The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

The Future of Power Generation in Great Britain

Author
Discussion

StanleyT

1,994 posts

80 months

Sunday 13th January 2019
quotequote all
Shame if on Monday the board at Hitachi pull the plug on Wylfa Neewwwyyyyddddd (a little known Welsh word translating to English as "White Ellllllllllephant, did no one lllllllllllearn anything from the days when the CEGB got NNC (No Nearer Completion) to build the AGR reactors").

I know someone who did some very good work design work indeed on sizing the laundry system water / delay tanks. Ho-hum, perhaps someone can use the system in a hotel instead for all workers putting up the electricity windmills we will need to cover Anglesey with instead.

Anyone see the irony in the World Nuclear News website recently that the first "European PWR" (i.e. that which is being built by the cider swillers down the South West) isn't ours, the French, the Finns (and that is it for Europe) but in China!!!!! Perhaps we need a longer extension lead for the interconnectors?

glazbagun

14,282 posts

198 months

Monday 14th January 2019
quotequote all
WatchfulEye said:
Hitachi looks set to pull out of the Anglesey nuclear project.

https://www.ft.com/content/80b1c286-1589-11e9-a581...
On BBC now, too:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46855799

TBH I'm surprised parent companies can wrap up things like this so easily.

Talksteer

4,888 posts

234 months

Tuesday 15th January 2019
quotequote all
StanleyT said:
Shame if on Monday the board at Hitachi pull the plug on Wylfa Neewwwyyyyddddd (a little known Welsh word translating to English as "White Ellllllllllephant, did no one lllllllllllearn anything from the days when the CEGB got NNC (No Nearer Completion) to build the AGR reactors").

I know someone who did some very good work design work indeed on sizing the laundry system water / delay tanks. Ho-hum, perhaps someone can use the system in a hotel instead for all workers putting up the electricity windmills we will need to cover Anglesey with instead.

Anyone see the irony in the World Nuclear News website recently that the first "European PWR" (i.e. that which is being built by the cider swillers down the South West) isn't ours, the French, the Finns (and that is it for Europe) but in China!!!!! Perhaps we need a longer extension lead for the interconnectors?
It is something of a black mark on the UK regulator, energy policy and supply chain that a plant design which can be constructed in Japan for ~$8 billion costs £15 billion when built in the UK!

Role on UK SMR.....



StanleyT

1,994 posts

80 months

Tuesday 15th January 2019
quotequote all
We've already got lots of SMRs. Just they tend to move about a bit, under the water..............we could build plenty (no secret, they get built in Derby and up to PWR3 tested in Scotland) and use them for power generation if we really reaaly wanted.

A wag at work pointed out that the USA SMRs are basically the same that theUS sold to us as PWR1 for submarines, with 50 yrs design standard improvements, then rotated 90 degrees and buried in the earth rather than a sub-sea-boat.

Mind you whom am I to dictate about tech translatiopn, my neighbour told me 10 days ago his PhD sponsored by Davy McKee was for coal gasification to be the basis, for what ended up as the two Hartlepool Nucs!

Talksteer

4,888 posts

234 months

Wednesday 16th January 2019
quotequote all
StanleyT said:
We've already got lots of SMRs. Just they tend to move about a bit, under the water..............we could build plenty (no secret, they get built in Derby and up to PWR3 tested in Scotland) and use them for power generation if we really reaaly wanted.

A wag at work pointed out that the USA SMRs are basically the same that theUS sold to us as PWR1 for submarines, with 50 yrs design standard improvements, then rotated 90 degrees and buried in the earth rather than a sub-sea-boat.

Mind you whom am I to dictate about tech translatiopn, my neighbour told me 10 days ago his PhD sponsored by Davy McKee was for coal gasification to be the basis, for what ended up as the two Hartlepool Nucs!
You wouldn't want to use a PWR 3 for power generation, very different requirements in detail (HEU, turbine with no re-heat, full of expensive one off parts and really tiny in output).

The US SMR if you mean NuScale is some what different as regards fuel form and safety case to a Naval reactor too.

The "trick" to building an SMR or for that matter a larger nuclear plant is to focus of the execution and the manufacturing rather than the technology, see approach of SpaceX as an example.

wombleh

1,797 posts

123 months

Wednesday 16th January 2019
quotequote all
Talksteer said:
It is something of a black mark on the UK regulator, energy policy and supply chain that a plant design which can be constructed in Japan for ~$8 billion costs £15 billion when built in the UK!

Role on UK SMR.....
It depends why. Some UK specific changes to EPR are to add non computerised control mechanisms which is expensive but for me that's essential. I would not want an entitely computer based control system without any manual fallback so agree with the ONR on that front.

Mentioned in step 3 report here
http://www.onr.org.uk/new-reactors/uk-epr/reports....


Edited by wombleh on Wednesday 16th January 13:26

Talksteer

4,888 posts

234 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
wombleh said:
Talksteer said:
It is something of a black mark on the UK regulator, energy policy and supply chain that a plant design which can be constructed in Japan for ~$8 billion costs £15 billion when built in the UK!

Role on UK SMR.....
It depends why. Some UK specific changes to EPR are to add non computerised control mechanisms which is expensive but for me that's essential. I would not want an entirely computer based control system without any manual fallback so agree with the ONR on that front.

Mentioned in step 3 report here
http://www.onr.org.uk/new-reactors/uk-epr/reports....
The EPR is just a shyte reactor design, executed poorly. Pretty much everything that you can do to make a project expensive has been done.

https://www.eti.co.uk/library/the-eti-nuclear-cost...

My favourite element of the whole EPR debacle was the site drains at HPC. If the plant flooded it could potentially knockout the emergency diesels and/or emergency cooling systems. Therefore this drain gained class 1 safety significance, which now means it must be:

1: Built to very high levels of inspection and assurance
2: Be made from higher integrity concrete with higher degree of reinforcement
3: It must be inspectable in service.
4: Therefore it must have man access

The net result is that HPC will have several km of drains which you can drive a transit down and are made from concrete 1 ft thick.

Multiply this by every single feature and that is how you arrive at 20 billion.

The fundamental issue is that it was designed on the cheap by two partners each trying to incorporate as many features into it from their 70's designed plants using in many cases 70's levels of design practice (e.g. civils and layouts designed in 2D!). This then buts up against modern safety expectations, in the 70's if the drawing had issues they would just mod re-bar on site today the job stops.

As each issue like the one above occurs rather than go back and address route causes sticking plaster solutions of adding more systems, concrete or QA are adopted.

The ABWR design was conducted using what were cutting edge techniques CEA techniques and they have built these plants successfully already. Even with changes due to the regulator, these plant should be cheap, I suspect that the answer is UK construction productivity .

V8 Fettler

7,019 posts

133 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
Talksteer said:
The EPR is just a shyte reactor design, executed poorly. Pretty much everything that you can do to make a project expensive has been done.

https://www.eti.co.uk/library/the-eti-nuclear-cost...

My favourite element of the whole EPR debacle was the site drains at HPC. If the plant flooded it could potentially knockout the emergency diesels and/or emergency cooling systems. Therefore this drain gained class 1 safety significance, which now means it must be:

1: Built to very high levels of inspection and assurance
2: Be made from higher integrity concrete with higher degree of reinforcement
3: It must be inspectable in service.
4: Therefore it must have man access

The net result is that HPC will have several km of drains which you can drive a transit down and are made from concrete 1 ft thick.

Multiply this by every single feature and that is how you arrive at 20 billion.

The fundamental issue is that it was designed on the cheap by two partners each trying to incorporate as many features into it from their 70's designed plants using in many cases 70's levels of design practice (e.g. civils and layouts designed in 2D!). This then buts up against modern safety expectations, in the 70's if the drawing had issues they would just mod re-bar on site today the job stops.

As each issue like the one above occurs rather than go back and address route causes sticking plaster solutions of adding more systems, concrete or QA are adopted.

The ABWR design was conducted using what were cutting edge techniques CEA techniques and they have built these plants successfully already. Even with changes due to the regulator, these plant should be cheap, I suspect that the answer is UK construction productivity .
The answer is incompetent management at several levels.

Fittster

20,120 posts

214 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
glazbagun said:
WatchfulEye said:
Hitachi looks set to pull out of the Anglesey nuclear project.

https://www.ft.com/content/80b1c286-1589-11e9-a581...
On BBC now, too:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46855799

TBH I'm surprised parent companies can wrap up things like this so easily.
Hitachi has scrapped plans to build a nuclear power station in Wales, becoming the second firm in two months to abandon a major nuclear project and triggering “a full-blown crisis” for the UK energy’s strategy.

The £16bn Wylfa plant on Anglesey was meant to be the next in a line of new nuclear plants behind Hinkley Point C but the Japanese conglomerate failed to reach a deal with the UK government.

A Hitachi board meeting pulled the plug on mounting costs on Thursday, and the company said it would take a 300bn yen (£2.14bn) hit from axing

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/jan/17/h...

aeropilot

34,682 posts

228 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
Gary C said:
rolando said:
LoonyTunes said:
Weird. The Tories (under Thatcher) who wanted the coal mines all closed down in the 70's and 80's now want them all fired back up nuts
It was Scargill and his red mates who closed the coal mining industry through their greed.
It was all about breaking the power of the unions, thats why the electricity industry was broken up too.
But it was also the same Thatcher Govt that called a halt to any further new Nuc PS's while Sizewell C was being built......a criminal decision that we are all paying for, as the can got kicked further down the road by ever subsequent Govt thereafter, despite endless warnings from industry.




aeropilot

34,682 posts

228 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
V8 Fettler said:
Talksteer said:
The EPR is just a shyte reactor design, executed poorly. Pretty much everything that you can do to make a project expensive has been done.

https://www.eti.co.uk/library/the-eti-nuclear-cost...

My favourite element of the whole EPR debacle was the site drains at HPC. If the plant flooded it could potentially knockout the emergency diesels and/or emergency cooling systems. Therefore this drain gained class 1 safety significance, which now means it must be:

1: Built to very high levels of inspection and assurance
2: Be made from higher integrity concrete with higher degree of reinforcement
3: It must be inspectable in service.
4: Therefore it must have man access

The net result is that HPC will have several km of drains which you can drive a transit down and are made from concrete 1 ft thick.

Multiply this by every single feature and that is how you arrive at 20 billion.

The fundamental issue is that it was designed on the cheap by two partners each trying to incorporate as many features into it from their 70's designed plants using in many cases 70's levels of design practice (e.g. civils and layouts designed in 2D!). This then buts up against modern safety expectations, in the 70's if the drawing had issues they would just mod re-bar on site today the job stops.

As each issue like the one above occurs rather than go back and address route causes sticking plaster solutions of adding more systems, concrete or QA are adopted.

The ABWR design was conducted using what were cutting edge techniques CEA techniques and they have built these plants successfully already. Even with changes due to the regulator, these plant should be cheap, I suspect that the answer is UK construction productivity .
The answer is incompetent management at several levels.
The problem is the ever more employment of management tiers that have management skills but zero technical knowledge of what they are supposed to be managing......
The lack of experienced people in the construction process today is bleedin scary........



Gary C

12,493 posts

180 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
StanleyT said:
We've already got lots of SMRs. Just they tend to move about a bit, under the water..............we could build plenty (no secret, they get built in Derby and up to PWR3 tested in Scotland) and use them for power generation if we really reaaly wanted.

A wag at work pointed out that the USA SMRs are basically the same that theUS sold to us as PWR1 for submarines, with 50 yrs design standard improvements, then rotated 90 degrees and buried in the earth rather than a sub-sea-boat.

Mind you whom am I to dictate about tech translatiopn, my neighbour told me 10 days ago his PhD sponsored by Davy McKee was for coal gasification to be the basis, for what ended up as the two Hartlepool Nucs!
Lol, the US submarine PWR's (and ours) are fueled with weapons grade HEU smile

WatchfulEye

500 posts

129 months

Thursday 17th January 2019
quotequote all
Gary C said:
Lol, the US submarine PWR's (and ours) are fueled with weapons grade HEU smile
Well, the Russians have managed to convert a pair of theirs to LEU, install them on a barge, and attach some generators and big power cables.

https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/industry-and-ene...

I'm not sure that's an optimal solution for the UK, however.

turbobloke

104,046 posts

261 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
A good question is about to be discussed at a meeting (not walk-in) later this month:

When: Tuesday 22nd January, from 6:00 pm - 8:00 pm
Where: 55 Tufton St, Westminster, SW1P 3QL
Title: Is Renewable Energy Affordable?
Speaker: Derek Birkett
About the speaker: Derek Birkett is a retired grid system control engineer with two decades of experience under both nationalisation and private ownership. He has had project responsibility on installation and commissioning at five major coal and nuclear power stations across the UK

It's an eventbrite event so their site may have a booking / tickets page if anyone is interested.

rscott

14,773 posts

192 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
A good question is about to be discussed at a meeting (not walk-in) later this month:

When: Tuesday 22nd January, from 6:00 pm - 8:00 pm
Where: 55 Tufton St, Westminster, SW1P 3QL
Title: Is Renewable Energy Affordable?
Speaker: Derek Birkett
About the speaker: Derek Birkett is a retired grid system control engineer with two decades of experience under both nationalisation and private ownership. He has had project responsibility on installation and commissioning at five major coal and nuclear power stations across the UK

It's an eventbrite event so their site may have a booking / tickets page if anyone is interested.
He's plugging his book then - https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/42835550-is-re...

Is it organised by the GWPF - isn't that their official address - or is it just a coincidence...

Guybrush

4,355 posts

207 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
LoonyTunes said:
Weird. The Tories (under Thatcher) who wanted the coal mines all closed down in the 70's and 80's now want them all fired back up nuts
When talking who closed the most mines, it was Labour.

turbobloke

104,046 posts

261 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
rscott said:
turbobloke said:
A good question is about to be discussed at a meeting (not walk-in) later this month:

When: Tuesday 22nd January, from 6:00 pm - 8:00 pm
Where: 55 Tufton St, Westminster, SW1P 3QL
Title: Is Renewable Energy Affordable?
Speaker: Derek Birkett
About the speaker: Derek Birkett is a retired grid system control engineer with two decades of experience under both nationalisation and private ownership. He has had project responsibility on installation and commissioning at five major coal and nuclear power stations across the UK

It's an eventbrite event so their site may have a booking / tickets page if anyone is interested.
He's plugging his book then - https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/42835550-is-re...

Is it organised by the GWPF - isn't that their official address - or is it just a coincidence...
Quite possibly. Book plugging is where it's at. This example would be nowhere near as egregious as George Monbiot flying around the globe flogging his book which tells people not to fly.

The talk could be promoted by the GWPF, or they're merely hosting it. Were you expecting a meeting with that title to be hosted at the BBC or Guardian offices? The content of Birkett's talk will stand or fall on its merits and the theme offers a timely opportunity to examine the affordability and overall efficacy of unreliables.

turbobloke

104,046 posts

261 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
Guybrush said:
LoonyTunes said:
Weird. The Tories (under Thatcher) who wanted the coal mines all closed down in the 70's and 80's now want them all fired back up nuts
When talking who closed the most mines, it was Labour.
Then there's related productivity data in terms of the decline in mining output:

11 years of Thatcher -33%
11 years before Thatcher (mostly Wilson):: -45%
11 years after Thatcher (Major and Blair): -72%
11 years of New Labour (Blair and Brown): -64%

Thatcher in least worst shocker.

O/T and before the manufacturing chestnut gets another roasting:
Thatcher - manufacturing fell -3.3% of GDP
Bliar - manufacturing fell -7.2% of GDP


smig12345

30 posts

65 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
We need more wind power in the UK, and the best option is large offshore wind farms. We already produce over 10 GW on a windy day I look forward to seeing 20 and even 30 GW in the future.

robinessex

11,068 posts

182 months

Friday 18th January 2019
quotequote all
smig12345 said:
We need more wind power in the UK, and the best option is large offshore wind farms. We already produce over 10 GW on a windy day I look forward to seeing 20 and even 30 GW in the future.
How much power do they generate on a not windy day then ?