Scottish Referendum / Independence - Vol 8

Scottish Referendum / Independence - Vol 8

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Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Wednesday 21st August 2019
quotequote all
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/aug/21/sc...


Burger you are half of the entire UKs deficit.

You then posted about Wales deficit and simply added Scotland plus Wales and that’s more than the total deficit so ???
Hint NIreland Scotland and Wales are in deficit yet England is massively in surplus to pull the weighted average down to £23odd billion or barely 1% of U.K. GDP.




Given you say / state your in “finance” such naive statements does raise question marks - then again I guess bank Clerks still exist

General Price

5,252 posts

183 months

Wednesday 21st August 2019
quotequote all
A deficit of 7% gdp and the maximum for joining the EU is 3%


Ridgemont

6,574 posts

131 months

Wednesday 21st August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.

No what is interesting, is that all sides of the debate have celebrated the GERS figures. Yes, really. The SNP are arguing Scottish revenue is enough to cover all devolved spending as well as all state pensions and social protection ad revenue has exceeded £60bn for the first time.
You sure you don’t read Wings? You do realise that reads proper mental?

voyds9

8,488 posts

283 months

Wednesday 21st August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.

No what is interesting, is that all sides of the debate have celebrated the GERS figures. Yes, really. The SNP are arguing Scottish revenue is enough to cover all devolved spending as well as all state pensions and social protection ad revenue has exceeded £60bn for the first time.
OK baby steps.

Scotland spend more than they earn, deficit £12.6B
Wales spends more than it earns, deficit £13.7B

Total deficit £26.3B

England can run a country profitably and makes a profit of £3.1B

UK deficit £26.3B -£3.1B. Total deficit £23.5B

Or with 8% of the population Scotland is responsible for 48% of the UK debt

simoid

19,772 posts

158 months

Wednesday 21st August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.

No what is interesting, is that all sides of the debate have celebrated the GERS figures. Yes, really. The SNP are arguing Scottish revenue is enough to cover all devolved spending as well as all state pensions and social protection ad revenue has exceeded £60bn for the first time.
Because it’s more expensive to run a rural country like Scotland or Wales than it is to run England which is much more densely populated.

(Ie it is populated by more people, not more dense people hehe).

This is like when SNP tried to falsely claim Scotland sends more to the UK exchequer than it spends because it was 8.5% of revenue but only 8.2% of spending or something.

Klippie

3,151 posts

145 months

Wednesday 21st August 2019
quotequote all
I wonder if Wee Krankie will offer Donald Trump the sale of Scotland since he was given the rubber lug from Denmark after trying to buy Greenland.

Shambler

1,191 posts

144 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
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Evercross said:
technodup said:
Edinburger said:
I think the problem is that GERS doesn't and can't reflect the position of Scottish economy. The Scottish and UK economies are too deeply integrated to be analysed separately
Too integrated to analyse but not too integrated to rip up the union and hope for the best?

Seems legit.
And he claims he's not a troll? Actually, he probably isn't, but he is a verbose idiot for coming out with a line like the above while still being a proponent of independence.

Edited by Evercross on Wednesday 21st August 20:05
Ostrich syndrome, typical of nats

Edinburger

10,403 posts

168 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
simoid said:
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.

No what is interesting, is that all sides of the debate have celebrated the GERS figures. Yes, really. The SNP are arguing Scottish revenue is enough to cover all devolved spending as well as all state pensions and social protection ad revenue has exceeded £60bn for the first time.
Because it’s more expensive to run a rural country like Scotland or Wales than it is to run England which is much more densely populated.

(Ie it is populated by more people, not more dense people hehe).

This is like when SNP tried to falsely claim Scotland sends more to the UK exchequer than it spends because it was 8.5% of revenue but only 8.2% of spending or something.
It’s true that Scotland has more people living in towns and villages than in cities which means more spend.

It’s o secret that Scotland has a spending deficit and I obviously realise that GERS is assessed by the UK Statistics Authority as being in line with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. However, it’s worth noting that Scotland's tax income was £307 (per person) less than the UK’s figure and spend was £1,660 per person higher than the UK, and only London and the South East raise more per head than Scotland.

While GERS is interesting it is not indicative of how an independent Scotland would perform.






Edinburger

10,403 posts

168 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
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In other news, there’s a three part programme on BBC Scotland tonight called “Yes/No - Inside the Indyref” which looks worth watching.

Edinburger

10,403 posts

168 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
voyds9 said:
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.

No what is interesting, is that all sides of the debate have celebrated the GERS figures. Yes, really. The SNP are arguing Scottish revenue is enough to cover all devolved spending as well as all state pensions and social protection ad revenue has exceeded £60bn for the first time.
OK baby steps.

Scotland spend more than they earn, deficit £12.6B
Wales spends more than it earns, deficit £13.7B

Total deficit £26.3B

England can run a country profitably and makes a profit of £3.1B

UK deficit £26.3B -£3.1B. Total deficit £23.5B

Or with 8% of the population Scotland is responsible for 48% of the UK debt
No need for condescending tone in your note. You misunderstand me, but I can’t really be bothered debating GERS.

Edinburger

10,403 posts

168 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
tim0409 said:
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.
You do realise that London and the wider South East have a fiscal surplus of circa £32 billion and have done for many years?
Yep. And the “Northern Powerhouse”?

Garvin

5,171 posts

177 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
It’s true that Scotland has more people living in towns and villages than in cities which means more spend.

It’s o secret that Scotland has a spending deficit and I obviously realise that GERS is assessed by the UK Statistics Authority as being in line with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. However, it’s worth noting that Scotland's tax income was £307 (per person) less than the UK’s figure and spend was £1,660 per person higher than the UK, and only London and the South East raise more per head than Scotland.

While GERS is interesting it is not indicative of how an independent Scotland would perform.
You can continue to believe that if you like but, as another poster has said, it’s just Ostrich syndrome.

Why do you think Scotland’s tax income per person is lower than that of the UK average. Why do you think Scotland’s spend is massively higher than that of the UK average? When you’ve worked it out, and it isn’t difficult, you will see that GERS is not that wide of the mark and however you cut it Scotland can not afford independence without a massive hit to it’s standard of living.

Stop trying to deny it and just prepare to be really, really poor but ‘free’.

mcdjl

5,446 posts

195 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
voyds9 said:
Edinburger said:
rolleyes Seriously?

How can 8.2% of the population amass 60% of the debt? By the way, £12.6 + £13.7 = £26.3 i.e. England has allocated 111% of the UK deficit to Scotland and Wales.

No what is interesting, is that all sides of the debate have celebrated the GERS figures. Yes, really. The SNP are arguing Scottish revenue is enough to cover all devolved spending as well as all state pensions and social protection ad revenue has exceeded £60bn for the first time.
OK baby steps.

Scotland spend more than they earn, deficit £12.6B
Wales spends more than it earns, deficit £13.7B

Total deficit £26.3B

England can run a country profitably and makes a profit of £3.1B

UK deficit £26.3B -£3.1B. Total deficit £23.5B

Or with 8% of the population Scotland is responsible for 48% of the UK debt
No need for condescending tone in your note. You misunderstand me, but I can’t really be bothered debating GERS.
Aside from the fact that his maths is wrong (2.8bn) he is having a very obvious point you couldn't seem to see.
Added to that why bring up GERS if you didn't want to debate it?

technodup

7,581 posts

130 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
No need for condescending tone in your note. You misunderstand me, but I can’t really be bothered debating GERS.
You were the one who brought up GERS in the first place...

No wonder you're confused about yes/no if you can't even remember what you thought yesterday.

Murph7355

37,715 posts

256 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
Yep. And the “Northern Powerhouse”?
Part of England last time I looked. So read voyds9's post again without getting upset this time smile

Edinburger

10,403 posts

168 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Garvin said:
Edinburger said:
It’s true that Scotland has more people living in towns and villages than in cities which means more spend.

It’s o secret that Scotland has a spending deficit and I obviously realise that GERS is assessed by the UK Statistics Authority as being in line with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. However, it’s worth noting that Scotland's tax income was £307 (per person) less than the UK’s figure and spend was £1,660 per person higher than the UK, and only London and the South East raise more per head than Scotland.

While GERS is interesting it is not indicative of how an independent Scotland would perform.
You can continue to believe that if you like but, as another poster has said, it’s just Ostrich syndrome.

Why do you think Scotland’s tax income per person is lower than that of the UK average. Why do you think Scotland’s spend is massively higher than that of the UK average? When you’ve worked it out, and it isn’t difficult, you will see that GERS is not that wide of the mark and however you cut it Scotland can not afford independence without a massive hit to it’s standard of living.

Stop trying to deny it and just prepare to be really, really poor but ‘free’.
Of course independence would bring a massive hit. That’s not the question: the question is how would iScotland’s economy perform 5/10/50 years after independence.

Scotland is a third of GB’S landmass with 8% if the UK population. Cost of living is different to most other parts of the UK. Work out the differences.

By the way, the answer is NOBODY KNOWS.

Edinburger

10,403 posts

168 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Edinburger said:
Yep. And the “Northern Powerhouse”?
Part of England last time I looked. So read voyds9's post again without getting upset this time smile
Then why regionalise analysis?

technodup

7,581 posts

130 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
Of course independence would bring a massive hit. That’s not the question: the question is how would iScotland’s economy perform 5/10/50 years after independence.
I suspect the hit would last for at least your first two timescales.



Welshbeef

49,633 posts

198 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
Murph7355 said:
Edinburger said:
Yep. And the “Northern Powerhouse”?
Part of England last time I looked. So read voyds9's post again without getting upset this time smile
Then why regionalise analysis?
It’s done clearly to show / evidence to those that pertain to the view we send so much £ to Wastemonger we pay so much tax thus if we want to pay for free uni places helping the wealthy with free prescription charges wiping out the Poll tax debt and making those who paid this tax firt time round do it again (I assume those who didn’t pay poll tax didn’t actually pay anything towards the rates/council tax for some period of time. Not very fair that - if you so strongly disagreed with the poll tax protest etc but you still pay what you were now those who did pay are having to pay a slice again

Freezing council tax for so so long when all of rUK has been increasing it year on year to fund local services. You’ve now such an increase to make its unpalatable

Garvin

5,171 posts

177 months

Thursday 22nd August 2019
quotequote all
Edinburger said:
Of course independence would bring a massive hit. That’s not the question: the question is how would iScotland’s economy perform 5/10/50 years after independence.

Scotland is a third of GB’S landmass with 8% if the UK population. Cost of living is different to most other parts of the UK. Work out the differences.

By the way, the answer is NOBODY KNOWS.
50 years! You are Jacob Rees-Mogg AICMFP hehe

Nobody knows - true but there are a few fundamentals to consider. Scotland has an unhealthy population which creates a big drain on resources and a reduction in revenue, a double whammy.

To retain your standard of living revenue will need to be substantially increased and this can only come from taxation. Raising both personal and commercial taxes risks a brain drain in both people and industry which could well put Scotland in a damaging downward spiral. Remember, the Northern Powerhouse is just down the road!

If taxation is not increased, public services will take a huge hit. This, in itself, risks the same brain drain as above.

Note also that in any brain drain it is the brightest and wealthiest that will move which just exacerbates the problem further.

In summary, Scotland can not afford independence, the brightest in society know it as do the politicians and only the stupid nats can’t see it and will end up the worst off in the new, independent Scotland. Riots? I think Scotland would do well just to suffer the odd riot, and blaming ‘Wastemonster’ won’t save you.

Without something akin to North Sea Oil an independent Scotland is fuber’d. End of.

That is why it’s never going to happen and Sturgeon must know it. She’s just stringing you all along to retain power - you are being taken for idiots and, quite frankly, Scotland has brought it on itself.


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