How do we think EU negotiations will go?

How do we think EU negotiations will go?

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Sway

26,336 posts

195 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
mx5nut said:
sidicks said:
No idea why you’re sticking with this, Eddie has read the BBC website so he’s clearly fully informed on this topic! biggrin
Looks like we've reached peak Brexiteer - talking down our national broadcaster as somehow being biased for reporting the facts.
Feel free to explain how the BBC has ever approached the subject at hand. I'd be interested, as it's a topic I'm very interested in.

Of course, unless you're an expert on Target2 inter-central bank reconciliations, the current imbalances and the available mechanisms to resolve them? Or indeed the options we have whilst in the EU to mitigate the impacts, and how they compare to the available options as a nation outside the EU?

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Tuna said:
Heh, you go away for a day and ten pages later...

As I was bored, I did a quick count up over those last ten pages.

Lest anyone think that it's the same three people going round and round in circles, we've seen fifty different posters in the last day or so.

Top Poster award goes to Eddie (19 posts), closely followed by:
jsf
SantaBarbara
mx5nut
ORD
TTwiggy
Funkycoldribena
Mr T

Which (by my crude measure) means we have 5 regular remain supporters and 3 leave supporters talking the most, with most of the remaining posters only posting a handful of times. Just so you don't think the numbers are skewed, both //ajd and I have been quiet for the last day or so. smile

In terms of where we get our news from, the following media outlets were cited as proof of something or other:

Today (2)
The Times (1)
BBC (2)
Guardian (2)
Huffington Post (1)
Daily Mail (1)

Surprisingly the Independent didn't get cited for a change - but //ajd was not posting, that explains the absence.

In terms of debate, there were around ten incidents of a poster outright calling another post 'silly' or 'nonsense' or similar dismissive terms.

There were twelve incidents where posters referring to the other side with dismissive words ('Remoaner, Brexiteer etc) - eleven of them were jibes at Leave voters ('Brexiteer buffoons') and one was at Remain voters ('Remoaners').

There were a tiny handful of incidents where the poster got sweary or used aggressive language - roughly evenly divided. On the other hand there were twice as many cases where posters claimed the other side was 'angry', 'upset' or 'frustrated' - all of them accusations by Remain supporters.

In 100 posts there were around 17 that included direct insults aimed at someone else.

At that point my curry arrived and I stopped counting.

Edited by Tuna on Wednesday 18th October 08:50
Lovely stuff.

My excuse on spending time on here is I'm currently off work recovering from an injury and bored out of my box. biggrin

God knows how others manage to spend so much time if they are at work. redface

sidicks

25,218 posts

222 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
mx5nut said:
Looks like we've reached peak Brexiteer - talking down our national broadcaster as somehow being biased for reporting the facts.
Let me guess, you don’t understand the issue either?

mx5nut

5,404 posts

83 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
KrissKross said:
Have you seen some of the dangerous crap you can buy from China on eBay
Utter rubbish. China is outside of the EU - we're not allowed to trade with them until we leave. Take back control!

SantaBarbara

3,244 posts

109 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
What about the Nuclear power station we are buying?

KrissKross

2,182 posts

102 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
Digga said:
The EU's mismanagement of their greater borders has also exposed us to various hazards.
How did they miss manage it? The external borders of the EU are not a EU competency.
Can you explain a single thing they are competent in?


KrissKross

2,182 posts

102 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
mx5nut said:
KrissKross said:
Have you seen some of the dangerous crap you can buy from China on eBay
Utter rubbish. China is outside of the EU - we're not allowed to trade with them until we leave. Take back control!
Eh?

SantaBarbara

3,244 posts

109 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
KrissKross said:
Eh?
Hinckley Point power station to name just one example.

KrissKross

2,182 posts

102 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Funkycoldribena said:
KrissKross said:
TRADE

Trade is carried out between companies and consumers.

Get rid of all Politicians, All the EU staff, and most Solicitors and do you know what, the world would still carry on fine, and probably a lot better!

The people who's job it clearly is to just make stuff are constantly scaring people, not because its true but its because their own "non jobs" are on the line, even at the highest of levels (experts as you would call them).
Around 50 thousand EU staff.
Absolutely bonkers.
Most with salaries that exceed 6 figures, and for what?



mx5nut

5,404 posts

83 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
KrissKross said:
mx5nut said:
KrissKross said:
Have you seen some of the dangerous crap you can buy from China on eBay
Utter rubbish. China is outside of the EU - we're not allowed to trade with them until we leave. Take back control!
Eh?
The EUSSR stops us from trading with the rest of the world. We need to spend a lot of money on Brexit before we can buy that dangerous crap you've seen.

KrissKross

2,182 posts

102 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
SantaBarbara said:
KrissKross said:
Eh?
Hinckley Point power station to name just one example.
Will the eyes fall out and choke your child, I think we have crossed wires here.

Mrr T

12,274 posts

266 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Digga said:
Mrr T said:
Digga said:
The EU's mismanagement of their greater borders has also exposed us to various hazards.
How did they miss manage it? The external borders of the EU are not a EU competency.
It's widely acknowledged that Merkel's "come to Europe, one and all" invitation was crass stupidity, even if she/they were prepared to accept refugees. there was absolutely no coherent EU policy when the Syrian migrant ciris hit, no EU policy when the boatload of refugees were drowning en route to both Italy and Greece. The vacuum has caused immense strain on and increasing resentment in many border nations. Many of these same nations are now at loggerheads with the EU. So aside from that, no mismanagement. Or putting it another way, what policies have they implemented? Anything tangibly useful seems to have been done arbitrarily at national level.
You seem to struggle with this EU thing.

Irregular immigration is not an EU matter.

Mrs M comments on immigration where not the comments of the EU they were her comments many other EU leaders were horrified.

The EU cannot plan or police irregular immigration in the EU because they have no powers.

No counties are in dispute with the EU over irregular immigration. There is a dispute amongst the Schengen signatories by a request from German to move irregular immigrants to other Schengen countries. However, since the German treaty obligations on irregular immigration will override the Schengen agreement its highly unlikely to happen.

One of leave teams failing is to constantly blame the EU for things the EU are not responsible for.


Edited by Mrr T on Wednesday 18th October 14:10

Eddie Strohacker

3,879 posts

87 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Sway said:
If it's so obviously untrue, then a quote will be easy to find, after all "target2" is a very specific search term...

You've still not answered my question - ignoring what we could choose to do to help other nations in difficulty, what economic levers to help US mitigate the effects on US, are off the table as a non-EU nation? What levers are off the table as an EU nation?

The former list is exceptionally short, the latter really quite long...
Target 2 is irrelevant as a search term for the purposes of this discussion. Eurozone bail out is & that's all over the internet if you care to look. I kind of dig your technocratic inferences along the lines of I'm an expert in all this, in lieu of an actual factual set of judgements and in passing note that Gregg sees that too, but the fact remains we'd have had no liability for their problems & moreover none in terms of wider European money I.e. the budget, had we remained.

Would we have been shafted in the event of a European banking crisis? Yes, but not in the way you insist. Your problem is your starting premise is rooted in a fervent anti EU sentiment & it's fking with your judgment. On the bright side, you'll always have your twitchy useful idiot, Sid to back you up with his rofls & haha it's BBC drive by posts, so that's nice at least.

Sway

26,336 posts

195 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:
Sway said:
If it's so obviously untrue, then a quote will be easy to find, after all "target2" is a very specific search term...

You've still not answered my question - ignoring what we could choose to do to help other nations in difficulty, what economic levers to help US mitigate the effects on US, are off the table as a non-EU nation? What levers are off the table as an EU nation?

The former list is exceptionally short, the latter really quite long...
Target 2 is irrelevant as a search term for the purposes of this discussion. Eurozone bail out is & that's all over the internet if you care to look. I kind of dig your technocratic inferences along the lines of I'm an expert in all this, in lieu of an actual factual set of judgements and in passing note that Gregg sees that too, but the fact remains we'd have had no liability for their problems & moreover none in terms of wider European money I.e. the budget, had we remained.

Would we have been shafted in the event of a European banking crisis? Yes, but not in the way you insist. Your problem is your starting premise is rooted in a fervent anti EU sentiment & it's fking with your judgment. On the bright side, you'll always have your twitchy useful idiot, Sid to back you up with his rofls & haha it's BBC drive by posts, so that's nice at least.
When you claim I'm lying, then it's absolutely relevant. Still stand by that claim? Going to offer any evidence for it?

As per the convo with Gregg, the statements of an EU President that's it's a worthless document mitigate your claim that we were guaranteed to be absolved of the liability.

Lastly, have you actually read the post you've quoted? My basis for leaving due to Target2 is that yes, we'll be hit either way, the whole globe will be. My point is that outside we are far freer to implement mitigating efforts than if we remain in - which for the third time you haven't presented anything to refute.

I haven't made any technocratic inferences of expertise. MrrrT did, then realised he didn't know the detail of why the imbalances exist. I also haven't blamed the BBC for anything.

You're also assuming heavily on my anti-EU Base - my initial posts on this topic were pro-EU, nearly three years ago.

paul789

3,702 posts

105 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
London424 said:
mx5nut said:
EU Withdrawal Bill 'won't be debated this month'

It's a good thing we're not on a deadline for any of this, isn't it?
Why are you in such a rush?

It's a 2 year period where we won't know the final details until the very last minute (if other EU negotiations are the precedent).

In other news I'm not sure if this was posted but Germany are outlining their position.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-16...
That's excellent (it could of course be a tactic, we could be being 'played', but if not this is great).

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
MIFID II implementation is looking on very shaky ground in terms of being implemented on time in most EU countries right now. This could be fun come January. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-18...

Digga

40,373 posts

284 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
Digga said:
Mrr T said:
Digga said:
The EU's mismanagement of their greater borders has also exposed us to various hazards.
How did they miss manage it? The external borders of the EU are not a EU competency.
It's widely acknowledged that Merkel's "come to Europe, one and all" invitation was crass stupidity, even if she/they were prepared to accept refugees. there was absolutely no coherent EU policy when the Syrian migrant ciris hit, no EU policy when the boatload of refugees were drowning en route to both Italy and Greece. The vacuum has caused immense strain on and increasing resentment in many border nations. Many of these same nations are now at loggerheads with the EU. So aside from that, no mismanagement. Or putting it another way, what policies have they implemented? Anything tangibly useful seems to have been done arbitrarily at national level.
1.) You seem to struggle with this EU thing.

2.) Irregular immigration is not an EU matter.

3.) Mrs M comments on immigration where not the comments of the EU they were her comments many other EU leaders were horrified.

The EU cannot plan or police irregular immigration in the EU because they have no powers.

4.) No counties are in dispute with the EU over irregular immigration. There is a dispute amongst the Schengen signatories by a request from German to move irregular immigrants to other Schengen countries. However, since the German treaty obligations on irregular immigration will override the Schengen agreement its highly unlikely to happen.

One of leave teams failing is to constantly blame the EU for things the EU are not responsible for.


Edited by Mrr T on Wednesday 18th October 14:10
1. No, it's pretty straightforward really.
2. Irregular immigration into the EU is our problem as soon as they arrived in the EU and decide the UK is their destination of choice. It's very hard for us to prevent this under the current system.
3. You and I both know Merkel often acts and and is taken as being a de-facto spokesperson for the EU.
4. I beg to differ and think you're splitting hairs -whether direct immigration or the re-location of refugees is a moot point - there is a dispute:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/06/eu-cour...

sidicks

25,218 posts

222 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Eddie Strohacker said:
Target 2 is irrelevant as a search term for the purposes of this discussion. Eurozone bail out is & that's all over the internet if you care to look. I kind of dig your technocratic inferences along the lines of I'm an expert in all this, in lieu of an actual factual set of judgements and in passing note that Gregg sees that too, but the fact remains we'd have had no liability for their problems & moreover none in terms of wider European money I.e. the budget, had we remained.

Would we have been shafted in the event of a European banking crisis? Yes, but not in the way you insist. Your problem is your starting premise is rooted in a fervent anti EU sentiment & it's fking with your judgment. On the bright side, you'll always have your twitchy useful idiot, Sid to back you up with his rofls & haha it's BBC drive by posts, so that's nice at least.
More insults but the usual lack of substance.

You continue to disregard valid comments / opinions with no evidence whatsoever. It’s really pathetic and suggests you are simply here to troll rather than debate.

Edited by sidicks on Wednesday 18th October 14:27

KrissKross

2,182 posts

102 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Mrr T said:
One of leave teams failing is to constantly blame the EU for things the EU are not responsible for.
So... what you are saying is when the EU falls apart we can start holding the people we vote for (more) accountable for our concerns and problems. Wouldn't that be nice, democracy and all that jazz.

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 18th October 2017
quotequote all
Sway said:
As per the convo with Gregg, the statements of an EU President that's it's a worthless document mitigate your claim that we were guaranteed to be absolved of the liability.
I assume this is what you're referring to: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/davi...

Said by Shulz on 16 Feb prior to the deal.

This is what select EU national leaders were saying on 16 Feb pre-deal (generally pro Cameron's position): http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/davi...

The deal was reached on 18-19 Feb and according to the EU Council's website was "a legally binding and irreversible decision by all 28 leaders": http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/uk/2016...

So perhaps that piece of paper had some value after all.
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