What will the turnout be at the EU referendum?
Discussion
gothatway said:
Big "Leave" hoardings have appeared on a neighbour's land, where he normally puts his UKIP ones. These are the only ones I've seen so far on private property.
FWIW, I think the turnout will be 50 +/- 5%, and the result will be in the same ballpark. I do hope that the Leave campaign get some less strident voices on board, rather than relying on the same old white male professional politicians.
I've noticed the same in the Labour areas. Where you'd normally see anti-Tory/Pro Labour placards at election time there are 'Get out' and 'Leave' posters.FWIW, I think the turnout will be 50 +/- 5%, and the result will be in the same ballpark. I do hope that the Leave campaign get some less strident voices on board, rather than relying on the same old white male professional politicians.
Not seen much promoting remain, but I guess they don't need it with the media promotion on radio/tv/newspapers.
Mothersruin said:
Saw Ed Mliband earlier urging kids to get on the electoral role as they're three times more likely to vote Remain.
Interesting they're worried about the turnout for that demographic.
They polled over 2000 students at the Uni I work at, remain won by a massive, massive margin (something like 92%). No wonder they want that age group registered.Interesting they're worried about the turnout for that demographic.
Even though the Leave voters would appear to be more passionate and therefore likely to vote, I think the sheer volume of coverage and scaremongering for the Remain campaign will mean a comfortable victory for them.
ukaskew said:
Even though the Leave voters would appear to be more passionate and therefore likely to vote, I think the sheer volume of coverage and scaremongering for the Remain campaign will mean a comfortable victory for them.
Definitely agree with that ^^I also think it will be like the general election: the incredibly vocal (read loud-mouthed) lefty population making all the noise on social media while the more right-leaning kept quiet.
When it comes to the EU vote it seems to be that on Twitter, etc, people feel confident shouting about supporting 'Leave' but the 'Remainers' are less vocal.
Just my perception but I think it will be proved correct.
I'm undecided still, myself...
PorkInsider said:
Definitely agree with that ^^
I also think it will be like the general election: the incredibly vocal (read loud-mouthed) lefty population making all the noise on social media while the more right-leaning kept quiet.
When it comes to the EU vote it seems to be that on Twitter, etc, people feel confident shouting about supporting 'Leave' but the 'Remainers' are less vocal.
Just my perception but I think it will be proved correct.
Whereas my experience is completely different. To be honest I've not seen much comment at all on social media from the people I know, but someone picked up the BBC poll about voting intention by age and socio-economic grouping, the first reply wasI also think it will be like the general election: the incredibly vocal (read loud-mouthed) lefty population making all the noise on social media while the more right-leaning kept quiet.
When it comes to the EU vote it seems to be that on Twitter, etc, people feel confident shouting about supporting 'Leave' but the 'Remainers' are less vocal.
Just my perception but I think it will be proved correct.
"To me Brexit = Arrogant and/or Selfish and/or Greedy and/or Racist and in some cases all of them!"
and it carried on like that. Everyone who so much as tried to show support for Brexit was "shouted down", more often than not with the race card.
Probably why there's been so little comment.
XCP said:
I have told everyone that I am friends with that I will defriend anyone who forwards me referendum propaganda via Facebook. As I have voted they are wasting my time anyway.
So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
Is that satire or are you being serious?So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
XCP said:
I have told everyone that I am friends with that I will defriend anyone who forwards me referendum propaganda via Facebook. As I have voted they are wasting my time anyway.
So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
How old are you? I'm early 30's and my Facebook is chock full of remain stuff, tiny number of leavers.So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
Esseesse said:
XCP said:
I have told everyone that I am friends with that I will defriend anyone who forwards me referendum propaganda via Facebook. As I have voted they are wasting my time anyway.
So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
How old are you? I'm early 30's and my Facebook is chock full of remain stuff, tiny number of leavers.So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
Collectingbrass said:
All the odds tell you is the weight of betting in each direction. You could move the odds by placing a big enough bet either way but by doing so you have not changed the probability of the outcome in any way. That said the change in odds is consistent with the move in gbp and the banks have done their own private polĺing...Blaster72 said:
XCP said:
Blaster72 said:
Is that satire or are you being serious?
Totally serious. Why do you ask?Esseesse said:
XCP said:
I have told everyone that I am friends with that I will defriend anyone who forwards me referendum propaganda via Facebook. As I have voted they are wasting my time anyway.
So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
How old are you? I'm early 30's and my Facebook is chock full of remain stuff, tiny number of leavers.So far I have defriended 10 people in 3 days. All are pro-exit/Kippers.
No-one has sent me Remain material.
Means naff all really other than I know people from all walks of life.
Gassing Station | News, Politics & Economics | Top of Page | What's New | My Stuff