Pensions triple lock - doomed ?

Pensions triple lock - doomed ?

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Murph7355

37,715 posts

256 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
crankedup said:
turbobloke said:
Possibly not doomed after all...the DT an hour or so ago published an online piece claiming that May is considering keeping the triple lock guarantee, under pressure it says, so a reasonable chance

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/26/theresa...
I heard a snippet, the triple lock may be downgraded to a double lock. Having opened this thread using the voting of pensioners may be directed to other political parties it's possible that the advisors have took note. rofl
I had a lot of time for May's approach previously, but she is in grave danger of backing away too often from sensible reform and will end up doing nothing. Which is a major concern considering what she needs to get done over the next 2yrs.

It's almost enough to make me want to vote LibDem in protest...

Grow a pair Theresa.

ATG

20,575 posts

272 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
NI is and always has been just another form of income and employment tax. It has never been allocated to specific areas of government spending, i.e. it is not earmarked for paying pensions. When it was introduced it was branded as a way of paying towards the newly introduced features of the welfare state including the NHS. The branding, particularly misusing the word "Insurance", has not helped people think clearly about tax, current spending and future liabilities.

FiF

44,085 posts

251 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
crankedup said:
Dr Jekyll said:
crankedup said:
I would like to offer my thoughts on this question.

Pensioners certainly deserved the triple lock application, it was introduced for the simple reason of lifting the pension payment to what the Government feels is a fair and proportionate sum of money to pensioners. That level has now been reached, thus the possible removal of all or some of the triple lock.
If the pension had been raised in line with prices since it's inception, it would now be around £25 a week.
Since it's inception!
That comment surprised me too, so checked it out. 5 shillings a week in 1909, ie 25 new pence a week. Apply an inflation calculator to that and it works out. However that doesn't take into account other factors.

esxste

3,684 posts

106 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
The irony of this thread is off the scale.

May won't commit to triple lock because its not affordable. And it will be made even less affordable by Brexit.

In 2017, the Government will spend ~12% of its budget on Pensions, or nearly 5% of the total national income, on Pensions. These figures will only rise as more and more from the baby boomers retire over the next 10 years, and the death rate continues to slow.

Since we're not even sure if Theresa May and her Three Brexiteers know what Brexit means yet; let alone anyone else; we can only speculate that the hard Brexit being talked about is going to mean an economy impacted by restrictions on access to the European Single Market and reduction in numbers of working immigrants; (and the loss of tax income from them)

So... a weakened economy, and fewer tax payers.

And even if you're a brexiteer who dismisses all such arguments out of hand, it's still a bit rich for the selfish grey haired generation to whine about the loss of triple lock, when their children and grandchildren not only face higher taxes in coming years, we've already been told we won't be getting our state pensions at 65.



HughiusMaximus

694 posts

126 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
^ ^

This.

crankedup

Original Poster:

25,764 posts

243 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
esxste said:
The irony of this thread is off the scale.

May won't commit to triple lock because its not affordable. And it will be made even less affordable by Brexit.

In 2017, the Government will spend ~12% of its budget on Pensions, or nearly 5% of the total national income, on Pensions. These figures will only rise as more and more from the baby boomers retire over the next 10 years, and the death rate continues to slow.

Since we're not even sure if Theresa May and her Three Brexiteers know what Brexit means yet; let alone anyone else; we can only speculate that the hard Brexit being talked about is going to mean an economy impacted by restrictions on access to the European Single Market and reduction in numbers of working immigrants; (and the loss of tax income from them)

So... a weakened economy, and fewer tax payers.

And even if you're a brexiteer who dismisses all such arguments out of hand, it's still a bit rich for the selfish grey haired generation to whine about the loss of triple lock, when their children and grandchildren not only face higher taxes in coming years, we've already been told we won't be getting our state pensions at 65.
Politics dear boy, politics.

I voted for out of the eu and I will vote Tory at this GE, for the first time in my life. However, my vote is only to secure the best brexit deal possible and May is the only politician who seems to have an ounce of political intelligence (as opposed to interlectural person) wink

stongle

5,910 posts

162 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
Quite. Hard Brexit is out of the single market and freedom of movement. We may get elements of equivalence and many in Europe are keen to get a deal that doesn't damage them either. Hard Brexit isn't no deal. May needs to be empowered to push through a deal without local political grandstanding from the clowns in the labour party (whom can't even come up with a coherent CT strategy).

The point on less tax paying immigrants IS very valid. We absolutely should be encouraging working immigrants and those contributing to the UK tax coffers. Whether highly skilled or not. May and Hammond, do need to cone up with a fiscal program that encourages regeneration of the regions and wider employment opportunities (made easier by Brexit).

Smollet

10,574 posts

190 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
crankedup said:
Politics dear boy, politics.

I voted for out of the eu and I will vote Tory at this GE, for the first time in my life. However, my vote is only to secure the best brexit deal possible and May is the only politician who seems to have an ounce of political intelligence (as opposed to interlectural person) wink
Bloody interlecturals. I bet they support Ingerlund laugh

crankedup

Original Poster:

25,764 posts

243 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
crankedup said:
johnxjsc1985 said:
crankedup said:
Maybe we should abandon the current Capitalistic Society and live under Communist rule. You seem to be judging your neighbours in a bad light for being successful ?
give him a break he is still reeling from his declaration that Rafa Benitez was the worst manager in the championship and would be sacked by Christmas.
People need to remember that if they are lucky they will also become old and may well be dependant on the state to some extent.
Jeez if I had known that earlier I would have kept my ipad closed! hehe Bet plenty of Newcastle brown has gone down well.

Yup, it's not like, can't wait until I'm old then I can be perceived as being a burden on the State and 'dispised' by some for having lived. Thank God people like that are a very small minority.
Newcastle return to the premier with a celebration cut short. Pleased to see the taxman on thier case, not forgetting west ham.

anonymous-user

54 months

Wednesday 26th April 2017
quotequote all
sidicks said:
superkartracer said:
Not at all , it was just a quick post without going into details ( as busy ) , even taking the 250k without growth and a small increase each year of your £150/week , that pot lasts 30 years + till running dry . Many people are dead a few years after retirement at 67 ( or whatever they make it ) , even so the pot lasts till you're 90+ .
Except it doesn't, as outlined above.
And there isn't a pot.
And most people pay in less than the 'average'.
Etc

Edited by anonymous-user on Wednesday 26th April 09:43

And many people pay in nothing at all and they're the ones whose long term care is paid for by the rest of us. That's why it doesn't work.

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

crankedup

Original Poster:

25,764 posts

243 months

Friday 19th May 2017
quotequote all
Triple lock worked as it should have and reached its 'can't afford it' status. Double lock will protect pensions unless we have ripping inflation that erodes the current pension value, which is unlikely imo.

brickwall

5,250 posts

210 months

Friday 19th May 2017
quotequote all
Sensible thing to do. There's a justification for either inflation or growth linking - not sure there's a case for 'higher of the two'.

Nonetheless the 2.5% floor was the most egregious anomaly with no justification, so the work is largely done.

Hypothetical question: if both growth and inflation went negative, would they cut pensions?
(I don't think so...)

crankedup

Original Poster:

25,764 posts

243 months

Friday 19th May 2017
quotequote all
During the good old days the investment rates helped the pensioners with good returns upon thier savings. The very opposite is now true.