Official Eastleigh By-election thread
Discussion
By electon on Feb 28th - 3 weeks!
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2274585/By...
Lib Dems obviously hoping that if they can get it done quickly they have a chance of hanging on to it.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2274585/By...
Lib Dems obviously hoping that if they can get it done quickly they have a chance of hanging on to it.
LostBMW said:
Thanks for that link!@caulkhead
See you on the Westfield viaduct. Can't remember last time on that map. Months ago now, must be.FiF said:
LostBMW said:
Thanks for that link!@caulkhead
See you on the Westfield viaduct. Can't remember last time on that map. Months ago now, must be.
Huntsman said:
I wonder who the candidates will be?
My guess is that the Lib Dem candidate will be Keith House, he's a well established career politician, head of Eastleigh Borough Council and HCC member.
He's ruled himself out. Can you imagine, head of their Borough Council ...losing to UKIP! My guess is that the Lib Dem candidate will be Keith House, he's a well established career politician, head of Eastleigh Borough Council and HCC member.
Personally, I think it will be too close to call - after watching the dreadful hopeless Lib/Dem Party Political broadcast yesterday 'how will you spend your £600?', just about the worst ppb I have ever seen.
I think UKIP has more chance here than Rotherham. Make for a good year ahead if they got their first MP.
dandarez said:
Huntsman said:
I wonder who the candidates will be?
My guess is that the Lib Dem candidate will be Keith House, he's a well established career politician, head of Eastleigh Borough Council and HCC member.
He's ruled himself out. Can you imagine, head of their Borough Council ...losing to UKIP! My guess is that the Lib Dem candidate will be Keith House, he's a well established career politician, head of Eastleigh Borough Council and HCC member.
Personally, I think it will be too close to call - after watching the dreadful hopeless Lib/Dem Party Political broadcast yesterday 'how will you spend your £600?', just about the worst ppb I have ever seen.
I think UKIP has more chance here than Rotherham. Make for a good year ahead if they got their first MP.
dandarez said:
Huntsman said:
I wonder who the candidates will be?
My guess is that the Lib Dem candidate will be Keith House, he's a well established career politician, head of Eastleigh Borough Council and HCC member.
He's ruled himself out. Can you imagine, head of their Borough Council ...losing to UKIP! My guess is that the Lib Dem candidate will be Keith House, he's a well established career politician, head of Eastleigh Borough Council and HCC member.
Personally, I think it will be too close to call - after watching the dreadful hopeless Lib/Dem Party Political broadcast yesterday 'how will you spend your £600?', just about the worst ppb I have ever seen.
I think UKIP has more chance here than Rotherham. Make for a good year ahead if they got their first MP.
Eastleigh is (or has been - let's be pedantic about it) a Lib Dem seat. LD voters are hardly likely to move in their droves to UKIP, as their views on Europe are at opposite ends of the spectrum. My guess is that some will stay loyal but a large number will protest by abstention.
If UKIP manage to split the Tory vote then the LDs will scrape a win out of it.
Lets be honest - if UKIP thought they had a cat in hell's chance of winning Eastleigh they would have parachuted in one of their big hitters. Farrage has said his name is not in the ring, and I for one am not surprised
I'm not sure the tory candidate is the right one for the seat. She is quite 'forceful'. I think the 3-week run it will be good for her as she tends to put her foot in it time and again. 3 weeks gives her less chance to drop a clanger.
If she's anti EU and anti-gay marriage then a libdem seat would not be the easiest to overturn.
Farage has bottled it, and possibly for good reason. He would have been up against a right wing tory and the libdem voters are unlikely to move to the UKIP. Labour might get a bit of a boost from this.
Difficult one to call.
If she's anti EU and anti-gay marriage then a libdem seat would not be the easiest to overturn.
Farage has bottled it, and possibly for good reason. He would have been up against a right wing tory and the libdem voters are unlikely to move to the UKIP. Labour might get a bit of a boost from this.
Difficult one to call.
LibDems on 36%, slightly ahead of the Conservatives on 33%. UKIP is in third place with 16% and Labour down in fourth at 13%.
Survation poll for Mail on Sunday
http://survation.com/2013/02/survation-is-forecast...
Survation poll for Mail on Sunday
http://survation.com/2013/02/survation-is-forecast...
Derek Smith said:
Farage has bottled it, and possibly for good reason. He would have been up against a right wing tory and the libdem voters are unlikely to move to the UKIP. Labour might get a bit of a boost from this.
Difficult one to call.
Whilst I wouldn't describe Farage's position as bottling it, it's nevertheless the right decision. Agree with the rest too.Difficult one to call.
Just talkng about Eastleigh on Radio 4.
Tories haven't won a by-election while in power since 1982.
Lib Dems won't win due to Huhne and they are massively unpopular at present.
Ukip, Farage doesn't think he can win, Lib Dems voter won't go over to Ukip.
Labour apparently came a very close second in Eastleigh in 1994 by-election.
Tories haven't won a by-election while in power since 1982.
Lib Dems won't win due to Huhne and they are massively unpopular at present.
Ukip, Farage doesn't think he can win, Lib Dems voter won't go over to Ukip.
Labour apparently came a very close second in Eastleigh in 1994 by-election.
Gwagon111 said:
Crafty_ said:
+ Fair Oak / Horton Heath etc which are a bit rural, smallholdings and the like.
ked'Outside' Labour chance scenario.
Oh s...!
'ello Eileen, haven't seen you for a while. Wot a state the country's in, eh? Quite a few voting today then? Thought it would be quiet. Who you votin' for?'
'I'm not sure either. That Hoon was something else.'
Hey, Eileen, him over there, sure I've seen 'im on telly. He's a candidate is he - O'Farrell you say?'
Ahh, they's all the same, I'll vote for 'im, he looks proper nice done he'.
'You going to vote O'Farrell too then?'
'Great minds, eh Eileen.'
FF 28 Feb
SHOCK BY-ELECTION WIN! Broadcaster O'Farrell wins it for Labour.
oh s...!
Nah, that can't happen can it?
Oh s...!
'ello Eileen, haven't seen you for a while. Wot a state the country's in, eh? Quite a few voting today then? Thought it would be quiet. Who you votin' for?'
'I'm not sure either. That Hoon was something else.'
Hey, Eileen, him over there, sure I've seen 'im on telly. He's a candidate is he - O'Farrell you say?'
Ahh, they's all the same, I'll vote for 'im, he looks proper nice done he'.
'You going to vote O'Farrell too then?'
'Great minds, eh Eileen.'
FF 28 Feb
SHOCK BY-ELECTION WIN! Broadcaster O'Farrell wins it for Labour.
oh s...!
Nah, that can't happen can it?
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