Discussion
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
MarkwG said:
CoolHands said:
We know where it ended up and we know it’s not where the flight computer would have taken it. It’s preposterous to think it wasn’t all done manually by one of two people.
Sorry, didn't realise I was dealing with an aviation expert.Looking forward to your theory about how it didn’t go north as planned.
dvs_dave said:
See Helios Airways flight 552 for a real world example of that.
I've been slowly making my way through Pilot Mentor's youtube channel and just watched this one.wow, what a crap way to go. The poor last man alive sat in the cockpit with a jet with no fuel and a cabin full of bodies.
The video in question https://youtu.be/pebpaM-Zua0?si=a30KJWWo1huiVKhA
Edited by gazapc on Sunday 17th December 23:14
CoolHands said:
MarkwG said:
CoolHands said:
We know where it ended up and we know it’s not where the flight computer would have taken it. It’s preposterous to think it wasn’t all done manually by one of two people.
Sorry, didn't realise I was dealing with an aviation expert.Looking forward to your theory about how it didn’t go north as planned.
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
Oh come on….thats such a bullst cop out. Why even bother commenting if you’re not prepared to discuss alternative theories?
If the wreckage and subsequent FDR and CVR are ever found, do we think any new info will be revealed as to what actually happened? It’s very likely the FDR and CVR were both probably switched off along with everything else when the plane went dark, so will contain no useful info.
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
dvs_dave said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
Oh come on….thats such a bullst cop out. Why even bother commenting if you’re not prepared to discuss alternative theories?
If the wreckage and subsequent FDR and CVR are ever found, do we think any new info will be revealed as to what actually happened? It’s very likely the FDR and CVR were both probably switched off along with everything else when the plane went dark, so will contain no useful info.
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
MarkwG said:
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
Then someone asked for the cockpit emergency oxygen tank to be topped off. No leak was reported.
That is highly unusual and extremely suspiscious, given the suggested murder/suicide flight that followed - it is entirely consistent with a Captain ensuring that he had enough oxygen to fly the plane after depressurising the rest of the aircraft (and thereby incapacitating everyone else on it).
MarkwG said:
I don't answer to you & I've no intention of guessing just to make you happy. You're not the thread police, either. The gentleman I referred you to has far more experience regarding this than you, I'm absolutely certain; if you don't like it that's your problem.
Mmmkay….thanks for the waste of bandwidth. Great job!youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
Then someone asked for the cockpit emergency oxygen tank to be topped off. No leak was reported.
That is highly unusual and extremely suspicious, given the suggested murder/suicide flight that followed - it is entirely consistent with a Captain ensuring that he had enough oxygen to fly the plane after depressurising the rest of the aircraft (and thereby incapacitating everyone else on it).
Without knowing how often oxygen tanks need topping up generally, or what Malaysians minimum equipment for departure rules were at the time, we've no way of understanding whether it's an unusual request or not: it seems to be a reasonable enough for the service to be available without delaying the flight, or for anyone to make much of it on the ground before they departed. As I mentioned before, those actions are just as easily interpreted as the actions of a conscientious pilot making sure everything was as they needed it to be, for the safety of the flight.
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
Then someone asked for the cockpit emergency oxygen tank to be topped off. No leak was reported.
That is highly unusual and extremely suspicious, given the suggested murder/suicide flight that followed - it is entirely consistent with a Captain ensuring that he had enough oxygen to fly the plane after depressurising the rest of the aircraft (and thereby incapacitating everyone else on it).
Without knowing how often oxygen tanks need topping up generally, or what Malaysians minimum equipment for departure rules were at the time, we've no way of understanding whether it's an unusual request or not: it seems to be a reasonable enough for the service to be available without delaying the flight, or for anyone to make much of it on the ground before they departed. As I mentioned before, those actions are just as easily interpreted as the actions of a conscientious pilot making sure everything was as they needed it to be, for the safety of the flight.
After a quick google, I think I saw that the previous time it was filled up was two months prior.
gazapc said:
dvs_dave said:
See Helios Airways flight 552 for a real world example of that.
I've been slowly making my way through Pilot Mentor's youtube channel and just watched this one.wow, what a crap way to go. The poor last man alive sat in the cockpit with a jet with no fuel and a cabin full of bodies.
The video in question https://youtu.be/pebpaM-Zua0?si=a30KJWWo1huiVKhA
Edited by gazapc on Sunday 17th December 23:14
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
Then someone asked for the cockpit emergency oxygen tank to be topped off. No leak was reported.
That is highly unusual and extremely suspicious, given the suggested murder/suicide flight that followed - it is entirely consistent with a Captain ensuring that he had enough oxygen to fly the plane after depressurising the rest of the aircraft (and thereby incapacitating everyone else on it).
Without knowing how often oxygen tanks need topping up generally, or what Malaysians minimum equipment for departure rules were at the time, we've no way of understanding whether it's an unusual request or not: it seems to be a reasonable enough for the service to be available without delaying the flight, or for anyone to make much of it on the ground before they departed. As I mentioned before, those actions are just as easily interpreted as the actions of a conscientious pilot making sure everything was as they needed it to be, for the safety of the flight.
After a quick google, I think I saw that the previous time it was filled up was two months prior.
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
Then someone asked for the cockpit emergency oxygen tank to be topped off. No leak was reported.
That is highly unusual and extremely suspicious, given the suggested murder/suicide flight that followed - it is entirely consistent with a Captain ensuring that he had enough oxygen to fly the plane after depressurising the rest of the aircraft (and thereby incapacitating everyone else on it).
Without knowing how often oxygen tanks need topping up generally, or what Malaysians minimum equipment for departure rules were at the time, we've no way of understanding whether it's an unusual request or not: it seems to be a reasonable enough for the service to be available without delaying the flight, or for anyone to make much of it on the ground before they departed. As I mentioned before, those actions are just as easily interpreted as the actions of a conscientious pilot making sure everything was as they needed it to be, for the safety of the flight.
After a quick google, I think I saw that the previous time it was filled up was two months prior.
What the Green Dot documentary draws attention to, that is not called out in the report, is that when the aircraft was on the ground in KL, the tech log was filled in pre flight with "NIL DEFECTS" in the defects section and "NIL NOTES" in the notes section and the notes section actually crossed through, then afterwards before departure there was an entry written over the top that the crew oxygen was replenished to 1800psi. There is no way of knowing who requested the oxygen top up or why, although you would have thought the LAME (engineer) would have been able to recall who asked them to top up the oxygen when interviewed as part of the investigation.
48k said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
sherman said:
MarkwG said:
youngsyr said:
MarkwG said:
See the answer Prawo Jadzy gave above. I don't know what happened, conjecture really gets us nowhere, & as yet, there's no way of knowing for sure.
One of the most convincing pieces of evidence I've seen is that the cockpit masks have a separate emergency oxygen tank to the rest of the plane.These are kept full and are rarely used, so they are typically only topped up a couple times per year.
However someone asked for them to be topped up on that plane, very shortly before take off. It wasn't noted who requested it, just that it was done and that it was done AFTER the pre flight maintenance checks had already been signed off.
Highly unusual and one of the people who could have requested it was the captain.
Then someone asked for the cockpit emergency oxygen tank to be topped off. No leak was reported.
That is highly unusual and extremely suspicious, given the suggested murder/suicide flight that followed - it is entirely consistent with a Captain ensuring that he had enough oxygen to fly the plane after depressurising the rest of the aircraft (and thereby incapacitating everyone else on it).
Without knowing how often oxygen tanks need topping up generally, or what Malaysians minimum equipment for departure rules were at the time, we've no way of understanding whether it's an unusual request or not: it seems to be a reasonable enough for the service to be available without delaying the flight, or for anyone to make much of it on the ground before they departed. As I mentioned before, those actions are just as easily interpreted as the actions of a conscientious pilot making sure everything was as they needed it to be, for the safety of the flight.
After a quick google, I think I saw that the previous time it was filled up was two months prior.
What the Green Dot documentary draws attention to, that is not called out in the report, is that when the aircraft was on the ground in KL, the tech log was filled in pre flight with "NIL DEFECTS" in the defects section and "NIL NOTES" in the notes section and the notes section actually crossed through, then afterwards before departure there was an entry written over the top that the crew oxygen was replenished to 1800psi. There is no way of knowing who requested the oxygen top up or why, although you would have thought the LAME (engineer) would have been able to recall who asked them to top up the oxygen when interviewed as part of the investigation.
MarkwG said:
Yes I read that too: what I meant is that the report doesn't seem to draw any conclusions on it: if anything, the statement that the airlines common practice is to service the system, even if above minimum, shows what happened wasn't a one off. The change in the notes makes perfect sense if there's nothing to hide; the engineer not recalling who requested, not unusual if it's common practice.
One explanation is that it was just a routine part of the servicing.Another is that the captain specifically requested it, knowing that he would be relying on the oxygen in that tank to carry out his plan.
There is no conclusive proof either way, but what would add weight either way is to understand how often this is done - Green Dot Aviation stated that it is twice per year. With the previous top up being performed two months earlier, this would indicate that it was out of routine.
And if you want to test the hypothesis that an extremely experienced pilot wanted to cover his tracks and make the plane disappear, you have to accept that there is unlikely to be a smoking gun - otherwise the pilot would know his plan was impossible.
It's therefore important to not take each piece of evidence in isolation, but to use them all to build up a picture and see if that picture is consistent with the theory.
The crew oxygen tank refill is consistent with that picture.
So is the manual switching off of the transponder, which as it was a rotary switch (on a dial) momentarily went through the intermediate "altitude only" setting, which transmitted briefly, before being switched to off.
The flight path being consistent with a plane attempting to avoid being detected as off its normal route is another piece of evidence that is consistent with the hypothesis.
Perhaps the most convincing part of the evidence for me is the automatic Immersat handshake attempts - it's highly conceivable that the captain didn't know about them and they are the only way we have any idea of where the plane went. It is entirely possible that in his mind, once he'd carried out his plan, there was no way to work out where the plane went down (and therefore attempt to retrieve the damning evidence contained within the black box).
None of this pieces of evidence are conclusive on their own, but taken together they eliminate other scenarios whilst supporting the murder/suicide one.
It's therefore important to not take each piece of evidence in isolation, but to use them all to build up a picture and see if that picture is consistent with the theory.
The crew oxygen tank refill is consistent with that picture.
So is the manual switching off of the transponder, which as it was a rotary switch (on a dial) momentarily went through the intermediate "altitude only" setting, which transmitted briefly, before being switched to off.
The flight path being consistent with a plane attempting to avoid being detected as off its normal route is another piece of evidence that is consistent with the hypothesis.
Perhaps the most convincing part of the evidence for me is the automatic Immersat handshake attempts - it's highly conceivable that the captain didn't know about them and they are the only way we have any idea of where the plane went. It is entirely possible that in his mind, once he'd carried out his plan, there was no way to work out where the plane went down (and therefore attempt to retrieve the damning evidence contained within the black box).
None of this pieces of evidence are conclusive on their own, but taken together they eliminate other scenarios whilst supporting the murder/suicide one.
Edited by youngsyr on Tuesday 19th December 10:29
Totally agree with you - the magic of GDAs excellent video is he pieces the event together very well and when he stated the scenario was produced based on the facts, added to Occam's razor for the unknowns, he had me totally! I thought it was all very plausible and even my sceptical 777 captain mate thought it was excellent too.
He still thinks it was a third party gaining access to the cockpit from the cabin, as apparently shortly after the disappearance an external circuit breaker cupboard was fixed secure on my mate's fleet. He told me you could previously gain access to the cockpit through this cupboard by popping various cbs. I don't know how true that is, but he said it was the working theory at his company for a long time.
He still thinks it was a third party gaining access to the cockpit from the cabin, as apparently shortly after the disappearance an external circuit breaker cupboard was fixed secure on my mate's fleet. He told me you could previously gain access to the cockpit through this cupboard by popping various cbs. I don't know how true that is, but he said it was the working theory at his company for a long time.
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