New car sales 75% via PCP

Author
Discussion

walm

10,609 posts

203 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
powerstroke said:
Large numbers of People have given up the idea pay for and you own a car outright and are happy to rent it over 3 years or whatever ,making one payment per month and not having any unexpected bills , second hand will get cheaper white goods cars exported or scrapped , as more people take it up
in the end the cost will be passed on to the user so if you have a bog standard audi and its 15k list and worth 3 k at the end of your contract the payments will be worked out to cover the depreciation + profit for the lease co ... the lower the residual value the more you will have to pay ...
Exactly.

Murph7355

37,770 posts

257 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
walm said:
...

I suspect the likely outcome will be a dramatic drop in new car volumes as hinted at by SMMT today.
I strongly suspect much of the big ticket market is saturated in Europe...

All the more reason for focusing on dealings outside of it, getting trade deals in place with nations with some slack (and not being complacent about the industries we focus on) smile

Adrian W

13,902 posts

229 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
KTF said:
If you had 100k, why would you put it all in a depreciating asset when you can put a small amount towards the car and invest (or whatever) the rest to offset the interest?
I recently bought a pre-reg BMW with 17 miles on the clock, I paid 47% of its list price, I bought it cash, to lease it would have cost me about 30% and no car at the end

CaptainSlow

13,179 posts

213 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
What will happen is that manufacturer margins on new cars will be depressed due to the shift of selling to finance houses meaning more volume is required, this filters down to RVs forcing them down which in turn increase lease monthlies. Cars 5+ years old become scrap value. It is then interesting to see what happens, does the punter absorb higher prices or do the manufacturers further discount further perpetuating the problem.

As for the comments on Range Rovers, seriously, did anyone not realise that buyers of new and nearly news Range Rovers aren't financed to the hilt?

Digga

40,375 posts

284 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Adrian W said:
KTF said:
If you had 100k, why would you put it all in a depreciating asset when you can put a small amount towards the car and invest (or whatever) the rest to offset the interest?
I recently bought a pre-reg BMW with 17 miles on the clock, I paid 47% of its list price, I bought it cash, to lease it would have cost me about 30% and no car at the end
Good point. This is similar to what Digga snr does with his Jags. He's bought the odd new one, but would not do so again. Used, low mileage is just such a huge saving.

Murph7355

37,770 posts

257 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Adrian W said:
I recently bought a pre-reg BMW with 17 miles on the clock, I paid 47% of its list price, I bought it cash, to lease it would have cost me about 30% and no car at the end
I guess you'll need to see what residuals are like in 3 or 4yrs to really know if you made the right move smile

Will it still have 17% left in it? Will any overage on that be worth having to deal with peasants if you sell it etc biggrin

Adrian W

13,902 posts

229 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Will it still have 17% left in it? Will any overage on that be worth having to deal with peasants if you sell it etc biggrin
It should have some dosh left in it based on second hand prices, bks I hadn't thought of that one :-)

Ari

19,353 posts

216 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
KTF said:
Digga said:
I'd always niavely assumed that if you had a Range Rover, you had money - either cash or a modest HP loan - but clearly, given the sheer numbers of the things (and many of those parked outside very modest properties), I was way wrong.
If you had 100k, why would you put it all in a depreciating asset when you can put a small amount towards the car and invest (or whatever) the rest to offset the interest?
Because outside of the theoretical world of Pistonheads, where powerfully built directors can DEFINITELY afford to pay cash for that 911 but take the never never because they've got a magic perpetual motion moneymaking scheme that pays interest out at a higher rate than it costs to borrow, it isn't actually possible, other than heavily subsidised zero percent schemes designed to shift the (fastest depreciating) metal that nobody wants.

johnfm

13,668 posts

251 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Adrian W said:
Its a time bomb, I have seen cars where the total lease cost is less than the depreciation of the car, irrelevant of what the lease company actually paid for it, places like Bruntingthorp are filled to capacity with lease returns, if they dump them on to the used market it will either destroy it or dramatically effect new car sales.

I still believe that this will be the next big finance scandal, those that work in finance on here have said its rubbish (but they would) but I believe it will transpire that there is a gap between the actual value of returned lease cars and the asset value on the lease companies books, it cant be sustainable.
Yep - I've heard just one large finance co has around 4,000+ in storage there.

Digga

40,375 posts

284 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
johnfm said:
Adrian W said:
Its a time bomb, I have seen cars where the total lease cost is less than the depreciation of the car, irrelevant of what the lease company actually paid for it, places like Bruntingthorp are filled to capacity with lease returns, if they dump them on to the used market it will either destroy it or dramatically effect new car sales.

I still believe that this will be the next big finance scandal, those that work in finance on here have said its rubbish (but they would) but I believe it will transpire that there is a gap between the actual value of returned lease cars and the asset value on the lease companies books, it cant be sustainable.
Yep - I've heard just one large finance co has around 4,000+ in storage there.
It's pretty mental. I hadn't been to Bruntingthorpe for years, up until 2015. Prior to that, I'm pretty sure when I did V-Max runs there, the cars I was braking to avoid were mostly auction house fodder, whereas when I most recently visited, a lot of high-ish value and low miles/age stuff.

SystemParanoia

14,343 posts

199 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
CaptainSlow said:
Cars 5+ years old become scrap value.
Please let me know where all these £100 5 year old cars are ?!

ThunderGuts

12,230 posts

195 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
johnfm said:
Yep - I've heard just one large finance co has around 4,000+ in storage there.
Sounds like unsustainable (for the Co) balance sheet management, holding a weakening asset back.

Digga

40,375 posts

284 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
ThunderGuts said:
johnfm said:
Yep - I've heard just one large finance co has around 4,000+ in storage there.
Sounds like unsustainable (for the Co) balance sheet management, holding a weakening asset back.
https://uk.investing.com/equities/inchcape-balance-sheet

Sheepshanks

32,854 posts

120 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Digga said:
I had my eyes opened to this a few years back looking at new Range Rovers, whilst waiting for my Defender to come out of the service bay at my local Land Rover stealer. The balloon finance schemes on a £100k ish car are eyewatering, but talking to the salesman, they're the most common way of getting into one. I'd always niavely assumed that if you had a Range Rover, you had money - either cash or a modest HP loan - but clearly, given the sheer numbers of the things (and many of those parked outside very modest properties), I was way wrong.
Hmmm...someone on here, who had worked as a LandRover salesman, said the vast majority of FFRRs are bought cash. Evoques, on the other hand, were almost always on finance.

SystemParanoia

14,343 posts

199 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Digga said:
ThunderGuts said:
johnfm said:
Yep - I've heard just one large finance co has around 4,000+ in storage there.
Sounds like unsustainable (for the Co) balance sheet management, holding a weakening asset back.
https://uk.investing.com/equities/inchcape-balance-sheet
15 pips today!

crikey.. I Bet someones made some serious money of that movement!

Digga

40,375 posts

284 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
SystemParanoia said:
Digga said:
ThunderGuts said:
johnfm said:
Yep - I've heard just one large finance co has around 4,000+ in storage there.
Sounds like unsustainable (for the Co) balance sheet management, holding a weakening asset back.
https://uk.investing.com/equities/inchcape-balance-sheet
15 pips today!

crikey.. I Bet someones made some serious money of that movement!
"Inventory" seems to have been climbing every year for 5 years.

BRR

1,846 posts

173 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
doesn't surprise me to hear that it's 75% bought on PCP, however I also assume quite a lot of used cars are purchased in the same way now presuming that they're under 5 years old? a few years back I was looking at buying a used Boxster and the salesman was trying to push a PCP deal

SunsetZed

2,260 posts

171 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
Adrian W said:
I recently bought a pre-reg BMW with 17 miles on the clock, I paid 47% of its list price, I bought it cash, to lease it would have cost me about 30% and no car at the end
Care to share where you found this kind of deal? By PM if you don't want to post it as I've been trying to find out more on getting a pre-registered car and have found it tricky to get information on where to find the best deals.

CaptainSlow

13,179 posts

213 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
SystemParanoia said:
CaptainSlow said:
Cars 5+ years old become scrap value.
Please let me know where all these £100 5 year old cars are ?!
You know what a hyperbole is right?

SystemParanoia

14,343 posts

199 months

Thursday 5th January 2017
quotequote all
CaptainSlow said:
SystemParanoia said:
CaptainSlow said:
Cars 5+ years old become scrap value.
Please let me know where all these £100 5 year old cars are ?!
You know what a hyperbole is right?
You know what scrap value is right ?