Gulf of Oman incidents

Author
Discussion

Otis Criblecoblis

1,078 posts

66 months

Thursday 20th June 2019
quotequote all
Does Iran have the capability to distinguish a drone from manned aircraft ? I'm kinda hoping they had this in visual range or intercepted in with their own aircraft to confirm a drone, seems a big risk if they didn't.

Edited by Otis Criblecoblis on Thursday 20th June 13:03

red_slr

Original Poster:

17,250 posts

189 months

Thursday 20th June 2019
quotequote all
I would have thought visual from ground station plus radar track probably plus speed and altitude means its nothing other than a UAV..

Most of Irans air assets are 1980s US equipment IIRC!!

RizzoTheRat

25,167 posts

192 months

Thursday 20th June 2019
quotequote all
Iran claimed it was a Global Hawk before the US said it was a (visually very similar) Triton, so I'd guess they had a pretty good ID on it.

ApOrbital

9,964 posts

118 months

Thursday 20th June 2019
quotequote all
Confirmed by the USA.

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Friday 21st June 2019
quotequote all
“New York Times: Trump abruptly calls off military strikes against Iran after approving them“

https://edition-m.cnn.com/2019/06/21/politics/trum...

Earthdweller

13,563 posts

126 months

Friday 21st June 2019
quotequote all
Trump seems to be holding out a branch to the Iranians

The radio this morning saying he’s said it’s possible someone in Iran acted without authority

Either way I’m glad he’s not showing Obama’s lust for bombing

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Friday 21st June 2019
quotequote all
"Exclusive: Trump warned Iran via Oman that U.S. attack was imminent, called for talks - Iranian officials"

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-mideast-iran-usa...

Countdown

39,914 posts

196 months

Friday 21st June 2019
quotequote all
This is all balls.

The USA (well, mainly Israel and the Saudis) want Iran's nuke-building capabilities to be blown to Smithereens.

The JCPOA only put a temporary stop to this. That wasn't acceptable to Israel (because of their inalienable right to bomb whoever they want and not be worried about a backlash). So, as soon as Trump got elected Israel and the NeoCons had somebody they could manipulate (shades of GW Bush...). the plan is as follows;

1. Scrap the JCPOA
2. Put sanctions on Iran
3. Iran responds by restarting nuclear enrichment.
4. The Europeans walk away
5. Create a cassus belli
6. Bomb 7 shades of st out of Natanz, Parchin, Arak etc

Penelope Stopit

11,209 posts

109 months

Saturday 22nd June 2019
quotequote all
Surely this is all a game
The USA has on numerous occasions already shown the world how it can start a conflict

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Monday 24th June 2019
quotequote all
More sanctions....

"US President Donald Trump has said he is imposing hard-hitting new sanctions on Iran, including on the office of the country's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

Mr Trump said the additional sanctions were in response to the shooting down of a US drone and "many other things".

Ayatollah Khamenei, Iran's highest authority, was singled out because he was "ultimately responsible for the hostile conduct of the regime".

Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif said the Americans "despise diplomacy".

In a tweet sent after the announcement, Mr Zarif also accused the Trump administration of having a "thirst for war"."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-4874854...

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Tuesday 9th July 2019
quotequote all
Well this is awkward for some.....

"An oil tanker damaged in a bombing that was blamed on Iran is back in business. The ship’s first destination: Iran."

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-07...

This was the early May bombing as opposed to the more recent ones.

BlackLabel

13,251 posts

123 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
“Iranian boats tried to impede a British oil tanker near the Gulf - before being driven off by a Royal Navy ship, a UK government spokesman has said”

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-48946051

Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
War is coming. It shows you how hat st crazy Iran is.

NRS

22,182 posts

201 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
Really? They did a deal, at the risk of challenging the hardliners in the country that were against it. Then get screwed by the US because Trump wants to destroy anything Obama did, and Europe just says "sorry, not possible to do anything". Hardliners can say they were right now.

If it was my country I'd certainly want to cause a little bit of problems that were within my power just to return the favour. What's more crazy - collapsing a deal just because you don't like the person that made it, or putting a tiny bit of pressure on the countries that went back on their agreement?

rxe

6,700 posts

103 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
Countdown said:
This is all balls.

The USA (well, mainly Israel and the Saudis) want Iran's nuke-building capabilities to be blown to Smithereens.

The JCPOA only put a temporary stop to this. That wasn't acceptable to Israel (because of their inalienable right to bomb whoever they want and not be worried about a backlash). So, as soon as Trump got elected Israel and the NeoCons had somebody they could manipulate (shades of GW Bush...). the plan is as follows;

1. Scrap the JCPOA
2. Put sanctions on Iran
3. Iran responds by restarting nuclear enrichment.
4. The Europeans walk away
5. Create a cassus belli
6. Bomb 7 shades of st out of Natanz, Parchin, Arak etc
I'm rather with Trump on this one - the problem with the JCPOA is that it simply delays the Iranians getting a nuclear capability. If it carried on, some time between 8 and 15 years from now, Iran gains nuclear weapons capability on the back of a strong economy, and the expiration of restrictions.

The Iranians are in the same box as the North Koreans - they shouldn't have nukes, but at least the Norks seem to just want to be left alone in the main. If the Iranians historically had nukes, they'd have used them on Iraq by now, especially if Iraq didn't have the means to respond. They'd probably not use them on Israel because they know damn fine they'd get nuked back.

If the JCPOA said "you can have reactors, but you'll get the fuel from a controlled source, forever", then fine. What it actually says is "carry on your research, we'll open the taps on your economy and we hope you'll be nice in 15 years".


JagLover

42,425 posts

235 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
rxe said:
I'm rather with Trump on this one - the problem with the JCPOA is that it simply delays the Iranians getting a nuclear capability. If it carried on, some time between 8 and 15 years from now, Iran gains nuclear weapons capability on the back of a strong economy, and the expiration of restrictions.

The Iranians are in the same box as the North Koreans - they shouldn't have nukes, but at least the Norks seem to just want to be left alone in the main. If the Iranians historically had nukes, they'd have used them on Iraq by now, especially if Iraq didn't have the means to respond. They'd probably not use them on Israel because they know damn fine they'd get nuked back.

If the JCPOA said "you can have reactors, but you'll get the fuel from a controlled source, forever", then fine. What it actually says is "carry on your research, we'll open the taps on your economy and we hope you'll be nice in 15 years".
But safely after Obama had left office.


red_slr

Original Poster:

17,250 posts

189 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
Burwood said:
War is coming. It shows you how hat st crazy Iran is.
They (Iran) wont risk it IMHO. Its just not worth it for them. Other than Israel they have little capability to strike the US or UK.
Their military capability is not even close to that of the UK and USA.

Personally I think they will push things as far as they can maybe a few shots might be fired, we might retaliate with a few cruise missiles but I think that's where it will end. Basically a shoving match.

funkyrobot

18,789 posts

228 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
Wouldn't it be nice if we could rid ourselves of our dependence on oil. We wouldn't need to bother with the old backward countries anymore.

Countdown

39,914 posts

196 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
Burwood said:
War is coming. It shows you how hat st crazy Iran is.
One of their tankers was intercepted by the British and they're supposed to just lie back and take it?

Burwood

18,709 posts

246 months

Thursday 11th July 2019
quotequote all
Countdown said:
Burwood said:
War is coming. It shows you how hat st crazy Iran is.
One of their tankers was intercepted by the British and they're supposed to just lie back and take it?
Breaching sanctions, no?