The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

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Discussion

rolando

2,174 posts

156 months

Wednesday 10th January 2018
quotequote all
rscott said:
Do you specialise in posting old news? This was mentioned back in October and the ASA verdict posted last year.
Only posted it because it had a new 9th January, this year, slant.

rscott

14,789 posts

192 months

Wednesday 10th January 2018
quotequote all
rolando said:
rscott said:
Do you specialise in posting old news? This was mentioned back in October and the ASA verdict posted last year.
Only posted it because it had a new 9th January, this year, slant.
Can't see anything there which the Mail didn't already say 2 weeks ago ( http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5213733/Ac... )

Ali G

3,526 posts

283 months

Wednesday 10th January 2018
quotequote all
I see potty-mouth is back.

shout

How's the intermittency going?

Ali G

3,526 posts

283 months

Wednesday 10th January 2018
quotequote all
Sorted the variability, intermittency and on-demand yet?

Like an adult would.

Ali G

3,526 posts

283 months

Wednesday 10th January 2018
quotequote all
Intermittent, variable, on-demand.

Are we there yet?

rolando

2,174 posts

156 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Ali G said:
Intermittent, variable, on-demand.

Are we there yet?
Don't think so.

…unless Paddy n-p knows better.

turbobloke

104,103 posts

261 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Ali G said:
Intermittent, variable, on-demand.

Are we there yet?
Wind power and British Rail (getting there); wind power and young children in the back seats; you raise some interesting parallels.

jester

deltaevo16

755 posts

172 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Agree the Wind Energy is not pulling its weight today. Have the lights flickered?
No - because the balanced grid is still working.
..
Where has wind contributed to that graphic?
I give you credit for being a wind evangelist, and for keeping on
banging the drum.

HoweverI think most people of adult age, just don't see
wind being very effective in delivering a reliable load to the grid.

PRTVR

7,133 posts

222 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Agree the Wind Energy is not pulling its weight today. Have the lights flickered?
No - because the balanced grid is still working.
I would call it an unbalanced grid, a real power station has to be ready to take up the demand, at considerable cost, the more wind generation you have the more backup that is required, the balanced part of the grid is real controllable power stations not wind turbines.

Toltec

7,164 posts

224 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Paddy_N_Murphy said:
Agree the Wind Energy is not pulling its weight today. Have the lights flickered?
No - because the balanced grid is still working.
Spinning up some extra CCGT output is fine, providing its cost is included as part of the cost of using wind power. To put it another way the cost of electricity from a renewable should include the costs to make it an on-demand or baseload source.

rolando

2,174 posts

156 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Toltec said:
Spinning up some extra CCGT output is fine, providing its cost is included as part of the cost of using wind power. To put it another way the cost of electricity from a renewable should include the costs to make it an on-demand or baseload source.
Excellent point.

turbobloke

104,103 posts

261 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
rolando said:
Toltec said:
Spinning up some extra CCGT output is fine, providing its cost is included as part of the cost of using wind power. To put it another way the cost of electricity from a renewable should include the costs to make it an on-demand or baseload source.
Excellent point.
Indeed.

That and other costs that operating companies are allowed to avoid when considering viability and pricing have cropped up several times in this thread:

- human health cost e.g. from infrasound
- economic impact e.g. house prices near onshore white elephant eyesores
- environmental impact cost e.g. rare earth extraction and processing clean-ups
- biodiversity WTP cost from large-scale deaths of birds of prey and bats
- conventional-power back-up cost
- baseload cycling cost
- reduced grid reliability cost
- decommissioning cost

When I've mentioned these hidden costs previously all that appeared from renewables activists has been diversion, obfuscation and abuse.

One ideologue even suggested I had no point because I didn't list the corresponding costs for coal, a neat example of diversion and obfuscation combined. It's a curious notion that coal can have an intrinsic cost due to the grid unreliability increase from unreliables (coal is after all not intermittent as power sources go...there is still coal around...and coal fired power stations are hardly mass killers of raptors and bats).

This time it'll be different of course and a rapid, complete and on-topic response can be expected.

silly


Toltec

7,164 posts

224 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
rolando said:
Toltec said:
Spinning up some extra CCGT output is fine, providing its cost is included as part of the cost of using wind power. To put it another way the cost of electricity from a renewable should include the costs to make it an on-demand or baseload source.
Excellent point.
Indeed.

That and other costs that operating companies are allowed to avoid when considering viability and pricing have cropped up several times in this thread:

- human health cost e.g. from infrasound
- economic impact e.g. house prices near onshore white elephant eyesores
- environmental impact cost e.g. rare earth extraction and processing clean-ups
- biodiversity WTP cost from large-scale deaths of birds of prey and bats
- conventional-power back-up cost
- baseload cycling cost
- reduced grid reliability cost
- decommissioning cost

When I've mentioned these hidden costs previously all that appeared from renewables activists has been diversion, obfuscation and abuse.

One ideologue even suggested I had no point because I didn't list the corresponding costs for coal, a neat example of diversion and obfuscation combined. It's a curious notion that coal can have an intrinsic cost due to the grid unreliability increase from unreliables (coal is after all not intermittent as power sources go...there is still coal around...and coal fired power stations are hardly mass killers of raptors and bats).

This time it'll be different of course and a rapid, complete and on-topic response can be expected.

silly
I'll admit I was thinking of the basic economics, however I would accept a somewhat higher cost of energy for a noticeable environmental benefit. Then again I can afford to do so without having to sacrifice food etc. so there is a social cost to consider as well.

Gas produces less pollution than coal, can be relatively fast reacting, plants are relatively cheap to build and decommission so are a pretty good generation source.
Adding wind power etc. adds more cost, but reduces the amount of gas burnt so reduce CO2 output (for generation certainly, possibly dust to dust) and extends the time the gas supply will last.
Eventually we need better supply sources; nuclear plants that are safer and easier to decommission; fusion that actually is safer, cleaner and cheaper than fission; energy storage systems to even out input from renewables and peak demand. It needs to be not only affordable, but profitable enough so it is worth building. Most of all it needs to be joined up enough so that companies cannot just go for the profitable bits and lets the rest be someone else's problem.

The new Hinckley plant does seem like a deal to make some people money and the rest our problem, not unlike renewables.

The future of power generation is not about how clean it can be, but how much money can be made out of selling the idea of clean power.


turbobloke

104,103 posts

261 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Toltec said:
turbobloke said:
rolando said:
Toltec said:
Spinning up some extra CCGT output is fine, providing its cost is included as part of the cost of using wind power. To put it another way the cost of electricity from a renewable should include the costs to make it an on-demand or baseload source.
Excellent point.
Indeed.

That and other costs that operating companies are allowed to avoid when considering viability and pricing have cropped up several times in this thread:

- human health cost e.g. from infrasound
- economic impact e.g. house prices near onshore white elephant eyesores
- environmental impact cost e.g. rare earth extraction and processing clean-ups
- biodiversity WTP cost from large-scale deaths of birds of prey and bats
- conventional-power back-up cost
- baseload cycling cost
- reduced grid reliability cost
- decommissioning cost

When I've mentioned these hidden costs previously all that appeared from renewables activists has been diversion, obfuscation and abuse.

One ideologue even suggested I had no point because I didn't list the corresponding costs for coal, a neat example of diversion and obfuscation combined. It's a curious notion that coal can have an intrinsic cost due to the grid unreliability increase from unreliables (coal is after all not intermittent as power sources go...there is still coal around...and coal fired power stations are hardly mass killers of raptors and bats).

This time it'll be different of course and a rapid, complete and on-topic response can be expected.

silly
I'll admit I was thinking of the basic economics, however I would accept a somewhat higher cost of energy for a noticeable environmental benefit.
May I ask, what is the environmental benefit of wind energy you speak of, when the basis for plugging it at so much public expense is simply not valid? With an O/T warning for the purists (one that's not really needed however) there is no anthropogenic signal in the only two datasets that can support the existence of manmade climate change (energy, from TOA radiative imbalance, and temperature from e.g. UAH LTT) as a result belief in manmade climate change represents belief in invisible entities that should be visible, it's only utter nonsense like "the data don't matter" (IPCC chap) and political patronage that keep this junkscience afloat. Any claimed benefit in terms of climate is illusory.

PS appeals to the non-consensus and appeals to small-committee authorities are logical fallacies, not evidence.

Toltec

7,164 posts

224 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
Toltec said:
I'll admit I was thinking of the basic economics, however I would accept a somewhat higher cost of energy for a noticeable environmental benefit.
May I ask, what is the environmental benefit of wind energy you speak of, when the basis for plugging it at so much public expense is simply not valid? With an O/T warning for the purists (one that's not really needed however) there is no anthropogenic signal in the only two datasets that can support the existence of manmade climate change (energy, from TOA radiative imbalance, and temperature from e.g. UAH LTT) as a result belief in manmade climate change represents belief in invisible entities that should be visible, it's only utter nonsense like "the data don't matter" (IPCC chap) and political patronage that keep this junkscience afloat. Any claimed benefit in terms of climate is illusory.

PS appeals to the non-consensus and appeals to small-committee authorities are logical fallacies, not evidence.
I'm not convinced there is one, some of the arguments appear to rely on the bootstrap approach that as the numbers increase the power used to make them comes from them not CO2 producing sources. CO2 may or may not be a major issue, I'm more interested in how much pollution, i.e industrial waste, is released into the environment.

As someone, iirc, has already mentioned there is no clean way to produce electricity.

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Toltec said:
Adding wind power etc. adds more cost, but reduces the amount of gas burnt so reduce CO2 output
Thats not clear. The impact of erratic wind is to reduce the efficiency of conventional supply. So it balances out for CO2. The savings are not as claimed.

Toltec

7,164 posts

224 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
s2art said:
Toltec said:
Adding wind power etc. adds more cost, but reduces the amount of gas burnt so reduce CO2 output
Thats not clear. The impact of erratic wind is to reduce the efficiency of conventional supply. So it balances out for CO2. The savings are not as claimed.
Interesting, it gets worse then, source? I'm guessing CCGT plants have efficiency sweet spots as well as larger losses if you need to bring one completely online/offline?

Would you say gas and nuclear moving to nuclear and storage eventually? Fossil gas supplies while large are still finite so we will need something else eventually.

Nuclear being a mix of new and current fission technologies as well potentially fusion, storage being any number of existing and proposed forms not just pumped hydro, battery, kinetic and electrochemical conversion.

I don't work in any of the power industries so all I really want is cheapish, reliable electricity that does not cause cumulative environmental damage. Ideally it shouldn't be a blight on the landscape either, but you could consider that as environmental damage so already covered.

turbobloke

104,103 posts

261 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
On what basis do we want to reduce carbon dioxide emissions in any case - political advocacy alone? Faith / belief? Politics and faith?

Why cut back on plant food, tree food and crop food emissions when there's no empirical data or other credible evidence that those emissions are doing anything harmful to cancel out the obvious benefits?

s2art

18,938 posts

254 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
Toltec said:
Interesting, it gets worse then, source?
There are several. Try https://docs.wind-watch.org/Inhaber-Why-wind-power...

Toltec

7,164 posts

224 months

Thursday 11th January 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
On what basis do we want to reduce carbon dioxide emissions in any case - political advocacy alone? Faith / belief? Politics and faith?

Why cut back on plant food, tree food and crop food emissions when there's no empirical data or other credible evidence that those emissions are doing anything harmful to cancel out the obvious benefits?
Depends who you ask I guess. Purely personally most of the CO2 is down to burning fossil fuels and if you think in a long enough term they are a form of solar energy storage that is being used faster than it is being replenished. Burning stuff tends to release other compounds that are not great as well. There are other things oil can be used to produce which are quite useful to a technological society, though making plastic is becoming a bit of a problem itself.

Being brutally honest, I have another 30-40 years if I'm lucky and have no kids, while I like the idea of humanity surviving in general providing it doesn't bother me too much before I die it can go fk itself, I'm not its keeper.