How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 5)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 5)

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anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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From what I can make out from the Beeb's minute by minute reporting, both the hard line Leavers and the hard line Remainers don't like and won't support this deal.

That, to me, makes it the perfect compromise.

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
Whats really bonkers is this agreement is 500 pages long, and the cabinet is expected to back it after a short time reading it whilst being prevented from taking it away to study.

Even if the cabinet go along with this, it wont take long for the details to come out and then we will probably see a lot of pressure on cabinet members to resign on the specifics, even if they agree today. Just like Chequers.

andymadmak

14,597 posts

271 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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Ghibli said:
Please explain how non EU citizens enter the UK visa free.
By entering Ireland and then crossing to Northern Ireland.

It is tougher for them to then get to the UK mainland after that because it involves either a sea or an air crossing, and thus the provision of ID/passport etc being shown. But from Eire to NI (a part of the UK) has not been a problem ever since the CTA was put in place donkeys years ago.


Canute

566 posts

69 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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bobbo89 said:
This thread will be on fire later! I won't be contributing at all but just sitting back and enjoying the ridiculous, smug, bitter and condescending comments from both sides. Probably wont even need to turn on the TV tonight!
Quite! as a fairly infrequent poster here, I find this thread utterly embarrassing with the general childish bickering going on.

Many here are talking bovine excrement, coming in all heated with supposed facts and statements from both sides of the debate that are damn right lies at worst or disingenuous at best.

If you heard this kind of conversation between people in real life you would cringe.

andymadmak

14,597 posts

271 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
Greg66 said:
From what I can make out from the Beeb's minute by minute reporting, both the hard line Leavers and the hard line Remainers don't like and won't support this deal.

That, to me, makes it the perfect compromise.
Or it's a universally crap deal.

crankedup

25,764 posts

244 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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read

JagLover

42,443 posts

236 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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EU note to member states leaked

EU said:
We should be in the best negotiation position for the future relationship. This requires the customs union as the basis of the future relationship,”
“They must align their rules but the EU will retain all the controls. They apply the same rules. UK wants a lot more from future relationship, so EU retains its leverage.”
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-deal-latest-theresa-may-plan-retain-control-eu-sabine-weyand-cabinet-a8632866.html

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

158 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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psi310398 said:
Not on the current proposal. We're simply demoted to 'country membership'.
Does that include a free spa?

biggrin

psi310398

9,129 posts

204 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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PurpleMoonlight said:
Does that include a free spa?

biggrin
Not quite. I think Barnier and Weyand have a golden shower more in mind..

Teppic

7,367 posts

258 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
psi310398 said:
Not on the current proposal. We're simply demoted to 'country membership'.
Is that so that May can stand up and proudly say "I'm a country member", to which everyone replies "yes, we remember".?

JagLover

42,443 posts

236 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
psi310398 said:
Not quite. I think Barnier and Weyand have a golden shower more in mind..
A few remainers on here that would regard that as fine champagne.

SpeckledJim

31,608 posts

254 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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I do wonder if there are a few deliberate sacrificial lambs in this initial deal.

Knowing it'll be rejected at the first attempt, this iteration absorbs the resistance that's been building and allows objectors to be seen to object.

There is then time for a second bite, with some of the nucleii of contention removed or mollified, which if then rejected will make parliament look not principled but obstreperous.

Canny politics?

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
andymadmak said:
Greg66 said:
From what I can make out from the Beeb's minute by minute reporting, both the hard line Leavers and the hard line Remainers don't like and won't support this deal.

That, to me, makes it the perfect compromise.
Or it's a universally crap deal.
That is possible. But note I said "hard line" for both sides. It's not appealing to the extremes. I hope (perhaps in vain) that it will appeal to swathe in the middle. From what I have read, I understand TM has been courting some Labour back benchers to support her proposals; if so it would fit with her aiming for a deal that pleases no one, but which displeases the middle ground to a sufficiently modest degree that it is recognisably better than the alternative.

Most compromises between heavily entrenched opposing parties that I see are the ones that neither side is particularly happy about. They seem to take solace in the fact that the other side is pissed off at it though, and use that to rationalise signing up.

We shall see.

WCZ

10,537 posts

195 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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now people accept the NHS bus £350m isn't true, the other main reason for voting for most was taking control of our borders again

which this deal apparently will do

so I think the general public should be happy with it

psi310398

9,129 posts

204 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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Teppic said:
Is that so that May can stand up and proudly say "I'm a country member", to which everyone replies "yes, we remember".?
Happy to serve them for you to put in the goal!thumbup

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

158 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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jsf said:
Whats really bonkers is this agreement is 500 pages long, and the cabinet is expected to back it after a short time reading it whilst being prevented from taking it away to study.

Even if the cabinet go along with this, it wont take long for the details to come out and then we will probably see a lot of pressure on cabinet members to resign on the specifics, even if they agree today. Just like Chequers.
No that's not correct.

They knew what was already agreed, it's even online for the world to see.

It's just this last bit on the backstop they need to consider now.

SeeFive

8,280 posts

234 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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Whilst it may turn out that the negotiation has resulted in a poor deal, it still smacks of project fear saying that they will vote it down before they have even seen it.

This is typical of the entire negotiation process, with certain vested interests being used to diminish any negotiation position by expressing fears and doubts before the team has had chance to discuss it with the EU. Essentially, all this blabber and bluster has just loaded the EU negotiating team’s gun throughout the entire farce, and weakened our bargaining power.

We should have walked away from the table long ago. We appear desperate for any kind of deal, and therefore weak in a negotiating position, which is pointless. The blame for this (if it turns out to be) weak draft agreement does not lie solely with the negotiating team.

psi310398

9,129 posts

204 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
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PurpleMoonlight said:
No that's not correct.

They knew what was already agreed, it's even online for the world to see.

It's just this last bit on the backstop they need to consider now.
That's not the generally advised approach to reading the proposed signing version of a contract. Who knows what other little things have been sneaked in?

anonymous-user

55 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
PurpleMoonlight said:
No that's not correct.

They knew what was already agreed, it's even online for the world to see.

It's just this last bit on the backstop they need to consider now.
They haven't seen the tex, until last night. Foster hasn't seen it either, neither has anyone outside the cabinet.

Show me the online text that was finalised, all of it minus the backstop changes.

PurpleMoonlight

22,362 posts

158 months

Wednesday 14th November 2018
quotequote all
psi310398 said:
That's not the generally advised approach to reading the proposed signing version of a contract. Who knows what other little things have been sneaked in?
You mean they can't trust the UK negotiating team if they advise nothing else has changed?
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