How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 13)

How do we think EU negotiations will go? (Vol 13)

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Down and out

2,700 posts

64 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
drdel said:
^^^ Its a long standing convention that the UK does not make appointments while there's an election as its the right of the incoming Government. The EU was/ is well aware of this when they agreed to an extension allowing a GE.

The EU Nov 1st 'start' was delayed to 1st Dec because other country's representatives were turned down .
Can we fine them for the delay?

bitchstewie

51,247 posts

210 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
drdel said:
^^^ Its a long standing convention that the UK does not make appointments while there's an election as its the right of the incoming Government. The EU was/ is well aware of this when they agreed to an extension allowing a GE.

The EU Nov 1st 'start' was delayed to 1st Dec because other country's representatives were turned down .
And if that's true (I don't know so I'll assume you do) it sounds much more reasonable.

chrispmartha

15,499 posts

129 months

Friday 15th November 2019
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turbobloke

103,959 posts

260 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
chrispmartha said:
Asking? OK.

Forward to brussel for processing and payment.

Mrr T

12,237 posts

265 months

Friday 15th November 2019
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turbobloke said:
chrispmartha said:
Asking? OK.

Forward to brussel for processing and payment.
Who's leaving the EU?

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
bhstewie said:
drdel said:
^^^ Its a long standing convention that the UK does not make appointments while there's an election as its the right of the incoming Government. The EU was/ is well aware of this when they agreed to an extension allowing a GE.

The EU Nov 1st 'start' was delayed to 1st Dec because other country's representatives were turned down .
And if that's true (I don't know so I'll assume you do) it sounds much more reasonable.
EU have stated EU law overrules UK law, so our conventions on procedure during election periods don't matter. That's going to play well. laugh

The forming of the new commision is already well behind schedule, as France had its nominated commissioner blocked. It may be the case the commision is not in place even ignoring the UK, by the time of the UK election. EU parliament is already pissed at the new commision as they appointed the new head after rejecting every name put forward by the EU Parliament.

You have to ask the question why they are pushing this, when at worst it's delaying the new commision marginally, even if they manage to get their delayed formation in place by the next expected date.

Robertj21a

16,477 posts

105 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
jsf said:
EU have stated EU law overrules UK law, so our conventions on procedure during election periods don't matter. That's going to play well. laugh

The forming of the new commision is already well behind schedule, as France had its nominated commissioner blocked. It may be the case the commision is not in place even ignoring the UK, by the time of the UK election. EU parliament is already pissed at the new commision as they appointed the new head after rejecting every name put forward by the EU Parliament.

You have to ask the question why they are pushing this, when at worst it's delaying the new commision marginally, even if they manage to get their delayed formation in place by the next expected date.
At least all this silly nonsense will remind voters of all that is wrong with staying in the EU. We shouldn't need to continually respond to 27 other countries demands - and soon we won't !

Nickgnome

8,277 posts

89 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
jsf said:
EU have stated EU law overrules UK law, so our conventions on procedure during election periods don't matter. That's going to play well. laugh

The forming of the new commision is already well behind schedule, as France had its nominated commissioner blocked. It may be the case the commision is not in place even ignoring the UK, by the time of the UK election. EU parliament is already pissed at the new commision as they appointed the new head after rejecting every name put forward by the EU Parliament.

You have to ask the question why they are pushing this, when at worst it's delaying the new commision marginally, even if they manage to get their delayed formation in place by the next expected date.
I’m not sure if you are being serious.

The term is ‘precedence’ and only applies to where the UK as part of the EU have agreed to such. It does not apply to any nation states non Eu related laws.

If you’re not sure ask BV a QC who posts on such matters. I’m sure he will inform you correctly.

stongle

5,910 posts

162 months

Friday 15th November 2019
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Nickgnome said:
I’m not sure if you are being serious.
Ignoring tbe EU law aspect, they have been playing commissioner whack a mole for months. I posted a while ago, they haven't a snowballs chance in hell of a 1st Dec start. The factions in the EU parliament are delaying this.

Thats a fact.


Sway

26,277 posts

194 months

Friday 15th November 2019
quotequote all
chrispmartha said:
Exactly the same as the disputes over quota (and access) since the first (and all subsequent) tranches of EU membership growth for the last 20 years...

Plenty of the same nations pissed off that they were required, with no input, to extend tariff free access to their markets. Plenty of the same nations pissed off that agreed low/no tariff quotas were suddenly covering a much larger market/area, without adjustment.

S1KRR

12,548 posts

212 months

Friday 15th November 2019
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All we need to do is urgently appoint Portillo!

Or better yet Andrew Neil!


They're so used to us sending idiots. Some heavyweights there would kill them! biggrin

anonymous-user

54 months

Friday 22nd November 2019
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Robertj21a

16,477 posts

105 months

Friday 22nd November 2019
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Congrats - a whole week without a single posting !!

Elysium

13,821 posts

187 months

Monday 25th November 2019
quotequote all
I was thinking about the last few months of Brexit fun and games today.

I know that Brexiteers disliked the Benn Act and supported Johnson when he characterised it as an act of 'surrender'.

He said that it would 'fatally undermine' his ability to reach a deal with the EU:

https://www.theyworkforyou.com/debates/?id=2019-09...

Isn't it obvious that this was simply manufactured outrage?

Johnson surely proved that beyond all doubt by going on to agree a 'great' deal with the EU.

So the 'surrender act' did not frustrate our negotiations. Not even remotely.


gooner1

10,223 posts

179 months

Tuesday 26th November 2019
quotequote all
Elysium said:
I was thinking about the last few months of Brexit fun and games today.

I know that Brexiteers disliked the Benn Act and supported Johnson when he characterised it as an act of 'surrender'.

He said that it would 'fatally undermine' his ability to reach a deal with the EU:

https://www.theyworkforyou.com/debates/?id=2019-09...

Isn't it obvious that this was simply manufactured outrage?

Johnson surely proved that beyond all doubt by going on to agree a 'great' deal with the EU.

So the 'surrender act' did not frustrate our negotiations. Not even remotely.
What negotiations would they be then Ely?

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/brexit/

gizlaroc

17,251 posts

224 months

Tuesday 26th November 2019
quotequote all
Elysium said:
I was thinking about the last few months of Brexit fun and games today.

I know that Brexiteers disliked the Benn Act and supported Johnson when he characterised it as an act of 'surrender'.

He said that it would 'fatally undermine' his ability to reach a deal with the EU:

https://www.theyworkforyou.com/debates/?id=2019-09...

Isn't it obvious that this was simply manufactured outrage?

Johnson surely proved that beyond all doubt by going on to agree a 'great' deal with the EU.

So the 'surrender act' did not frustrate our negotiations. Not even remotely.
It did undermine our ability to get a better deal, what we have is probably as good as we would have got with anyone in charge after the Benn Act was passed.



I don't really get what you are getting at?

Stay in Bed Instead

22,362 posts

157 months

Tuesday 26th November 2019
quotequote all
gizlaroc said:
It did undermine our ability to get a better deal, what we have is probably as good as we would have got with anyone in charge after the Benn Act was passed.



I don't really get what you are getting at?
The Benn Act forced Boris and the EU to agree a deal.

Without it Boris would have taken the UK out of the EU on 31st October without one. The EU didn't want that and neither did they want leaving dragging on for much longer.

Digga

40,324 posts

283 months

Tuesday 26th November 2019
quotequote all
The WA is merely the starting point, from which the UK begins to negotiate future trade deals and arrangements.

Sort of agree with most of the above posts.

I see potentially years of further Brexit uncertainty ahead, even if we get a majority government.

Stay in Bed Instead

22,362 posts

157 months

Tuesday 26th November 2019
quotequote all
Digga said:
The WA is merely the starting point, from which the UK begins to negotiate future trade deals and arrangements.

Sort of agree with most of the above posts.

I see potentially years of further Brexit uncertainty ahead, even if we get a majority government.
I believe they have to decide by the summer of 2020 whether or not the transition is extended.

Garvin

5,171 posts

177 months

Tuesday 26th November 2019
quotequote all
Digga said:
The WA is merely the starting point, from which the UK begins to negotiate future trade deals and arrangements.

Sort of agree with most of the above posts.

I see potentially years of further Brexit uncertainty ahead, even if we get a majority government.
If Boris gets his majority then the WA will be passed and UK will start its exit from the EU, possibly before end January - no need to wait if the WA is passed earlier.

Then begins the real fun. The negotiation of the PD to a ‘proper’ agreement on the relationship is on a better level playing field and, with a sizeable majority, no deal sits firmly on the table staring defiantly at everyone. This will really test the resolve of the EU!

However, without a workable majority then, yes, years of further Brexit uncertainty beckons!

If, by some miracle of unfathomable origin (or postal voting fraud), JC gets elected with a majority then there will be no Brexit uncertainty. He will agree a new WA which will be indistinguishable from Remain and the public will be given Hobson’s choice in a second referendum and the previous four years will have been for nought.

The real frightening spectre is Labour in power propped up by the SNP!

No Brexit uncertainty if we are transported through a wormhole to a doppelgänger somewhere and lovely Jo gets elected. A50 could well be revoked by Christmas. In such a doppelgänger situation the greens coukd come into play and we could all be back living in caves by the New Year hehe


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