Coronavirus - Is this the killer flu that will wipe us out?

Coronavirus - Is this the killer flu that will wipe us out?

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lampchair

4,404 posts

187 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
JagLover said:
schmalex said:
sherbertdip said:
Crumpet said:
It would seem logical to direct care to people with decades of potential tax paying ahead of them rather than saving 85 year olds who, bluntly, don’t.
I'm stunned at your callous approach to life's worth being how much tax you pay!
I believe the NHS already do prioritise based on a similar approach
Well not on basis of tax but if you are considering cost benefit on the grounds of years of life gained by treatment then you would naturally favour the young for scarce resources.

This is also a very moral judgement as if you only had one ICU bed and you had a choice of two people to go into it. A young mother and an old dear with dementia then you don't have to be some Spock type to see there is only one correct moral decision.
Wife was part of the planned Ebola response and planning.

It is all really did hit the fan, generally if you needed intensive care you would be left, as you’d tie up too much time and resource (and there are bugger all intensive care / high dependency unit beds anyway).

turbobloke

104,014 posts

261 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
JagLover said:
schmalex said:
sherbertdip said:
Crumpet said:
It would seem logical to direct care to people with decades of potential tax paying ahead of them rather than saving 85 year olds who, bluntly, don’t.
I'm stunned at your callous approach to life's worth being how much tax you pay!
I believe the NHS already do prioritise based on a similar approach
Well not on basis of tax but if you are considering cost benefit on the grounds of years of life gained by treatment then you would naturally favour the young for scarce resources.

This is also a very moral judgement as if you only had one ICU bed and you had a choice of two people to go into it. A young mother and an old dear with dementia then you don't have to be some Spock type to see there is only one correct moral decision.
That's got nothing to do with tax however, whether it's tax past, present or future.

If future tax is a criterion as per the post earlier this morning, then people with conditions that are going to prevent them from working on a permanent basis would be bottom of the list. That would be ridiculous. Nearby at that end would be all public sector workers, on the basis that their taxes will always involve giving back a bit of the private sector taxes they were originally paid with. That's equally unacceptable, and from the same daft criterion for deciding treatment priorities.

anonymous-user

Original Poster:

55 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
If you were just going to bring medical treatment down to sociatal survival pragmatism, you'd protect those who it needs most to function, of working and reproductive age, at the expense of those beyond those years.

Having to work on such a base level would be a big step for developed countries in particular, where the fundamentals of human rights and discrimination being forbidden are enshrined in both society's conscience and law.

As a worldwide society we're pretty fortunate not to have to make those choices on too stark a basis and I doubt this virus is going to make us, either.

nffcforever

793 posts

192 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
A 29 year old female doctor in Wuhan has died.

- Admitted to hospital on 19th Jan
- Condition worsened on 7th Feb
- Died on 23rd Feb

5 weeks between admission and death, so getting on for 6 weeks between infection and death.

https://m.weibo.cn/status/4475145609577060



grassomaniac

259 posts

163 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Latest figures above. The Italy, Iran and South Korea situations are very odd IMO. Japan seems to have slowed down and Singapore hasn't had any new cases. I don't know what to make of it currently.

Crumpet

3,895 posts

181 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
turbobloke said:
That's got nothing to do with tax however, whether it's tax past, present or future.

If future tax is a criterion as per the post earlier this morning, then people with conditions that are going to prevent them from working on a permanent basis would be bottom of the list. That would be ridiculous. Nearby at that end would be all public sector workers, on the basis that their taxes will always involve giving back a bit of the private sector taxes they were originally paid with. That's equally unacceptable, and from the same daft criterion for deciding treatment priorities.
Perhaps I shouldn’t have used future tax as the example. You could equally bring it down to how useful to society that person is - clearly saving a nurse is much more beneficial in a major crisis than saving someone who sells Super-yachts for a living. In that example public sector workers would possibly be valued much more than high tax payers.

I should stress that my opinion isn’t that we should save the high tax payers or the nurses. I was simply wondering whether there was a protocol for who to save if there ever was a catastrophe.

turbobloke

104,014 posts

261 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
nffcforever said:
A 29 year old female doctor in Wuhan has died.

- Admitted to hospital on 19th Jan
- Condition worsened on 7th Feb
- Died on 23rd Feb

5 weeks between admission and death, so getting on for 6 weeks between infection and death.

https://m.weibo.cn/status/4475145609577060
From information published to-date it may be helpful to be near or in a hospital with supplies of chloroquine and remdesivir plus the will to use them. Any GPs around?

There's also a new-ish kid on the block.
https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/chi...

turbobloke

104,014 posts

261 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Crumpet said:
turbobloke said:
That's got nothing to do with tax however, whether it's tax past, present or future.

If future tax is a criterion as per the post earlier this morning, then people with conditions that are going to prevent them from working on a permanent basis would be bottom of the list. That would be ridiculous. Nearby at that end would be all public sector workers, on the basis that their taxes will always involve giving back a bit of the private sector taxes they were originally paid with. That's equally unacceptable, and from the same daft criterion for deciding treatment priorities.
Perhaps I shouldn’t have used future tax as the example. You could equally bring it down to how useful to society that person is - clearly saving a nurse is much more beneficial in a major crisis than saving someone who sells Super-yachts for a living. In that example public sector workers would possibly be valued much more than high tax payers.

I should stress that my opinion isn’t that we should save the high tax payers or the nurses. I was simply wondering whether there was a protocol for who to save if there ever was a catastrophe.
Understood, surely there are protocols but hopefully not as above! On a wider front:

Paramedic
-the patient has a history of angina and is complaining of chest pains with difficulty breathing, here's an ECG
A&E Doc
-whoa, what's their age and where's their tax return history?

m3jappa

6,435 posts

219 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Strangely no more cases in the uk, which is odd considering the amount of chinese people in London. Good (for us) but odd, especially when random towns in Italy are getting it.

You would like to think that the containment of people with it is working, but there must be so many more undetected. Almost by default.

My main worry is still my 21 week pregnant wife frown She does 3 days a week in London and we have a 4yr old at school. That does concern me.


Mr Whippy

29,068 posts

242 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Crumpet said:
jimPH said:
People who want the predicted death rate increased, are actively trying to increase the seriousness, thereby improving the response and saving lives (hopefully).

By playing down the statistics, we open ourselves up to complacency.

The exact opposite of what some posters appear to be suggesting.
A fair point but, as has been mentioned before, playing up the statistics could needlessly harm the global economy at a time when its fragile enough as it is. It’s a tough balance to get right and I wouldn’t want to be the one making decisions.
I’d be happy to let an economy that has already failed to serve the majority, to fail to protect the majority.

People would wake up the next day alive, and pick up the pieces.

Or they’d wake up dead.

Decisions decisions.

nffcforever

793 posts

192 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
So I’ve seen quite a few people saying stuff like there is nothing we can really do besides basics like wash our hands more and just have to wait and see what happens.

Well this is quite interesting on this, and also more generally.

https://virologydownunder.com/past-time-to-tell-th...

schmalex

13,616 posts

207 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
I’m off to hunt out my tin foil hat. I am starting to think that this isn’t a bug that has jumped species but is the result of CCP failing to contain a bio-weapon.

Countries’ reaction to cases is unprecedented, with other countries (Italy) shutting down large areas at the slightest outbreak.

Why did the repatriation flight land at Boscombe Down (of which Porton is in the same complex) yesterday and then pax transferred to the Wirral? There are closer military airstrips to Liverpool that can handle a 747. Why did the plane have a police escort on the military airfield?

The fudging of figures from CCP doesn’t nothing to ease people’s concerns

The media aren’t overplaying it (like they do with ever other bloody story!). Almost as if they are being directed to downplay it

Notwithstanding that, I still maintain that, currently, the chance of catching it is vanishingly small and the chance of succumbing to it smaller again and will not allow it to, currently, impact my actions. I travel a lot to many dodgy places and am used to taking precautions to reduce risk of infection. I will continue to take prudent health & sanitisation decisions to minimise my risk of exposure



Edited by schmalex on Sunday 23 February 09:15

croyde

22,968 posts

231 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
So if the fatality figure is 2% and 2 have died in Italy, there must be 98 that are alive and infected.

Enricogto

646 posts

146 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
croyde said:
So if the fatality figure is 2% and 2 have died in Italy, there must be 98 that are alive and infected.
112 confirmed cases as of the last hour.
One thing to note is that they are testing with tampons and not just by measuring the body temperature. I expect figures to expand globally if the same method is applied.

Gregmitchell

1,745 posts

118 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
This is clearly bullst, CCP really are the scum of the earth.

18 new cases and 1 new death occurred outside of Hubei province in China on February 22, as reported by the National Health Commission (NHC) of China,

MaxFromage

1,895 posts

132 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Figures from the John Hopkins tracker WITHOUT Hubei Province:

Confirmed cases: 14,733
Deaths: 116
Recovered: 7,908

In comparison to yesterday, 525 more confirmed cases, 6 more deaths and an increase of 448 in recovered patients.

As others have noted, it's strange how some countries had an outbreak and then infection stops? Hopefully that's due to the expected mild nature of the illness for most. However Dr Campbell (Youtube links noted a few times on this thread) has contacts he trusts in Iran, who states cases are much higher than noted officially.

otolith

56,206 posts

205 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Crumpet said:
I should stress that my opinion isn’t that we should save the high tax payers or the nurses. I was simply wondering whether there was a protocol for who to save if there ever was a catastrophe.
Clinicians have a strong code of ethics. I suspect they would push back against anything not based on clinical need.

p1stonhead

25,576 posts

168 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Why on Earth do we not have any more cases? We only have one actually under care for it. ONE. All others have been sent home now.

We have to be one of the biggest world hubs if not THE biggest surely?

How?

Gregmitchell

1,745 posts

118 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
p1stonhead said:
Why on Earth do we not have any more cases? We only have one actually under care for it. ONE. All others have been sent home now.

We have to be one of the biggest world hubs if not THE biggest surely?

How?
That’s the million dollar question.

Nayche

96 posts

58 months

Sunday 23rd February 2020
quotequote all
Also, rather interesting and perhaps food for thought for the tin foil hat community is the outbreak in Iran. According to Wiki pages Iran has a very small Chinese population - only a few thousand. Not only is there an outbreak in various cities there seems to be high death proportionaly to cases.


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