Scottish Referendum / Independence - Vol 8

Scottish Referendum / Independence - Vol 8

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simoid

19,772 posts

159 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Leithen said:
What's the current thinking on how long a generation is?
D’oh. Until circumstances change.

Tories, brexit, wind direction etc

Big-Bo-Beep

884 posts

55 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Leithen said:
What's the current thinking on how long a generation is?
in the benefits loving, sportwear loving, SNP/Catholic heartlands of the west of Scotland being a granny at 28 is no big deal,

so maybe 14 years ?

Borghetto

3,274 posts

184 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Big Easy said:
It's exactly that sort of arrogance that drives the independence movement - an Englishman wanting to vote on the future of Scotland.

Imagine the outcry if all EU citizens, not just those resident in the UK, had been able to vote in the Brexit referendum.
I think the poster might be angling for a UK vote on whether to disband the union. The SNP has done a lot to damage the cohesion of the UK and I suspect there are many in England who would feel "a plague on all your houses".

Hugo a Gogo

23,378 posts

234 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Big Easy said:
Cantaloupe said:
Mr Tidy said:
And yet the 4 or 5 million Scots get to vote on their independence, but the other 55+ million UK voters don't get to vote on it. banghead
Oh God, I think you've banged your head too much dude, why would you get a vote on whether Scotland should stay or leave the UK?

It's for the voters of Scotland to decide, dearie me, and this doo-hickey is allowed to vote !!!

It's exactly that sort of arrogance that drives the independence movement - an Englishman wanting to vote on the future of Scotland.

Imagine the outcry if all EU citizens, not just those resident in the UK, had been able to vote in the Brexit referendum.
It's quite hard for me, as a Brit passport holder born in Scotland, to see why I wasn't allowed to vote on brexit or indy and wouldn't be allowed to vote on indyref2

Big Easy

136 posts

81 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Hugo a Gogo said:
It's quite hard for me, as a Brit passport holder born in Scotland, to see why I wasn't allowed to vote on brexit or indy and wouldn't be allowed to vote on indyref2
I understand your point of view but it seems reasonable to me that voting on both these matters would be exclusively for the people who reside in the country in which the referendum relates to.

stevensdrs

3,212 posts

201 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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I don't see the problem with the DVLA stuff. It would just continue as it is in an outsourced capacity at a cost of course to the Scottish government. It isn't necessary to own and run all your own infrastructure. It's a moot point anyway as the whole independence thing is chasing a rainbow to find a unicorn. "Scotland's people", as wee Krankie keeps referring to, are not all of the same opinioin as herself. You could have a vote tomorrow and it would be 45% for 55% against. That won't change in this generation.

Ayahuasca

27,427 posts

280 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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The Scottish election results do give the SNP a mandate to ask for a new referendum.

But there is no reason for Boris to agree, except that a refusal might make the Scots even more determined. Sorry, there is no ‘might’ there.

Couple of little issues remain:

What currency would an independent Scotland use, and how would they control it?

If they join the EU, what would the land border with the brexited UK look like?


rossub

4,465 posts

191 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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biggbn said:
rossub said:
biggbn said:
Huge result for snp regardless of the independence question. I genuinely believe Boris Tories win should be respected and the mandate if gives them to carry out Brexit honoured. But not everyone who voted for them made it about Brexit. Pretty similar up here with snp. Anyone who voted for them and for whom imdependence is not a huge issue must surely know it IS for the party they are voting for. It is THE bedrock of that parties beliefs. Therefore, using the goose/gander rule, I would suggest this result gives SNP a decent shout at getting another indyref
Not really. We’ll keep saying it - they only got 45% of the vote.

That 45% got them 81% of the seats
Pro Union parties got 54% of the vote, but 19% of the seats

Doesn’t look quite as good then does it?
So our voting system is broken? And presumably broken throughout the country? How do we square this circle? I believe London, the most densely populated area, voted mostly remain and are mostly anti conservative? That huge populace would skew results using your simple %age measurents? I am not disrespecting your point, it makes sense to me, but what are our options

Edited by biggbn on Friday 13th December 15:13
I don’t have an answer, but to further the point....

SNP votes - 1.2m, 48 seats
Lib Dem votes - 3.7m, 11 seats

Bizarre situation and there is a proposal by the Tories to alter boundaries of constituencies to counter it somewhat I understand.

Ayahuasca

27,427 posts

280 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Another issue - when a nation leaves a larger union (see Brexit) the leaving nation commits to paying the leaving bill. How would Scotland afford that?

And how would it raise enough taxes to pay for all its expenses - it is currently subsidised by the rest of the UK ?


simoid

19,772 posts

159 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Perhaps Scotland and London could go independent. “Only the rich vote for the Tories”. The highest earning areas are less likely to vote Tory by the looks of it...

Strocky

2,650 posts

114 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Evercross said:
Strocky said:
Say no to Indy Ref 2
Nicola Sturgeon this morning on the BBC said:
A vote for the SNP yesterday was not necessarily a vote for independence.
Shocked you're taking her at her word

technodup

7,584 posts

131 months

Friday 13th December 2019
quotequote all
stevensdrs said:
I don't see the problem with the DVLA stuff. It would just continue as it is in an outsourced capacity at a cost of course to the Scottish government. It isn't necessary to own and run all your own infrastructure.
Doesn't sound very independent to me.

Strocky

2,650 posts

114 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Big-Bo-Beep said:
Scotland is going to have to rely on the goodwill of the new UK for many years post separation, DVLA, Passports, Rail and Air accident investigations, what happens if a major air crash or rail accident happens in Scotland ? such independent infrastructures will take years to put in place.

Even something as simple as a on-track crane, Network Rail have none in Scotland.
Not up there with having to drive on right and being more susceptible to UFO attack but has potential

Big-Bo-Beep

884 posts

55 months

Friday 13th December 2019
quotequote all
rossub said:
SNP votes - 1.2m, 48 seats
Lib Dem votes - 3.7m, 11 seats

Bizarre situation and there is a proposal by the Tories to alter boundaries of constituencies to counter it somewhat I understand.
That is a very worrying statistic, we really do have a undemocratic election system

Strocky

2,650 posts

114 months

Friday 13th December 2019
quotequote all
rossub said:
I don’t have an answer, but to further the point....

SNP votes - 1.2m, 48 seats
Lib Dem votes - 3.7m, 11 seats

Bizarre situation and there is a proposal by the Tories to alter boundaries of constituencies to counter it somewhat I understand.
It's quite simple, the SNP only stand candidates in 59 seats, similarly the likes of SF, DUP & PC only stand in NI/Wales

Unless you don't think that the 4 countries* in the UK deserve some kind of "proportional representation" when 85% of the voting population decides between Labour or the Tories to see who leads the country?

  • 2 countries
  • 1 principality?
  • 1 province

anonymous-user

55 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Big-Bo-Beep said:
rossub said:
SNP votes - 1.2m, 48 seats
Lib Dem votes - 3.7m, 11 seats

Bizarre situation and there is a proposal by the Tories to alter boundaries of constituencies to counter it somewhat I understand.
That is a very worrying statistic, we really do have a undemocratic election system
The two main parties seem reluctant to change the system for some reason.

Big-Bo-Beep

884 posts

55 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Strocky said:
It's quite simple, the SNP only stand candidates in 59 seats, similarly the likes of SF, DUP & PC only stand in NI/Wales

Thanks Columbo, that doesn't explain anything.

The total number of Lib Dem votes were not fairly represented in parliamentary seats,
they would do if we had a fit for purpose voting system.

Strocky

2,650 posts

114 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Ayahuasca said:
Another issue - when a nation leaves a larger union (see Brexit) the leaving nation commits to paying the leaving bill. How would Scotland afford that?

And how would it raise enough taxes to pay for all its expenses - it is currently subsidised by the rest of the UK ?

Answer A, that's not how international law works re successor states, re Brexit/EU membership that was a trade agreement entered into by the UK Gov of the day for tangible/intangible benefits (and subsequently a reason why some wanted to leave)

Answer B, Scotland isn't subsidised, Scotland gets around 50% of the it's tax revenues returned (after deductions from the UK Gov)

As an independent country Scotland could decide to either raise taxes or cut services if required to do so fiscally

The UK could have had a £1Tn+ sovereign oil fund like Norway (in fact Tony Benn argued for it but was overuled by Labour's cabiner & PM at the time)
It's been squandered by successive governments initially to clear IMF loans and latterly to give tax breaks to big business

You can look around the globe and see other countries where the state pension is 2 to 3 times that of the UK, where inequality is lesser, where paternity and unemployment rights are far greater, look at their GDP and Scotland's and make an analysis :

Could Scotland be a success (not just fiscally but as an egalitarian state) or would it be like Greece without the sun/Panama without the hats/Norway without the oil?

rxe

6,700 posts

104 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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El stovey said:
The two main parties seem reluctant to change the system for some reason.
I seem to remember we had a referendum about it not that long ago, and the country decided that the current system was fine.

The interesting question is whether the Scots actively voted for the SNP ... or against the rest. From the perspective of an Englishman who quite likes Scotland (Edinburgh is a great place to live and work), I’m at the “plague on all your houses” level. If they want to go, go, sod off. Just stop bloody whining about it,

anonymous-user

55 months

Friday 13th December 2019
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Nicola promised we will use the pound too, so let's look forward to that when we're independent. Not that nasty nasty euro.
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