How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 3)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 3)

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Coolbanana

4,417 posts

201 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.


smile

Dr Jekyll

23,820 posts

262 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.


smile
If the UK was really accruing such debts in addition to the 'membership fee' we were paying, then the £350m a week figure on the bus wasn't an exaggeration after all.

Vanden Saab

14,159 posts

75 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Jimboka said:
I don’t know why there is a fuss about the £40 billion. It’s peanuts compared to the amount we found to bail out the banks / NHS £120 + billion a year, every year / devaluation of the £. Just fire up the presses & be done with it! A drop in the ocean.

On a separate note, I wonder when Gibraltar will be at the fore. That subject has been remarkably quiet
Because Gib is a bit different, there is already a border there and when Spain tried to used them as a pawn the rest of the EU told them to STFU.

don'tbesilly

13,939 posts

164 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.


smile
More hyperbole.

To give the U.K. more certainty about the future relationship before it signs on the dotted line to leave, officials inserted a clause into the sufficient progress “joint report” in December that says Britain’s commitments to honor it financial obligations are conditional on the final exit treaty taking into account a “framework for the future relationship” agreed during Brexit negotiations

gooner1

10,223 posts

180 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Jimboka said:
Leadsom making threats, the EU must be quaking in their boots!
Well Juncker r is, though that could be due to the carafe of Sciatica he
had with his breakfast.


Edited by gooner1 on Saturday 21st July 10:06

Murph7355

37,767 posts

257 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
PurpleMoonlight said:
...the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. ...
So what do you think "...taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union..." means? And do you not think that this "taking account of" is part of what gets agreed in the exit agreement?

Why do you think it was included in Art50? If the two things are wholly exclusive, why include this statement at all?

Can you also point out in the Art50 wording for me exactly what we owe as part of the exit? After all, after over 2yrs this must be the most crystal clear of items in there wink


Murph7355

37,767 posts

257 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
PurpleMoonlight said:
Then you clearly can't or won't understand what the £39bn is for.
As you know, can you send a link to or post a list of the itemised account please?

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

158 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
As you know, can you send a link to or post a list of the itemised account please?
I suggest you contact Mrs May for that, she is the one who agreed to it.

Murph7355

37,767 posts

257 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Coolbanana said:
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.

smile
If PM can't, perhaps you could point us to the agreements we signed up to that by EU convention see you committed to beyond membership expiring? Shares of assets and liabilities being noted would be good too please.

It's a made up number. Part of it was to cover transition payments and the other elements had notions as to what they would cover...but I'd love to see the detail you have. Maybe the message it would give to RoW is actually that we're happy to pay for tangible benefit, but made up numbers are no longer de rigeur wink


Ghibli said:
don'tbesilly said:
Raab has even mentioned withholding part of the divorce settlement without a trade agreement.
Thank the lord that Raab is going to save us.

...
Quite, Especially when as I understand the earlier agreement on the 39bn that it was to be paid as liabilities became due...hence wouldn't all be paid in one slug anyway.

Unless that's something else May has backtracked on.

Murph7355

37,767 posts

257 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
PurpleMoonlight said:
Murph7355 said:
As you know, can you send a link to or post a list of the itemised account please?
I suggest you contact Mrs May for that, she is the one who agreed to it.
So you have no idea what it is we are actually legally bound to pay?

DeejRC

5,822 posts

83 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.


smile
OK. I’m willing to take that bet. I’m pretty sure the ROW won’t at all. Actually it’s a sure fire fking certainty they won’t - the Yanks have already laughed at the idea they would in same circumstances!

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

158 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
So you have no idea what it is we are actually legally bound to pay?
Do you want a list of the costs or legal opinion on whether or not the UK is liable?

Anyway, here is a link to the OBR's summary. See Annex B.

http://cdn.obr.uk/EFO-MaRch_2018.pdf

gooner1

10,223 posts

180 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
DeejRC said:
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.


smile
OK. I’m willing to take that bet. I’m pretty sure the ROW won’t at all. Actually it’s a sure fire fking certainty they won’t - the Yanks have already laughed at the idea they would in same circumstances!
Indeed, it could actually invoke the Zinedine Zidane effect.

turbobloke

104,067 posts

261 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
gooner1 said:
DeejRC said:
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.

smile
OK. I’m willing to take that bet. I’m pretty sure the ROW won’t at all. Actually it’s a sure fire fking certainty they won’t - the Yanks have already laughed at the idea they would in same circumstances!
Indeed, it could actually invoke the Zinedine Zidane effect.
Raab would headbutt Barnier in the chest or vice versa? That's not mentioned in A50...

Crackie

6,386 posts

243 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Zod said:
Burwood said:
Zod said:
ORD said:
Good luck provisionally agreeing to pay £39 bn and then resisting a claim for that amount if sued.
The greater worry is the impact of non-payment on our ability to do deals with anyone else.
are you suggesting we might be locked into that rule(no trading with others) until we pay to be free of it?
Who does deals with payment defaulters?
You are correct, reputation is an important factor. We do have to look forward but those future events are, and should be, influenced by history. Are you familiar with the London Debt Agreement?

Crackie

6,386 posts

243 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.


smile
Troll or dim?

NoddyonNitrous

2,125 posts

233 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
But nothing is agreed until everything is agreed, Shirley?
Each component of an agreement is part of the whole and if we don't reach an overall agreement we can't be held to on component of the potential settlemen.

DeejRC

5,822 posts

83 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
gooner1 said:
DeejRC said:
Coolbanana said:
Garvin said:
So now it is you who can't or won't understand! It doesn't matter in the slightest what the payment is actually for. Never mind reality, perception is all (as witnessed throughout this thread). If the government coughs it up with three fifths of not a lot in return they will be unceremoniously dumped by the electorate.
Indeed, perception...and if the UK does not honour its Agreements made with the EU prior to the Referendum, it's image as a country that will renege on it's word and commitments will resonate throughout the R.O.W. and everyone will know to take anything the UK Negotiators say with a pinch of salt.

The UK made commitments under a deal it was actively engaged in. If it refuses to pay its debts it is nothing less that a swine of a country and would deserve to be treated as such by all.

smile
OK. I’m willing to take that bet. I’m pretty sure the ROW won’t at all. Actually it’s a sure fire fking certainty they won’t - the Yanks have already laughed at the idea they would in same circumstances!
Indeed, it could actually invoke the Zinedine Zidane effect.
Raab would headbutt Barnier in the chest or vice versa? That's not mentioned in A50...
Hmmm, Barnier is a player. He would take the Platini route, go down and get some political advantage from it. J-CJ would just go down like a lead balloon. Now I reckon Selmayr is the bloke who’s up for it. He looks like he’s on for a proper barney on the field, nutt him and he’d be well up for it kicking off, proper Harry Hill style smile

Jonesy23

4,650 posts

137 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Crackie said:
Troll or dim?
Or?!

anonymous-user

55 months

Saturday 21st July 2018
quotequote all
Jonesy23 said:
Crackie said:
Troll or dim?
Or?!
Possibly both, yes. Certainly the latter.

But clearly has vested interests within the EU and doesn’t like the damage being done to them by the EU itself.


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