can (relatively) comfortably beat while having that "bad day". I wasn't any more impressed by Wales' handling errors and apparent lack of cohesion at times than any neutral rugby fan, but in the end they showed the will to win, and that's what took them through at the top of the pool. It was interesting to see that both Wales and Japan had exactly the same stats as one-another on one online source for the pool final standings tables, at least with regard to wins/bonus points. They were only teo converted tried behind Wales in the Points Difference column. I'd love to see Japan go through in the Quarter Final, but even if they get steamrollered by the Springboks they will be able to hold their heads high after their run in the pool matches.

DaveTheRave87

2,096 posts

90 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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warch said:
I can really see that. Once you adjust to the idea that a previously unfancied Tier 2 side is actually rather good and indeed better than several Tier 1 teams then its hard to see who they couldn't beat. I've said it before but they are very good at the basics, maintaining a good defensive line, not overcommitting, winning penalties within range of the posts and biding their time until a try scoring opportunity presents itself.

They made Ireland and Scotland look pretty ill disciplined and disorganised tbh, be interesting to see them play England, Wales, New Zealand or Safrica.
Betfair has them at 60 (59-1). Worth a couple of ££?

TheGreatSoprendo

5,286 posts

250 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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DocJock said:
Much as I love watching Japan play, I'm afraid I can see SA playing the power game and beating Japan down.
Completely agree. Scotland played right into Japan's hands but SA are very unlikely to make the same mistake.

So who do we think will go through to the semis? I'd suggest NZ, England, Wales and SA. I think France are capable of beating Wales and Aus are capable of beating England, so if there's to be an 'upset', it'll be in one of those two games. I can't see Japan beating SA or Ireland beating NZ, much as I'd love it if they did!

TheGreatSoprendo

5,286 posts

250 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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yellowjack said:
It was interesting to see that both Wales and Japan had exactly the same stats as one-another on one online source for the pool final standings tables, at least with regard to wins/bonus points.
Wales and Japan are the only sides to get through the group stages with a 100% record smile

Trophy Husband

3,924 posts

108 months

Tuesday 15th October 2019
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I've got a feeling the Aussies will pull out their A game against England.
As a Welshman I also fear the unpredictable French but we should still pull through? I'm just mindful that it was mistakes by the French that allowed us to beat them in the 6N!