How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 6)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 6)

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Nickgnome

8,277 posts

90 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
alfie2244 said:
Derek Smith said:
If the elected MPs decided to pull A50 and so have the UK remain in the EU it would be them complying with their duty if they felt that was in the best interests of the UK. We live in a democracy and not a dictatorship. We vote in MPs to make our decisions for us. There is a majority of MPs who think it is best for the UK to remain.

You might not like it, and the tone of your posts hints that you don't, but it is what we've got.
Except they bottled out of making the decision themselves and delegated to us to decide.....and we did....you may not like it but we voted to leave the EU and all it entails and it would be undemocratic not to do so.
You have your opinion and 1 vote just the same as every other adult. It’s now about parliament taking back control.

silentbrown

8,857 posts

117 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
JuanCarlosFandango said:
she would be committing political suicide not just for herself but for her party for a generation.
I think we're talking "political euthanasia" rather than suicide for her at this stage. Possibly the party too.






alfie2244

11,292 posts

189 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Nickgnome said:
alfie2244 said:
Derek Smith said:
If the elected MPs decided to pull A50 and so have the UK remain in the EU it would be them complying with their duty if they felt that was in the best interests of the UK. We live in a democracy and not a dictatorship. We vote in MPs to make our decisions for us. There is a majority of MPs who think it is best for the UK to remain.

You might not like it, and the tone of your posts hints that you don't, but it is what we've got.
Except they bottled out of making the decision themselves and delegated to us to decide.....and we did....you may not like it but we voted to leave the EU and all it entails and it would be undemocratic not to do so.
You have your opinion and 1 vote just the same as every other adult. It’s now about parliament taking back control.
Once they have enacted the result of my 1 vote (+ 17m others) they can do what they like.

Murph7355

37,761 posts

257 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Nickgnome said:
You have your opinion and 1 vote just the same as every other adult. It’s now about parliament taking back control.
From who? The electorate they serve?

don'tbesilly

13,939 posts

164 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Looks like May is having McDonalds again tonight

Macron/Varadkar just shot down May's pledge to get the legal text of the WA changed, it was a polite 'jog on'.

Dodds is not going to be best pleased at May's failure to stand up to her pledge.

JuanCarlosFandango

7,807 posts

72 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
silentbrown said:
I think we're talking "political euthanasia" rather than suicide for her at this stage. Possibly the party too.
"Political euthanasia." I like that phrase.

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
don'tbesilly said:
Looks like May is having McDonalds again tonight

Macron/Varadkar just shot down May's pledge to get the legal text of the WA changed, it was a polite 'jog on'.

Dodds is not going to be best pleased at May's failure to stand up to her pledge.
Why wouldnt Dodds be pleased? Arent they trying for remain as per their voters
Only trouble is their stance could lead to ERG Brexit

The Dangerous Elk

4,642 posts

78 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Whatever "side" you are on, not many people could say with any honesty that the way the MP's have acted (all of them whatever colour) has been trustworthy.
Even if you get what you want (remain or leave) you have to accept that the politicians are mostly trying to overturn the expressed vote of the Uk population....they might do it to you next time ?
Whoever may Win, but what will that cost be in political stability ?

Murph7355

37,761 posts

257 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Rumours that she's suggested a start date for the trade arrangement rather than an end date for the backstop as a means of fudging.

If true, she is truly mental.

anonymous-user

55 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
Why wouldnt Dodds be pleased? Arent they trying for remain as per their voters
Only trouble is their stance could lead to ERG Brexit
DUP very much into hard core Brexit.

SpeckledJim

31,608 posts

254 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Derek Smith said:
JuanCarlosFandango said:
I would like to see May pressed a bit more on what she meant by no Brexit if the deal was rejected. Is she really going to fully and unconditionally revoke Article 50 (as per the recent ECJ ruling)? After "no deal is better than a bad deal" and "Brexit means Brexit" she would be committing political suicide not just for herself but for her party for a generation.

And that's assuming she even could get such a move through parliament dominated by MPs from both major parties who are committed to withdrawal.

A referendum would at least maintain the pretence of caring what people think even if it would be a complete sham. Simply saying we are staying in would be out and out dictatorship.
If the elected MPs decided to pull A50 and so have the UK remain in the EU it would be them complying with their duty if they felt that was in the best interests of the UK. We live in a democracy and not a dictatorship. We vote in MPs to make our decisions for us. There is a majority of MPs who think it is best for the UK to remain.

You might not like it, and the tone of your posts hints that you don't, but it is what we've got.
When you stand as an MP Derek, is it important to at least try to keep the most important promise in the manifesto you stand alongside, or is all that just bks to get the job?

I’m honestly surprised.

don'tbesilly

13,939 posts

164 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Rumours that she's suggested a start date for the trade arrangement rather than an end date for the backstop as a means of fudging.

If true, she is truly mental.
Peston just said as much and was as perplexed as you.

Spectacular failures from May, unbelievably 200 Tory MP's still have faith/trust in her.

The Dangerous Elk

4,642 posts

78 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
DUP very much into hard core Brexit.
Maybe, but in truth they are representing their constituents expressed wish unlike a lot of Remain MP's who are pissing it up a wall..

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
desolate said:
saaby93 said:
Why wouldnt Dodds be pleased? Arent they trying for remain as per their voters
Only trouble is their stance could lead to ERG Brexit
DUP very much into hard core Brexit.
Full border across Ireland?

Nickgnome

8,277 posts

90 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
The Dangerous Elk said:
desolate said:
DUP very much into hard core Brexit.
Maybe, but in truth they are representing their constituents expressed wish unlike a lot of Remain MP's who are pissing it up a wall..
The DUP are not representing their electorate. NI voted remain and a number of trade organisations including farming are not happy with the DUP.

The DUP represent a small faction of fanatical protastanism. By the end of January they will likely be irrelavent.

Nickgnome

8,277 posts

90 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
Full border across Ireland?
Unfortunately I suspect some in the DUP would find that very attractive.

davepoth

29,395 posts

200 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Murph7355 said:
Rumours that she's suggested a start date for the trade arrangement rather than an end date for the backstop as a means of fudging.

If true, she is truly mental.
Indeed. The EU's offer for the trade arrangement will basically be "bend over", and then it'll be our choice to 'voluntarily' enter the backstop.

braddo

10,522 posts

189 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
JuanCarlosFandango said:
We elect MPs to represent our views and our interests.
Representative democracy means that MPs use their judgement to make decisions which they judge to be in the best interests of their constituents.

Edmund Burke - "Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays, instead of serving you, if he sacrifices it to your opinion."


JuanCarlosFandango said:
We elected them to hold a referendum on EU membership ....
Don't try to pretend you're referring to anything more than UKIP voters and a minority of Tory voters when you say that. In no way was Brexit anywhere near a national debate when Cameron called the referendum.

stupidbutkeen

1,011 posts

156 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
Nickgnome said:
The Dangerous Elk said:
desolate said:
DUP very much into hard core Brexit.
Maybe, but in truth they are representing their constituents expressed wish unlike a lot of Remain MP's who are pissing it up a wall..
The DUP are not representing their electorate. NI voted remain and a number of trade organisations including farming are not happy with the DUP.

The DUP represent a small faction of fanatical protastanism. By the end of January they will likely be irrelavent.
The vote for leave in Northern Ireland was 55.8% remain. The DUP represent the other 44.2% of the brexit voters and around 75% + of the leave votes came from DUP constituents.
The DUP are representing their constituents......The ones that vote for them. They will still get the votes and still get the seats they have for the most part no matter how hatefull and self serving they may be.

Elysium

13,851 posts

188 months

Thursday 13th December 2018
quotequote all
B'stard Child said:
Elysium said:
I agree. The terms in front of us currently are 'May's deal' or 'no-deal'. As it stands, both would need to be options for a referendum.

It's an easy 2-part question:

1. Leave or Remain

2. If we leave - Mays deal or no deal.

If leave wins, we proceed with the majority decision in respect of question 2.
OK so parliament can't vote for "Mays Deal" doesn't want "No Deal" and throws it back to the people to sort it

Now with this two part referendum "plan" I have a question

First stage votes "Leave" or "Remain"

So lets say nothing has changed and the first stage gets the same result

52% Leave
48% Remain

Second Stage - "Mays deal" or "no deal"

I would guess a large proportion of the "Remain" First Choice would not have a second choice of "no deal" so are going to go for "Mays Deal" add to that any of the leave votes that also are convinced by Mays Deal and even in the event of Leave again we still get "Mays Deal"

Isn't that where we are now and why Parliament have their knickers in a twist??

"No Deal" is never going anything other than a box on the ballot paper unless the second choices of the losing first stage are removed from the equation

I appreciate I don't have much of an understanding of how 2 stage referendums or political voting works
Parliament don’t seem to want Mays deal or no-deal.

A two stage referendum would be totally fair:

1. First decide if we want to leave or not in the knowledge that there are only two options for leaving available.

2. Then everyone, leave or remain, gets to state their preferred option if the decision is to leave.

I don’t know what would win, but we will find out what people really want, whereas at the moment everyone is just guessing.



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