Has the Rolex bubble finally burst? Perhaps it has

Has the Rolex bubble finally burst? Perhaps it has

Author
Discussion

RDMcG

19,162 posts

207 months

Thursday 19th March 2020
quotequote all
No different than classic cars or limited-edition moderns. Price premiums will disappear and those who already own them are best to sit tight. There will be no silly windfalls any time soon.

harleywilma

519 posts

243 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
Thank god I didnt get the call, money best placed to use somewhere else now.

LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

196 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
For sale section on TZ-UK is overflowing with Rolex sports models at the moment, no Daytonas at list of course or Hulks going cheap but there is a lot on the market compared to the previous six months

Wilmslowboy

4,210 posts

206 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
Rolex watches are a little bit of an international currency.

Therefore the drop in the value of the pound made UK Rolexs just a little bit cheaper to international buyers, thus supporting values.


LaurasOtherHalf

21,429 posts

196 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
Wilmslowboy said:
Rolex watches are a little bit of an international currency.

Therefore the drop in the value of the pound made UK Rolexs just a little bit cheaper to international buyers, thus supporting values.
As I posted on (I think) the previous page, my mate is a grey dealer and the plummeting pound means his international selling side has sky rocketed. He would take all the Sports models he can.

Gitwhoismiserable

767 posts

123 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
Just got a brand new submariner at retail, It will always be worth more I’m not worried all this trouble will pass

anonymous-user

54 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
Gitwhoismiserable said:
Just got a brand new submariner at retail, It will always be worth more I’m not worried all this trouble will pass
Right but the people selling theirs are the ones being made redundant or seeing massive drops in their financial situations.

It’s not about whether the virus goes in a few months or not it’s about people needing to free up cash right now.

Gitwhoismiserable

767 posts

123 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
El stovey said:
Right but the people selling theirs are the ones being made redundant or seeing massive drops in their financial situations.

It’s not about whether the virus goes in a few months or not it’s about people needing to free up cash right now.
What’s new

anonymous-user

54 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
Gitwhoismiserable said:
El stovey said:
Right but the people selling theirs are the ones being made redundant or seeing massive drops in their financial situations.

It’s not about whether the virus goes in a few months or not it’s about people needing to free up cash right now.
What’s new
The larger amount of people suddenly needing to free up some cash? hehe

jonny70

1,280 posts

158 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
LaurasOtherHalf said:
For sale section on TZ-UK is overflowing with Rolex sports models at the moment, no Daytonas at list of course or Hulks going cheap but there is a lot on the market compared to the previous six months
Wait a month or so and then prices will start dropping. Supply is already increasing and demand will drop like a stone.

The last 3 recessions - Swiss watches including Rolex plummeted like a stone, this time it will be no different. It might actually be worse as so many models are trading for well over list whilst in 2007 only the Daytona did.Coupled with the fact, values of Rolex sports have gone through the roof from 3-4K in 2007/8 to some models trading for double list prices at 15k( for a GMT), the drop could be sharper.

50% of Watches of Switzerland sales are Rolex watches. Their share price has halved in the past month from 400p to 200p.

Swatch group shares (Omega,Longines,Tissot) has fallen 40% and Richemont (Cartier,IWC,JLC) share price 40% too

Edited by jonny70 on Sunday 22 March 20:10


Edited by jonny70 on Sunday 22 March 21:16

Ikemi

8,446 posts

205 months

Sunday 22nd March 2020
quotequote all
LaurasOtherHalf said:
For sale section on TZ-UK is overflowing with Rolex sports models at the moment, no Daytonas at list of course or Hulks going cheap but there is a lot on the market compared to the previous six months
Just had a look myself ... It’s just Rolex after Rolex after Rolex! There were 7 Rolex for sale threads in a row, let alone all the others! eek

Gitwhoismiserable

767 posts

123 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
El stovey said:
The larger amount of people suddenly needing to free up some cash? hehe
Check with your local pawn broker this has been going on since Jesus was a boy, panic over

anonymous-user

54 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
Gitwhoismiserable said:
El stovey said:
The larger amount of people suddenly needing to free up some cash? hehe
Check with your local pawn broker this has been going on since Jesus was a boy, panic over
Yes, everyone knows sometimes people need to free up money and sell stuff but read the posts above, there’s much MORE people selling Rolex watches than usual.

Gitwhoismiserable

767 posts

123 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
El stovey said:
Yes, everyone knows sometimes people need to free up money and sell stuff but read the posts above, there’s much MORE people selling Rolex watches than usual.
Ok THANKS for your input

mikees

2,747 posts

172 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
Ikemi said:
LaurasOtherHalf said:
For sale section on TZ-UK is overflowing with Rolex sports models at the moment, no Daytonas at list of course or Hulks going cheap but there is a lot on the market compared to the previous six months
Just had a look myself ... It’s just Rolex after Rolex after Rolex! There were 7 Rolex for sale threads in a row, let alone all the others! eek
24 now.

C4ME

1,161 posts

211 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
Nobody is going to buy a watch at the moment at current prices and it is the same in the car market. Unless someone is prepared to sell at 50% of the price a month ago you are going to keep your cash in your pocket and wait for the market to come to you. In 3 months time you will be able to make a more rational assesment of where prices are going but as a buyer it is too early at the moment to take any risk.

rog007

5,759 posts

224 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
C4ME said:
Nobody is going to buy a watch at the moment at current prices and it is the same in the car market. Unless someone is prepared to sell at 50% of the price a month ago you are going to keep your cash in your pocket and wait for the market to come to you. In 3 months time you will be able to make a more rational assesment of where prices are going but as a buyer it is too early at the moment to take any risk.
Interestingly, the tracker provided by Chrono24 suggests otherwise.

I wonder if the price rises they’re displaying are as a result of folk moving in to that sort of item rather than some other assets that are now struggling?

DT398

1,745 posts

148 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
Impending economic meltdown, so let’s stock up on luxury watches at inflated prices? Sounds like a strategy to get thoroughly rinsed to me.

Barchettaman

6,311 posts

132 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
C4ME said:
Nobody is going to buy a watch at the moment at current prices and it is the same in the car market. Unless someone is prepared to sell at 50% of the price a month ago you are going to keep your cash in your pocket and wait for the market to come to you. In 3 months time you will be able to make a more rational assesment of where prices are going but as a buyer it is too early at the moment to take any risk.
Sold a Seiko at profit today. Ok, not a Rolex, but I was as surprised as anyone when it went.

jonny70

1,280 posts

158 months

Monday 23rd March 2020
quotequote all
rog007 said:
Interestingly, the tracker provided by Chrono24 suggests otherwise.

I wonder if the price rises they’re displaying are as a result of folk moving in to that sort of item rather than some other assets that are now struggling?
The GBP has fallen a lot in the past 2 weeks against the Dollar,Swiss Franc and the the Euro, that’s why the chrono24 tracker is showing increases in value (it’s in relative terms to what they cost in other countries)

Luxury goods will get hit hard by the Coronavirus/recession, posted on the previous page about watch manufacture share prices being down 40% and the biggest U.K. official retailer of Rolex watches share price halving in the past month (that’s before they announced stores would close)