Theresa May

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paulrockliffe

15,702 posts

227 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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Greg66 said:
s2art said:
I think it would have. Had May not overturned DD (overruling a huge department dedicated to leaving the EU) and gone for the Canada+ approach (indicated as acceptable to Barnier and co) we would have had a deal, at least in draft form 10 months ago.
How would Canada+ (a) have worked for London-based financial services and (b) solved the Irish border issue? Genuine question.
It's one of the + bits. For every seller there is a buyer that wants to buy, because the seller is the best seller of that stuff. If the EU chooses to cut London out, London will be in trouble, but the whole EU economy will be gone quicker than you can say, who holds all this Italian debt and why can't it be refinanced?

Ireland was an easy fix when both sides were negotiating in good faith, now there isn't a workable solution beyond neither side being prepared to actually put a border there and the people on the island tearing down anything that is put there.

Every aspect of the deal is fked beyond repair by May now.

Harry H

3,398 posts

156 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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It was always going to end badly when we went to them begging for a deal, to be rejected time and time again.

If we'd have started with "right, we're off, here's our number if you want to do a deal" We might be in a better place and if not certainly no worse than we are now. We'd also be nicely prepared for a no deal. We could have had a lot of trade deals with the rest of the world all but sown up in the two years we've been flapping about.

Seems to me we've done all the chasing and they all the rejecting. Pathetic.

JuniorD

8,626 posts

223 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
Harry H said:
It was always going to end badly when we went to them begging for a deal, to be rejected time and time again.

If we'd have started with "right, we're off, here's our number if you want to do a deal" We might be in a better place and if not certainly no worse than we are now. We'd also be nicely prepared for a no deal. We could have had a lot of trade deals with the rest of the world all but sown up in the two years we've been flapping about.

Seems to me we've done all the chasing and they all the rejecting. Pathetic.
"We could have had a lot of trade deals with the rest of the world all but sown up in the two years we've been flapping about."

Two years? That quick, huh?

anonymous-user

54 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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B'stard Child said:
Media saying statement at 5pm - that's midnight where I am so I'll catch up with that tomorrow
Are you and Purple Moonlight snuggling up for a nap?

Mark Benson

7,514 posts

269 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
JuniorD said:
Harry H said:
It was always going to end badly when we went to them begging for a deal, to be rejected time and time again.

If we'd have started with "right, we're off, here's our number if you want to do a deal" We might be in a better place and if not certainly no worse than we are now. We'd also be nicely prepared for a no deal. We could have had a lot of trade deals with the rest of the world all but sown up in the two years we've been flapping about.

Seems to me we've done all the chasing and they all the rejecting. Pathetic.
"We could have had a lot of trade deals with the rest of the world all but sown up in the two years we've been flapping about."

Two years? That quick, huh?
With willing partners, yes. Just because the EU takes an age to negotiate a deal doesn't mean that's the norm.

Even if we didn't have trade deals signed, the very fact we were in negotiations with other countries would have strengthened our position with the EU.

I said when the referendum was called, an actual decision to leave would be less important than what the government did with it. This government under the autocratic and secretive May has wholesale screwed the nation for a decade.

amusingduck

9,396 posts

136 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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This might have been covered already, apologies if so.

How does the reported permanent CU deal fit with the Government being unable to bind future governments?

Mothersruin

8,573 posts

99 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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She's setting it up perfectly for another referendum in a few years time to rejoin the EU in full (or in name if what we understood to have been agreed is correct) again, but with the Euro and less vetos.

ben5575

6,264 posts

221 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
surveyor said:
No one could have done better.

She is facing negotiating against a combination of countries all wanting different things, and certainly the advantage.

On her side she has half a party, while the other half are back butting, bickering and generally being a right royal pain. There should also be an opposition, but they seem to have fixated on anti-senatksm and forgotten about Brexit. Don’t fool yourself that they would have been any different.

Put it in the business context. This sort of thing would be negotiated in private.behidn closed doors. Executives who did not agree would not go to the press, but would talk it through and would either agree, Shutup or move on..

It was always going to be a clusterfk of giant proportions.
Agreed.

It will also get through parliament. Brexit fatigue is real and with the exception of posters on PH, I don't think the Country really gives a st anymore and just want it to be over. Do MPs really believe that after their collective performance these past two years, the electorate have any faith in them to manage the consequences of a no deal or will indeed thank them for extending this clusterfk for another as yet undetermined number of years?? Have a read of today's front pages and the change in tone of the DM and DE from say 12 months ago.

If you're a Tory, vote it down and it's a GE/Corbyn government. If you're Labour vote it down and your Momentum vote disappears.

paulrockliffe

15,702 posts

227 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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amusingduck said:
This might have been covered already, apologies if so.

How does the reported permanent CU deal fit with the Government being unable to bind future governments?
Presumably future Governments will be free to breach international treaties if they want.

I think it falls short of being illegal, but is almost certainly unconstitutional.

don'tbesilly

13,933 posts

163 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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desolate said:
B'stard Child said:
Media saying statement at 5pm - that's midnight where I am so I'll catch up with that tomorrow
Are you and Purple Moonlight snuggling up for a nap?
What an image to extinguish from one's mind!

BC needs to be careful with PM's back, it's extremely fragile, the bone is missing wink



JagLover

42,411 posts

235 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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ben5575 said:
Have a read of today's front pages and the change in tone of the DM and DE from say 12 months ago..
You mean a DM that has replaced its editor with a remainer?

The "people that matter" were all primed, the press instructed to be mainly positive, and then a leak occurred and the EU's internal gloating about how they had screwed the UK became the story instead.

You are mistaken if you view the views of press barons to be those of the British people and we will see how much this all matters at the next election.



B'stard Child

28,397 posts

246 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
B'stard Child said:
Media saying statement at 5pm - that's midnight where I am so I'll catch up with that tomorrow
Are you and Purple Moonlight snuggling up for a nap?
Don't tell me he's in Vietnam too - what are the chances of that?

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

157 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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B'stard Child said:
Don't tell me he's in Vietnam too - what are the chances of that?
Are the beds comfy in Vietnam?

citizensm1th

8,371 posts

137 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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B'stard Child said:
Don't tell me he's in Vietnam too - what are the chances of that?
You lucky B'stard

psi310398

9,087 posts

203 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
paulrockliffe said:
Presumably future Governments will be free to breach international treaties if they want.

I think it falls short of being illegal, but is almost certainly unconstitutional.
All other international treaties, with one exceptional category, have a unilateral exit clause to deal with this issue.

The exception is unconditional surrender after a war.

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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Tony Blair.....


article said:
“This deal isn’t a compromise, it’s a capitulation.

“The withdrawal agreement will keep us tied to EU trade policy until there is an end established by ‘joint consent’ – in other words, the EU has a veto.

“It is coated in heavy fudge but that is the inedible biscuit beneath the coating.”

He added the proposals had united him and Boris Johnson in “unholy alliance”, saying: “We agree this is a pointless Brexit in name only which is not the best of a bad job but the worst of both worlds.

“In the cause of ‘taking back control’ we lose the control we had.”
article said:
In comments which are likely to infuriate Tory Brexiteers, Mr Blair also highlighted the PowerPoint presentation used to promote Mrs May’s Chequers plan, claiming the Prime Minister’s Europe adviser Olly Robbins and the civil service had used “elaborate camouflage” to disguise elements of the proposals.
https://www.leighjournal.co.uk/news/national/17223788.blair-condemns-pms-brexit-deal-as-capitulation-to-eu/

citizensm1th

8,371 posts

137 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
psi310398 said:
paulrockliffe said:
Presumably future Governments will be free to breach international treaties if they want.

I think it falls short of being illegal, but is almost certainly unconstitutional.
All other international treaties, with one exceptional category, have a unilateral exit clause to deal with this issue.

The exception is unconditional surrender after a war.
Is there an exception for unconditional surrender during negotiations ?

psi310398

9,087 posts

203 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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citizensm1th said:
Is there an exception for unconditional surrender during negotiations ?
biglaugh

TM seems to want to develop treaty law that way!

Halb

53,012 posts

183 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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mcdjl said:
My prediction? Cabinet agrees it, parliament rejects it. TM steps down. Someone else takes over, 'its close we just need to make a few more changes'. March 28th EU agrees to something that parliament puts through. (thats very similar to whats on the table now)
on the live news just, the blod outside No 10 pretty much said that the brexiters in the cabinet can faux support Maybot whilst knowing it'll be sunk in Parliament....if it's a deal that brexiters don't like....and also that there might be brexiter 'chats' going on...I suppose they'd be outside of party.

Cobnapint

8,627 posts

151 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
No confidence vote due on Thursday according to Kuensberg.
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