2019 General Election outcome predictions

[gazapc]

Boris to win high 330s in seats.

LDs will gain a handful at most.

SNP will recover some of their 2017 losses mostly at the expense of Labour.

Corbyn will announce he is leaving by the weekend.

[FrenchCarFan]

Hung parliament. Labour and SNP coalition is where I can see this going.

[Andy 308GTB]

Scotty2 said:

After hearing of a lot of "I've always voted Labour but I'm not voting for Corbyn" in the Manc/Scouse area I'll stick a cheeky punt on it being higher than you think. I'll say 50-60.!

I'm with you on this, I think a minimum of a 50 seat Tory majority.

[pequod]

Andy 308GTB said:

Scotty2 said:

After hearing of a lot of "I've always voted Labour but I'm not voting for Corbyn" in the Manc/Scouse area I'll stick a cheeky punt on it being higher than you think. I'll say 50-60.!

I'm with you on this, I think a minimum of a 50 seat Tory majority.

I hope you are both right but I fear a small Tory majority of say 10 seats is more realistic. Enough to force through the WA in Jan if they all vote as they have promised, but on thin ice for anything else!

[eldar]

Tory majority of 4. Corbyn gone by Monday.

Next election within a year as Brexit fkwittery continues.

[DaveTheRave87]

100% of the vote to Kim Jong Un

[eldar]

DaveTheRave87 said:

100% of the vote to Kim Jong Un

Plus 11% to his horse.

[ChevyChase77]

I predict a lot of people saying they're going to leave the country because we're fked. But then doing nothing of the sort.

[Hereward]

wl606 said:

Baby Shark doo doo doo doo said:

Labour-SNP coalition

The old "what do the votes on Pistonheads show and go for the opposite" routine. Worked most recently in the Brecon by-election, and many other times.

Yup. Peterborough by-election was my wake-up call.

I would be surprised if it was not a hung parliament #emotionalhedge

[AJL308]

gazapc said:

Boris to win high 330s in seats.

LDs will gain a handful at most.

SNP will recover some of their 2017 losses mostly at the expense of Labour.

Corbyn will announce he is leavingbe sent hill walking by the weekend.

FTFY

[AJL308]

ChevyChase77 said:

I predict a lot of people saying they're going to leave the country because we're fked. But then doing nothing of the sort.

The wealthy who are going to be financially raped will. That will fk the rest of us even more because we'll have to make up their shortfall.

[mcelliott]

I predict that Johnson will get in with a very comfortable majority. There are loads of dim people in the UK, but not dim enough to let Steptoe into No 10.

[irc]

Conservaties 340
So .......... Brexit Done
5 years stable sensible govt.
Get boundary review done worth 25 seats, and bring in voter photo ID to reduce fraud. Restrict postal voting same reason.
Get back in for another 5 years.

[jtremlett]

FrenchCarFan said:

Hung parliament. Labour and SNP coalition is where I can see this going.

I think a hung parliament is entirely possible but a Labour/SNP coalition would mean they would need to gain at least 40-odd seats between them (currently on 243+35 and needing 320-ish) and not from each other. A hung parliament and another election in short order would seem more likely.

[italianjob1275]

Sizeable conservative lead
Big labour losses in north/ midlands. Corbyn won’t resign
Lib Dem’s about the same as 2017. They will claim if you add their votes to the greens, everyone who didn’t vote, the dead and the pets of those who didn’t vote suggests a large swing towards remain and this shows a mandate for a people’s vote...
Brexit part won’t win any seats.

[Derek Smith]

zippy3x said:

That all depends on whether Boris is more interested in "getting Brexit done" or being prime minister. I'll stand by my prediction thanks.

You say that as if there's any doubt about what is highest on Johnson's wish list.

I'm going with a tory majority under 21.

[kev1974]

jtremlett said:

FrenchCarFan said:

Hung parliament. Labour and SNP coalition is where I can see this going.

I think a hung parliament is entirely possible but a Labour/SNP coalition would mean they would need to gain at least 40-odd seats between them (currently on 243+35 and needing 320-ish) and not from each other. A hung parliament and another election in short order would seem more likely.

I could also see it being hung again. But at least the election should have chewed up and spat out and reset most of those that felt it OK to jump ship from one party to another, without putting their plans to do so to their constituents. So it will have been worth going through the exercise.

If any one party does come out with a decent majority tomorrow they need to get straight on the case of reforms so that any further party defectors trigger an automatic by-election in that seat, force the defectors to put their money where their mouth is and ensure the people that elected them are happy for them to change party and manifesto.

[rxe]

I suspect a very narrow Conservative majority.

It will be close enough for Labour to claim they have won, and double down on the full fat socialist insanity. But, they need to realise - no one, nowhere is considering a Labour majority. The best they can possibly hope for is an SNP coalition. They need to look at their policies 15 years ago, when they were beating the Conservatives on their own.

I suspect that if Labour form a coalition with the SNP, the clamour for a referendum on Scottish Independence from within England will be immense.

The best outcome would be Labour being utterly hammered, and them re growing as a sensible party. Probably won’t happen.

[Troubleatmill]

Well, Budgie hasn't made a prediction yet - so everything to play for.

[Andy 308GTB]

rxe said:

The best outcome would be Labour being utterly hammered, and them re growing as a sensible party.

This in spades.

They will need a proper collapse to allow the moderates to reform without the Momentum/Militant Tendency elements.
A new New Labour...