Tesla Master Plan part deux

Author
Discussion

davepoth

29,395 posts

200 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
otolith said:
In a luxury car in which perfection is silence? Yes. In a supercar, no.

But that's not the choice. Increasingly the choice will be between electric or four pot diesel.
Diesel will die a fairly quick death IMO, as the health issues become more apparent. It's more likely that the choice will be electric or plug in series hybrid turbo petrol.

98elise

26,693 posts

162 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
fblm said:
mybrainhurts said:
Imagine the queues...smile
I'm not sure I understand. Knocking a flat battery out and a charged one in would take seconds. Of course that won't help once the chavs get them and get out to do their weekly shop in the mini mart wink


Beati Dogu said:
It's already possible to rapidly swap the battery on a Tesla:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5V0vL3nnHY
I saw that. Seems like a needlessly complex system to me. Probably because it wasn't designed from the outset for it. If standardised batteries and replacement became the norm it could be done far more efficiently.
Standardised batteries will not work. You would need a battery that suits a supercar capacity, performance, cooling needs and also works in a short range shopping car.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
davepoth said:
Diesel will die a fairly quick death IMO, as the health issues become more apparent. It's more likely that the choice will be electric or plug in series hybrid turbo petrol.
I really doubt it all those HGVs and buses will not work with EV

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

255 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
It's pointless anyhow.

We currently have 30min recharging, won't be long until that's down to 15min etc. Swapping packs isn't really necessary

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
It's pointless anyhow.

We currently have 30min recharging, won't be long until that's down to 15min etc. Swapping packs isn't really necessary
They are not as robust as fuel nossels so imagine all those HGVs needing lots of 15 min charges back to back. As more and more use it then the base load on the grid increases just where is this extra capacity coming from.

poo at Paul's

14,162 posts

176 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
They are not as robust as fuel nossels so imagine all those HGVs needing lots of 15 min charges back to back. As more and more use it then the base load on the grid increases just where is this extra capacity coming from.
So long as it's windy........(fonzy) "Heeeyyyyyyyyy!"

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

255 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
They are not as robust as fuel nossels so imagine all those HGVs needing lots of 15 min charges back to back. As more and more use it then the base load on the grid increases just where is this extra capacity coming from.
Is there a parrot in here?

The extra load is overnight and nowhere near peak daytime load, total non issue

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
Welshbeef said:
They are not as robust as fuel nossels so imagine all those HGVs needing lots of 15 min charges back to back. As more and more use it then the base load on the grid increases just where is this extra capacity coming from.
Is there a parrot in here?

The extra load is overnight and nowhere near peak daytime load, total non issue
?
People need to charge all the time just like ICE drivers do. If all cars overnight became EVs do you suddenly think there would be deserted fuel stations (equipped with chargers) all day long?

HGVs run 24/7
Buses run - round here 6am -11pm all day long.

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
Welshbeef said:
They are not as robust as fuel nossels so imagine all those HGVs needing lots of 15 min charges back to back. As more and more use it then the base load on the grid increases just where is this extra capacity coming from.
Is there a parrot in here?

The extra load is overnight and nowhere near peak daytime load, total non issue
Not sure about that. Have you seen the number of trucks ploughing up and down the M1/M6 all day? Unless we get a big breakthrough in battery technology they will need charging (perhaps several times) before night time.

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
98elise said:
Standardised batteries will not work. You would need a battery that suits a supercar capacity, performance, cooling needs and also works in a short range shopping car.
Only the exterior dimensions and attachment points need be standardised. Doesn't have to be a single pack either.

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

255 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
I don't see it working for trucks. They just need too much energy. You'd need tons of batteries, that cuts into load capacity, and they would take too long to recharge.

Despite Tesla working on them I think they will be a problem solved long after cars

Talksteer

4,891 posts

234 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
Welshbeef said:
davepoth said:
Diesel will die a fairly quick death IMO, as the health issues become more apparent. It's more likely that the choice will be electric or plug in series hybrid turbo petrol.
I really doubt it all those HGVs and buses will not work with EV
Trucks cannot go more than 220 miles without the driver stopping.

Trucks are standard sized.

Trucks routes can be planned in advance.

Trucks not cars will have replaceable batteries. The batteries capable of powering a truck for 200 miles already exist.

Buses will be wiped out on most routes by autonomous cars. Those which aren't follow set routes and can be fast charged during the day while they are stationary.

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
Talksteer said:
Welshbeef said:
davepoth said:
Diesel will die a fairly quick death IMO, as the health issues become more apparent. It's more likely that the choice will be electric or plug in series hybrid turbo petrol.
I really doubt it all those HGVs and buses will not work with EV
Trucks cannot go more than 220 miles without the driver stopping.

Trucks are standard sized.

Trucks routes can be planned in advance.

Trucks not cars will have replaceable batteries. The batteries capable of powering a truck for 200 miles already exist.

Buses will be wiped out on most routes by autonomous cars. Those which aren't follow set routes and can be fast charged during the day while they are stationary.
Which brings us back to generation capacity. Really need a solution which enables the energy to be provided overnight when there is plenty of spare capacity (if not nearly enough for a country full of Evs)

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

255 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
Which brings us back to generation capacity. Really need a solution which enables the energy to be provided overnight when there is plenty of spare capacity (if not nearly enough for a country full of Evs)
If trucks are swapping batteries ( possibly a workable plan), then those batteries can be recharged overnight anyhow.

The grid has plenty of off peak capacity.

Welshbeef

49,633 posts

199 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
Talksteer said:
Trucks cannot go more than 220 miles without the driver stopping.

Trucks are standard sized.

Trucks routes can be planned in advance.

Trucks not cars will have replaceable batteries. The batteries capable of powering a truck for 200 miles already exist.

Buses will be wiped out on most routes by autonomous cars. Those which aren't follow set routes and can be fast charged during the day while they are stationary.
And how long does a trucks batteries take to recharge for another 220miles?

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
RobDickinson said:
s2art said:
Which brings us back to generation capacity. Really need a solution which enables the energy to be provided overnight when there is plenty of spare capacity (if not nearly enough for a country full of Evs)
If trucks are swapping batteries ( possibly a workable plan), then those batteries can be recharged overnight anyhow.

The grid has plenty of off peak capacity.
Not anymore it doesnt. A few years ago, maybe.

AnotherClarkey

3,602 posts

190 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
When people start saying someone has lost the argument because of X, it generally means they have no answer to the question.

Do you really prefer the silence of an electric motor to a screaming V12? How very strange.
I wasn't responding to a question, I was commenting on the statement you made about 'soul'.

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

255 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
s2art said:
Not anymore it doesnt. A few years ago, maybe.
52.54 gigawatts peak demand last winter (2015)

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploa...

Typical off peak in winter is ~38 gigawatts, summer 28 gigawatts.

Calculated earlier in the thread UK would need ~12 gigawatts per night to power all of its road use at the moment. Looks to me like there is certainly ample grid and generator power.

anonymous-user

55 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
mybrainhurts said:
Do you really prefer the silence of an electric motor to a screaming V12? How very strange.
At 8am in zone 1 on week day or on the Col de Turini?

RobDickinson

Original Poster:

31,343 posts

255 months

Monday 25th July 2016
quotequote all
Percentage of people with a v12, percentage of daily miles that v12 gets used?

vs percentage of 2.0 tdi users and percentage of daily miles.

BEV's are not here to murder your v12, they will slaughter the diesel commuter brigade though.