Ethiopian plane crash

Author
Discussion

alfaman

6,416 posts

235 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
David87 said:
saaby93 said:
How many have there been?
This is the second 737 MAX 8 to crash, both of which have killed everyone on board. In the same timeframe, there has been nothing comparable with Airbus A320neo aircraft, for example.
The likelihood with an aircrash is that everyone on board is killed
2 isnt that big a number.
It IS significant and highly unusual ...2 crashes in short succession on a newly released series of commercial jet aircraft.. especially where there seem to be no exogenous causal factors ...

Teddy Lop

8,301 posts

68 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
alfaman said:
It IS significant and highly unusual ...2 crashes in short succession on a newly released series of commercial jet aircraft.. especially where there seem to be no exogenous causal factors ...
hundreds of max in service though... 2 can be coincidence? 3 certainly make it a thing.

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
alfaman said:
It IS significant and highly unusual ...2 crashes in short succession on a newly released series of commercial jet aircraft.. especially where there seem to be no exogenous causal factors ...
Depends how you do probability theory
2 now and none later could be quite low
1 every few years can be higher than that.
However they'll be looking at what went wrong in each one to try to make it close to zero from now on

Eric Mc

122,083 posts

266 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
73
Pommy said:
Eric Mc said:
Back in the 1960s there were spate of 727 accidents not long after they first entered service.
But in 2019 planes crashes involving brand new aircraft don't happen that often.
They do now - and it IS 2019. Just because something is rare doesn't mean it's impossible.

When the new generation 737s (i.e.the 300 - 400 series) were introduced, there were a couple of accidents blamed on what was called "uncommanded rudder hard-over" - something which had not been an issue with the original Series 100 and 200 737s. So yes, every so often, a change to what was a fundamentally sound design can throw up some unexpected problem.


surveyor

17,852 posts

185 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
The lion air fault was due to the stall protection system activating and the trim gave a solid 7 seconds of down trim. Not only would the system need a lot of strength to pull back against the force, but unlike the 737 NGX (700/800) powering the trim in the opposite direction would not haunt the input. The only way of doing it is the stablisised cutout switches on the throttle pedestal - not a lot of time to establish the fault before it chucks a pilot into the ground.

None of this would be bad if a)Boeing has told airlines/pilots about the system and difference and b)the system did notcross check for sensor error.

Time will tell whether this crash is a repeat or something different.

PositronicRay

Original Poster:

27,056 posts

184 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
To those in the know.

Would you be concerned if your next trip was on one of these? Or wouldn't you give it a second thought?

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
surveyor said:
None of this would be bad if a)Boeing has told airlines/pilots about the system and difference and b)the system did notcross check for sensor error.
These type rating courses (for pilots going into the max) are absolutely rubbish now especially if you’ve already got a 737 rating.

Boeing does tell you about the stall protection system but it’s just a little paragraph with some acronyms covering themselves legally.

The ground school is done by CBT which involves some dull robot telling you about the aircraft whilst you click the next button. It’s so inadequate and sold to get people through in the minimum time.

The computer voice in the training has even had to be slowed down so the course meets a minimum length specified by the regulator.


jontysafe

2,351 posts

179 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
El stovey said:
surveyor said:
None of this would be bad if a)Boeing has told airlines/pilots about the system and difference and b)the system did notcross check for sensor error.
These type rating courses (for pilots going into the max) are absolutely rubbish now especially if you’ve already got a 737 rating.

Boeing does tell you about the stall protection system but it’s just a little paragraph with some acronyms covering themselves legally.

The ground school is done by CBT which involves some dull robot telling you about the aircraft whilst you click the next button. It’s so inadequate and sold to get people through in the minimum time.

The computer voice in the training has even had to be slowed down so the course meets a minimum length specified by the regulator.
This is unfortunately going to prove to be the most likely culprit. It’s going to calibration and training. Terrible loss

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
PositronicRay said:
To those in the know.

Would you be concerned if your next trip was on one of these? Or wouldn't you give it a second thought?
I wouldn’t be concerned, anyone operating a Max will be looking at these “features” very closely.


B17NNS

18,506 posts

248 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
Sad news. Hopefully not a repeat of the Lion Air crash.

alfaman

6,416 posts

235 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
However they'll be looking at what went wrong in each one to try to make it close to zero from now on
It should have been zero from the start... bit of a pity they didnt Forsee and fix the issues prior to launch

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
David87 said:
saaby93 said:
How many have there been?
This is the second 737 MAX 8 to crash, both of which have killed everyone on board. In the same timeframe, there has been nothing comparable with Airbus A320neo aircraft, for example.
The likelihood with an aircrash is that everyone on board is killed
2 isnt that big a number.
Statistically it's probably the worst start to a new aircraft in living memory. Plus they both appeared to have crashed at the same stage of flight. It's not good!

Teddy Lop

8,301 posts

68 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
ruprechtmonkeyboy said:
Statistically it's probably the worst start to a new aircraft in living memory. Plus they both appeared to have crashed at the same stage of flight. It's not good!
I dunno, aren't the comet crashes regarded as setting back British airliner production and allowing the yanks to take over the market?

williamp

19,268 posts

274 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
Worse then the fires on the dreamliner?

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
williamp said:
Worse then the fires on the dreamliner?
Dreamliner crashes = 0
737 max crashes = 2

George Smiley

5,048 posts

82 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
El stovey said:
PositronicRay said:
To those in the know.

Would you be concerned if your next trip was on one of these? Or wouldn't you give it a second thought?
I wouldn’t be concerned, anyone operating a Max will be looking at these “features” very closely.
I would be, as these features are clearly a fault with the system and no amount of Boeing pr bullst going to convince me otherwise.

saaby93

32,038 posts

179 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
George Smiley said:
I would be, as these features are clearly a fault with the system and no amount of Boeing pr bullst going to convince me otherwise.
yes
How many flights would they have to do to convince everyone they'd fixed the problem - assuming there is one

George Smiley

5,048 posts

82 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
saaby93 said:
yes
How many flights would they have to do to convince everyone they'd fixed the problem - assuming there is one
If recommend removing a feature that no Boeing had before so didn't need

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
George Smiley said:
saaby93 said:
yes
How many flights would they have to do to convince everyone they'd fixed the problem - assuming there is one
If recommend removing a feature that no Boeing had before so didn't need
Why did Boeing add it to the max then?

anonymous-user

55 months

Sunday 10th March 2019
quotequote all
Teddy Lop said:
ruprechtmonkeyboy said:
Statistically it's probably the worst start to a new aircraft in living memory. Plus they both appeared to have crashed at the same stage of flight. It's not good!
I dunno, aren't the comet crashes regarded as setting back British airliner production and allowing the yanks to take over the market?
Not sure how old you are but the Comet was before I was born! Hence why I said living memory.