If the Euro fails, are we all in for a bad shock?

If the Euro fails, are we all in for a bad shock?

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Discussion

Happy82

Original Poster:

15,077 posts

170 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
News is suggesting that if the Euro fails, then Europe will fall. Will it really be that bad? Or is it more that politicians fear the loss of their vision of a European super-state?

Puggit

48,475 posts

249 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
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Maybe if it all collapses, we'll end up with a simple collection of countries without trade barriers?

whistle

eharding

13,740 posts

285 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
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Happy82 said:
Or is it more that politicians fear the loss of their vision of a European super-state?
I have no idea of your political allegiance, but you might recall that a while back I kicked off a right old punch-up with the PH UKIP storm-troopers with the opening assertion that UKIP are a bunch of donkey-fondlers.

Given your other forum contributions this evening, in retrospect that does seem rather spooky.



Zaxxon

4,057 posts

161 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
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'Who do you think you are kidding Mrs Merkal.............'

Where's me pitchfork?

Thom987

3,185 posts

167 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
The Euro wont be allowed to fail imho.

Steffan

10,362 posts

229 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
Not so much of a shock just a realisation that the self serving politicians are actually making lots of money whilst our economies nosedives.

Frankly no politician seems to give a flying f==k about the inevitability of economic collapse. Probably because their retirement nest egg is ready for use and growing steadily.

We are on the point of another Banking bail out by the taxpayer. This will be no better than the 2008 solution: it will simply protect the idiots in charge.

I will rephrase that. No one in government gives a f--k. Look after yourself.

DonkeyApple

55,403 posts

170 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
If it fails then in the first year of the calamity most of our exporting businesses in the UK will go bust, as will our banks and we will default and go to the IMF. We will almost certainly have the house price crash that has been stalled by the zero rates etc etc.

The simple reality is that we are in such a weak state that we cannot possibly survive the demise of the Euro.

The reason why some MPs are wanting us to pull out is not because they are anti the EU per se but because they believe it is doomed and don't want Britain paying billions into an IMF bailout that can't work thus leaving us with even less money to survive the collapse.

It really isn't a pleasant scenario.

At some point they will be left with the only choice which will be to print the PIIGS out of debt and for Germany to be crippled with massive inflation, which their people still remember the last time.

DJRC

23,563 posts

237 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
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Er yes Steffan.

What on earth have you been doing all your life so far? Expecting someone else to look after it?

eharding

13,740 posts

285 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
The reason why some MPs are wanting us to pull out is not because they are anti the EU per se but because they believe it is doomed and don't want Britain paying billions into an IMF bailout that can't work thus leaving us with even less money to survive the collapse.
Why would leaving the EU remove our IMF obligations?

DonkeyApple

55,403 posts

170 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
eharding said:
Why would leaving the EU remove our IMF obligations?
Maybe it isn't the IMF but there is a central European fund that we will need to pay into if it is called upon to bail out EU members.

The kaffufle at the moment is that the Franks are trying to get GB to partake in bailing out the PIGS as this is one of the routes that is being looked at to force us to pay up.

Benni

3,517 posts

212 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
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I see 30-40% VAT on the dark horizon.

Steffan

10,362 posts

229 months

Wednesday 26th October 2011
quotequote all
DJRC said:
Er yes Steffan.

What on earth have you been doing all your life so far? Expecting someone else to look after it?
No I have been self employed all my life. So far. Probably unemployable now.

I did feel that the Politicians who were in power in my early career 40 odd years ago had a common aim of trying to improve the state of our country. They made mistakes, they did foolish things. But I did not get the sense of overwhelming self service that there seems to be with modern politicians.

The self serving apparatchiks we have now are so obviously self obsessed and self serving I am suspicious of the whole lot. And the extent and variety of the con man approach to expenses in parliament just finished it off for me.

Blair, Brown, Balls: reprehensible toady bullying stes to a man.

Self self self: their three bywords.




0a

23,901 posts

195 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
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Front page of the Express tomorrow... (!)


WhoseGeneration

4,090 posts

208 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
quotequote all
0a said:
Front page of the Express tomorrow... (!)

Well, let's get it over with then.
Better go for first strike?
Will the USA release the codes though?

GingerWizard

4,721 posts

199 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
quotequote all
if it fails, then 2 years of absolute fincial misery. If its saved we are in for 20 years of medium misery. I opt for the former.

Some countrys need a wake up call, i feel very sorry for the Germans, however i am paying off all my debts as quickly as possible.

Esseesse

8,969 posts

209 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
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0a said:
Front page of the Express tomorrow... (!)

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/279985

powerstroke

10,283 posts

161 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
quotequote all
DonkeyApple said:
If it fails then in the first year of the calamity most of our exporting businesses in the UK will go bust, as will our banks and we will default and go to the IMF. We will almost certainly have the house price crash that has been stalled by the zero rates etc etc.

The simple reality is that we are in such a weak state that we cannot possibly survive the demise of the Euro.

The reason why some MPs are wanting us to pull out is not because they are anti the EU per se but because they believe it is doomed and don't want Britain paying billions into an IMF bailout that can't work thus leaving us with even less money to survive the collapse.

It really isn't a pleasant scenario.

At some point they will be left with the only choice which will be to print the PIIGS out of debt and for Germany to be crippled with massive inflation, which their people still remember the last time.
Dont you think a flight from a failing euro by investors and the average euro alike would benifit us or a least our banks and property speculators imports would be cheaper and how much do we export to the EU?
and if the euro was only worth say 25p our contributions to the EU would fall sounds like it might be ok

DonkeyApple

55,403 posts

170 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
quotequote all
powerstroke said:
Dont you think a flight from a failing euro by investors and the average euro alike would benifit us or a least our banks and property speculators imports would be cheaper and how much do we export to the EU?
and if the euro was only worth say 25p our contributions to the EU would fall sounds like it might be ok
It's something like 30-40% of our exports. In the upheaval of the collapse our companies would lose stock, not get paid etc etc. Few of these firms could last for long in that situation, especially as our banks would be bust due to their exposure to EU banks.

Sadly, if the British people hadn't put themselves in so much debt and if we had any form of sovereign wealth I would be thinking that we should let the EU default and sit back and sweep up the takings but we are as screwed as the PIGS in many regards.

Mojocvh

16,837 posts

263 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
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Osbourne had just stated that it is not for British taxpayer's to fund the bailout fund

maix27

1,070 posts

197 months

Thursday 27th October 2011
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Mojocvh said:
Osbourne had just stated that it is not for British taxpayer's to fund the bailout fund
I think the same should have applied to the banking system... let it fall, short(er) sharp shock, quicker return to normal, rather than the 10-15 years of rubbish we have to look forward to now.

Do people think this holds true? If Europe failed and rebuilt, shock would be deep, but it would be quick. I suppose Iceland is an example to look at, if on a very small scale.