How far will house prices fall [volume 5]

How far will house prices fall [volume 5]

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ashleyman

6,987 posts

100 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
It's overpriced for sure and needs a lot of work but that would make a lovely home once sorted.

wisbech

2,980 posts

122 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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One suburb in Sydney (popular with mainland Chinese investors) reporting drop of 20% already

Frimley111R

15,677 posts

235 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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ashleyman said:
It's overpriced for sure and needs a lot of work but that would make a lovely home once sorted.
Looks about right tbh. Lovely area and location, pretty big etc. If you've got 1.6 to spend then rest of the work doing it up a bit should be well within budget IMO.

Frimley111R

15,677 posts

235 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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wisbech said:
One suburb in Sydney (popular with mainland Chinese investors) reporting drop of 20% already
Why?

Shnozz

27,502 posts

272 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
Looks like they have taken design inspiration from my parent's home.

Sad part in my parents case is that they are gradually modernising it at significant cost failing to realise its 70's exterior and room design won't lend itself to a make over and the land on which its on means it will get razed to make way for a footballer pad.

Sheepshanks

32,806 posts

120 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
I love the way the blurb starts: "The ground floor accommodation is generously proportioned" - it draws your attention to the fact that the first floor isn't.

I have to say the setting does look lovely though.

Justayellowbadge

37,057 posts

243 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
Contrast with the 3 bed I posted in SW19 @ 1.2 and it looks like value...


We viewed it the other day for an overseas family member. Needs windows, heating, bathroom and loft conversion. I'd say 200K required to make what would have been 1.3 at peak.

soupdragon1

4,067 posts

98 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
Lord.Vader said:
Up here (N.Wales on the border) they are selling rather well, anything between 125k-200k is flying, many people now asking daft prices (250k+) for average 3/4 bed homes at circa 1250-1500 sq ft.

Still a few bargains to be had if you are willing to put some work in, anything with a decent garden (or plot size) seems to have a premium above what it is worth, as if the extension / development is already priced in.

I picked up a bargain at 2000+ sq ft, 4/5 bed, 2/3 reception rooms, garage and probably half an acre backing onto a national park for a smidge over £300k, 15 mins to work smile tired, but an original 1930's (mostly) so lovely high ceiling, etc; I reckon around the M25 you would be looking at 950k+!

I could (and would) retire on £950k up here and I'm only 30.

Interesting to hear all of your perspective down in / around London and the SE, adds a perspective of how lucky we are up here!
Similar situation in NI.

Sometimes it's good to check what the bricks and mortar actually cost in terms of the physical value (excluding the location variable)

Take this house. I'm currently 20 mins from Belfast (40 mins peak) and this is a further 30 mins out into the countryside. Half acre plot. £275. Plot is worth circa 50k and with 25k pc sum, works out about 200k for the actual house. Builders finish, so will need painted internally, kitchen, bathrooms and floors will need done and externally, you would want to replace the basic stone driveway with something better.

But overall, quite a nice layout and size of house at just under 3000sq ft and costing only about £200k to build, then £50k value on the plot.

It did grab my attention this house, but adding an extra 60 mins travel per day for me and the missus makes it a bit of a pain. Great value for money though. Just shows what the actual physical value is worth when it comes to building a large home.













http://propertypal.com/499536

Edited by soupdragon1 on Tuesday 26th February 12:02

Saleen836

11,119 posts

210 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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anonymous said:
[redacted]
The stamp duty alone on that would cover the refurb costs

Earthdweller

13,596 posts

127 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
Lord.Vader said:
Up here (N.Wales on the border) they are selling rather well, anything between 125k-200k is flying, many people now asking daft prices (250k+) for average 3/4 bed homes at circa 1250-1500 sq ft.

Still a few bargains to be had if you are willing to put some work in, anything with a decent garden (or plot size) seems to have a premium above what it is worth, as if the extension / development is already priced in.

I picked up a bargain at 2000+ sq ft, 4/5 bed, 2/3 reception rooms, garage and probably half an acre backing onto a national park for a smidge over £300k, 15 mins to work smile tired, but an original 1930's (mostly) so lovely high ceiling, etc; I reckon around the M25 you would be looking at 950k+!

I could (and would) retire on £950k up here and I'm only 30.

Interesting to hear all of your perspective down in / around London and the SE, adds a perspective of how lucky we are up here!
Similar situation in NI.

Sometimes it's good to check what the bricks and mortar actually cost in terms of the physical value (excluding the location variable)

Take this house. I'm currently 20 mins from Belfast (40 mins peak) and this is a further 30 mins out into the countryside. Half acre plot. £275. Plot is worth circa 50k and with 25k pc sum, works out about 200k for the actual house. Builders finish, so will need painted internally, kitchen, bathrooms and floors will need done and externally, you would want to replace the basic stone driveway with something better.

But overall, quite a nice layout and size of house at just under 3000sq ft and costing only about £200k to build, then £50k value on the plot.

It did grab my attention this house, but adding an extra 60 mins travel per day for me and the missus makes it a bit of a pain. Great value for money though. Just shows what the actual physical value is worth when it comes to building a large home.













http://propertypal.com/499536

Edited by soupdragon1 on Tuesday 26th February 12:02
I’ve just bought a place very similar to that in Galway

4 bed, 3 bath on 1acre plot with amazing views ( and importantly for PH ) a big detached double garage at the end of a drive that would take 30 cars !

2500sq/ft plus garage

Interior finished to a very high standard but garden drive and garage need finishing ..

Paid £180k for it

We looked at building,, but found this, which is probably cheaper than cost of site and building it today

SunsetZed

2,257 posts

171 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
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wisbech said:
Will be interesting when/ if my mother sells her place. 4/5 beds in the Cotswolds, river at bottom of garden, great school district. But a 1970’s build (in traditional style) so doesn’t have the kudos of a ‘real’ old place (but has advantages of not being listed, decent insulation etc). Cost them 235k in 1989 - bought from a small ad in Country Life from original owners direct. Any new buyer would put in new kitchen and bathrooms. My parents, bless em, changed the cabinet doors about 15 years ago, other wise it is a early 70s kitchen...

My guess will go to someone down from Midlands - it is too big for a holiday home/ too far to commute to London. Or one of my siblings will move to take it on (unlikely due jobs, but you never know)







Edited by wisbech on Tuesday 26th February 03:14


Edited by wisbech on Tuesday 26th February 03:18
Obviously I don't know whereabouts in the Cotswolds your mother lives but I do know people who commute to London daily from Kemble...

Integroo

11,574 posts

86 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
Lord.Vader said:
Up here (N.Wales on the border) they are selling rather well, anything between 125k-200k is flying, many people now asking daft prices (250k+) for average 3/4 bed homes at circa 1250-1500 sq ft.

Still a few bargains to be had if you are willing to put some work in, anything with a decent garden (or plot size) seems to have a premium above what it is worth, as if the extension / development is already priced in.

I picked up a bargain at 2000+ sq ft, 4/5 bed, 2/3 reception rooms, garage and probably half an acre backing onto a national park for a smidge over £300k, 15 mins to work smile tired, but an original 1930's (mostly) so lovely high ceiling, etc; I reckon around the M25 you would be looking at 950k+!

I could (and would) retire on £950k up here and I'm only 30.

Interesting to hear all of your perspective down in / around London and the SE, adds a perspective of how lucky we are up here!
Similar situation in NI.
I could buy a house in Edinburgh for 300k that would cost 600k or more within the M25.

However, I earn a third of what I do in Edinburgh than I will in London.

It's all relative.

SunsetZed

2,257 posts

171 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
soupdragon1 said:
Lord.Vader said:
Up here (N.Wales on the border) they are selling rather well, anything between 125k-200k is flying, many people now asking daft prices (250k+) for average 3/4 bed homes at circa 1250-1500 sq ft.

Still a few bargains to be had if you are willing to put some work in, anything with a decent garden (or plot size) seems to have a premium above what it is worth, as if the extension / development is already priced in.

I picked up a bargain at 2000+ sq ft, 4/5 bed, 2/3 reception rooms, garage and probably half an acre backing onto a national park for a smidge over £300k, 15 mins to work smile tired, but an original 1930's (mostly) so lovely high ceiling, etc; I reckon around the M25 you would be looking at 950k+!

I could (and would) retire on £950k up here and I'm only 30.

Interesting to hear all of your perspective down in / around London and the SE, adds a perspective of how lucky we are up here!
Similar situation in NI.

Sometimes it's good to check what the bricks and mortar actually cost in terms of the physical value (excluding the location variable)

Take this house. I'm currently 20 mins from Belfast (40 mins peak) and this is a further 30 mins out into the countryside. Half acre plot. £275. Plot is worth circa 50k and with 25k pc sum, works out about 200k for the actual house. Builders finish, so will need painted internally, kitchen, bathrooms and floors will need done and externally, you would want to replace the basic stone driveway with something better.

But overall, quite a nice layout and size of house at just under 3000sq ft and costing only about £200k to build, then £50k value on the plot.

It did grab my attention this house, but adding an extra 60 mins travel per day for me and the missus makes it a bit of a pain. Great value for money though. Just shows what the actual physical value is worth when it comes to building a large home.




http://propertypal.com/499536

Edited by soupdragon1 on Tuesday 26th February 12:02
I like the design of that but when were the images done, 20 years ago judging by the S Type and Beetle for that aspirational image!!

Sheepshanks

32,806 posts

120 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
Earthdweller said:
...( and importantly for PH ) a big detached double garage at the end of a drive that would take 30 cars !
30 pedal cars?

Earthdweller

13,596 posts

127 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
Sheepshanks said:
Earthdweller said:
...( and importantly for PH ) a big detached double garage at the end of a drive that would take 30 cars !
30 pedal cars?
wink;)

The drive d’oh !

The garage will take three cars and a lawn tractor smile

ashleyman

6,987 posts

100 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
SunsetZed said:
soupdragon1 said:
Lord.Vader said:
Up here (N.Wales on the border) they are selling rather well, anything between 125k-200k is flying, many people now asking daft prices (250k+) for average 3/4 bed homes at circa 1250-1500 sq ft.

Still a few bargains to be had if you are willing to put some work in, anything with a decent garden (or plot size) seems to have a premium above what it is worth, as if the extension / development is already priced in.

I picked up a bargain at 2000+ sq ft, 4/5 bed, 2/3 reception rooms, garage and probably half an acre backing onto a national park for a smidge over £300k, 15 mins to work smile tired, but an original 1930's (mostly) so lovely high ceiling, etc; I reckon around the M25 you would be looking at 950k+!

I could (and would) retire on £950k up here and I'm only 30.

Interesting to hear all of your perspective down in / around London and the SE, adds a perspective of how lucky we are up here!
Similar situation in NI.

Sometimes it's good to check what the bricks and mortar actually cost in terms of the physical value (excluding the location variable)

Take this house. I'm currently 20 mins from Belfast (40 mins peak) and this is a further 30 mins out into the countryside. Half acre plot. £275. Plot is worth circa 50k and with 25k pc sum, works out about 200k for the actual house. Builders finish, so will need painted internally, kitchen, bathrooms and floors will need done and externally, you would want to replace the basic stone driveway with something better.

But overall, quite a nice layout and size of house at just under 3000sq ft and costing only about £200k to build, then £50k value on the plot.

It did grab my attention this house, but adding an extra 60 mins travel per day for me and the missus makes it a bit of a pain. Great value for money though. Just shows what the actual physical value is worth when it comes to building a large home.




http://propertypal.com/499536

Edited by soupdragon1 on Tuesday 26th February 12:02
I like the design of that but when were the images done, 20 years ago judging by the S Type and Beetle for that aspirational image!!
I like that too but just not the position of the house within the plot and with the garage in the garden!

All that space out front and no side doors or front doors to enjoy it.

FocusRS3

3,411 posts

92 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47368308

Found this interesting.

Only part of the Market making any cash by the looks of it but then it helps when you have the government in your pocket to the point you can build poor quality houses and get away with it and the tax payer footing a good part of the bill !

Edited by FocusRS3 on Tuesday 26th February 13:12

spreadsheet monkey

4,545 posts

228 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
SunsetZed said:
I like the design of that but when were the images done, 20 years ago judging by the S Type and Beetle for that aspirational image!!
They need to download the "White Range Rover and Pastel Fiat 500" update for their image rendering software...

wisbech

2,980 posts

122 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
Frimley111R said:
Why?
Aussie Banks tightening on lending, Chinese economy slowing down. And talk of tax changes on rental property.

soupdragon1

4,067 posts

98 months

Tuesday 26th February 2019
quotequote all
Integroo said:
I could buy a house in Edinburgh for 300k that would cost 600k or more within the M25.

However, I earn a third of what I do in Edinburgh than I will in London.

It's all relative.
Absolutely, that's the point I was making. Relatively speaking, a large house doesn't cost a massive amount, the location is the driving factor.

And the wages are also relative. Kind of obvious, I know.

By the same token, if you're not tied to a certain area, its worth looking at alternatives. An ordinary couple, say with one working in the post office full time and one working as a postman full time, could afford a 4 bedroom detached without too much trouble. But if you do an entry level job like that in a big city, you've no chance of owning a typical 'family home' unless you take on a large commute.

I just don't quite get why ordinary people just don't bite the bullet and get out of the big cities and look at alternatives (caveat being, some people just love the city life too)
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